XNGUSD BUY Long Trade Active, Time to Buy NAT-GASMy Trade Setup
Buy on current price (2.6000)
Take Profit Targets
Target 1: 3.5
Target 2: 5.0
Target 3: 6.0
Greetings, fellow traders!
I would like to share a long trade setup on NAT-Gas that has the potential for high profitability, an opportunity not to be overlooked. NAT-GAS prices have been steadily declining over the past nine months, indicating a strong bearish trend. However, it appears that this downward trend is coming to an end, and we can expect prices to rise in the months of July, August, and September. Both technical analysis and fundamental factors support a long buy setup for NAT-Gas.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, XNGUSD has found support in the 2.1000 area, leading to a rebound that is reinforcing the bullish momentum in prices. Indicators in the monthly timeframe have become highly oversold, further supporting a bullish price action. Additionally, NAT-Gas prices are currently trading above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting a change in trend from downward to upward. The first major hurdle to overcome is the resistance area of 3-3.5. If the price manages to stay above 3.5 and a weekly candle closes above that level, it will indicate further upward movement, potentially driving prices towards the psychological mark of 5.00.
Fundamental Analysis:
In terms of fundamental analysis, there are several factors at play. NAT-Gas inventories are expected to decrease by 4 BCF, a figure larger than the five-year average. Moreover, maintenance activities at key LNG plants have resulted in a 10% decrease in US LNG exports for the month of June. European gas demand has also experienced a decline in the final week of June due to scheduled maintenance at plants. However, analysts anticipate an increase in LNG exports this quarter as maintenance activities conclude. The shift in gas supply from Russia to the United States in Europe is expected to stimulate prices, leading to the opening of many long trades. Additionally, the 50-day EMA indicates growing support, and traders are expected to become more active this month in order to secure substantial profits within a short period of time.
The increase in gas flow to LNG export plants, coupled with a positive demand outlook, is boosting NAT-GAS prices. In Texas, power usage has remained high and even reached record levels during the recent heatwave, consequently driving up gas consumption for electricity generation. The forecast predicts hot weather in the southern, western, and eastern parts of the US from 3-9 July. As temperatures rise, analysts anticipate an increase in US gas demand, including exports. In June, US exports to Mexico saw an average increase of 6.6 Bcf/d. All these factors combined contribute to the bullish price momentum of NAT-Gas.
Best wishes, and may you be rewarded with significant profits!
