BEL trade ideas
(NSE:BEL)_April_10_2019Bharat Electronics Limited is a state-owned electronic, aerospace and defence company with focus on developing and manufacturing electronic, opto-electronic, radar and C4ISR systems. The primary customers are the Indian Armed Forces, Indian Government and the Governments/ Militaries of friendly nations.
Although, the stock price has been in a state of decline since late 2017 - early 2018, the humongous order book along with assured orders, modernization of the Indian armed forces along with push for Make in India make it a very attractive buy for value investors.
Since August 2018, the stock is trading within a channel formed by the red zone in Fibonacci Retracement . As a value investor, I would have preferred to buy in the range of mid Rs.70 - low Rs.80 , however with the Moving Average lMA)ilines indicating that a trend reversal might be in the offing (bear to bull) I would likely put in an order around $90.
The stock offers a dividend of 2.09% with a P/E of about 13 and a P/B of 3, which are pretty respectable overall. From the volume analysis there seems to be strong support at low to mid Rs.70.
If the short MA (50 day, blue line) crosses the long MA (200 day, orange line) it could potentially trigger a bull rally. If this happens it would be typically after the elections with the NDA (which advocates a muscular defence policy) returning to parliament with a majority and after the May Earnings call.
The risk is that the bull run fails to develop and the stock falls to the Rs.75 zone. However, the triple bottom (pink arrows) and existing downward momentum lends to the evidence that the stock is poised to go up.
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BEL NOT AN INVESTMENT PICKBEL HAS BORKEN KEY LEVELS OF SUPPORT ON MONTHLY,WEEKLY
NEXT SUPPORT ZONE IS 106-91 APPROX
IF BREAKS THIS ZONE THEN IT WILL BE IN LONG TERM BEAR ZONE.
INVESTORS LOOKING TO INVEST ON THIS STOCK SHOULD REFRAIN ENTERING THIS STOCK AT THIS MOMENT. LOOK FOR ENOUGH BUY MOMENTUM ONCE IT REACHES SUPPORT ZONE TO MAKE FRESH INVESTMENT.
Bharat Electronics ( BEL ) - Technical Analysis - 9/22/2016Bharat Electronics' ( BEL ) stock is stuck between 1000 and 1400 for past one and half year. Jump from 300 to 1300 was swift but then some reality caught up. Usual market buoyancy and fertile ground for equities due to central bank policies has made the valuation part confusing. As we mentioned earlier that it is futile to fight easy money and stock market will either keep going up or consolidate until it crashes. There is no check and balance here. Anybody who is dabbling with the market must be cautious and instead of chasing, should play the established range.
In normal circumstances, a run up higher and consolidation is very bullish sign but this is not the time to bet on quick big gains. Rather trading tactic should be,
1. ) Buy puts when it breaks 1400 for the first time to cash on the pull back.
2.) A break about 1400 should be confirmed by being supported at that level but we are not keen on trading that break as of now.
3.) Drop towards 1000 support area should provide couple of good trades from long side. But always keep in mind that if that drop is due to some kind of equity meltdown then there is nothing to support the stock until 700 - 800.