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NGAS trade ideas

Natural Gas on the Move! Is the Next Big Breakout Coming? 📈 Bullish Analysis: Natural Gas (Spot) 1️⃣ Uptrend Support Holding Firm: The price is respecting the uptrend support line, which has acted as a strong foundation for bullish momentum. Multiple bounces off this level signal that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend. 2️⃣ Supply Zone in Focus: The supply zone between 4.4 and 4.48 represents a key resistance area. A break and close above this zone would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. 3️⃣ RSI Rebound: The RSI is bouncing off oversold levels and turning upward, indicating renewed bullish momentum. This aligns with the trendline support, suggesting the potential for further upside. 4️⃣ Key Insights: Natural Gas has formed a clean technical setup, with the trendline support, supply zone, and RSI alignment all pointing toward a bullish reversal. If the price holds above 3.88 and momentum continues, buyers could push toward the supply zone targets. 🎯 Strategy: Entry: Current levels near 3.88–3.92. TP1: 4.00 (First Resistance) TP2: 4.18 (Midpoint). TP3: 4.40 (Beginning of Supply Zone).
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by ValchevFinance
Natgas Weekly Analysis 14-17 JanArctic Air Outbreak Anticipated for Much of the Central, Eastern, and Southern U.S. After a brief warm up to end the week, a strong cold front will usher in a dangerously cold Arctic air mass east of the Rockies. Much below normal temperatures are forecast to first arrive in the Northern Plains this weekend and then dive southward and eastward over the following days. (a) During the January 19-23 period*, most of the Lower 48 will likely experience below normal temperatures. The highest probabilities are in the Central, Eastern, and Southern U.S., with greater than 80% odds over much of those regions. (b) Hazardous cold temperatures and wind chills are anticipated east of the Rockies. Sub-zero temperatures are possible in the Northern Plains, Great Lakes, Midwest, and interior New England. Well-below freezing temperatures are likely as far south as the Gulf Coast. While some moderation in temperatures may occur during the middle of next week, the overall pattern is anticipated to remain favorable for additional cold air outbreaks into the Lower 48 to close the month of January. Frozen precipitation is also possible in locations where moisture interacts with the cold air. However, the timing, location, and intensity of any winter storms during Week-2 are uncertain at this time.
MARKETSCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProWolfTrader_89
Natural Gas: Key Technical Insights for TradersFX:NGAS In this Idea, we'll take a closer look at the key insights for NGAS, with a focus on the long-term bullish outlook towards the $4.70 target, which has been in focus since January 2023. Focus on the $4.70 Target: Why It Matters While it’s important to track short-term market movements, we should not lose sight of the overarching bullish trend that has been developing for NGAS. The target of $4.70, based on Fibonacci retracement levels, continues to be the key level for a potential price rally. Since the beginning of 2023, we have been monitoring the formation of a bullish shark pattern around $2.41, which suggested a possible upward move toward the Fibonacci levels above $4.70. (links at the bottom) Recent Price Action and Key Developments Bullish Shark Pattern Formation: In January 2023, the bullish shark pattern formed at $2.41, signaling an upward move toward higher Fibonacci targets. This pattern remained intact for much of 2023. October 2023 to January 2024 Retracement: During the period between October 2023 and early 2024, NGAS briefly tested the downside, showing signs of potential invalidation of the pattern. However, it successfully bounced back in mid-December 2024, breaking above the previous October highs and establishing new highs at $4.28. Current Price Level: As of the latest data, NGAS is trading at $3.91. While this is a step back from the $4.28 high, the overall bullish sentiment remains intact, and attention should still be focused on the $4.70 target. Bearish Divergence and Pattern Completion Despite the positive movement, caution is needed as some bearish signals have started to emerge in recent days: Bearish Divergence on the RSI: There are noticeable signs of bearish divergence on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting weakening momentum in the upward trend. Bearish Butterfly Pattern: A bearish butterfly pattern has completed at $4.21, which could signal a potential retracement. If this pattern holds, it could result in further downside pressure in the short term. Fibonacci Levels to Watch Fibonacci retracement levels are essential in guiding traders’ decisions, and NGAS is currently hovering below a critical level: 11.3% Below the .382% Fibonacci Level: NGAS is still 11.3% below the .382% Fibonacci retracement level, which is projected at $4.76. This level represents a major target for the bullish shark pattern that formed in January 2023. We should keep an eye on this level, as it remains a strong area of interest for a potential upward move. Potential for a Bearish Crab Pattern: If NGAS extends its price action toward the 161.8% Fibonacci level, there is a possibility that the bearish butterfly pattern could evolve into a bearish crab pattern. This scenario would likely coincide with the major .382% Fibonacci retracement level, increasing potential interest in this price zone. Maintaining a Focus on the Long-Term Trend While short-term fluctuations may present challenges, the long-term outlook for NGAS remains bullish, with the target of $4.70 still in focus. We should continue to watch the evolving patterns closely, particularly the Fibonacci retracement levels and the recent completion of the bearish butterfly pattern. However, the core focus should be on the potential for further upside movement toward the $4.70 target, as the overall market structure continues to support this view. Happy Trading, André Cardoso
FX:NGASShort
by Andre_Cardoso
Natural Gas Bullish OpportunityWhy the Bullish Sentiment? 🌬 Cold Weather Incoming: Frigid forecasts are set to spike heating demand, boosting natural gas consumption. 🌍 Global LNG Demand: International markets, particularly Europe and Asia, are tightening the supply, fueling upward pressure. 📉 Lower Storage Levels: US inventories are running below the 5-year average, creating a potential supply crunch. ⚠️ Geopolitical Tensions: Supply concerns in Europe continue to drive bullish sentiment, making natural gas an attractive play. With all these factors aligning, the stage is set for a potential rally! 📈 Entry: 3.40 USD. Take Profit Levels: 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3.49 USD 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3.61 USD 🏆 Take Profit 3: 3.81 USD Stop Loss: Set your safety net at 3.25 USD, just below the support level. 🛡 Where do you think Natural Gas will go?
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ValchevFinance
3
Natural Gas Swing TradeTitle: Long Natural Gas Based on Bullish Divergence and Weekly Order Block Trade Setup: - Asset: Natural Gas - Timeframes: Daily and Weekly - Entry: Buy at the close of a bullish candlestick pattern confirming divergence on the daily chart - Stop-Loss: Below the weekly order block or recent swing low - Take-Profit: Based on key resistance levels or a 1:3 risk-reward ratio Analysis: - Bullish divergence confirmed on the daily timeframe - Price in a weekly order block, indicating strong support - Volume supports potential bullish reversal Trade Plan: - Enter long position on daily bullish confirmation within the weekly order block - Set stop-loss below the weekly order block or recent swing low - Take profit at key resistance levels or using a 1:3 risk-reward ratio - Risk 1-2% of trading capital This trade plan aligns with the technical analysis and provides a structured approach to capitalizing on the potential bullish reversal in Natural Gas.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by MAAwan
Natural Gas Short: Testing the $4 Barrier – Opportunity Knocks!Natural Gas (XNG/USD) has spiked to revisit the $4 price zone, activating my short trade. This marks the second time in two years that the price has reached this significant resistance area. The $4 level is pivotal, serving as a key psychological barrier and a historic zone of strong price action. With the position now live, I am leveraging the resistance for a retracement opportunity. Fundamentals: • Weather and Seasonal Demand: Short-term spikes in demand are driven by cold weather in the U.S., but with futures traders starting to focus on spring, we may see waning bullish momentum in the coming weeks. • Russian Gas Supply Constraints: Limited Russian gas flows to the EU continue to add uncertainty to the market, but the current rally seems to be pricing in short-term factors rather than long-term structural changes. • Historical Levels: The $4 spot price has attracted significant attention as a resistance zone, with $3.40 acting as a key support in recent months. The bounce from this level earlier this year highlights its importance. • Market Behavior: Futures traders’ sentiment and seasonality are critical drivers. As winter progresses, reduced speculative demand may favor a bearish pullback. Technicals: • Entry: $4.00 (Resistance Zone) • Target: $2.60 - 2.70 • Partials: From $3,19 • Stop Loss: $4.40 (Above Recent Highs) • Timeframe: 12H This short trade aligns with technical, fundamental, and seasonal narratives. As the price has shown rejection at this zone, I will actively monitor for a breakdown toward the $3.40 level while managing risk prudently. Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and remember to pay yourself as the market unfolds. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by AR33_
Natural Gas weekly levels with both buy and sell entriesNatural Gas weekly levels with both buy and sell entries. We have seen a bullish move on Gas this week closing at the highs of 3.703/ In the coming week it could deliver a brealput and trade at $4.0 level/ Look at the moving averages yjese have crossedd over and are trading with divergence and bullishness. RSI is looking upwards and in the near term should deliver in the overbought zone. I have given both buy and sell entries to be treated as scalping entries especially if selling for short term profit. Worth noteing that the fibonacci levels are nearly exactly lining up with our entries on both buy and sell levels. As always take caution, trade with approprate lot size use a stop loss. The opinions above are not finincial advice mearly my own thoughts on what i think natural gas will reach this week/
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by F0rexBorex
1
Gas panic in Europe: reserves depleting at record paceEurope is facing unprecedented depletion of gas reserves due to cold weather and technical challenges. According to EU gas storage data, storage levels have fallen to 70%, significantly lower than last year’s 86%. Analysts note that this situation is unique in the last seven years. Adding to the strain, Norway’s Hammerfest plant, which supplies liquefied natural gas (LNG), has halted operations due to compressor issues. This suspension intensifies pressure on the gas market, especially in light of the cessation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine. The European gas market is set for potential price increases in the coming months. Current storage challenges and reduced supply volumes heighten the likelihood of price hikes, particularly if the cold weather persists. Additionally, the reduction in Russian gas supplies forces the EU to compete more aggressively for LNG on the global market. Advantages of investing in #GAS in 2025: Rising energy demand: Increased gas consumption during the winter and limited supply create conditions for sustained price growth. Investing in #GAS could yield high returns during the current energy crisis. Global LNG competition: Europe and Asia are actively competing for access to LNG. This boosts market liquidity and enhances its appeal to traders and investors. Inflation hedge: Energy resources, including gas, are a traditional way to protect investments from inflation risks. Transition to LNG: As part of supply diversification, Europe is increasing the share of LNG in its energy mix, supporting demand for gas futures. High volatility: Significant price fluctuations present possibilities for short-term profits, particularly amidst geopolitical instability and weather anomalies. Analysts at FreshForex believe that 2025 is the ideal time to invest in #GAS! Limited reserves, high demand, and volatility create perfect conditions for substantial profits. Don’t miss the chance to capitalize on the year’s leading energy resource!
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Natural Gas: Sellers Target $3.38Hello everyone! Key Highlights: Current State: The market is in a sideways movement, Currently, the downward vector (5-6) is active, targeting the short-term goal (PT Short) of $3.38, which is 11% below the current price. Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: $4.269, Lower Boundary: $3.319 Vectors of the Sideways market: The last completed vector (4-5) was upward, forming a zone of sellers (highlighted in red) near Upper Boundary. This zone acts as a significant resistance for future upward movement. Currently, the downward vector (5-6) is active, targeting the short-term goal (PT Short) of $3.38, which is 11% below the current price. Supply and Demand Zones: Zone of Sellers: Formed during the upward movement (last impulse). Approximate levels: $4.052 and above. Price is moving away from this zone, confirming seller dominance in the short term. Zone of Buyers: Found near the lower boundary of $3.319 - $3.38. This area may provide strong support if the price continues to decline. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Case: If sellers maintain control, the price could drop towards $3.38, aligning with the lower boundary. A break below this level would open the path to further declines. Bullish Case: A strong buyer reaction near $3.38 or $3.319 could initiate a rebound, with targets towards $4.05. Summary: The market is currently dominated by sellers, with the price declining toward $3.38. However, the level at $3.768 may act as a potential obstacle for the seller vector, if buyers will be defending this level. Additionally, buyer zones near the lower boundary may provide further support and opportunities for long positions if reversal patterns emerge. Stay cautious and monitor key levels for potential setups! Wishing you all successful trades and a profitable day!
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Natural Gas will see half cent the priceIn my analysis, gas price is traveling along the wave E, and now is finishing wave b of a zigzag. And i will soon head down to complete a 5-wave race. At its peak, Russia enjoyed gas export to Europe, thus leaving The USA a big loser. She then pushed to retaliate for the lost market and caused the Ukraine war and sold arms equivalent to the amount of the gas deal. Thus getting back all the money Russia gained out of the gas deal. Iran-Turkey gas transfer deal is nearing its term soon. So iran will not make a cheap deal. If prices drop according to my analysis, Iran wil reduce its gas transport by more than half. And will provide steel, petrochemical industry and cement factories with abundant supply of gas and we will see the economy grow faster. By then, oil prices will reach to more than 160 dollars a barrel. I hope the best for Iran.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by loginmusa