NATURALGASCFD trade ideas
NGASFundamental rationale:
Stocks: +117 Bcf above average, bearish pressure.
LNG exports: Decline by 1.1 Bcf/d, reinforces the bearish sentiment.
Weather: Warm weather, weak demand (-0.2 Bcf/d).
COT: Net positions of Managed Money -113.9K (May 27), short positions dominate, supporting the bearish scenario.
LNG terminals have been serviced, which reinforces the bearish background.
Conclusion: Bearish sentiment due to stocks, exports and COT.
The technical picture
The mirror level is 3.80 .
False breakout of 3.80 $3.80, long shadows.
An upward wedge on H2.
ATR 0.20 (+25% above average), correction risk.ADX ~20, VWAP ($3.76) confirms the bearish signal.
stop ATR based .
Take 1 to 3 and 1 to 5
NatGas SELL?Natural gas rose briefly above the $3.76 interim trend high on Thursday to reach $3.79 before sellers took back control. Subsequently, the price of natural gas fell to a three-day low of $3.62, pointing to a potential bearish reversal. Natural gas is set to end down for the day and below near-term support. A daily close below yesterday’s low of $3.66 will be a sign of weakness that could lead to a deeper pullback.
WAITING ON TOMORROW RESULT READY FOR MOMND
Natural Gas (NG1!) – Bearish Triangle Breakdown SetupNatural Gas (NG1!) – Bearish Triangle Breakdown Setup
Chart Overview:
The chart clearly forms a Symmetrical Triangle, typically a continuation pattern.
The structure is labeled with classic Elliott Wave counts (1 to 5), suggesting the end of a contracting triangle phase.
A sharp, impulsive red arrow path is projected downward, indicating a possible strong bearish move post-breakout.
Technical Interpretation:
Symmetrical Triangle Formation:
Price is consolidating with lower highs and higher lows.
The triangle’s apex is near, signaling an imminent breakout.
Elliott Wave Count:
A perfect 5-wave subdivision (1-2-3-4-5) inside the triangle.
Wave ‘V’ just completed, suggesting the end of consolidation.
Breakdown Expected:
A breakdown below the lower trendline would confirm the end of the corrective structure.
Post-breakdown, we can expect a sharp and impulsive fall in price, matching the projected red path.
Targets:
Immediate Target: Breakdown objective is typically the widest part of the triangle projected downward.
While the exact price targets are not labeled, based on the structure:
First Target Zone: ~$3.50 levels.
Extended Target Zone: ~$3.30 to $3.40 levels.
Key Observations:
Volume Confirmation Needed: Ideally, volume should spike on breakdown to confirm the move.
Bearish Bias: Failure to break above the triangle resistance and a decisive close below support shifts the bias strongly bearish.
Market Context: Seasonal factors, storage data, and weather forecasts often affect Natural Gas volatility—watch for fundamental confirmations.
Risk Factors:
False Breakouts: Be cautious of fake moves — confirmation is critical.
Triangle Failure: If price reclaims the upper trendline (~3.74+), bearish setup gets invalidated.
External News: Geopolitical, weather-related news can quickly impact Natural Gas prices.
Summary:
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Wave Structure: 5-wave consolidation complete
Bias: Bearish breakdown expected
Immediate Downside Target: ~$3.50
Extended Target: ~$3.30–$3.40
Invalidation: Break above upper trendline (~3.74+)
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Natural Gas trading is highly volatile and subject to sudden price swings. Consult your financial advisor before taking any trading decisions.
NATURAL GASS IS FALLINGHello big brothers and sisters, lets flow with these current situation of PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS , currently, team sellers are not showing signs of slowing down, the foundation that team bullish had been holding unto got collapse today, so as it is, sellers are domination, I'm a very lazy person, so i always wait for my bigger brothers and sisters to do the fighting for me, then i joined to walk behind the winning team. All details concerning these post are all on the video.
Natural Gas Roaring & SoaringNat gas had an epi +8% rally today.
The question is do the bull have more gas left in the tank or do the bears start to take over and press price lower?
We had news across the energy sector that spiked most energy assets.
Typically news based pops of this nature don't last.
If we get back above 3.84/3.85 then there might be a convincing opportunity to press this long
As of now i still lean bearish but holding no Nat Gas position.
Natural Gas: Supported by Geopolitical Tensions and Trade WarNatural Gas: Bullish Momentum Fueled by Geopolitical Tensions and The Trade War
Natural gas has completed a bullish harmonic pattern, finding strong support near 3.45 before rebounding aggressively.
This upward movement suggests the potential for further expansion into a larger pattern.
The bullish sentiment is reinforced by escalating geopolitical tensions and renewed tariff discussions between the US and China over the weekend.
These factors could continue to support upside momentum.
Key resistance levels to watch are 3.67, 3.75, and 3.80.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Natural Gas Rip or Dip?Natural Gas has had some choppy price action as of late. There has been no clear directional trend.
I remain bearish until we clear the $3.85 level.
If Natural gas rejects off this level we should test the $3.00
If natural gas gets above this $3.85 level bulls should try to retest the major high pivot.
Will Natural Gas Prices Increase?Weekly Cash Data shows a sharp downtrend that stopped at 2.05 and then formed a sideways trend. Given the size of wave-(c) and the time of the waves, it seems that a reverse contracting triangle pattern is forming.
Currently, wave-(d) has ended and wave-(e) has begun. Under normal circumstances, we expect this wave to decrease to the point indicated by the red arrow, and in terms of time, this wave can continue until the time range of August 12-September 12 unless a political or geopolitical event occurs that causes wave-(e) to be shortened.
So, to trade, you must have a strategy along with analysis.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Natural Gas Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025
- Natural Gas broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 240.00
Natural Gas recently broke the support zone between the support level 3.600 (which stopped the previous wave B) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous ABC correction (B) from April.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active impulse wave (C) of the primary correction 4 from the start of March.
Natural Gas can be expected to fall to the next support level 3.200, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Natural Gas - Are you buying the dip?Natural gas is going through some distribution and it looks like its going lower.
However there is a very strong base around $3 that can be a good risk to reward buy zone.
Remember this is one of the most volatile asset classes amd can overshoot key levels. Size accordingly and leave yourself maneuverabilty.
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SHORT NATURAL GAS ON M30Price entered a Resistance+ a Supply zone on D1, it got rejected making a lower high and now it closed on M30 below previous low.My TP zone it aligns perfectly with a weekly demand zone around 3.38 + 0.618 FIB from previous low at 2.9990, however I am closely watching few H4 Demand levels along the way and see how price will react there. The first H4 demand zone I am watching is 3.62-3.55 and the second one is 3.52-3.48.
Trade smart, be kind and stay strong