XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 2.950 (or) Before escape in the market
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
The XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors.
Based on current market conditions, the XNG/USD Natural Gas market is expected to move in a Bearish direction.
🔆Fundamental Factors:
-Supply and Demand Balance: The natural gas market is expected to move into a supply surplus, driven by increasing production and decreasing demand.
-US Natural Gas Production: US natural gas production is expected to increase, putting downward pressure on prices.
-LNG Export Capacity: Increasing LNG export capacity from the US is expected to put downward pressure on natural gas prices.
🔆Macroeconomic Factors:
-Mild Winter Weather: Warmer-than-expected winter weather in the US is expected to decrease demand for natural gas, putting downward pressure on prices.
-Global Economic Slowdown: Slowing global economic growth, particularly in China, is expected to decrease demand for natural gas.
-US Dollar Strength: A stronger US dollar is expected to put downward pressure on natural gas prices, making them more expensive in international markets.
🔆Trader/Market Sentimental Analysis:
-Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net short natural gas, indicating a bearish sentiment.
-Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bearish, with many analysts expecting natural gas prices to decline due to the supply and demand balance.
-Technical Analysis: The technical analysis shows that natural gas is in a downtrend, with a bearish breakdown below the $3.00 level.
🔆Sentimental Outlook:
Bearish Sentiment: 65%
Bullish Sentiment: 20%
Neutral Sentiment: 15%
🔆Overall, the bearish outlook is driven by a combination of macroeconomic and fundamental factors, with a 60% chance of a bearish move, 20% chance of a bullish move, and 20% chance of a neutral move.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
NATURALGASCFD trade ideas
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 3.500
Sell Entry below 3.000
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 1H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 4.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2.600 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔆 Fundamental Factors
- Supply and Demand Imbalance: The global demand for natural gas is outpacing supply, leading to a surge in prices.
- Weather Patterns: Colder-than-expected winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere is driving up demand for heating fuels, including natural gas.
🔆 Macroeconomic Factors
- Global Economic Trends: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, but the energy sector remains resilient due to strong demand for natural gas.
- Inflation Rates: Rising inflation rates are driving up the cost of living, but the impact on the XNG/USD pair is currently neutral.
🔆 COT Report
- Speculative Positions: Speculative traders are net long on the XNG/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders: Commercial traders are net short on the pair, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🔆 Market Sentiment and Positioning
- Client Sentiment: 60% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Market Positioning: The XNG/USD pair is currently overbought, with a possibility of a price correction.
🔆 Conclusion:
The sentimental outlook for XNG/USD is mixed, with varying degrees of bullishness and bearishness among institutional investors, large banks, investment companies, and retail traders. While some market participants are optimistic about natural gas prices due to rising demand and supply constraints, others are cautious due to mild winter weather and increased production.
🔆 Prediction and Overall Outlook
- Based on the analysis, the XNG/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 65% probability of reaching $4.50 in the short term. However, there is a 35% chance of a price correction to $3.80 due to overbought conditions.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Natural Gas: Key Technical Insights for TradersFX:NGAS
In this Idea, we'll take a closer look at the key insights for NGAS, with a focus on the long-term bullish outlook towards the $4.70 target, which has been in focus since January 2023.
Focus on the $4.70 Target: Why It Matters
While it’s important to track short-term market movements, we should not lose sight of the overarching bullish trend that has been developing for NGAS. The target of $4.70, based on Fibonacci retracement levels, continues to be the key level for a potential price rally.
Since the beginning of 2023, we have been monitoring the formation of a bullish shark pattern around $2.41, which suggested a possible upward move toward the Fibonacci levels above $4.70. (links at the bottom)
Recent Price Action and Key Developments
Bullish Shark Pattern Formation: In January 2023, the bullish shark pattern formed at $2.41, signaling an upward move toward higher Fibonacci targets. This pattern remained intact for much of 2023.
October 2023 to January 2024 Retracement: During the period between October 2023 and early 2024, NGAS briefly tested the downside, showing signs of potential invalidation of the pattern. However, it successfully bounced back in mid-December 2024, breaking above the previous October highs and establishing new highs at $4.28.
Current Price Level: As of the latest data, NGAS is trading at $3.91. While this is a step back from the $4.28 high, the overall bullish sentiment remains intact, and attention should still be focused on the $4.70 target.
Bearish Divergence and Pattern Completion
Despite the positive movement, caution is needed as some bearish signals have started to emerge in recent days:
Bearish Divergence on the RSI: There are noticeable signs of bearish divergence on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting weakening momentum in the upward trend.
Bearish Butterfly Pattern: A bearish butterfly pattern has completed at $4.21, which could signal a potential retracement. If this pattern holds, it could result in further downside pressure in the short term.
Fibonacci Levels to Watch
Fibonacci retracement levels are essential in guiding traders’ decisions, and NGAS is currently hovering below a critical level:
11.3% Below the .382% Fibonacci Level: NGAS is still 11.3% below the .382% Fibonacci retracement level, which is projected at $4.76. This level represents a major target for the bullish shark pattern that formed in January 2023. We should keep an eye on this level, as it remains a strong area of interest for a potential upward move.
Potential for a Bearish Crab Pattern: If NGAS extends its price action toward the 161.8% Fibonacci level, there is a possibility that the bearish butterfly pattern could evolve into a bearish crab pattern. This scenario would likely coincide with the major .382% Fibonacci retracement level, increasing potential interest in this price zone.
Maintaining a Focus on the Long-Term Trend
While short-term fluctuations may present challenges, the long-term outlook for NGAS remains bullish, with the target of $4.70 still in focus. We should continue to watch the evolving patterns closely, particularly the Fibonacci retracement levels and the recent completion of the bearish butterfly pattern. However, the core focus should be on the potential for further upside movement toward the $4.70 target, as the overall market structure continues to support this view.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
Natural Gas ( XNGUSD ) Buy Opportunity Current Price: $3.267
Setup: Natural Gas is bouncing off a strong demand zone and respecting the ascending trendline support, indicating potential for a bullish move. The RSI is turning upwards, suggesting momentum in favor of buyers.
Entry: $3.267
Stop Loss: $3.15 (below demand zone and trendline support for safety)
Take Profits:
TP1: $3.36
TP2: $3.55
TP3: $3.98
Why Buy?
Price is rebounding from a solid demand zone.
Clear respect for the trendline, confirming bullish sentiment.
Rising RSI signals growing momentum for a move higher.
Up to 7,200 USD profit per lot!
$1,100 Risk per lot !
🎯 Plan your trade and manage your risk! Let’s make some great trades together! 💹
XNG/USD Analysis: Bears Pressure Key SupportXNG/USD Analysis: Bears Pressure Key Support
On 5 December, while analysing the natural gas chart, we noted that price movements:
→ were forming an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ support from the lower boundary of the channel (reinforced by the psychological level of 3.000) was already evident in a nascent price reversal (indicated by an arrow).
As the XNG/USD chart illustrates, since that time (marked by a blue arrow), the price indeed rose, using the support from the lower boundary of the channel to reach its upper boundary on 30 December.
However, we now see supply forces displaying aggression – whenever the natural gas price climbs above 3.700, bears quickly intervene (marked by red arrows), pushing the price back down.
What could happen next?
From a technical analysis perspective of the XNG/USD chart:
→ The price is hovering near the key support, formed by the lower boundary of the ascending channel (which has been in place since last summer).
→ Bearish aggression, as mentioned above, sets the stage for a potential bearish breakout of this critical support, evidenced by the bearish gap at Monday’s market open.
From a fundamental analysis standpoint:
→ Meteorological reports of colder weather drove the price up to 3.570, but this appears to be a temporary rebound.
→ Bearish sentiment in the natural gas market may be amplified by statements from the Trump administration expressing a determination to lower oil prices.
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Natural gas approaching trend line support is about to burst :)Price near the trendline on daily time frame seems like support holds , and also my personal custom indicator below(which is the combination of a few standard technical indicators in different time frames, when there is a confluence of green circles forming a vertical line which indicates a long position same as vice versa for short position with red circles) also aligning with price action.
Natural Gas on the Move! Is the Next Big Breakout Coming? 📈 Bullish Analysis: Natural Gas (Spot)
1️⃣ Uptrend Support Holding Firm:
The price is respecting the uptrend support line, which has acted as a strong foundation for bullish momentum. Multiple bounces off this level signal that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend.
2️⃣ Supply Zone in Focus:
The supply zone between 4.4 and 4.48 represents a key resistance area. A break and close above this zone would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.
3️⃣ RSI Rebound:
The RSI is bouncing off oversold levels and turning upward, indicating renewed bullish momentum. This aligns with the trendline support, suggesting the potential for further upside.
4️⃣ Key Insights:
Natural Gas has formed a clean technical setup, with the trendline support, supply zone, and RSI alignment all pointing toward a bullish reversal.
If the price holds above 3.88 and momentum continues, buyers could push toward the supply zone targets.
🎯 Strategy:
Entry: Current levels near 3.88–3.92.
TP1: 4.00 (First Resistance)
TP2: 4.18 (Midpoint).
TP3: 4.40 (Beginning of Supply Zone).
Natural Gas Swing TradeTitle: Long Natural Gas Based on Bullish Divergence and Weekly Order Block
Trade Setup:
- Asset: Natural Gas
- Timeframes: Daily and Weekly
- Entry: Buy at the close of a bullish candlestick pattern confirming divergence on the daily chart
- Stop-Loss: Below the weekly order block or recent swing low
- Take-Profit: Based on key resistance levels or a 1:3 risk-reward ratio
Analysis:
- Bullish divergence confirmed on the daily timeframe
- Price in a weekly order block, indicating strong support
- Volume supports potential bullish reversal
Trade Plan:
- Enter long position on daily bullish confirmation within the weekly order block
- Set stop-loss below the weekly order block or recent swing low
- Take profit at key resistance levels or using a 1:3 risk-reward ratio
- Risk 1-2% of trading capital
This trade plan aligns with the technical analysis and provides a structured approach to capitalizing on the potential bullish reversal in Natural Gas.
Natural Gas Bullish OpportunityWhy the Bullish Sentiment?
🌬 Cold Weather Incoming: Frigid forecasts are set to spike heating demand, boosting natural gas consumption.
🌍 Global LNG Demand: International markets, particularly Europe and Asia, are tightening the supply, fueling upward pressure.
📉 Lower Storage Levels: US inventories are running below the 5-year average, creating a potential supply crunch.
⚠️ Geopolitical Tensions: Supply concerns in Europe continue to drive bullish sentiment, making natural gas an attractive play.
With all these factors aligning, the stage is set for a potential rally! 📈
Entry: 3.40 USD.
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3.49 USD
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3.61 USD
🏆 Take Profit 3: 3.81 USD
Stop Loss: Set your safety net at 3.25 USD, just below the support level. 🛡
Where do you think Natural Gas will go?
Natgas Weekly Analysis 14-17 JanArctic Air Outbreak Anticipated for Much of the Central, Eastern, and Southern U.S.
After a brief warm up to end the week, a strong cold front will usher in a dangerously cold Arctic air mass east of the Rockies. Much below normal temperatures are forecast to first arrive in the Northern Plains this weekend and then dive southward and eastward over the following days.
(a) During the January 19-23 period*, most of the Lower 48 will likely experience below normal temperatures. The highest probabilities are in the Central, Eastern, and Southern U.S., with greater than 80% odds over much of those regions.
(b) Hazardous cold temperatures and wind chills are anticipated east of the Rockies. Sub-zero temperatures are possible in the Northern Plains, Great Lakes, Midwest, and interior New England. Well-below freezing temperatures are likely as far south as the Gulf Coast.
While some moderation in temperatures may occur during the middle of next week, the overall pattern is anticipated to remain favorable for additional cold air outbreaks into the Lower 48 to close the month of January. Frozen precipitation is also possible in locations where moisture interacts with the cold air. However, the timing, location, and intensity of any winter storms during Week-2 are uncertain at this time.
Natural Gas weekly levels with both buy and sell entriesNatural Gas weekly levels with both buy and sell entries.
We have seen a bullish move on Gas this week closing at the highs of 3.703/
In the coming week it could deliver a brealput and trade at $4.0 level/
Look at the moving averages yjese have crossedd over and are trading with divergence and bullishness.
RSI is looking upwards and in the near term should deliver in the overbought zone.
I have given both buy and sell entries to be treated as scalping entries especially if selling for short term profit.
Worth noteing that the fibonacci levels are nearly exactly lining up with our entries on both buy and sell levels.
As always take caution, trade with approprate lot size use a stop loss.
The opinions above are not finincial advice mearly my own thoughts on what i think natural gas will reach this week/
Natural Gas..First Target 4 Dollers...May Reached to 5 Dollers Natural gas moved as Expected and posted on 4th January.....Volume of 10th January is quite decent on buying side so we can may expect a Gap Up opening on Monday.....As mentioned on 4th January post it can hit first target within 2-3 days....RSI will also break 60 strength range if it will be break away gap up on Monday...
Lets Hope for the Best..!!
Gas panic in Europe: reserves depleting at record paceEurope is facing unprecedented depletion of gas reserves due to cold weather and technical challenges. According to EU gas storage data, storage levels have fallen to 70%, significantly lower than last year’s 86%. Analysts note that this situation is unique in the last seven years.
Adding to the strain, Norway’s Hammerfest plant, which supplies liquefied natural gas (LNG), has halted operations due to compressor issues. This suspension intensifies pressure on the gas market, especially in light of the cessation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine.
The European gas market is set for potential price increases in the coming months. Current storage challenges and reduced supply volumes heighten the likelihood of price hikes, particularly if the cold weather persists. Additionally, the reduction in Russian gas supplies forces the EU to compete more aggressively for LNG on the global market.
Advantages of investing in #GAS in 2025:
Rising energy demand: Increased gas consumption during the winter and limited supply create conditions for sustained price growth. Investing in #GAS could yield high returns during the current energy crisis.
Global LNG competition: Europe and Asia are actively competing for access to LNG. This boosts market liquidity and enhances its appeal to traders and investors.
Inflation hedge: Energy resources, including gas, are a traditional way to protect investments from inflation risks.
Transition to LNG: As part of supply diversification, Europe is increasing the share of LNG in its energy mix, supporting demand for gas futures.
High volatility: Significant price fluctuations present possibilities for short-term profits, particularly amidst geopolitical instability and weather anomalies.
Analysts at FreshForex believe that 2025 is the ideal time to invest in #GAS! Limited reserves, high demand, and volatility create perfect conditions for substantial profits. Don’t miss the chance to capitalize on the year’s leading energy resource!
NatGas - Potential short is in playAs continuation of my Idea I suggest a set up for short continuation based on eliott wave and volume
With the long we we have reached target of 0,5Fibo of short leg so now can start a new short for fill the green candles of yesterday and a probable short continuation.
Possibilty for a Long shall be in case of change of weater or other international news.