What are your thoughts about my Zillow Analysis?I do believe Zillow will touch $98.04 then either push through, consolidate, or reverse. What are your thoughts?
ZG trade ideas
2/11/25 - $z - I don't get it2/11/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:Z
I don't get it
- 2.5% fcf yield "let's see"
- google search trends keep seeing lower highs, lower lows (trends.google.com)
- it's not like rates are going down... so there's some obvious friction in the system
- and really... 35x 2026 PE for this?
- i applaud the home buying silliness (1P) the co did a few years ago, but frankly, as much as i use this platform to putz around, the interface/ UX just sucks Harry Bolz (@elonmusk)
- this feels like a rent-seeking slow bleed waiting to be disrupted situation facing an awkward home buying backdrop and where the stock has run and portfolio managers (if that's what they still call themselves) are just eating tiny triangle sandwiches and giving each other feel-good reach arounds about their respective books.
- unclear if i'm going to short this (bc shorting still sucks until we get a "pin" on the mkt), but i'm sure as hell not going to chase you all off the cliff. i'd say risk to the upside is maybe 5-10%... downside 10-20%.
- i've only owned this thing in the past (much lower), but at this pt, nothing's changed but the multiple has gone higher and the fundamentals have worsened. u draw your own conclusions. i'm just here to share my thoughts with me, myself and irene (hi baby!)
V
Z tags $85, pulls back to $75MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at or near top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price at or near Fibonacci level
Buying a put if price reaches $85
Target is $75 or channel bottom
Stop loss is TBD
New Setup: ZZ : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP-50%,move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(3).
Zillow Group, Inc. (Z) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Zillow Group, Inc. NASDAQ:Z is a leading online real estate marketplace, transforming the real estate industry through innovative technology and strategic partnerships. Its platform serves as a bridge between high-intent homebuyers/renters and top-performing agents, fostering an ecosystem that drives revenue growth and enhances user satisfaction.
Key Drivers of Growth:
Agent Connections Strategy:
Zillow’s approach of connecting motivated buyers and renters with experienced agents generates immediate revenue through lead generation while cultivating a loyal user base, contributing to a self-sustaining growth flywheel.
Outpacing Industry Growth:
Analysts forecast 12% annual revenue growth for Zillow over the next three years, surpassing the 11% sector average. This positions the company to deliver superior stock performance amidst a competitive market.
Real Estate Tech Innovation:
Under the leadership of CEO Jeremy Wacksman, Zillow focuses on developing cutting-edge tools that streamline real estate transactions, such as advanced AI-driven property valuations and user-friendly interfaces. These innovations solidify its role as a leader in real estate technology.
Market Potential:
Zillow benefits from the increasing adoption of digital real estate solutions, supported by consumer demand for convenience and efficiency in property searches, transactions, and rentals.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Stance: We are bullish on Z above $63.00-$64.00, given its strategic growth initiatives, sector-leading revenue projections, and technological advancements.
Upside Target: With its strong positioning, we target $105.00-$110.00, reflecting Zillow’s potential to capitalize on a growing market and its tech-driven competitive edge.
📈 Zillow—Innovating the Real Estate Landscape! #PropTech #RealEstateInnovation #ZillowGroup
Z pullback to $65MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price above all channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM spiked positive
Price at 3.618 Fibonacci level
In at $72
Target is $65 or channel bottom
Stop loss is $74
Looking bullish on Z!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Zillow Group getting ready for 2x moveZillow is breaking out on monthly and weekly with decent volumes, getting ready for 2x move in first run and then we can will see for further targets.
A weekly close below 56 will negate this and we will have to revisit this again.
Z Zillow Group Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of Z Zillow Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 47.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $2.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ZILLOW, WILLOW WHEREOW THE PRICE GO? imma be honest, I'm running out of creative titles, so you get what you get.
Trends labeled
Price targets labeled.
really neat setup on zillow here.
These buy zones are marked at some major support, we have a short term trend leading to a top, and may have already hit. We have a long term support trend going in the bearish price direction.
All of the above can help determine potential price movements.
With RSI being overextended, the market as a whole, there is potential for quick downside right past support trend, into the zones of major price support, which will then create even stronger support, which will allow the price to keep climbing back up.
I'm hesitant to predict anything before seeing where it heads into earnings (13th labeled)
BUT..
IDK, something like this maybe?
Essentially, I don't know how it will look, or how steep it goes, but it's good to be prepared for some potential scenarios. This chart can cover quite a few of them if you're patient and wait for the right trade.
Overall, I would suggest being careful, and should the price go up before going down, it might be a better option to look for a short entry and ride the price down than jumping into a long position, especially with how this chart looks.
$Z PT $85Based on the linear regression channel, Zillow is primed to see $70+ by the beginning of June, and over $80 around the beginning of October.
Elliot wave is currently at the end of phase 2, beginning of phase 3, which is usually the largest move of the cycle.
Any entry right now seems good. Current price is $47.39 in pre-market. With PT at $85, that's a projected 44% gain.
Note: This is just my interpretation of the chart and not financial advice.
Big change FridayDoes this gut-punch to the RE tech industry signal a looming share price drop for BLK? An index of Z+OPEN+RDFN+HOUS has had a very high positive correlation to BLK--until now when the index took a hit from the NAR settlement.
Z - setting up H&S Formation once tests low $60skeep an eye on very nice short set up in Z.
Is housing gonna make a sharp turn with mortgage rates holding 7%+ level.
I say so.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Like the Look of ZIllow here Zillow is looking to reclaim its former glory here
looking at the daily chart you can see a nice spring and back test.
the longer this name hold above 50 the more likely it could test the 66 resistance range that its had trouble with before.
will be keeping an eye on this as earnings approach in less than one month
$Z - Can this play out?NASDAQ:Z looks like short seller "Spruce Point" @sprucepointcap will not be sleeping well for a while.
Zillow could explode to $80, if cup and handle breakout occurs.
Zillow Group, Inc - bullish divergenceOn the above 2-week chart price action has corrected over 80% since the sell signal last February. A number of reasons now exist to be bullish, a few of which are:
1) A buy signal prints.
2) Regular bullish divergence. Currently 10 oscillators are printing divergence on the weekly chart (below).
3) Support and resistance. The yearly chart (bottom - each candle = 1 year of data) is showing price action testing support on past resistance from 2017 through to 2019 @ $40. It is very likely to act as strong support.
Is it possible price action falls further? For sure.
Is it probable? Highly unlikely.
Ww
Weekly chart with bullish divergence
Annual chart - support
All set to double your moneysLooks bullish and can retest 100 levels. Have your SL at 44. It an test 44 range before its leg up towards 100-105. All the best.
I'll Bet My HouseJust kidding. I love Zillow's fundamentals, though. It beats earning reports for more than a year and a half. And the Assets to Liabilities ratio continues to stay strong.
The housing market is not in the best shape, but ongoing partnerships and new revenue stream projects, such as more focus on the rental market, are helping the company so far.
With that in mind, I saw an opportunity today, so I entered my position at $52.01 after seeing the recent decline while currently maintaining the price around the 50 EMA. I believe my loss-to-profit ratio is currently pretty high, but I'm willing to risk a 2% loss.
I want to stick to this plan, but it depends on how long it will dash around my stop loss area; I might give it a little bit more room as I'm willing to give it a lot of room for the upside.
Zillow looking a little sus on the weekly TBHLong term Trendline breakdown -> Retest and potential rejection of trendline AND 200 Weekly MA.
Short term Trendline breakdown.
High interest rate environment which affects have not been seen on the market yet. Inverted Yield Curve, potential recession.
Will this play out or do we have a soft landing? I have no clue tbh, but in terms of risk reward, the opportunity is definitely there for a Zillow short
Zillow WeaklyZillow is at a prior resistance point, at a whole number of $50, at the 100ma weekly. A bearish candle could close the week with a rejection wick. Given these confluence factors, economic outlook, search analysis of fundamentals, and the condition of real estate markets, I'm going to prematurely arrive on the scene, and pronounce it a short. There is of course a backup plan, in case things don't work out.
