Viewpoint- Nifty50-March 25.Nifty on daily chart made a near equal move (11.5%) in 2 legs. This can be a possible point of downward exhaustion.
The low (21964) of 4th March,25 is also very close to the wide range Modi election bar (4 June,24) at 21884. This could be another area of exhaustion matching with double bottom.
If nifty has exhausted the down move for a while, where does it go from here?
The previous rally was 1594 points, this sets a target of 23559 for nifty if an equal move was to take place. This also coincides with the .382% retracement of the entire down move which is placed at 23612.
Equal move of previous rally at 23559. Retracement 38.2% at 23612. Highest close of the last decline is at 23696. This gives us a confluence zone of 23600-23700.
On monthly chart, Nifty has closed below its opening levels for 5 consecutive months.
(Octber24-Feburaru,25). This also suggest that nifty might close above March opening. That means the bottom for March might be in place.
Based on these points I feel nifty might be headed towards 23500-23700 levels in March, 25.
NIFTY trade ideas
Omnichart presents - NIFTY/(USDINR) long term trend Nifty's performance when compared to US dollar (vs its base currency i.e. Indian Rupee) broke above a long term since 2007 resistance through Dec 2020. As you can see it broke above the blue line in Dec 2020 and has been outperforming the dollar - to -rupee. What this means is that investing US dollars to buy Nifty started becoming more profitable in Dec 2020 vs just keeping the wealth in US Dollars (not converting to INR). This is in a long term uptrend - what this means is that investing US dollars in NIFTY long term is a profitable strategy.
NIFTY50..... Multi week target was achived!Hello Friends,
the NIFTY50 has reached and undercut my predicted corrective target for several weeks.
It fell to 21964 on Tuesday the 04th and is showing a rebound of almost 500 points! The distance of this correction is equivalent to waves c to a!
Of course, the index has options to fall much lower in the coming weeks, but a "short" recovery is always possible.
A break of the middle Bollinger Band signals a longer term push to the upper BB! A signal on a daily close is a minimum to see! Note that the upper Bollinger Band is pointing down and signals impending volatility.
So; a target to the upside is the middle BB at 22754 and is falling 56 points (middle BB)!
A break of this (4h minimum) signals a move to the upper BB @ 23571 (basis Friday close)!
A break of the multi-week lows signals an ongoing correction with much lower targets in the coming weeks @ 21137 to 21821!
So my esteemed friends and traders .....
We will see what the market gives in response and the updated chart is still to come, probably on Wednesday
Have a great weekend .....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NIFTY 50 Retesting Resistance | Potential Short OpportunityNIFTY 50 is currently at a key level, presenting an opportunity for intraday traders. Based on price action analysis, we anticipate a short-term move to 23,300 before a potential further drop.
Trade Analysis:
๐ Reasons for the Trade:
1๏ธโฃ V-shaped recovery observed on a smaller time frame, indicating a potential short-term upward move.
2๏ธโฃ Head and Shoulders pattern breakdown on the higher time frame, suggesting a retest of resistance before continuing downward.
3๏ธโฃ Fibonacci Levels show that price is at a crucial support zone, aligning with the broader market structure.
Trade Plan:
๐น Entry: Near the resistance retest zone.
๐น Target: 23,300 (short-term), with a possibility of further downside.
๐น Stop-Loss: Above the resistance zone to manage risk effectively.
Traders should watch for confirmation before entering the trade. Stay updated with market sentiment and global factors for better risk management. ๐๐
NIFTY S/R for 10/2/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Nifty trying to bounce but few hurdles remain. Nifty is trying to bounce after forming the base but few important hurdles to cross next week if the rally has to sustain. The immediate resistances for Nifty will be 22557, 22668, 22800 and 23056. If these resistances are crossed we will have the Mother line and Father line resistances waiting for Nifty at 23116 and 23458. In the Middle of this tough resistance zone of Mother line and Father line there is also a trend line resistance around 23300. But these will come into play only if we are able to cross the immediate resistances mentioned earlier.
To know what mother father line resistances are you will have to read my book The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation. It is one of the highest rated books on Amazon in its category.
In case of the rally fizzles out the support zones will be near 22240, 21964, 21782 and finally 21281. In unlikely circumstances of 21281 broken and we get a weekly closing below it the market will fall into a major bear grip coming out of which can take a lot of time as this is the Election 2024 day low.
As of now shadow of the candle looks slightly positive however FIIs are still in the selling zone despite the chart showing the signs of bottom formation. Next week is going to be very interesting. It will be interesting if FIIs finally show some interest of coming back or continue their selling mode. Little bit of support from FII here could possibly drive the rally further and add more steam to this humble beginning of what we can call a gentle up move rather than a bull run.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investmentย inย equity.
$NIFTY: Nifty 50 โ Indiaโs Market Meltdown or Hidden Gem?(1/9)
Good Morning, folks! โ๏ธ NSE:NIFTY : Nifty 50 โ Indiaโs Market Meltdown or Hidden Gem?
Gift Niftyโs at 22,555, down 65 points, and the index is off 13% since October 2024! Is this a crash landing or a golden ticket in disguise? Letโs unpack the chaos! ๐
(2/9) โ PRICE PERFORMANCE ๐
โข Gift Nifty: 22,555, down 65 points (Mar 6, 2025) ๐ฐ
โข Recent Trend: 13% drop from Oct 2024 highs ๐
โข Sector Mood: Autos, real estate dragging, per web reports ๐ฉ๏ธ
Itโs a bumpy ride, but bargains might be brewing! ๐ง
(3/9) โ MARKET POSITION ๐
โข Index Weight: 50 top Indian firms, 65% of NSE market cap ๐
โข Scope: Spans 13 sectors, from banks to tech โณ
โข Trend: Bearish streak persists, down 13% since Oct ๐ฏ
Still a heavyweight, but feeling the squeeze! ๐
(4/9) โ KEY DEVELOPMENTS ๐
โข Earnings Slowdown: Growth at 5%, down from 20%+ ๐
โข Macro Woes: U.S. tariffs, trade tensions spook investors ๐
โข Market Vibe: Gift Nifty signals a sour start ๐
Tough times, but sectors might shine through! ๐ก
(5/9) โ RISKS IN FOCUS โก
โข Geopolitics: U.S. tariff threats hit exports ๐
โข Sector Slump: Autos, real estate under pressure ๐
โข Volatility: Bearish trend grips tight ๐ช๏ธ
Rough waters ahead, but storms pass! ๐ก๏ธ
(6/9) โ SWOT: STRENGTHS ๐ช
โข Diversity: 13 sectors, broad economic play ๐
โข Scale: Tracks Indiaโs biggest players ๐
โข Value: Potentially undervalued, per web buzz ๐ฉ
A battered champ with fight left! ๐ผ
(7/9) โ SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES โ๏ธ
โข Weaknesses: 5% earnings growth, macro drag ๐
โข Opportunities: Sector plays in banks, tech shine ๐
Can it dodge the punches and rally? ๐ค
(8/9) โ ๐ขNifty at 22,555 (Gift), down 13%โyour call? ๐ณ๏ธ
โข Bullish: $24K soon, undervalued steal ๐ฆฌ
โข Neutral: Flatline, risks offset โ๏ธ
โข Bearish: $20K next, bears rule ๐ป
Vote below! ๐
(9/9) โ FINAL TAKEAWAY ๐ฏ
Niftyโs 13% slide and $116 Gift price signal trouble ๐, but undervalued sectors tease upside ๐ฑ. Volatilityโs our mateโdips are DCA fuel ๐ฅ. Buy low, aim high! Hit or miss?
NIFTY Technical Analysis โ Current Market OutlookMarket Structure: B-C Correction in Progress
Current Trend: NIFTY is undergoing a B-C correction phase, where wave BC is expected to be an impulsive 5-wave movement on the downside.
Retracement Scenario : Currently, NIFTY is in a corrective move within the 4th wave of the BC leg, retracing downward.
Key Retracement Levels : Expecting a pullback to the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels, which could act as a resistance before the next downward leg resumes.
Target Projection: Based on wave structure analysis, NIFTY may reach 21,470 levels as the next significant support zone.
Volume and Market Sentiment
Volume Analysis: Selling pressure remains dominant; any short-term retracements could be seen as opportunities for further downside.
Momentum Indicators: RSI & MACD likely show bearish momentum, confirming the downward move.
Key Resistance Levels : Any up move could face selling pressure around the 22,300 โ 22,500 zone.
Conclusion & Trading Strategy
Overall Trend: Bearish โ NIFTY is expected to continue its downside momentum after the current corrective wave completes.
Potential Shorting Opportunity: Traders can watch for resistance at Fibonacci retracement levels and enter short positions once confirmation of trend continuation is observed.
Key Support Zone: 21,470 remains a major level to watch for further downside price action.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is based on technical chart patterns and market structures. Stock market investments involve risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders and investors should do their own due diligence or consult a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions
NIFTY S/R for 7/2/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/03/2025Today will be flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 22500 level then expected upside movement upto 22750 in today's session. 22500 level will act as a important support for today's session. Major downside possible if nifty not sustain above level and give breakdown of 22450. This downside can goes upto next major support level at 22150.
End of RELIEF..?As we can see NIFTY is now trading at important resistance which previously acted as a Support. Hence as long as we are below the structure, every rise can be sold but if it closes above the structure then we may see another 5-10 percent upmove in coming trading sessions so plan your trades accordingly.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 07-Mar-2025
๐ Key Levels to Watch:
๐ด Resistance Levels: 22,635 | 22,819
๐ข Support Levels: 22,467-22,496 | 22,378 | 22,258
๐ Market Context:
Nifty has shown strong momentum in recent sessions, currently trading near 22,529. The profit booking zone lies around 22,635, while a breakout above this could lead to 22,819. On the downside, key support exists at 22,467-22,496, and a further breakdown may drag prices toward 22,378-22,258.
๐ Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,630) ๐
If Nifty opens above 22,630, it enters the profit booking zone, making further upside dependent on momentum. A clean breakout above 22,819 will signal strength.
Buy above 22,635 ๐ผ
๐ฏ Target: 22,750 โ 22,819
๐ Stop Loss: 22,550
๐ Plan: If Nifty sustains above 22,635, it can attempt 22,819. Wait for a proper 15-minute candle close above 22,635 before entering. Profit booking is advised near resistance levels.
Rejection at 22,635 โ
๐ฝ Sell below 22,630
๐ฏ Target: 22,500 โ 22,467
๐ Stop Loss: 22,680
๐ Plan: If Nifty struggles at 22,635 and reverses, a short trade can be considered toward 22,467. Volume confirmation is necessary before entering shorts.
๐ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (22,450 โ 22,550) ๐
A flat opening near 22,450 โ 22,550 suggests indecision. The 22,467-22,496 range is a crucial support area.
Buy above 22,550 ๐ผ
๐ฏ Target: 22,635 โ 22,700
๐ Stop Loss: 22,500
๐ Plan: If Nifty holds above 22,550 and shows strength, an upside move toward 22,635 is likely. Look for bullish price action confirmation before entering.
Sell below 22,467 ๐ฝ
๐ฏ Target: 22,378 โ 22,350
๐ Stop Loss: 22,525
๐ Plan: If Nifty breaks below 22,467 and struggles to reclaim it, selling pressure may drag it toward 22,378. Wait for a sustained breakdown before taking short positions.
๐ Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 22,429) โ ๏ธ
A gap-down below 22,429 signals weakness, with support at 22,378 and 22,258.
Buy near 22,258 โ 22,300 ๐ข
๐ฏ Target: 22,440
๐ Stop Loss: 22,220
๐ Plan: If Nifty stabilizes at 22,258-22,300, a bounce toward 22,440 is possible. Ideal for risk-managed long trades.
Sell below 22,258 ๐ฝ
๐ฏ Target: 22,150 โ 22,100
๐ Stop Loss: 22,320
๐ Plan: If selling pressure persists below 22,258, a further slide is likely. Avoid panic selling; wait for confirmation.
๐ก Risk Management Tips for Options Traders ๐ฏ
โ
Theta Decay Awareness: Avoid buying OTM options late in the day.
โ
Stop-Loss Discipline: Always use SL based on technical structure.
โ
Position Sizing: Risk only 2% of capital per trade.
โ
Avoid Overtrading: Trade only high-probability setups.
๐ Summary & Conclusion ๐
๐น Bullish above 22,635 for 22,819.
๐น Bearish below 22,258 for 22,150.
๐น Flat open needs confirmation for direction.
๐น Key support: 22,467-22,496 | 22,258.
๐น Key resistance: 22,635 | 22,819.
๐ข Trade with discipline, follow the plan, and manage risk effectively!
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Do your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading. ๐๐๐
Good closing by Nifty, Now all eyes on tomorrow's weekly closingAnother fantastic day of recovery by Nifty which closed 207 points up today. From the lows of the day recovery was 310.6 from the lows of the day. Thus last 2 days have seen a significant up moves. The resistances now for Nifty remain at 22556, 22800 and 22981 before we reach the major resistance zone of 23139 to 23467.
This zone includes a Mother line, Father line and Trend line resistance. It will take some major good news or significant buying by FII to take us into Bull zone which awaits us above this zone. Supports for Nifty remain at 22240, 21954, 21782 and 21281. Below 21281 there can be a bear mayhem which can see Nifty slipping into recession mode. For now that zone is far away and shadow of the candle currently looks neutral to positive.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investmentย inย equity.
# Nifty50 #banknifty 7 march important levels and trading zone # Nifty50
99% working trading plan
Gap up open 22658 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 22836, 22975
Gap up open 22658 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22438,22238
Gap down open 22438 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22658, 22838+
Gap down open 22438 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22238,
๐For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
More education following me
NIFTY 50 KEY LEVELS FOR 06/03/2025// All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: tradingview.com/u/tony_fx_sm/
// Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work.
I want to make it clear that I am not a seller, and this method was not taught to me by anyone. The original creator only gave me one clue:
๐ "If you get one level, you get all levels."
Everything elseโthe way I nail it the method and applied itโis my own work. I respect the original idea, but my approach is independent.
Explanation:
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
Entry/Exit Points:
- Entry/Exit Lines: Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- Stop Loss: For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- Take Profit: For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
Timeframe:
Use a 5 mins timeframe for trading.
Risk Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details