Smallcap paradox 200WEMA and 40WEMA200WEMA - Two touches in a bear market after a simmering bullmarket once 40WEMA is breached. Buying point for Lumpsum bros.
40WEMA - Ride it to buy dips during a bull market. Dip buying point for BTD monkeys.
CNXSMALLCAP trade ideas
Nifty Smallcap 100 Index Trading plan 📈 Current Market Context
1H Chart:
The index is in a short-term downtrend after a strong rally.
Price is nearing a potential demand zone (previous bullish order block) from late June around 18,500–18,600, a likely mitigation point for re-accumulation.
5M Chart:
There’s a liquidity sweep and potential bullish reaction forming at the lower end.
Signs of selling exhaustion are visible after sharp moves down with diminishing momentum.
✅ Best Smart Money Buy Setup (Intraday Swing)
🔍 Step-by-Step Signal (5M chart):
1. Order Block Identification
The last bullish candle before a strong bearish move on July 22 (around 18,825–18,845) is a valid Bearish Order Block.
But more importantly, below 18,690, you can see a small Bullish Order Block forming after liquidity grab.
2. Liquidity Sweep
Price has swept liquidity below the recent July 23 swing low (~18,700) and formed equal lows around 18,680–18,690.
This is classic stop hunt behavior (smart money collects retail sell stops).
3. Entry Zone
Look for entry at 18,690–18,700, just above the low of the bullish OB.
4. Confirmation Trigger
Wait for a 5M bullish engulfing or FVG fill + BOS (break of structure above a lower high – e.g., 18,720).
This is your entry confirmation.
🎯 Trade Plan
Component Level / Detail
Entry Zone ₹18,690–18,700
Stop Loss ₹18,655 (Below liquidity sweep)
Target 1 ₹18,770 (Gap fill / OB revisit)
Target 2 ₹18,820 (Structure reclaim)
Target 3 (Swing) ₹18,900–18,925 (FVG/OB above)
Risk-Reward 1:2.5 to 1:4 depending on TP
🧠 Smart Money Logic Used
Liquidity Grab below equal lows.
Bullish Order Block formation.
Price action confirmation after sweep (ideal if price reclaims 18,720 level).
Potential for bullish retracement or reversal to fill Fair Value Gaps and test previous OBs.
Nifty Smallcap Index can go upto 12,450With Fib retracement Nifty small cap index has potential to reach 12,450
It will have following targets.
14800 / 14100 / 13850 / 13100 / 12450
CNX SMALL CAP INDEX Small cap index moving in raising channel and it's now in top of the channel, if break we'll see good upmove .
14900 SL WCB for 16520-800-17200 ready to ROAR CNXSMALL CAPView invalid WCB 14900 can keep eye on for the target 16520-16800-17050-200 after closing above 17200 Weekly close reiview more till that buy on dip ... Market is volatile so small crunching is better than nothing....
NIFTY SMALLCAP 100Wave 4 retraced almost 50% of the Wave 3. Wave 5 to new highs is possibly starting now.
SMALLCAP INDEX TRADING NEAR MULTIYEAR SUPPORTPrevious Multiyear Resistance now act as a Multiyear Support .
Nifty smallcap sectorNifty smallcap sectoral chart is saying the stroy has just begun and not ended. looking for very bright years going forward for investors with PATIENCE.
Small cap: Big relief?The index is showing bullish RSI divergence, the silver lining on charts. The index is also have neared to the support of 15K, so we may see a medium term bottom maybe, lets wait and watch!
Nifty SmallCap 100 Elliot Wave ViewWave 2 of 3: This corrective wave occurred between September 2022 and March 2023, lasting approximately 28 weeks, as highlighted in the chart.
Wave 4's Progression: The recent peak in September suggests symmetry in the cycle, mirroring Wave 2's timeline. If Wave 4 matches Wave 2 in duration (around 28 weeks), the current upward movement could still be part of the corrective Wave 4 rather than a new impulse wave.
Time Symmetry: Considering the reverse channel projection and the similarity in duration with Wave 2, March 2026 emerges as a potential time window for the commencement of Wave 5 of 3, which could lead to a significant breakout beyond the current range.
Mid/Smallcap || Recovery As Expected, What now? The Midcap and Small Cap Index have shown signs of recovery as anticipated in my previous analysis. The index is now trading above the 20 EMA Band in the 2-hour timeframe (TF). However, several key conditions must still be met before we can confirm a sustained bull run:
1. 2-hour RSI should cross above 75 to signal strong upward momentum.
2. Daily timeframe (DTF) RSI needs to exit the Bear Zone.
3. NIFTY50 is still awaiting confirmation to move out of the Bear Zone, which would provide broader market support.
Mid/Smallcap || Nearing Key Reversal Zone?Many traders focus on midcap and small-cap stocks, so this index movements can significantly impact portfolios. However, stock selection is crucial; choosing stocks in a downtrend or sideways movement often limits potential upside.
Index Analysis:
1. RSI for Midcap and Smallcap Index in the daily timeframe (DTF) is close to oversold zone
2. 2hrsTF RSI is already in ovsersold zone, however there’s an RSI positive divergence in the 2-hour chart, a bullish indicator,
3. the index sits within a support zone, suggesting a possible reversal.
Market Outlook:
Limited Downside Expected: Significant further declines in midcap and small-cap may not be likely. Even if they dip, a recovery within the same 2-hour candle is possible.
Key Resistance:
A confirmed bull run may require the RSI to break above 75.
Disclaimer: This is based on my analysis and experience. It’s not investment advice, and market conditions may vary.
Hope for the Best
The beginning of the next bull market.This box represented both the stop-loss and the buying zone. The index closing above the box confirms the start of a new bull run, expected to continue until mid-December. The end of the correction was confirmed yesterday, with most of the selling driven by retail investors.
Expecting a small recovery in equity market.As the index is oversold, expecting a small recovery in equity market. but this not mean a
start of bullish trend but a dead cat bounce.
NIFTY SMALLCAP - Is this ferocious rally fading!NIFTY SMALL CAP RSI is 81 on Monthly chart. Prior to this, RSI has crossed 76 only 4 times on monthly chart and every time it corrected a lot. Everything is clearly mentioned on the chart.
Is it time to be cautious on small cap!
Long term mutual fund/index fund investment strategy INDICATORS: 50MA, 200MA, RSI(14)
CHART:
Index that you are planning to invest in(eg: nifty 50 -> niftybees).
Index that mostly resembles your mutual fund(eg: cnxsmallcap -> smallcap mutual funds).
BUYING SRRATEGY:
When above 50MA, 200MA -> SIP min amt(eg 5000)
When below 50MA, 200MA -> SIP double the min amt(eg 10000)
When 1st dip in RSI(14) below 30 & below 50,200MA -> Lumpsum 6 times the min amt,
When 2nd dip in RSI(14) below 30 & below 50,200MA -> Lumpsum 8 times the min amt,
When 3rd dip in RSI(14) below 30 & below 50,200MA -> Lumpsum 10 times the min amt, so on and so forth.
SELLING STRATEGY:
When 1st rise in RSI(14) above 70 & above 50,200MA -> Sell 4 times the min SIP amt,
When 2nd rise in RSI(14) above 70 & above 50,200MA -> Sell 6 times the min SIP amt,
When 3rd rise in RSI(14) above 70 & above 50,200MA -> Sell 8 times the min SIP amt, so on and so forth.
POINT TO NOTE: Invest throughout the year even when RSI shows overbought. Your investment amount would be the min SIP amount while you'll be selling 4(+) times the min SIP amount hence you'll be net seller.
DISCLAIMER: This has been back tested only on paper and not in real time. I'll be following this strategy starting from june 2024. Modifications can be done in future according to the performance of the strategy.
Long term mutual fund/index fund investment strategy INDICATORS: 50MA, 200MA, RSI(14)
CHART:
Index that you are planning to invest in(eg: nifty 50 -> niftybees).
Index that mostly resembles your mutual fund(eg: cnxsmallcap -> smallcap mutual funds).
BUYING SRRATEGY:
When above 50MA, 200MA -> SIP min amt(eg 5000)
When below 50MA, 200MA -> SIP double the min amt(eg 10000)
When 1st dip in RSI(14) below 30 & below 50,200MA -> Lumpsum 6 times the min amt,
When 2nd dip in RSI(14) below 30 & below 50,200MA -> Lumpsum 8 times the min amt,
When 3rd dip in RSI(14) below 30 & below 50,200MA -> Lumpsum 10 times the min amt, so on and so forth.
SELLING STRATEGY:
When 1st rise in RSI(14) above 70 & above 50,200MA -> Sell 4 times the min SIP amt,
When 2nd rise in RSI(14) above 70 & above 50,200MA -> Sell 6 times the min SIP amt,
When 3rd rise in RSI(14) above 70 & above 50,200MA -> Sell 8 times the min SIP amt, so on and so forth.
POINT TO NOTE: Invest throughout the year even when RSI shows overbought. Your investment amount would be the min SIP amount while you'll be selling 4(+) times the min SIP amount hence you'll be net seller.
DISCLAIMER: This has been back tested only on paper and not in real time. I'll be following this strategy starting from june 2024. Modifications can be done in future according to the performance of the strategy.
SMALLCAP INDEX - EXPECTED PATHLook at previous history, I believe there is still good amount of steam left in Smallcap Index stock. I think we will see ATH in September above 12000 and we can extend upto 12500 12600 zones and then sharp fall will be expected in October/November which can be good opportunity for last leg rally towards 15000 zones...
My advice for next 2 months will be to accumulate stocks for next big leg of upside...
My Top picks at current market price or in any dips:-
Strides Pharma: 414 - Expected Target 900
United Drilling Tools: 213 - Expected Target 450 540
EPL: 196 - Expected Target 290
Aegis Logistics: 355 (Holding period 3 years) - 900 plus irrespective of what market does
Vaibhav Global: 385
Bullish in SmallcapAll the details or levels mentioned on chart..
Major support 14000 and above 14950 around levels major resistance..
Below 14000, chances down till 13000 and
Above 14950, chances up till 15900 and more.
Small Cap - Froth Few Away ??? :) :) :)Nifty Small Cap - Remember Madam Madhabi's speech on Mar 11 and the great fall....Marked in BLUE Arrows. We are back to same Level. So, where is the Froth ? Flew away with the wind ?
Look at how many RED LINES (Supports) were broken from Mar 11 till Mar 14th. All of them turned back as Resistances.
Guys - why is no one asking this question yourselves ? If the Market is Indeed weak - Breaking support is ok, but how can it take a V shaped U turn and Break all the Resistances on the upside ? Please don't fall prey to Panic Selling Messages.
Remember - we think we are outsmarting the market, preserving our capital, waiting for market to come down to do bottom fishing. But when the market is falling like crazy - how many of you know when to do Bottom Fishing ? Do you all have confidence to buy when market is still falling ? When market turns back quickly and gives sudden upward move - how many of you feel you missed your entry points ? LC to UCs
I have given so many examples of LC to UCs. We can't time the market, neither can we outsmart the market. We need to Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its side. To do that, we need to have conviction first, then follow support and resistances and then make informed and rational decision
I know one thing for sure - very limited folks in this group sold off their positions at levels higher than Mar 11. Many sold after the Mar 11 instigated crash. Now most of our Ex-Holdings would have come above our sell-off zone ? Isn't it
there could always be few exceptions which still might be struggling. Out of my 94 stock portfolio which is Small and Mid Cap heavy - most of them recovered to Pre-Mar 11 levels. And many are not so Fundamentally strong. But how did I get back the recovery ? Because market is not rational between Fundamentals and Technicals always. Over a long run it might equalize, but by that time, I will make my money and say TA TA to those stocks.
Disclaimer:
3+ Years Teaching Experience in Stock Market - Technical Analysis, Advanced Patterns, Emotional Management, News based Trading...
We are NOT SEBI Registered and Our focus is NOT providing Buy/Sell Recommendations/calls. Primary Objective is to provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes.
We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its Side"
*** Important *** Consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions
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Nifty Small Cap !!! Cypher patternHello All,
The recommendations are purely for educational purpose only, consult you financial advisor before trading.
Targets are mentioned in charts (either red lines or balck lines), keep Stop Loss as per your risk..
If you like my Idea, Don't forget to Boost and comment on my Analysis..
Have a profitable year ahead
Gautam Khanna
Technical Analyst by Passion :-)
SmallCap: Big shocks?Small cap index is just at the bottom of its channel, this needs to be saved then only we can see it move further northwards. If it breaks 15600, which will confirm the channel BO on downside we may witness 15100 quickly (good probability that it may occur to clear the valuation froth)
