BERGEPAINT good to studyNSE:BERGEPAINT
Given Breakout of Range
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
BERGEPAINT trade ideas
Berger Paints**Berger Paints Analysis**
- **Time Frame:** Monthly
- **Setup:** Range Movement
The stock has been oscillating between 450 and 600-620 since February 2023. The setup appears favorable above 500, with a target of 600-620 and a stop loss (SL) at 434.
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Disclaimer: Study only for Educational Purpose.
Remember: My Money, My Risk, My Reward, My Responsibility.
Please Consult your SEBI registered Financial Advisor for any Financial Advice/ Decision.
BERGEPAINT : Going LongThe current net holding is approximately 1.875% of the net capital. I plan to increase the holding to 2.5% once the price reaches the channel's lower trendline.
📢📢📢 If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer: The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It's essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It's important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
Berger Paints Long setupHello,
Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum.
Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend.
Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios.
Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
Berger Paints short term analysisThe current market price of Berger paints appears reasonable, and the chart indicates a potential short-term trend reversal from the current price. In the short term, it could potentially reach 570-600. However, this view remains invalidated if Berger paints breaches 410.
BERGER PAINTS | Swing trade opportunity | 100% returnsBERGER PAINTS
Monthly time frame
Stock consolidating between 450 – 730 for the last 5 years
Stock has retested the support zone of the white parallel channel and looks good to touch the resistance of this channel
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-month moving averages
RSI = 55, indicating build-up of bullish momentum
MACD crossover expected and is above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Volumes have been good since May 2024, implies heavy buying
Weekly time frame
Breakout of the yellow trend line, retest done & bullish momentum established
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-week moving averages
20WMA about to cross 50WMA and golden crossover also approaching
RSI > 60, indicating bullish momentum
MACD above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Daily time frame
Breakout and retest of the yellow trend line clearly confirmed
Breakout of the blue resistance dotted trend line after 11 months
Stock in the process of making a higher high (Dow theory)
Breakout of the cup and handle pattern
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-day moving averages
20DMA has crossed 200DMA, and golden crossover is also approaching
RSI > 65, indicating bullish momentum
MACD is well above the 0 line and in green zone, indicating solid momentum
Conclusion
Entry: 585
Stop Loss: 525
Target 1: 725
Target 2: 830
Target 3: 1070
Fundamentals
ROCE = 27.5% {Ideal > 15}
ROE = 23.5% {Ideal > 15}
Stock PE (58) = Industry PE (54) {Stock not overvalued}
Int Coverage = 22 {Ideal > 2}
CF Operations / EBIT = 0.98 {Ideal > 1}
Debt to equity = 0.14 {Ideal value < 1}
Promoter stake has remained consistent over the years > 74.99%
Buy Berger PaintsBerger Paints is the second largest paint company of India and a trusted brand in the market. It has given its best quarterly results and still the company is almost 27% down from its lifetime high. It is a good time to invest in the company. The company has reduced debt. The company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 35.8%.
Please do your own analysis before investing.
Hope you learned something new from my ideas.
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BERGEPAINT NSE:BERGEPAINT
One Can Enter Now !
Or Wait for Retest of the Trendline (BO) !
Or wait For better R:R ratio !
Note :
1.One Can Go long with a Strict SL below the Trendline or Swing Low.
2. R:R ratio should be 1 :2 minimum
3. Plan as per your RISK appetite and Money Management.
Disclaimer : You are responsible for your Profits and loss, Shared for Educational purpose
Berger Paints (I) Ltd.*Berger Paints (I) Ltd.*
P&F on Decadal Basis.
*W* on Yearly Basis.
Strong upward Price BreakOut Sustained.
Strong Vol. Consolidation. Continued traction required.
RSI: 1H>D>W>M
EMAs: Widening Gaps amongst 20/ 50/ 100/ 200 on Monthly Basis.
*Trail SL with Upside*
*Book Profit as per Risk Appetite*
1) Stable / Falling Crude prices in light of Libyan/Iraq oil flow. Muted / Slowing Chinese economy leading to lower demand higher supply. This will be Margin Accretive for Crude based products manufacturers.
2) Increasing RE / Replacement demand additional+ve factor.
*This is an Opinion. Do Your Own Research.*
*_Happy Investing_*🤓
Positional Trade Setup for Berger Paints:The chart indicates a "Cup and Handle" pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern. The price has formed a rounded bottom (the cup) and appears to be forming the handle, suggesting a potential breakout above the resistance level.
The stock is currently testing the resistance zone around 597-600 INR, which is a crucial breakout level for the completion of the pattern.
Volume Confirmation:
The breakout attempt is accompanied by increasing volume, which is a positive sign indicating strong buying interest. This volume confirmation supports the likelihood of a successful breakout.
Entry Point:
A good entry point would be on a confirmed breakout above 600 INR with strong volume, or on a pullback to the 590-600 INR range, provided the pullback is on lower volume, indicating consolidation rather than a reversal.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the handle low, around 570 INR, to protect against false breakouts or pullbacks that invalidate the pattern. This placement gives a buffer zone below the key support areas.
Targets:
The first target could be set around 650 INR, which is a calculated target based on the depth of the cup. A longer-term target can be set around 675-700 INR, aligning with previous highs and potential psychological levels.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. With an entry near 600 INR and a stop loss at 570 INR, targeting 650 INR or higher provides a favorable setup.
Additional Considerations:
Watch for the RSI and other momentum indicators to ensure they are not in overbought territory when entering. A strong trend with momentum confirmation will enhance the trade setup.
Keep an eye on overall market conditions, as they can influence the performance of the stock.
Summary: Berger Paints is showing a promising Cup and Handle pattern with the potential for a breakout above the 600 INR level. A breakout with volume confirmation offers a good entry point for a positional trade targeting 650 INR and beyond, with a stop loss to manage risk below 570 INR. This setup presents a strong opportunity, provided market conditions remain favorable.
Berger Paints : Ready for 727Paint Industry is going through transformation and becoming more competitive. New players like Kotak engaged with with innovative business model and practices. All are bringing more value for the middle men and consumers alike. Like aviation companies, this is the only industry in the consumer goods space that has been struggling for uptick in the margins. Level playing filed is set now and these companies are ready for rebound.
Berger paints with strong financials showing strength in the stock price as well. Festive season is by the corner. This way there is an opportunity for a short term play.
Once close above 605, its is set for 727+
(SL 550)
BERGER PAINTSBerger Paint soon might come above 200 dema.
once above 200 dema and a major resistance, it can give a good rally .
as diwali is coming paint stocks have good reversal chances.
Disclaimer: only for education purposes, no buy or sell recommendation. we are not sebi registered. always discuss first with your financial advisors
BERGER PAINTS IND S/R for 11/7/24Support and Resistance Levels: In technical analysis, support and resistance levels are significant price levels where buying or selling interest tends to be strong. They are identified based on previous price levels where the price has shown a tendency to reverse or find support.
Support levels are represented by the green line and green shade, indicating areas where buying interest may emerge to prevent further price decline.
Resistance levels are represented by the red line and red shade, indicating areas where selling pressure may arise to prevent further price increases. Traders often consider these levels as potential buying or selling opportunities.
Breakouts: Breakouts occur when the price convincingly moves above a resistance level (red shade) or below a support level (green shade). A bullish breakout above resistance suggests the potential for further price increases, while a bearish breakout below support suggests the potential for further price declines. Traders pay attention to these breakout signals as they may indicate the start of a new trend or significant price movement.
20 EMA: The yellow line denotes 20 EMA, to interpret the 20 EMA, you need to compare it with the prevailing stock price. If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it signals a possible downtrend. But if the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it signals a possible uptrend.
Disclosure: I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is important to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Tweets neither advice nor endorsement.