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NIFTY trade ideas

Nifty again finds itself at make or break level. Mother father supports drawn on hourly candle are gone. Mid channel support is just breached. Shadow of the candle is negative. RSI finds itself at critical level in a pennant. Nifty is still oversold territory in the hourly chart. When everything seems lost we wait for the confirmation that Nifty can give about it's temporary bottom. The support for nifty as of now seem at 24667 Bollinger band bottom support, 24470, 24216 and finally 23942 level. Resistances for Nifty are at 24935, 25147, 25574 and finally 25740. The recovery might be around the corner we can expect a turnaround but probably towards mid-week, weekend or next week.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY50.....Wave a of iv done?Hello Traders, The NIFTY50 has reached my first target at the 248xx level. Check out my latest analysis. The price target is at a wave 4 level of one degree lower. This can be a wave iv or a wave a of iv as I wrote before. If it was a wave iv, the next move will take the N50 back to a new ATH! If it was a wave a of iv, the next move should be against the trend and into the retracements. A close of the open gap between 25796.90 and 25452.85 would be a strong sign, but not expected! A possible price range is 25287.50 to 25473.55. If the N50 falls without any recovery, the 244xx area will come into focus. That's it for today's quick note. Update will follow after important changes or news. Have a great week ..... Ruebennase Please ask or comment if necessary. Trading based on this analysis is at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
6
NIFTY S/R for 8/10/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 07-Oct-24 to 11-Oct-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 07-Oct-24 to 11-Oct-24 Nifty closed at 25014 ( Last Week 26179 ) and touched low & high of 25839-26285 ( all time high) Market saw a drop of 4.5% last week due to concern on Middle East War Situation. Market touched new high 2 weeks before , and touched all time high of Mid Term Resistance 26260 Nifty Bank 51462 ( 53834), touched the target of 54000 as proposed 2 months before (54400 all time high) and support at 49900. Buy on dips. Fed Rate Cut by 0.5% made the global market up and triggered increase in Indian Market in sep. FPI invested 4 Billion $ in Sep and pulled out 3.5 Billion $ in 3 trading session in Oct. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. RBI in India expected to reduce rate from end of this year. RSI ,macd and stochastics levels are down. Caution to be emphasized as Stochastics at overbought level. Q2 results awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market. Nifty 25014 Short term ( Short Term : Down) Nifty short term resistance 25675 & 26000 trend line resistance as shown in chart. Support at 24814 ( 0.618 Fib Retracement) Medium Term next target is 26266 & if move up decisively above next target is 27000 Medium term Support 24650 (Trend line support and Fib Resistance), 24480 (Fib Support) and 24000. Long Term : Nifty have a target of 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800 US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year. Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 3 months as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Nifty IT 41912 (42312) indices dipped slightly, NIfty IT is less than SMA 21 level, need clear direction and Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
NIFTY INTRADAY ANALYSIS FOR 07/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 25080 SL - 25020 TARGETS - 25130,25180,25230 SELL BELOW - 24950 SL - 25020 TARGETS - 24900,24850,24800 NO TRADE ZONE - 25950 to 25080 Previous Day High - 25490 Previous Day Low - 24950 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:NIFTY
by Jagadheesh_JP
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 07-Oct-2024Intro: On 4th October 2024, Nifty saw a Volatile session with some recovery towards the latter end of the day. The index found support near 25,049-25,036 and attempted to bounce back. However, resistance zones near 25,373 suggest that upward movement may face headwinds. As we head into the trading session on 7th October, traders should be aware of key levels and potential price reactions based on the opening. Trading Plan for 7th October 2024: Gap Up Opening (100+ points above): If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 25,225, it will enter the "Reaction / Sideways Zone." In this scenario, it's crucial to watch the price action around 25,373. A breakout above this level could lead to further upside towards 25,550-25,622, which is a strong resistance area. However, caution is advised as profit booking is likely in this region. Targets: 25,373, 25,550, 25,622 Stop Loss: Below 25,225 on an hourly candle closing basis Risk Management: Avoid chasing the price at higher levels, as the reaction zone may lead to consolidation. Wait for clear breakouts or pullbacks. Risk Tip: For a gap-up scenario, consider trading with in-the-money calls or spreads to mitigate potential time decay if the index consolidates. Flat Opening (Within 25,036 - 25,049 range): If the market opens flat, look for price movement around the opening support at 25,036-25,049. A breakout above 25,049 could lead to a rally toward 25,225. Failure to hold above this zone could result in consolidation. On the downside, if the price breaks below 25,036, it could head toward the buyer's support near 24,754-24,703. Targets: 25,180, 25,225 Stop Loss: Below 25,036 Risk Management: Tight stop losses are essential in flat openings, as volatility may be low initially but can spike post-settlement. Risk Tip: For flat openings, consider using straddle or strangle strategies to capture the potential breakout in either direction. Gap Down Opening (100+ points below): If Nifty opens with a gap down near 24,754 or lower, be cautious with long positions. A quick recovery above 24,754 can offer a buying opportunity for a retracement to 25,036. However, a sustained break below 24,703 could signal further downside, with the next support at 24,152. Targets: 25,036 on recovery, 24,703, and 24,152 on downside Stop Loss: Below 24,703 Risk Management: Avoid aggressive buying until prices stabilize. Look for confirmation before entering any trades. Risk Tip: For a gap-down, protective puts or hedging strategies should be considered, especially if you're holding long positions overnight. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: - Limit your exposure to volatile movements by using spreads like bull call spreads or bear put spreads instead of buying naked options. - Be mindful of position sizing, especially when trading near key support and resistance zones. - Monitor implied volatility (IV) levels to avoid buying overpriced options during high volatility periods. Summary & Conclusion: For 7th October, Nifty's movement will depend heavily on the opening. A gap-up could push the index into resistance near 25,373, while a flat opening could lead to range-bound movement. On a gap-down, watch for support levels near 24,754. Risk management is crucial in all scenarios, and options traders should consider using spreads or protective strategies to manage potential market volatility. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All views shared are for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY 50 KEY LEVELS FOR 07/10/2024//@description // All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: www.tradingview.com // Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work. **Explanation:** This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. It considers volume, past prices, price range and indiavix. **Entry/Exit Points:** - **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. **Timeframe:** Use a 5 timeframe for trading. **Risk Disclaimer:** This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NSE:NIFTY
by nandupk
Nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 7-11th Oct 2024The Indian stock market had a volatile week, primarily driven by the escalating Iran-Israel conflict. The Nifty 50 index closed at 25,014, down 1,170 points from the previous week's close. The index made a high of 26,134 and a low of 24,966 during the week. For the coming week, the expected range for the Nifty 50 is 25,600 to 24,400 . A breach of these levels could lead to further volatility. The crucial support level is at 24,450, which is the WEMA21 support. If the index breaks below this level, a correction towards 23,000 is possible. On the other hand, the S&P 500 index closed at 5,751, forming a bullish hammer candle, which is a positive sign for the US market. If the S&P 500 can sustain above 5,800 next week, it could rise further to 5,820, 5,899, or even 6,012. A strong performance in the US market could help Indian markets recover. Overall, the market outlook for the coming week remains uncertain due to the ongoing geopolitical tensions. However, there is a possibility of a bounce in the market, especially if the S&P 500 continues to show strength.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty ViewHere I have marked 2 demand zones on Daily Time Frame. Currently we are in the Demand Zone 1. Now we can shift to Lower Time Frame lets say 1hr, 30mins or 15 mins depending on the clarity and we have to find out the reversal pattern to go long or to buy. Unless and until we get reversal pattern on lower Time Frame that is confirmation on lower Time Frame we won't go for long or Buy. If we break Demand Zone 1 than we can see Nifty coming to Demand Zone 2 where we can apply the same procedure of shifting to lower Time Frame discussed above and try to find out reversal pattern for buying.
NSE:NIFTY
by usamamogal
3
NIFTY LONG Nifty Plan : Price may reverse from this DZ & may go to the extreme. This level is responsible to break previous ATH & Also the Weekly & Monthly trend is up which would take the price to the extreme. Target 1 will be till DEMA Target 2 will be till the DSZ Target 3 will be the extreme. Shorts : On a weekly chart a novice followed by the pro happened which opens up counter trading. A TCP formed at the daily level which received confirmation after the breach of 2 DZ. hence the lower SZ may give short 1:1 DIT trade as price likely travel to the extreme. However only after 15min confirmation & RR is available. For Shorts SL would be above the turning point.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by uspostal
How to analyse a chart? (Educational Post).In this post we will try to analyze what happened to Nifty and what can be the future course. We will also try to understand how to analyze Nifty using a parallel channel, EMA, Support and resistance and RSI. Through this exercise we will try to deduce possible turnaround supports, probable resistances it may face in future. On the onset let me tell you that the exercise is to increase the understanding of Technical analysis. The data should not be used for taking positions in the unpredictable market. Now have a look at the chart. With the help of basic knowledge, you will be able to understand that every time the Nifty or for that matter any stock hits the top of the channel it reverts. Every time a stock or an index hits the channel bottom it tries to bounce back. When RSI shows the stock is over sold it corrects positively through short covering and when the stock is overbought zone it will try to cool down the RSI by price correcting on the negative side. The mid of the channel acts as support when the price is above it and acts as a resistance when price is below it. Similarly 50 days and 200 days EMA which we call Mother and father line act as resistance when the price is below it and act as support when the price is above the lines. (This movement of stock price or index, when above and below 50 or 200 EMA whether it is hourly, daily, weekly or monthly and my Mother, Father and Small child theory I have explained it in depth in by book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation). The other green and red lines are supports and resistances respectively. These lines drawn based on peaks and valleys, tops and bottoms of important candles in case of a candle chart. In case of a line chart they are tops and bottoms of peaks and valleys again and important curves. Like we have supports and resistances on line chart of a stock and index, RSI also has support and resistnace zones which can also indicate us the turnaround zones. There in one more Purple line which indicates the current trend. Looking at these various factors you can analyses and draw your own charts. To know more about these indicators and how to use them and to understand Techno-Funda investment, read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback or Kindle version. My deduction from the above chart is the following. 24966 will be an important support for Nifty. Below which it can fall to 24698 or 24384 levels. Channel bottom support is around 23874. Father line and 200 days EMA is at 23241. Any of these can be potential turnaround zones. RSI of Nifty tends to bounce from 39.82 or 26.45 zone. Current RSI is 40.63. When there is a turnaround the resistances for Nifty will be 25065 which currently is Mother line resistance which is coinciding with mid channel resistance. Above this zone resistances will be 25439, 25665 and 25836 before Nifty regains 26K+ levels. The information regarding Nifty in this article is for the purpose of education and to show how various indicators often give same or similar result. To know more about various Techno-Funda indicators and how to use them, when to use them, when to buy, when to book profit, Where to place a stop loss or what is trailing stop loss etc. you are recommended to read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation which is available on Amazon in paperback or kindle version. You can also read my Smart School column in Smart investment financial Weekly for gaining techno-Funda knowledge. Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY S/R for 7/10/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Nifty looking weak after closing below Motherline. Nifty has today not respected 2 key supports that are daily Mother line support and Mid-Channel support. After making a high of 25485 Nifty closed at 25014 which is just below Mother line 50 days EMA at 25065. The candle is very weak and Nifty already looking as if in the tight grip of bears and there was massive selling at upper levels. However today's low seems to be a support level. If Nifty has to make a come back it should be during first half of next week. RSI support is at 39.82 and 26 which can be the turnaround zones, right now the RSI on daily charts is at 40.63. Nifty supports remain now at 24966 weak support, 24698, 24384 and finally 23874 Important channel bottom support. If channel bottom is broken (less likely) but by chance if it is broken the only support that will remain at father line which is at 23241. Reaching there will already be a mayhem but below that (again very less likely) the Nifty will shift totally into bear territory. Next week will be very important not only incontext of the remainder of the month but also in context of the last quarter of the year. Strictly do not trade/invest without keeping Stop losses and Trailing stop losses. Stop losses protect your capital and trailing stop losses protect your profits. To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment in Equity in general or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Which is available in Amazon in Kindle and Paperback version. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty - The Iran-Israel ImpactIran contributes nearly 3.3% of total crude oil production globally. Nifty has corrected almost 5% due to the fresh conflict escalation between Iran and Israel. Though I am certain that this isn't the end of the conflict, rather, Iran will have to face the wrath of Israeli counter, but unless any third party gets involved except the US, the correction in Nifty (specifically due to this conflict and upcoming war) seems to have completed. Though, I am not bullish on the Indian markets in the short term, mainly due to overstretched valuations of MidCap companies, but I certainly believe that the ongoing correction would seize in the upcoming week. I am hopeful that Nifty will end the current calendar year somewhere in the range of 24750 and 25250 (exactly where the markets stand at the moment). So for me, it is now time to take advantage of this fall and pick fundamentally strong long-term opportunities. This isn't a trading call and is solely my point of view. I have just tried to share my market expectations that I have formed basis my understanding of the economy in general and equity markets in particular. I understand that this is a very bold call specially when the Index has corrected almost 5% in 5 trading sessions, and there is fair possibility of my expectation going wrong. But, I also understand that having a point of view is better than going blank, and failing while trying is better than not trying at all. Consult your financial advisor and do your own research before making any financial commitments.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Gaurav_Singh_5705