Natural Gas Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025
- Natural gas broke support area
- Likely to fall to support level 3.0000
Natural gas recently broke the support area between the support trendline of the weekly up-channel from last August, support level 3.4 and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the daily uptrend from August.
The breakout of this support area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from the end of March.
Natural gas can be expected to fall to the next round support level 3.0000 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C)).
NATURALGAS trade ideas
Fiery Butterfly of Natural Gas Price in 2025. In the previous analysis, we predicted the natural gas price trends from 2022 to the end of 2024 using harmonic patterns, which turned out to be highly profitable .
Now, in this idea, we aim to forecast the price movement for 2025 Based on the harmonic patterns, it seems likely that gas prices will rise and reach the golden level of the Butterfly pattern before experiencing a significant drop.
Bullish correction before the dropBe careful the market may be setting a huge bear trap the volume in the market isn't matching the price action in the candles. My ideas and Analysis are located on the price chart I do not trade the news or any type of other speculation I trade pure price action I watch the candles I wait then I strike I am new to trading but I am focused on Strictly Natural Gas. I'm looking for a so-called countertrend trade to the broken weekly pivot and my overall biased is still bearish
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Trend Reversal With Low Demand Natural Gas Outlook: Bearish signals dominate NATGAS with a Head & Shoulders pattern, Shooting Star, and Bearish Engulfing on the chart.
Technical Indicators: RSI is declining, and MACD shows bearish momentum, supporting further downside.
Weather Impact: The UK forecast for the next two weeks shows mixed conditions—initial sunshine but turning unsettled with rain and wind.
Heating Demand: Temperatures will range between 2°C and 13°C, potentially affecting natural gas consumption.
March 28-31: Breezy conditions with low clouds and occasional showers, possibly moderating demand.
Market Reaction: UK NATGAS price projections show stability around 58.2 on March 28 and 57.7 on March 31.
Key Resistance & Support: Watch $4.00 resistance and $3.60 support for potential breakouts.
Bearish Confirmation: If price closes below $3.80, further downside towards $3.50 could be expected.
Fundamental Factors: Geopolitics and supply dynamics still play a major role in volatility.
Risk Management: Monitor weather updates and gas storage reports for potential reversals.
Short-Term Traders: Bearish entries could target $3.60 with tight stop losses above $4.00.
Long-Term Investors: May look for buying opportunities near strong support zones.
Caution: Unexpected cold snaps or supply disruptions could invalidate bearish scenarios.
Stay Updated: Keep track of weather forecasts and fundamental changes impacting demand/supply.
Not Financial Advice: Do your own research before trading.
NatGas Natural Gas LongPresident Trump´s tariffs on Russia, energy crisis ,and natgas cycle starting to motivate more buyers accumulationg their positions,going for higher prices.
Technically a profit taking time of the bulls is coming to an end.
Rockets:Buy/add more buys
2 variants:For more conservative traders, and those who have higher risk appetite.
Profit targets are the same.
The entries of both apporoaches are near and closed to strong midterm supports, therefor I have already taken this trades,as they promissing lower risk to me
XNG/USD Analysis: Natural Gas Price Drops to March LowXNG/USD Analysis: Natural Gas Price Drops to March Low
On 27 January, our analysis of the natural gas chart highlighted the formation of an ascending channel. Later, on 10 March, we noted that the sharp price increase had created technical conditions for a correction.
Since then, as indicated by the arrow on the XNG/USD chart, natural gas prices have declined by approximately 19%.
Why Is the Price of Natural Gas Falling?
- Unseasonably Warm Weather: Atmospheric G2 reported on Wednesday that forecasts now indicate significant warming across the eastern half of the U.S. from 31 March to 4 April. This could reduce demand for natural gas used in heating.
- Rising Inventories: According to the EIA’s forecast, weekly natural gas storage levels are expected to increase by +33 billion cubic feet over the past week.
Technical Analysis of XNG/USD Chart
Looking at the broader trend since the start of the year, the ascending channel (marked in blue) remains relevant. However, bears have pushed the price below its median line, shifting movement into a short-term downward channel (marked in red).
Currently, natural gas is trading near the $3.780/MMBtu level, a key price point that has previously acted as both support and resistance. Whether a bearish breakdown or a bullish rebound occurs largely depends on the upcoming EIA report, scheduled for release at 17:30 GMT+3.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Natural Gas: In a Clear Bearish Movement After CorrectionNatural Gas: In a Clear Bearish Movement After Correction
From our previous analysis, NG created a bearish correction that lasted for about 1 week and took place between 4 and 4.3.
After the pattern ended, the price fell by almost 13% in just 6 days.
News Today: Oil prices edged up on concerns about tighter global supply after U.S. tariff threats on Venezuelan oil buyers and earlier sanctions on Iranian oil buyers, while traders weighed the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's auto tariffs.
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Previous Analysis:
NATGAS - Long strategyThis can be a good opportunity to ride the price in the next long phase.
Wa are on demand area after a short phase.
In any case we ca have an another short wave.. depends on global macroeconomy and Russia/Ukraina war.
So if thereisn't any drammaticaly change we can have a Long phase until 5$ and potential more..Fix your stop loss because in NATGAS all can change quikly.
My Daily $NGAS / $NG1! Idea Because of Absent Seasonal WeaknessSeasonal weakness in FX:NGAS / NYMEX:NG1! is absent so far but it could come into play if war-related concerns are fading with Putin and Ukraine set under "friendly pressure" to end this war.
Still, the gap between ending heating period and beginning demand for cooling is big enough to see a seasonal weakness period, imo.
It's just an idea. As always, do your own research. You are solely responsible for your trades.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations
SWING NG (AGGRESSIVE)Last few days NG has been consolidating and correcting for a days, forming a bear flag pattern. Since it bounced off the bear flag resistance the main buy posiprice i am looking for is $3.91 where the price may retest liquidity and 200 MA (which is a major supp). Bullish engulfing candle is what I will be on the look for around 3.91. But I have my speculation, therefore my personal entry is set @$3.94
Alternatively if price breaks 4.33 then the pull back is the next likely position for a buy order. which will be above 4.33
Price 3.76 is a strong supp and also liquidity zone with tested FVG. This can be our stop loss but given the volatility of this future 3.68 would be the best SL.
I am expecting the price to test the bullish OB around 4.7 which is also out TP. For further extended move we will keep track of the price and see if it touches $5-5.2 range.
Lets hope that the Geopolitical influences are kept to a minimum by US/Russia/Ukr.
Natural Gas - We touched the resistance, can we do it again?Hi guys, we are looking into a great commodity which just got traction in recent days.
1️⃣. Rising Global Demand
LNG demand is surging worldwide, particularly in Asia and Europe, as nations seek cleaner alternatives to coal and oil. With energy security concerns and geopolitical shifts, LNG is becoming a crucial component of diversified energy portfolios.
2️⃣. Cleaner Energy Alternative
Natural gas produces approximately 50% less carbon dioxide than coal and significantly reduces air pollutants. As governments and industries focus on decarbonization, LNG serves as a reliable bridge fuel toward renewable energy adoption.
3️⃣. Expanding Infrastructure and Market Growth
The LNG market is rapidly expanding, with new terminals, pipelines, and liquefaction plants being developed globally. Technological advancements are improving efficiency and lowering costs, making LNG more accessible and competitive.
4️⃣. Strong Economic and Trade Potential
LNG offers stable pricing mechanisms, long-term contracts, and increasing spot market opportunities. As more countries develop import capabilities, the LNG trade market is set to grow, providing investors with diverse entry points.
5️⃣. Energy Security and Geopolitical Importance
LNG helps countries reduce dependence on specific energy suppliers, improving energy security. The Russia-Ukraine conflict and other geopolitical factors have accelerated the shift toward LNG, boosting its long-term demand and investment potential.
Conclusion
LNG is positioned as a key energy source for the coming decades, balancing affordability, environmental benefits, and security. With strong global demand, technological improvements, and a transition toward cleaner energy, investing in LNG presents a strategic and forward-thinking opportunity.
Entry: 4.2150
Target: 4.6210
SL:3.9020