NATURALGAS trade ideas
XNGUSD CONTINUES ITS DOWNWARD TREND. FOR HOW LONG?XNGUSD CONTINUES ITS DOWNWARD TREND. FOR HOW LONG?
Recent bearish impulse started at the beginning of this week may come to an end soon. Yesterday the U.S. Natural Gas Storage report came out. Numbers appeared to be lower than expected and lower than previous. (23b vs 28b vs 46b). This is bullish signal for the market participants. Minutes after the report came out, market reacted bullish, however, soon price went sideways.
Right now gas prices continue to decline. Still, the opportunity for short-sellers here is quite limited. Not so far below there is a level of 3.0000, form where I expect the price to rebound, supposedly to a 3.3000.
Natural Gas Price Drops by 7%Natural Gas Price Drops by 7%
As the XNG/USD chart shows today, natural gas is trading around $3.333/MMBtu, although yesterday morning the price was approximately 7% higher.
According to Reuters, the decline in gas prices is driven by:
→ Record-high production levels. LSEG reported that average gas output in the Lower 48 rose to 107.2 billion cubic feet per day so far in July, surpassing the previous monthly record of 106.4 billion cubic feet per day set in June.
→ Favourable weather forecasts. Although the peak of summer heat is still anticipated, forecasts indicate that temperatures over the next two weeks may be lower than previously expected.
As a result, today’s XNG/USD chart appears bearish.
Technical Analysis of the XNG/USD Chart
The chart indicates that since mid-May, natural gas prices have been fluctuating within a descending channel (marked in red), with July’s peak (E) highlighting the upper boundary of the pattern.
A key resistance area is now represented by a bearish gap, formed between:
→ the former support level at $3.525;
→ the $3.470 level – which, as the arrow suggests, is already showing signs of acting as resistance.
Under these conditions, it is reasonable to assume that the price may continue forming a downward market structure A-B-C-D-E, consisting of lower highs and lows, potentially moving towards the channel’s median – which approximately corresponds to July’s low (around the $3.200 level).
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XNGUSD Technical Update – What the Chart Is Telling Us NowIn this video, I break down the current XNGUSD (Natural Gas) chart using pure price action analysis on the daily timeframe.
This update builds on my previous post, where I shared a comprehensive outlook supported by fundamentals, including supply/demand imbalances, geopolitical risks, and long-term LNG export growth.
In this video, I focus purely on the technical picture—highlighting key levels, market structure, recent consolidation, and where I see potential opportunities unfolding next.
📈 If you're trading or investing in Natural Gas, this is a must-watch update to stay in tune with the current market dynamics.
Remember: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
NATGAS Long Setup – Accumulation + Breakout OpportunityInstrument: US Natural Gas (Spot)
Timeframe: 1D
Published: July 24, 2025
By: @Rendon
📈 Idea Summary:
Natural gas is showing signs of accumulation after a corrective downtrend. Price recently tested key horizontal support around $2.96–$2.85 and is now attempting a recovery. Two potential bullish scenarios are outlined:
🧠 Bullish Scenarios:
🔵 Scenario A (blue path): Clean breakout above $3.32 with strong volume could lead to a continued push toward $3.56 → $3.79 → $4.05.
🔴 Scenario B (red path): Price may first retest the $2.96–$2.85 demand zone again before bouncing and gradually rallying toward $4.05.
🔍 Key Levels:
Support: 2.961 / 2.957 / 2.854
Resistance: 3.323 → 3.568 → 3.792 → 4.046
🛑 Invalidation:
A decisive close below $2.84 would invalidate the bullish thesis and suggest further downside risk.
📊 Volume Insight:
Volume has been drying up, which may indicate a potential spring or absorption before a breakout.
✅ Trade Plan (example):
Entry: On retest of $2.95 or break of $3.32
Stop Loss: Below $2.84
Target: First TP at $3.56, then trail toward $4.05
💬 Let me know in the comments how you see NATGAS developing and which path you’re betting on!
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH WEDGE WORKED OUT. WHAT'S NEXT?U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH WEDGE WORKED OUT. WHAT'S NEXT?
Today, the market opened 2.66% below its closing price on Friday. The current price has already fallen on 4.8% since the closing on Friday, and it is now above the 3.400 support level. I expect further decline, however, with a possible rebound from the current level and pullback towards the SMA50, with a final target of 3.000.
NATURAL GAS SPOTMay form inverse cup and handle, bullish crab also about to form , after completing one head and shoulder pattern already posted earlier new head and shoulder going on. In daily and 4 hr chart below ichimoku cloud. In weekly within cloud. Moving averages showing weakness in daily and weekly, monthly candle also no bearish. May be in such scenario bullish crab pattern may fail but need to be careful as over sold territory. Let see how all works in future though so far all as per analysis. I am not SEBI registered analyst.
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTED
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTED🕵🏻♂️
The Natural gas has been trading bullish for 7 days in a row since last Wednesday, reaching the 3.6000 resistance level. Primarily this happened due to a warm weather in the U.S. states, that supports the demand on gas. Despite warmer-than-normal summer weather, analysts expect energy firms to inject more gas into storage than usual in coming weeks. Record-high output in June, likely to be surpassed in July, and reduced gas flows to LNG export plants since April's peak, support this trend.
Technically chart shows us a bearish divergence on 1-h timeframe. I suppose the price to slowly decline towards major support level of 3.0000 with minor rebounds. The 2nd option is the rebound from 3.4000 support level with a first target of 3.6000.
Natural Gas: Long Setup After Healthy PullbackNatural gas has made a decent pullback, and a solid long setup is forming here with a relatively tight stop-loss for gas.
If the stop gets hit, the second entry will be from the $3.00 level.
Entry is from current levels.
📝Trading Plan
Entry: Entry is from current levels.
Stop Loss: 3.0855
Target: 3.36
Natgas long term target 4Natural Gas (NATGAS) | 4H Chart Analysis
We are seeing a strong technical setup developing on Natural Gas. Price has recently bounced off a key ascending trendline support around the 3.00–3.10 area, with clear higher timeframe structure still intact.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around 3.10, after confirming support at the rising trendline.
Stop Loss: Below 2.94 support (invalidates the bullish setup).
Targets:
TP1: 3.32 (first resistance, previous highs)
TP2: 3.57
TP3: 3.79
Final TP: 4.04
Trade Rationale:
Strong trendline support and recent bullish reaction.
Clear stepwise resistance levels to take profit along the way.
Risk well-defined below previous swing lows and support.
Things to Watch:
A daily close below 2.94 would invalidate this long setup.
Monitor for bullish volume on up-moves and news catalysts (storage data, weather, etc.).
Personal note:
This is not financial advice, just sharing my technical view for educational purposes. Please do your own research and manage your risk!
Heatwave Fuels Breakout as Fundamentals AlignNatural Gas has reclaimed the spotlight with a sharp move above $3.56, breaking through a key resistance level as a heatwave grips large parts of the United States. With above-average temperatures forecast to persist into late July, demand for cooling remains elevated, significantly boosting power consumption across the board.
Supply remains tight despite elevated production levels. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) feedgas volumes are rising as export demand holds strong, keeping domestic stockpiles in check. While some temporary relief in demand could arrive next week, the broader outlook remains bullish. Weather models suggest persistent heat, and traders are increasingly positioning for sustained tightness in the balance of supply and demand.
Technical Setup:
• Key level breached: $3.48 (100-day EMA) decisively broken
• Current price zone: Approaching $3.57, the next major pivot
• Momentum: If bulls secure a weekly close above $3.57, the market could enter a longer-term uptrend with $3.65 and $3.80 in sight.
Takeaway: Natural gas traders should monitor weather patterns and storage data closely. Sustained heat could keep the rally intact, but short-term pullbacks may offer entry points for trend-followers.
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME TRADING IDEA UPDATE -
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME🔥
The XNGUSD goes quite well, as predicted. It held the trendline and moving upwards slowly, but surely. Short-term support here is the EMA20 on 4h timeframe. The asset is just below 3.600 resistance level and sma200. Since the July 10, the asset seems to be moving within the ascending channel (pic 2). I expect that the price will break the 3.6000 resistance level, will go towards upper channel border and then, after quick retest, move towards 3.8000. Not a trading advice! Trade cautiously!
Natural Gas Spot Well trying to read this complex correction again and assuming this is larger x wave or f wave if diametric in intermediate degree and time confirmation yet to come if next high previous fall not passed with in that time, then new low again possible, Let see. Not a sebi registered analyst, just personal view
NATURAL GAS - REBOUND FROM THE MAJOR TRENDLINE AND ANOTHER LONG CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
Last week on Wednesday and Thursday we observed the false breakout of the major trendline. Eventually, Thursday ended up bullish, gaining 4.8% day-to-day. On Friday the asset has been trading majorly sideways, retesting the major trendline (pic 1). Technically, looks like the divergence on RSI, MACD and Momentum works out as well as the bullish wedge (pic 2). Fundamentally, we still have warm temperature weather forecasts in the U.S. and bullish Thursday's EIA report. Additionally, today the market opened with a bullish gap and continues to grow, which is a good signal for the buyers.
Considering major levels here, I decided to open long positions:
🔼 a market buy order at 3.4556 with
❌a stop loss at 3.2995 and
🤑a take profit at 3.7927
At 3.6000 would be reasonable to reduce long position on a half. Thank you for the attention!
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts