Get started
Natural Gas (NGS) / US DollarNatural Gas (NGS) / US DollarNatural Gas (NGS) / US Dollar

Natural Gas (NGS) / US Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals

NGSUSD trade ideas

NATGAS Update: Spotting Bullish Patterns - 3 White SoldiersWhat's Happening NATGAS is currently trading around $2.137, and recent price movements indicate potential bullish momentum. We're seeing the formation of the "Three White Soldiers" pattern, highlighted by the recent candlesticks. is a strong bullish reversal pattern that has led to further bullish days. The chart shows multiple instances (circled areas) where this pattern has been followed by green days. Key Levels to Watch Support Zone: The green zone between $1.750 and $2.070. This area has been a stronghold where buyers step in since 2015. Resistance Zone: The red zone between $5.500 and $6.500. Prices have hit a wall here multiple times. Moving Averages 66-day MA is almost crossing the 200-day MA The price is hovering near these the 100 MA, and with the recent bullish pattern, there's potential for a significant move. MACD Indicator The MACD keeps losing bearish momentum and the line is approaching to crossing above the signal line, suggesting a shift towards bullish momentum. Volume There’s been an slight increase in trading volume past days, which is a positive sign that the recent uptrend might have strength. What Could Happen Next If We Go Up: Holding above the $1.750 - $2.070 support zone could lead to a move towards $3.500 and possibly $5.000. Breaking $5.000 could set up a run to the $5.500 - $6.500 resistance zone. If We Go Down: Falling below the $1.750 - $2.070 support zone might lead to a drop to recent lows around $1.500. Breaking below $1.500 could mean heading towards $1.200. The Bottom Line NATGAS is showing signs of bullish momentum with the formation of the "Three White Soldiers" pattern. This pattern can shoot price far above the 100MA, opening the way to the 66-200MA Cross at $2.35. As always, manage your risk carefully in these volatile markets. This isn’t financial advice. Do your own research and talk to a financial advisor before making any trades.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by Diamond-hunter
NATGAS Analysis: A Quick Dive for the DegeneratesWhat's Happening Right now, NATGAS is trading around $2.067. It's been bouncing back from the lows and is getting close to some key levels we need to watch. Key Levels to Watch Support Zone: The green zone between $1.750 and $2.070. This area has been a stronghold where buyers step in since 2015. Resistance Zone: The red zone between $5.500 and $6.500. Prices have hit a wall here multiple times. Moving Averages 50-day SMA (Red): About $2.292 66-day SMA (Blue): About $2.218 (Almost crossing the 200-day SMA) 100-day SMA (Yellow): About $2.141 200-day SMA (Green): About $2.360 The price has recently moved above these moving averages, hinting at a potential trend shift. The 66-day SMA is also nearing a crossover with the 200-day SMA, which could further confirm a bullish trend if it happens. MACD Indicator The MACD is showing a bullish signal with the MACD line crossing above the signal line. This suggests that momentum might be shifting towards the bulls. Volume There’s been a noticeable spike in trading volumes as the price increased. High volume during an uptrend can confirm the strength of the movement. What Could Happen Next If We Go Up: Holding above the $1.750 - $2.070 support zone could lead to a move towards $3.500 and possibly $5.000. Breaking $5.000 could set up a run to the $5.500 - $6.500 resistance zone. If We Go Down: Falling below the $1.750 - $2.070 support zone might lead to a drop to recent lows around $1.500. Breaking below $1.500 could mean heading towards $1.200. The Bottom Line NATGAS is at a critical point. There are signs of a potential upward move, but we need to see if it can hold above the support zone. Watch the volume for clues and keep an eye on the 66-day SMA crossing the 200-day SMA. As always, be smart about your risk because the commodity markets can be wild. This isn’t financial advice. Do your own research and talk to a financial advisor before making any trades.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by Diamond-hunter
Historically Warm Weather to Support Natural Gas PricesAfter the second quarter relief rally and the five-month peak, Natural Gas registered a four-week decline. This has shifted bias to the downside again, creating scope for further losses towards 1.940. However, a look at the daily chart shows that NGAS tries to react at the lower border of the Ichimoku Cloud. Furthermore, a Golden Cross (EMA50 crossing above the EMA200) has been formed, which is often viewed as a precursor of sustained growth. This technical formation compliments the favorable fundamentals, as demand is set to increase this year, while key drillers lower their activity. Although the world shifts to renewables, Natural Gas is seen a bridge fuel facilitating this transition. Furthermore, it is heavily used in electricity generation, being the top source in the US and No2 globally. June was the thirteenth straight month of record high temperatures according to Copernicus, which can provide another tailwind for energy demand during the summer months. This in turn can increase Natural gas consumption and support prices. As a result, NGAS can reclaim the EMA200 that would give control to the bulls and the ability to push for the June peak (3.164). The upside contains multiple technical roadblocks though and there are risks to the upbeat supply-demand dynamics. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:NGASLong
by FXCM
1
Natural gas - liquidity grab at 2.12 - 2.18There are many factors why natural gas is going down: *Hedge funds and large speculators are still net short *Retail traders and non-commercials are net long and still not wiped out yet (CBOE and FXCM proprietary data) *Seasonal variation (warmer than usual summer in northern hemisphere = less demand for natural gas) *Liquidity still available at 2.12 - 2.18 levels - significant POI including the previous quarterly VWAP (pqVWAP) at this level *Loosening of sanctions against Russia = more supply of natural gas The bounce at 2.12 - 2.18 may only small before further downside/sideways price action. Best to leave this trade alone until the dust settles and new support forms on the lower timeframes.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by ToshihiroHiramatsu
NATURAL GAS 4 YEAR CYCLE PATTERNHere is something to take a look at regarding NatGas. It appears to follow this 4 year cycle pattern pretty well, every 4 years since 2012 we have seen price go up for 2 years then down for 2 years & recycle. I was very confident about buying NatGas around 1.60-1.80 as this area appears to be where the cycle starts, now we have already had those prices this year I believe NatGas will now continue to climb higher until 2026 - overall. Of course price will negotiate in-between, there will be retracements and movements against the cycle but overall this 4 year pattern seems to be the boss on the Monthly timeframe. Personally I would be looking for NatGas long positions from now until 2026, so every chance you get a discount, take it, because the overall outlook is NatGas ^Up^ If you trade NatGas please comment your opinion I would like to hear it
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by PGTrades
Natural gas - quarterly VWAP at 2.23 likelyNatural gas is going down. According to CBOE COT report, most big hedge funds and leveraged funds net short since April 2024. Expecting price to hit at least 2.23 before any meaningful bounce. If leveraged funds and hedge funds keep adding to short positions, it is even more reason to avoid long natural gas. As per CBOE COT report, retail traders 'non-commercials' are net long on natural gas. This is not something you want to see as most retail traders are usually on the wrong side of the trade.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by ToshihiroHiramatsu
Natural Gas at more than three years lowIf we look at the global financial markets, the price of natural gas has fallen by about 40%, and here comes the moment to ask ourselves whether this negative decline represents an opportunity for investors. To analyze this situation we decided to compare the average return of the asset against seasonality. This is cautioned, in no way should it be taken as investment advice, and investors should keep in mind that natural gas is an extremely volatile commodity! The two periods in which the price of natural gas fell below $2 were March 2016, when it reached a low of $1,611, and June 2020, with a low of $1,250. It is the last price that is the lowest point of the raw material for decades, but it should be taken into account that it was reached at a time of mass panic, due to the then spreading coronavirus. If we look historically at what gas does one year after reaching a price below $2, we can see that in both years there is a positive performance the following year. After the decline in 2016, the commodity is up 98 percent, and the next time it is below $2, it is again up 45 percent above its marked bottom.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by Elite_Forex
Alternative Investment OptionsAlternative Investment Options Traders and investors are increasingly turning to alternative investment options to diversify their portfolios and seek new avenues for potential returns. In this FXOpen article, we discuss alternative investments, examining the types and explaining the reasons why they are gaining traction. What Is an Alternative Investment? Alternative investments deviate from conventional stocks, bonds, and cash, presenting investors with a diverse range of opportunities characterised by the nature of the assets and the unique market dynamics they inhabit. These alternatives can be broadly classified into tangible assets like real estate and art and intangible assets such as private equity, hedge funds, and cryptocurrencies*. This dual categorisation introduces a distinctive dimension to portfolio construction, allowing investors to strategically blend tangible and intangible assets for a well-balanced and diversified investment strategy. In contrast to traditional investments traded on public exchanges with comprehensive regulatory oversight, which typically offer lower volatility and moderate returns, alternative investments, operating in less liquid markets, hold the potential for higher returns but require specialised knowledge and careful attention to regulatory considerations, contributing to their increased complexity and risk. Alternative Investment Types For each alternative investment type, investors must consider their personal investment objectives and risk tolerance, as each of the assets discussed below has its specifics. Real Estate Real estate is a tangible alternative investment class, providing investors with exposure to potential price appreciation and a steady rental income, whether through direct ownership or Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). Real estate investments necessitate a long-term outlook, require significant upfront capital, and are also susceptible to market conditions. Private Equity Private equity entails investing in private companies not listed on public stock exchanges, with diverse investment options such as venture capital, buyouts, and direct investments in private firms. This investment class is characterised by a longer investment horizon, allowing active involvement in the growth of the invested companies. Considerations include high barriers to entry due to larger investment commitments and the necessity for specific expertise. Hedge Funds Hedge funds are investment funds employing diverse strategies, such as long-short equity, macroeconomic bets and high leverage and derivatives trading to generate returns. Notably, these funds often aim for absolute returns regardless of prevailing market conditions. Hedge fund investments are often associated with higher fees compared to traditional investment funds. Also, investors need to understand and monitor the diverse range of strategies employed by these funds. Commodities Commodities encompass tangible assets with intrinsic value, such as precious metals, agricultural products, and energy resources. Commodity prices are influenced by supply and demand dynamics and are mostly used as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. Commodities offer limited returns compared to other assets, while the necessity for physical storage in some cases can be a major disadvantage. Art and Collectables This alternative investment class involves acquiring unique and valuable items, such as art, antiques, and rare collectables. Returns are often linked to the appreciation of these items' cultural or historical significance, though valuation can be subjective and influenced by trends. Major considerations are the difficulty in valuing items, the susceptibility to changing trends and tastes, and the requirement for expertise in the specific market. Cryptocurrencies* Cryptocurrencies* are digital or virtual assets that utilise cryptography and blockchain technology, with notable examples being Bitcoin and Ethereum. The potential long-term benefits of investing in cryptocurrencies* often hinge on their transaction transparency, decentralised nature, and borderless markets, offering advantages in terms of financial inclusion and accessibility. However, it's crucial to acknowledge potential challenges, such as regulatory uncertainty and cybersecurity issues, that can impact the overall risk and viability of cryptocurrency* investments. Peer-to-Peer Lending Peer-to-peer lending utilises online platforms to connect borrowers directly with individual lenders, facilitating loans without traditional financial intermediaries. Returns are generated through interest payments. The potential benefits encompass the advantage of direct lending without the need for a banking intermediary. Considerations involve default risks on loans and a lack of regulatory oversight compared to traditional financial institutions. Reasons to Consider Alternative Investment Options Alternative investments exhibit lower correlations with each other, which mitigates the impact of downturns in specific market sectors, reducing overall portfolio volatility. Alternative assets present opportunities for potential returns, surpassing those of traditional investments. Another valuable feature is the inconsistent correlation of alternative investments with traditional assets like stocks and bonds, offering independence and strategic advantages during market turbulence. Furthermore, commodities and real estate have historically demonstrated resilience against the erosive effects of inflation, serving as effective hedges and preserving wealth in inflationary environments. Alternative investments can thus contribute to an enhanced risk-adjusted return for a portfolio. By strategically incorporating assets that respond differently to market conditions, investors may achieve a more efficient balance between risk and reward. This nuanced approach to portfolio construction aims to maximise returns for a given level of risk tolerance. Risks and Challenges While alternative investments offer unique opportunities, there are also inherent complexities. - Illiquidity stands out as a prominent risk, particularly in assets like real estate, private equity, and certain hedge funds, where longer holding periods hinder the swift conversion to cash. This limitation may impede timely responses to market changes or the exploitation of emerging opportunities. - The heightened level of complexity of alternative assets demands a sophisticated understanding of strategies, valuations, and market nuances. Successful navigation of this complexity requires ongoing education and engagement. - Increased market volatility is another issue to consider, exemplified by significant price swings in cryptocurrencies* and distinct volatility in hedge fund strategies. In alternative investments, thorough due diligence involves researching each asset class, rigorously evaluating fund or investment managers, and maintaining a robust risk management framework with clear parameters, regular portfolio monitoring, and contingency plans for unforeseen events. Conclusion Alternative investments offer a compelling avenue for diversification and potential returns. While not without risks, the unique characteristics of alternative assets make them a valuable addition to a well-balanced investment portfolio. However, if you want to stick to traditional markets, you can trade forex or use derivatives to enter stock, commodity, and cryptocurrency* markets. Open an FXOpen account and try out the possibilities on the free trading platform, TickTrader. *At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDEducation
by FXOpen
1
Natural Gass CompassIn this one I use my preferred charting tool that uses data points from the past: Curved Trendlines. While there are other variations of such lines that I might use depending on the context, in this case the pattern low-high-high or high-low-low is widely detected as relevant and used as such for mapping out potential forces and support/resistance zones. As you can see there is a relevant potential support zone validated by both the white curve and the blue curve which overlap further in time. There will be no surprises if the these levels keep holding the price for a while. The yellow one is the weakest one in my opinion, because of the peculiar case on natural gas that doesn't provide much options for such support/resistance lines, because of the X high that was created in a strong but weird position relative to past highs and lows. Meaning that if the yellow is broken on the up, it might not even matter in the future because a different setup might unfold, creating a totally different type of line in any type of pattern regarding previous highs and lows. What I like about these lines is that the relevant ones tend to provide clear cut cases of rebounds (example in the white dot), retests after break (green dot), or even pure power breaks with no comebacks (yellow dot). The scenarios I find important in this picture are the following: - the obvious potential rebound from the white and blue - the less obvious but very important break on the downside of the white and blue which has a higher chance of a retest because of the significance of these lines (these retests tend to happen for these long lasting lines with many data points) - supposing the yellow line does hold, or if another similar resistance line appears after another high lower than X, and supposing the white is finally penetrated, we enter the C zone which I believe has a decent probability for action inside it. I find the B zone less likely to be relevant as it implies the breaking of the white which should lead to a more bearish or consolidation mood rather that another power bullish move. I decided to post this snapshot here with these lines because as you can see the price has provided decent relevant lines in the recent past with the greens and blue, while in the current present case, these lines are almost non existent because of the position of the X high relative to the previous highs and lows. My guess is that a careful analysis of the reaction of the market to these lines could give us clues of what the sentiment in the market is, shifting from the bullish mood to a more cautious neutral or indecision mood with the break of the white and blue.
CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD
by nen
5