NATURALGAS trade ideas
NATURALGAS - Beginning Of The Break To Lower Lows?A shooting star is printing a shakeout through the 200 day MA.
The trend has been drifting for some time and so it could continue to drift, but its hit the liquidity landmark and printing a reversal candle.
If the day closes here then there could be more downside and potentially the trend change.
Also notice that it is potentially printing the Head & Shoulders pattern if further breakdown continues.
The shooting star has wicked through the left shoulder resistance also tapping the liquidity in that area.
We find very often that at major reversals that there are double or even triple significant liquidity pockets tapped and so this double tap here can be a clue that a major trend change is imminent.
As I have said I think this correction has gone on too long for this to be part of an accumulation. Much more likely there will be another wave down, hence why I am taking short positions and have added to my position here.
Its not impossible that this could yet whip up because that is what this chart does but it will likely be a fast elevator ride down if when it breaks.
Not advice
🚨 Alert! For NATGAS100 traders I LongMy analysis: short
🎯 1. Take-Profit Target: $3.143
🎯 2. Take-Profit Target: $3.276
📈 I've observed a strong level of market support with robust price rejections and extended wicks around $2.845, forming a Solid Support Line (SSL) on the 4H timeframe. 📊📈
Furthermore, there's a conspicuous fair value gap on the weekly timeframe, though I have reservations about the price's ability to generate the necessary momentum to bridge it. If we manage to breach the barriers presented by the daily and 4H timeframes to the upside, that's when I would designate this as our new bullish target. Subsequently, we might anticipate a period of consolidation, contingent upon the prevailing market conditions at that juncture. 📆📉🚀
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My strategy hinges on waiting for price action to breach the RSI trend line and undergo consolidation on both the 1H and 30M timeframes before considering a long position entry. If the price fails to exhibit strength in this vicinity, I shall refrain from executing my trade. My steadfast commitment remains to my established setup and risk management parameters. 💪📊📈💰
Feel free to review my other trading positions.
🖕 NatGas Update Until there is some form of bounce and waves 1-2 of the new trend are shaped it is risky to call the bottom.
One option could be that the ugly diagonal was extended wave 1. A recent consolidation looks like a neat barrier triangle that usually happens in waves b, x or 4. It it is 4 that means wave 5 should be shorter than wave 3. If it is b we are charting something bigger and yet unclear.
Time to buy gas?Here is a quick plan for Natural Gas. I will look more into this later.
I believe it's almost there but don't forget that you are looking at a monthly chart.
open.spotify.com
Natural Gas - Keylevels - DailyNatural Gas remains in a downward trend, we are getting closer to winter, and demand will increase.
Why doesn't the price increase more?
Or...why doesn't the price increase according to your expectations?
Simple..
The story of the war has calmed down and the FUD on prices has decreased and in addition to that, the main factor is that in several countries in EUROPE, the price of gas is capped, so that regardless of demand and supply, the price on the bill remains the same .
My opinion is that if this winter we see Natural Gas between 4-6 dollars, it would be advisable to mark our profits and wait for next year.
🟢 NatGas UpdateAfter such wild swings I have somewhat restored my confidence in the count where according to my analysis we are in the midst of correction, hence volatility and uncertainty.
Wave x is plotted in 2 scenarios - triangle and expanded flat. I would say that flat is the preferred one based on the sctructure of waves a and b that tempt me to label both of them as wxy.
In a triangle only one wave can be complex wxy or a nested triangle. Other waves must be simple abc zigzags.
Natural Gas - Big moves aheadNATGAS has been putting in consecutive higher highs for the better part of a month. This is indicative of a further move up as called over a month ago. Until this trend is broken we remain bullish and are looking to break the first resistance which should then lead us to 3.5$ very quickly.
BULLISH
NatGas Creeping BullisH !Hi friends, Sharing one day chart of Natural gas for my trading idea in it, As we can see that price is consolidated in parallel channel from many weeks and now trying to break channel resistance so if it will break resistance and if close above resistance we can see above marked target can arrive in coming sessions, Price has come here so far by making higher lows and now trading above from last swing high so we can assume it is starting of trend reversal in it One Triangle breakout already occurred inside in channel.
I don't think there is any need to write a long description because charts have their own language, you just have to understand it.
This is not and trade or investment advice. This idea is meant for learning only.
Best Regards happy trading- Amit
🖕 NatGas Update The steepness of the rise made me construct another alternative. If the price starts consolidating we are likely to keep going up. Next few hours will show the way.
If the price makes a U turn in the next half an hour I will be tempted to short with a tight SL. Not advice.
Colour coding for reference
🟢 - green represents those in which I am reasonably confident (does not mean bullish).
🟡 - yellow, I can see a possible count, but ready to reconsider at any moment.
🖕 - just f..king around to find out (if Tradingview continues to ban them, I'll show another finger)
🟢 NatGas UpdateI believe we are on track with what I posted previously. At his moment I think the odds for near term (next two weeks) bearish case are rising.
I will give this idea a green label based on my growing confidence in the bigger picture which allows me expect only few combinations in the near term
Colour coding for reference
🟢 - green represents those in which I am reasonably confident (does not mean bullish).
🟡 - yellow, I can see a possible count, but ready to reconsider at any moment.
🖕 - just f..king around to find out (if Tradingview continues to ban them, I'll show another finger)