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Norwegian Krone/US Dollar

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NOKUSD trade ideas

USDNOKTechnical Analysis: Potential Double Bottom located. RSI oversold on 4 hour. Mac D oversold as well. Although we have a strong bullish candle, momentum color change hasn't kicked in yet on Mac D. Only looking for a retracement. Not a home run. I would like to see price reach 61.80% of the previous high. Let's see what happens! Fundamental Analysis: Business Confidence has dropped in the most recent report from Norway. Business Confidence has risen in the most recent report from USA. Norway's' inflation rate has increased more than the USA has in the most recent report. Norway has a higher GDP growth rate. However, USA has the higher GDP overall. Norway Inflation rate is higher than USA. Norway government debt has increased more than the USA compared to the most recent report. Norway Retail Sales YoY has decreased while sales in the USA have increased. Norway Housing Index has decreased while the index has increased in the USA. Not Advice. There is a chance that this trade may go wrong. That's just how it goes. The main goal is to continue practicing to get better! Let's keep working!
Long
by Redimere_91
USDNOK will hit psychological as Oil approaches supportUSDNOK is strongly anti-correlated to the prices of oil. Although the US imports most of its oil from Canada, some of the oil producers there are owned by a Norwegian company. Then, the prices are moving globally with oil being one of the most traded commodities. Last time they USDNOK and USOIL both hit a psychological resistance, both reversed at the same time. USDNOK has fallen sharply from 9.0 level as oil has risen from a 65 level. Later on, the oil went for 200 EMA and USDNOK returned to 9.0 and bounced again. I don't see any fundamental basis for cheaper oil. Even if there are lockdowns, they will be fairly limited and then, the demand is bound to stay high. Even more so with Europe concerned about winter and Japan starting to use its reserves soon. So I find it very likely that Oil might stop and reverse at 75 or 70 level where the price meets 200 EMA, also. Of course, at that time, USDNOK will be around the level of 9.0 and that's when Norwegian Krona started to gain strength against US Dollar. When the price action on both pairs supports the idea, I will be shorting.
by OrcChieftain
Elliott Wave Analysis: USDNOK Is Unfolding Three-Wave CorrectionHello traders! Today we will talk about USDNOK pair, its price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott Wave perspective, as we see quite clear pattern. USDNOK made a five-wave bullish impulse from the lows, ideally as part of first leg (A), which has been followed by a three-wave A-B-C setback in wave (B). Well, now that is breaking back above channel resistance line, seems like wave (C) is already in progress, which can push the price up to 9-10 resistance area before bears show up again. So, be aware of more upside in upcoming days/weeks, just be aware of short-term intraday pullbacks. Trade well! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea. Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Long
by ew-forecast
3
USDNOK looks high vs. crude oilIf you are bullish crude, a good way to express it right now is via short USDNOK. Following the VAR shock in early November, hedge funds have been forced to reduce popular positions (including NOK, which was a favored reflation trade). I think the VAR shock pain is mostly done and USDNOK and EURNOK should revert back towards the lows. Both pairs look around 1% too high to me based on simple fair value vs. oil. S&P 500 and gold at the highs add to the logic. bd This is for your information only. Not trading advice. Trade your own view at your own risk.
Editors' picks
Short
by brentdonnelly_spectramarkets
9