Z - Remains Strong - Will It?Zillow still remains strong, but has lost all the gain from the trulia merger news. Will it remain strong?
ZG trade ideas
Why Timing is Everything in the MarketFor a detailed commentary and analysis, please refer to our blog post published 7/27/14: www.syncubate.com
Zillow made headlines last week on a possible merger with Trulia, and the stock has since surged in value to nearly $160 a share. The buyout of Trulia was confirmed earlier today.
On the weekly chart, the stock's price fluctuations show a bull trend picking up steam in the beginning of 2014. From that point forward, +DMI has remained above -DMI, conveying the persistent strength of the bulls over the bears.
Timing is everything in the market - in our latest blog post, we discuss why traders must respect time in their trade planning, highlighting our analysis of Zillow's daily chart versus weekly chart.
REPUBLISHING Zillow Z Daily - Solid Uptrend, Cup&HandleInteresting news today with the merger of Zillow and Trulia (TRLA):
The combination of companies is still showing zero profits.
Either way, a free gift of a rally here has Zillow stretched beyond "trend" so I would suggest walking away or writing calls for as long as possible "AT THE MONEY" to capture as much premium as possible.
1 year call premiums might be 20% for at the money options and I think that is a decent return.
Cheers.
Tim 4:17PM EST 7/24/2014 145.76 last
Zillow: Trending Move AnalysisIn reviewing the daily chart for Z, the strong uptrend since the middle of May has continued without any significant sell off. Note that there are several price levels to keep an eye on during any pullback, as noted on the chart.
In the near term, the $140 and $130/$132 levels are support. The stock broke through $140 with conviction early last week after struggling with it the week before. Despite pulling back from the highs and retesting $140, the stock held above it for the close on 7/3/14.Seems the stock wants higher still.
Blog post dated 07/05/2014: www.syncubate.com
ZThere is no new signal at moment but as far as there is no real sign of a correction I assume that the trend will continue.
Upper Channel on Aggresive Valuation.Most aggressive pt have recently been boosted to 130 on the possibility of a consolidation with Trulia. But most conservative pt around 110-115 state the already embedded high valuation in Zillow given projected growth. New-home sales surged in May, but the gains only put the market back on track to match last year's pace along with many investors speculating about mortgage rate hikes. I don't see the logic in investing at these all time highs and I don't believe many growth investors do either. I think it's currently being pushed up by bull swing traders who are enjoying the short squeeze. Forming a bearish rising wedge at the top of this multi-year channel I do believe anything above 135 is a good short with a stop of 140.
Zillow Inc Z Daily - UPTREND - STEADY AS SHE GOES!User DavideG published a nice chart on Zillow today which made me take a look at the chart.
I could tell right away I liked it on a pullback, so I did some work and here is what I have so far.
Take a look and see what you think:
Zillow looks great to my eye. Buy on a pullback to 101. Buy on any dips under 105. Buy on ....... and Buy on .......
Plus there is a big cup&handle formation that it broke out from.
Also note the 1-year EARNINGS TREND Lines I put in the chart. Note how it is just plugging along on those. Fascinating.
Tim
5:06PM EST Monday, May 19, 2014
Zillow - Rally Nearing CompletionZillow has been unable to rise more than 29.5% in the last year without undergoing a correction. Specifically, each rally of ~28% ends with a correction of at least 16%. Since the last bottom on May 8th, Zillow has appreciated 22%. Patiently waiting for rise to $115-118, marked by red box, for short sale.
Targeting return to the 50SMA, which has proved to be a significant support level. Note how Zillow has bounced off of its 50 SMA six times since late-March. Also important to watch the RSI, which has similarly found support at the lower trend line which has been intact since December.
I've used this pattern in conjunction with the 50SMA and RSI channel to identify short and long entries successfully before and optimistic this remains a good system.
5.19.14 - 3:58PM EST
Davide
Zillow lower?Seems to be near decision where it was decided to be too expensive in the past. Lower highs; possible bearish Harmonic patterns on weekly/hourly. Or, could see a nice fake out at the next high. Interesting to see :)
ZAnother chart this didn't "publish" for some reason. The close up of the double bottom did, but this is a weekly view
Housing playLooks decent. Largest trade was x98 Jan 80 C at the ask 3.20 ...Jan 70 P traded at the mid, 2x100. 3k c vs 2.2k P. More OI in the Jan calls side...Odd OI in the jan 22.5 P. Positive divergence on hourly charts. Stalking...
ZILLOW HEAD AND SHOULDERSNot sure how this is gonna play out yet, but worth watching. It has had quite the run and losses could be substantial. HAPPY TRADING!
