ULTA trade ideas
ULTA update: watching for the FOMO bulls' next moveThis educational screencast is I hope useful in showing how price action can be assessed from various perspectives. It is now pretty late in the game to short ULTA. See ULTA - Journey South ? (from 20th Nov 2018).
I expect FOMO bulls to rush into ULTA, fighting for a few crumbs! LOL. That expectation is based only on human psychology. Make no mistake, it is psychology that works at the tips of the markets.
See also what happened to FOMO Bulls in NVIDIA .
I re-emphasise that I have no need of working out where price is going to go. I'm using a probability model instead of a 'predictive' model. Hence - no targets, only controlled acceptable losses.
Sell ULTACounter intuitive trade
No new highs, daily
Looks like a head and shoulder set up pattern
Weekly shows green hammer at the top
MACD shows cup and handle accumulation
Stoch shows direction to oversold area
Playing the gap
Looks like price action is rolling over to fill lower
S/L 291
T/P 243.51
R/R 4.25
Profit Trading!!!
$ULTA Inverted H&S Forming$ULTA looking oversold on the hourly chart, down 2-3% today on light volume. Intra-day reversal is already underway after bottoming just above $242. Appears to be an inverted head and shoulders pattern forming on the daily chart. Monitor for a move back to and eventual break through $260 resistance level. Medium term target $290, assuming overall market conditions remain bullish to neutral.
Might be a good day to pickup some cheap OTM options for next ER, I'm looking at Aug 31 $280 calls going for around $1.00 today with a current delta of 0.09
Note: Observation/opinion, not investment advice.
Looking like a short term sell ULTACannot break 261, was hoping it would break out today after the strong Friday close, will see what happens tomorrow but keeps looking more and more like it's heading to about $220. Still looking long term bullish for ULTA but looks like a good time to take some profits.