BDL trade ideas
BDL / Bharat Dynamics 35%+ in 1 week! Crazy ReturnsEverybody loves momentum.
Why not?
Momentum is the best friend of every trader. I always wanted to find and catch the beginning of a confirmed trend. It's unbelievable it is happening in real life.
Education and skills acquisition is the key to continued growth in any field. This especially holds true in the highly risky terrain called Trading.
A lot of stocks are in superb momentum and I am ready to catch them.
God bless you and happy trading.
Lapu Star breakout Resistance becomes support .Buy above.A key concept of technical analysis is that when a resistance or support level is broken, its role is reversed. If the price falls below a support level, that level will become resistance. If the price rises above a resistance level, it will often become support.
BDL gave Break-Out and Retested the Trend-LineBharat Dynamics Ltd. engages in the manufacture of defenses equipment. It specializes in surface-to-air missiles, air defense systems, heavy weight torpedoes, air-to-air missiles, and other allied equipment. The company was founded on July 16, 1970 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.
Stop-Loss - 1740
Target 1 - 2230
Target 2 - 2400
Bharat Dynamics looking like it's about to launch into new orbitBharat Dynamics Ltd. is one of the leading defence PSUs in India engaged in the manufacture of Surface to Air missiles (SAMs), Anti-Tank Guided Missiles (ATGMs), Underwater weapons, Launchers, Counter Measures Dispensing System (CMOS) and Test Equipment. The Company is engaged in the business of refurbishment and life extension of stored and deployed missiles. It is the sole manufacturer in India for SAMs, torpedoes, ATGMs.
Bharat Dynamics Ltd. CMP is 1729.40. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 66.5), Declining annual net profit. The positive aspects of the company are No debt, Zero promoter pledge, MFs are increasing stake, Improving cash from operations annual.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1730. Targets in the stock will be 1834 and 1926. The long-term target in the stock will be 1995. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1600.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
BDL : Booked a profit of 15% on invested capitalCons :
DIIs and FIIs are reducing their stake, as per the data released on Sept 2023, whereas retailers are increasing their stake. So this shows that the strong hands are booking their profits and it is not a good sign in the near term.
The financials are not that attractive. The valuation is high at the current price point.
Pros :
Bharat Dynamics Q2 FY24 Highlights (Standalone, YoY)
Revenue up 15.2% at Rs 616 crore vs Rs 535 crore (Bloomberg estimate: Rs 519.97 crore).
Ebitda up 42.8% at Rs 134 crore vs Rs 94 crore (Bloomberg estimate: Rs 79 crore).
Margin at 21.76% vs 17.54% (Bloomberg estimate: 15.20%).
Reported profit up 94.1% at Rs 147 crore vs Rs 76 crore (Bloomberg estimate: Rs 91.7 crore)
But these positive aspects are priced in already and institutions may consider this as an opportunity to book their profits. So this is a case of buy the hype and sell the news scenario.
The overall market is also in a key rejection levels and if a sell-off happens then overvalued stocks like this will be the most effected. So considering all these, I decided to book profit in this stock and take some chips off the table. Will consider re-entry if price comes back to favorable valuations.
So booked a profit of about 15% of the invested capital. I had an allocation of about 2.5% of the total capital as 2 entries at various inflection levels.
The previous posts related to this scrip is attached along with this post. Do check that out.
I'm well aware that there is a potential for a move of about 15% in the near term. But I'm ok to let go of that since there is a downside risk of over 23%.
Bharat Dynamics Positional Entry LevelsAs per my analysis NSE:BDL has given a breakout for some upside levels. Best level to take positional buy entry will be 990 with stop loss of 890 (-100 Risk). My expected upside target would be 1087 (+97) & 1145 (+155). This could be low risk and reward idea.
Note: This is my personal analysis, only to learn stock market behavior.
Thanks.
BDL : Going longTook an entry for about 1.25% of the capital. But I do expect a small correction further down and if it does I'll add on another 1.25% and sum up the total holding to 2.5%.
Pretty confident about the defense sector and also the particular stock. Although the valuation is a bit high, the overall state of Indian economy when compared to the global economy and also the stability and support of the current Central Government, gives confidence in a sector like defense.
Expecting a return of at least 30% within a few months.
Real blast material is here 💥 guysEntry mark level
Stop losss 1198
Breakout trading implementation:
1. **Identifying New Trends:** Breakout trading helps traders identify the beginning of new trends by focusing on price levels where an asset breaks out of its historical trading range.
2. **Volatility Indicator:** Breakouts often occur when there's increased volatility in the market. Monitoring breakouts can provide insights into shifts in market sentiment and potential price movements.
3. **Entry Points:** Breakout points serve as potential entry points for traders looking to ride the momentum of a newly established trend. Buying on a breakout can capture the early stages of a price movement.
4. **Confirmation of Strength:** Successful breakouts indicate the strength of a trend. If an asset breaks out with high volume and follows through with sustained price movement, it suggests a strong trend in that direction.
5. **Avoiding False Signals:** Breakout strategies often include using indicators or confirmation signals to avoid false breakouts. This can enhance the accuracy of trade decisions.
6. **Defined Risk and Reward:** Breakout trading allows for setting clear stop-loss levels below the breakout point, which helps manage risk. Traders can also calculate potential profits based on the distance between the breakout point and a projected target.
7. **Adaptable to Various Markets:** Breakout trading can be applied to various markets, including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. The concept remains consistent across different assets.
8. **Flexibility:** Traders can adapt breakout strategies to their preferred timeframes, whether they are day traders, swing traders, or long-term investors.
9. **Liquidity Opportunities:** Breakout points are often associated with increased trading volume, which can provide better liquidity for executing trades.
10. **Risk vs. Reward Assessment:** Traders can evaluate the potential risk of a trade (stop-loss) against the potential reward (target price), aiding in decision-making and portfolio management.
11. **Psychological Advantage:** Successful breakout trades can boost a trader's confidence and discipline, reinforcing the effectiveness of their strategy.
12. **Market Events:** Breakouts can occur around significant market events such as earnings reports, economic data releases, or geopolitical developments, offering traders opportunities to capitalize on sudden price movements.
Remember, while breakout trading offers potential advantages, it also carries risks. False breakouts and market reversals can lead to losses. Successful implementation requires a solid understanding of technical analysis, risk management, and the ability to adapt to changing market conditions.