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NIFTY trade ideas

A big Nifty Crash looks imminent !!!The weekly chart structure of Nifty is dangerous. This is a sign of clear weakness. Last week's candle is a pure bearish candle that has rejected the Yearly Pivot for 2025. This means one thing - We are in all likelihood headed for a big crash! The next logical support is around 21,100 level which I feel could also be taken out eventually and then we could see 18,550 zones. This entire crash could play out within the next 2 - 3 months and hence, taking March or April PEs which are in the strike price of around 21,000 would be a good choice for option buyers.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sky_Tracer
NIFTY technical analysis, big pictureTechnical analysis for NIFTY 50 Index. This count has price in price in wave c of Primary wave 4. The a and b wave of the zigzag may need to be adjusted, depending on how price moves down to target, which is the 15000-17000 area. Price never tagged the median line of the bullish pitchfork, did its best to stay above its bullish Hagopian line. As price continues to stay below 24857.75 (which is now key resistance), gravity should pull price down rather quickly towards target.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by discobiscuit
#Nifty50 What Lies Ahead for Nifty & S&p500,13-17th Jan 2025The Nifty Index experienced a sharp decline this week, closing at 23,431, a significant 570 points below the previous week's close. While the index reached a high of 24,089, it ultimately succumbed to selling pressure, finding support at 23,344. As forecasted, the Nifty traded within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300. For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined within a range of 23,950 to 22,900 . Given the prevailing bearish sentiment, a potential short-term bounce could unfold next week to lure in unsuspecting buyers before a renewed downward move. Historically, whenever the Nifty has breached the support of the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (WEMA50), it has typically undergone a 5-6% correction. Based on the current level of 23,431, the Nifty may find crucial support near the 22,200-22,400 zone. Turning to the US markets, the S&P 500 found support at the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA100) level of 5,817 and closed at 5,827. The upcoming week will be pivotal. If the S&P 500 successfully defends the 5,807 low, a potential rally towards the 5,926-5,944 range could materialize. However, a weekly close below the 5,800 mark would signal a significant bearish turn for global markets, potentially triggering a deeper correction towards the 5,637 or even 5,504 levels. Wishing readers a very happy Lohri and Makar Sakranti.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
NIFTY S/R for 13/1/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Nifty looking weak after closing below Mid-channel. Nifty looking very weak after closing below Mid-channel support and 50 weeks EMA Mother line support. Mother line support or the 50 Week EMA was at 23442 and the closing we got is at 23431. If Nifty does not recover quickly and claims the Mid-Channel and 50 Weeks EMA, we might be in for more fall with supports at 23273, 22800 (Major Support Zone). If we get a weekly closing below 22800 we will fall totally into bear territory. In such a scenario bears can drag Nifty further down to 22025, 21294 or even near channel bottom of 20813. 20813 will again be a major Parallel chanel bottom support. Resistances on the upper side will be at 23442, 23938, 24525 and 24948 before we can reclaime 25K levels. Later in the year when we get a closing above 25K levels we may again face the 25782, 26277 previous Nifty peak will be major resistances. Nifty channel top post recovery seems to be at 27255. We may reach there in hopefully by mid or end H2 2025. Value Investors can start looking out for bottom fishing and value buying opportunities specially in the Large and selective mid and small caps. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Best buy opportunity before +20% rise.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a Channel Up every since the June 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Last week it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 27 2023 and this week touched the bottom of the Channel Up. As long as it closes the 1W candle inside the Channel Up, the trend will technically remain bullish. The standard rally of the previous Bullish Legs has been +20%. As a result, we can remain bullish for now and target 27500 (just below the +20% mark). If it closes a week below the Channel Up, we may very well see further technical correction until it either hits the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) or the 1W RSI gets bearish below 40.00 towards the bottom of its 3-year Rectangle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradingShot
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 10-Jan-2025 Introduction: Nifty has been consolidating within a defined range, with 23,622 acting as immediate resistance and 23,490 providing opening support. The "No Trade Zone" marked around 23,557-23,622 highlights areas of indecision where price movement lacks clarity. This trading plan evaluates different opening scenarios, including gap-up, flat, and gap-down openings, considering a gap of 100+ points. Scenarios for 10-Jan-2025: Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above 23,622): If Nifty opens above 23,622: Monitor Retest of 23,622: A retest and hold of this level can be a potential opportunity to go long, with the first target at 23,787 and a stretch target at 23,843. Place a stop loss below 23,600 to protect capital. Failure to Hold 23,622: If the price fails to sustain above 23,622, expect a correction toward 23,557. Wait for a reversal signal before taking any fresh positions. Options Trading Tip: For a gap-up opening, consider buying call options close to the money if 23,622 holds as support. Avoid buying options with low liquidity. Flat Opening (Near 23,557): If Nifty opens near 23,557: Focus on Breakout or Breakdown: Let the price action settle for the first 30 minutes. A breakout above 23,622 offers a long opportunity, with targets at 23,787-23,843. Break Below 23,490: A breach of 23,490 could lead to a bearish move toward 23,364. Avoid long positions unless there’s a recovery signal around 23,490. Risk Management Tip: Use proper position sizing. Avoid risking more than 2% of your capital on any single trade. Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below 23,490): If Nifty opens below 23,490: Watch for Reversal at 23,364: This support zone may attract buyers. Look for bullish reversal patterns to go long, targeting 23,490. Break Below 23,364: A breach below 23,364 could lead to a significant downside toward 23,251. Aggressive short positions can be taken only after confirmation with a stop loss above 23,364. Options Trading Tip: For a bearish gap-down, consider buying put options near resistance levels or selling call spreads for a safer risk-reward ratio. Summary and Conclusion: Nifty’s price action around 23,622 and 23,490 will determine the market’s trend for the day. Avoid trading within the "No Trade Zone" (23,557-23,622) unless a clear breakout or breakdown is visible. Risk management is key, especially in volatile conditions. Always use stop losses and stick to your trading plan. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades. Trade responsibly.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Another ratio chart : NIFTY 50 vs S&P 500Another ratio chart. Today we look at the performance of India NIFTY50 vs US S&P 500 on a weekly basis. IN this ratio chart all the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMA are below the short term 20 DMA. Prior tops can act as support as indicated by the red arrows. The estimate is that the chart will consolidate here, and the future direction will be determined by the US Dollar. Please watch out for DXY. Will it break above the recent ATH from Oct 2022 of 113 (blue arrow) or breakdown before reaching the top? This will determine the direction of Nifty 50 vs S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by RabishankarBiswal
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 10th January 2025Nifty opened with flat but we saw weakness since morning, broke our sell level 23630 around 10:25 and Nifty hit both of our targets. Tomorrow, Sell Nifty if sustains below 23490 for the targets of 23440 and below marked level. On the other side, sell Nifty if sustains above 23580 for the targets of 23640 and above marked level on the chart. Expectations: Volatile Day Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 23580 Sell Below - 23490 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestPro_India
1
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 9th January 2025Nifty opened with a gap-up, faced resistance exactly at our buy level 23750 and came down. Nifty broke sell level 23640 around 10:15 and hit all our targets on downside. We have seen recovery from 23500 levels in second half. Tomorrow, Buy Nifty if sustains above 23750 for the targets of 23800 and above marked level. On the other side, Sell Nifty if sustains below 23630 for the targets of 23580 and below marked level on the chart. Expectations: Range-bound day Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 23750 Sell Below - 23630 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestPro_India
1
Bearish or Bounce Ahead? Here’s my detailed analysis and outlook for Nifty based on daily and weekly charts: Daily Chart Insights Trend: Nifty is in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lows since breaking 24,000. Currently consolidating near 23,500, which acts as a critical support zone. Volume Profile: High selling volume on down days shows persistent institutional pressure. Buyers are defending 23,500, but no strong confirmation of reversal yet. Key Levels: Resistance: 23,800-23,850: Immediate resistance with heavy Call OI. 24,050: Higher timeframe resistance. Support: 23,500: Immediate support. 23,400-23,350: Breach could lead to more downside. Indicators: RSI: Near oversold (~40), but no bullish divergence. Moving Averages: Below 50-DMA and 200-DMA, confirming bearish momentum. Weekly Chart Insights Trend: Downtrend continues, with Nifty failing to reclaim critical levels like 24,200. Last week’s bearish candle shows sellers remain dominant. Volume Profile: Increased selling volume on red candles confirms institutional sell-off. Buyers look weak below 23,500. Key Levels: Resistance: 24,000-24,200: Strong supply zone. 24,400: Major resistance for any upside rally. Support: 23,400-23,350: Breakdown could lead to 23,000. 23,000: Psychological and historical support zone. Indicators: RSI: Around 35, nearing oversold territory but with downside room. MACD: Bearish crossover confirms momentum on the downside. Prediction for the Month Bearish Case (High Probability): Failure to reclaim 23,800 could continue the downtrend. Breach of 23,500 may lead to: Target 1: 23,350. Target 2: 23,000. Bullish Case (Low Probability): Breakout above 23,800 could trigger a short-term rally: Target 1: 24,050. Target 2: 24,400. Outlook: The market remains moderately bearish for the next month unless strong buying emerges at 23,500 or a breakout above 23,800 occurs. What’s your view? Let’s discuss! Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please trade responsibly.
NSE:NIFTY
by thirdeyecs
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action : Nifty saw selloff from the opening znd closed at almost low of the day. A weak day overall forming a bearish candle. Technicals: Nifty 50 has formed a strong bearish candlestick pattern on the daily charts with above-average volumes, while defending the previous low of 23460. The index closed near the Trens line support around 23500 , trading below the 10, 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs. The momentum indicators, RSI (Relative Strength Index at 39), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains below the zero line, indicating weakness. Support/Resistance Major Support 23000 Immediate Support 23300 Immediate Resistance 23600 Major Resistance 23800 Trend: Nifty was Strong Neagtive Options Data: Call addition seen at 23600 23700 & 23800 saw Put writing and no major Put writing at 23300 seen suggesting huge resistance at higher levels. PCR improved to 0.7 Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio came down to 16% Nifty Futures saw fall with addition in Open Interest suggesting Bearish Trend to continue in immediate short term. Outlook for Next Session: overall Nifty is Bearish. Can add Shorts on every pull back Approch: Short Nifty at highs or pull back towards 23600 for tgt 23300 and 23000 Wait for today’s low to be taken out and trade below that for 30mins to go short for tgt 23350 If opened Flat wait for a weakness and short If opened gap-up, which is very unlikely, go short if opened gap-down, wait for break below 23500 clearly to go short. My Trades & Positions: exited Longs at open and created Shorts once 23600 broke, still in Short
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sandeep_CA