NATURALGASCFD trade ideas
Natural Gas Goes Kaboom!Profits have been secured I the Natural gas trade. That being said I still think Nat gas equities can push higher.
On the UNG chart we just saw the 20 day MA & 50 Day MA bullishly crossover each other.
Last time this happened Nat gas had a 4-5 day parabolic move.
The bulls must be careful to not push this commodity up too quickly because it makes the pattern less likely to have a continued breakout.
We are still putting in Lower weekly highs, so the next test of the most recent pivot high is going to be crucial.
If the bulls can trigger the weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern there's going to be a great long continuation opportunity. Until we break the pivot high & create a higher high traders must use caution now that we've had a large move occur.
AR, EQT, CPK, LNG are all set to push higher if Nat gas holds these gains.
Weaker Dollar and Ai energy demand to Benefit Natural GasDespite potential weakening demand as seen in crude oil complex, nat gas seems to be getting uptick in demand at these low prices.
Falling rates weakening the dollar may benefit the international appeal of Liquid Natural Gas exports.
Rising AI infrastructure demand may provide steady and increasing demand for the cheapest source of energy, which is likely nat gas powered electricity.
Be aware of tricky futures products that increase cost to trade. UNG and BOIL have inefficiencies in them due to compounding and future rollover costs. Selling puts and put spreads might be a relatively conservative way to benefit from upside in nat gas.
Natural Gas Likely Reached the Peak at 2631Natural Gas Likely Reached the Peak at 2631
Natural Gas is about to form a Head and Shoulders pattern. The price is approaching the neckline zone, and a small correction for the right shoulder of the pattern is expected. If this occurs, the odds are higher that Natural Gas will move down.
If Natural Gas moves below the neckline of the anticipated pattern, it may develop into another bearish pattern.
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you :)
Long trade
Trade Setup:
Entry Price: 2.232
Profit Level: 2.632 (17.92% gain)
Stop Loss Level: 2.156 (3.47% risk)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 5.26
The setup is supported by fundamental factors like seasonal demand for natural gas, and potential supply constraints. Price level 2.232 represents a support level and the profit target of 2.632 is (17.92% gain) aiming for a key resistance level.
AUD/JPY Short, AUD/NZD Short and NATGAS/USD ShortAUD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break above area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NATGAS/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Natural Gas down to 2.3200 before up to 3.1350 IDEASo this is how is see Natural Gas price to react in the upcoming days and weeks.
The price is moving according to 12345 Elliott Impulse Wave, so it will now go down to touch the 4th impulse at around 2.3200 support area. It will then move rapidly up to complete the impulse wave 5 and reach support area at around 3.1350.
It had a strong upside movement last week, now it would be a time for a correction. Plus this arc shape fits well here.
What do you think?
NATGAS - Perfect double bottom - Price in Rising Channel.On the daily chart, NATGAS has formed a perfect double bottom, it's above the Daily 20, 50 and 100 EMAs. We are now contending with the 200ema.
Price on the 1 hour is in a rising channel.
Daily RSI and 1 Hour RSI above the 50 line, which is a bullish turning signal.
Seasonality and reduce production is on the bulls side.
Production hovering at 99.8bcf per day.
October contract rolls over to November soon.
La Nina is 80% chance for 2024/ 2025 winter, which should bring a stronger winter compared to the last 4 years.
Natural Gas: Weak Day / Strong WeekNatural gas had a bit of profit taking today and you can't blame the bulls for trimming especially since we did the same.
The Daily chart now needs a couple days of consolidation before another sustainable push.
The weekly chart recaptured the 50 Weekly MA...very good near term sign.
This can now be used as a support level to trade against for very tight stoploss swing traders.
As long as we remain above the breakout neckline we should be likely heading to retest 2.75 & $2.90
Levels below can cause nat gas to fail and fall substantially. Alway remembers the Weekly trend still has Lower highs in place.
Natural Gas turning bullish? Natural gas has now cleared a major resistance zone and is looking poised to head higher.
We have a beautiful daily and potential weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern developing.
The micro daily chart bullish pattern has triggered and gives us another +8-10% of upside.
However the really juicy pattern is the potential weekly chart set up.
If we breakout of the $2.90-$3 range we have a massive potential move to the upside brewing.
Natural Gas, channel break attempt Natural gas is moving in an ascending channel and look like attempting to break through resistance. I expect that the price may drop below the lower line of the pattern and do 5 steps model towards 1.60 -1.40 area.
SL 2.40 ; tp1 2.05; tp2 1.80; tp3 1.60
Share your opinion!
Natural Gas (XNGUSD): Back to Bullish Trend?!The XNGUSD pair is showing signs of recovery following a prolonged period of bearish movement, the pair is currently trading in an expanding wedge pattern.
A bullish breakout of a significant daily resistance level has been confirmed, with the broken level now acting as support.
This indicates strong buying pressure. I anticipate further recovery in the market, with a potential move towards the 2.18 area in the near future.