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NIFTY trade ideas

Nifty starting to enter the over heated zone. Nifty starting to enter the overheated zone. May not be overbought as of now but certainly it is close to that. Right from here or after going a little higher, Nifty can take a plunge in search of the immediate support or bottom. For now, the resistances for Nifty are at Today's high of 25956. Post That Nifty can face resistances at 26071, 26204 and 26432. Supports for Nifty remain at 25853, 25611, 25343 and 25106 final support for Nifty will be at 24808.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 24/09/2024BUY ABOVE - 25950 SL - 25860 TARGETS - 26060,26160,26250 SELL BELOW - 25860 SL - 25950 TARGETS - 25790,25700,25610 NO TRADE ZONE - 25860 to 25950 Previous Day High - 25950 Previous Day Low - 25860 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:NIFTY
by Jagadheesh_JP
2
NIFTY : Levels and Plan for 24-Sep-2024On 23-Sep-2024, Nifty 50 showed strong upward momentum, with a steady climb toward the resistance zone at 26,020.00. The index faced selling pressure near this resistance, suggesting potential profit booking. However, the support levels around 25,884.00 held firm, indicating buyers are still active in the market. The session showcased a bullish bias with clear support and resistance zones. For 24-Sep-2024, a focused approach on the opening scenario will help us define the trading plan. Trading Plan for 24-Sep-2024: Gap-Up Opening (+100 points): If Nifty opens above 26,020.00, it will be testing the next resistance levels at 26,107.00 and 26,147.00. Watch for profit booking near these zones. - If it fails to hold above 26,020, a short opportunity may arise targeting 25,884 (Opening Support). - In case it sustains above 26,020, a breakout trade toward 26,147 can be considered. Ensure confirmation of price sustaining for at least an hour before taking any long positions. Flat Opening (±50 points): A flat opening around 25,930.20 will signal market neutrality. - Let the market settle for 30 minutes to confirm direction. - If it holds above 25,884.00, a buying opportunity towards 26,020.00 can be taken with resistance near that level. - If 25,884.00 breaks, expect a dip toward 25,802.00, which can serve as the next important support for retracement buyers. Gap-Down Opening (-100 points): If Nifty opens below 25,802.00, it may test the 25,667.40 support level. - Watch for signs of reversal at 25,667, as this is an important retracement zone. - A break below 25,667.40 would signal more downside risk, potentially leading to a further correction. - If reversal signs are present at 25,667, a rally back towards 25,802.00 or even 25,884.00 could offer a low-risk buying opportunity. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: - In gap-up and gap-down scenarios, avoid chasing the price immediately. Wait for confirmation of direction. - Keep positions small in the first hour to manage volatility risks. - Use options spreads (buy one strike price and sell another) to limit exposure to unpredictable moves. - Place stop-losses based on hourly close rather than intraday price action to avoid unnecessary exits in volatile markets. Summary and Conclusion: For 24-Sep-2024, the key levels to watch are 26,020.00 for resistance and 25,884.00 for support. A gap-up could present resistance around 26,107, while a gap-down might bring key retracement levels into play. Be patient, especially in the first 30 minutes, to gauge market sentiment. Employ risk management strategies in options to limit exposure in a volatile market. The session offers opportunities for both bulls and bears, depending on how the market reacts at critical levels. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only, and all traders should conduct their research or consult with their financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY S/R for 24/9/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA: If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 23-Sep-24 to 27-Sep-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 23-Sep-24 to 27-Sep-24 Nifty closed at 25790 (last week 25356) and touched low & high of 25292-25849 ( all time high) Market touched new high last week , and broke the key resistance of 25545 provided last week decisively and also crossed Mid Term Resistance 25800 and settled at 25790 ( ( Target Line Provided) Nifty bank 53797 ( Last week 51938) - As mentioned for last 1.5 months, Bank Index have target of 54000 in medium term ( Currently nearing the target) and support at 49900 Fed Rate Cut by 0.5% made the global market up and triggered increase in Indian Market. FPI invested 4 Billion $ in Sep till date. RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (71% and 93% respectively). MACD crossed the Signal. RSI and MACD shows market will go up further. Caution to be emphasized as Stochastics at overbought level. Q2 results awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market. Nifty 25790 Short term ( Short Term : Up) Nifty short term resistance 25790 as shown in chart. Support at 25000 , 24650 (Trend line support and Fib Resistance), & 24480 (Fib Support) Medium Term next target is 26260 ( As shown in chart, The level is the difference between the Aug High and Aug Low from Aug High)- If it crosses 26260, Medium Term is UP. if it moves above decisively next target is 27000. Medium term Support - 24000 Long Term : Nifty have a target of 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800 US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. RBI in India expected to reduce rate from end of this year. Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Nifty IT 42204 (last week 43394) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and reached all time high last week(43632). Later Dipped to 42204 due to profit booking. Recovery of US stock market & awaiting FED rate cut expectation decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index last week. NIfty IT is less than SMA 21 level, need clear direction and Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by karthikss
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 23/09/2024BUY ABOVE - 25800 SL - 25700 TARGETS - 25900,26000,26100 SELL BELOW - 25700 SL - 25800 TARGETS - 25610,25550,25490 NO TRADE ZONE - 25700 to 25800 Previous Day High - 25800 Previous Day Low - 25440 Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:NIFTY
by Jagadheesh_JP
2
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 23-Sep-2024 Introduction: On the previous trading session, Nifty 50 displayed significant price action with a range-bound movement after an initial rally. The chart shows a clear zone of opening support around **25,686**, followed by a potential breakout towards the resistance at **26,107 – 26,147**, which could trigger profit booking. This sets the stage for the upcoming session, where market direction will likely depend on the opening sentiment. --- Trading Plan for 23-Sep-2024: Considering Opening Scenarios (100+ points gap): Gap Up Opening (100+ points above 25,820): If Nifty opens significantly higher, near **25,920 - 26,000**, we may see a potential continuation of the rally towards the resistance zone at **26,107 – 26,147**. - Look for buying opportunities above **25,900**, aiming for the upper resistance target. - Consider profit booking near the resistance levels and watch for any signs of reversal. - A pullback towards the **25,820** level may offer another buying opportunity, with a stop-loss below **25,800**. --- Flat Opening (within 25,754 - 25,820): A flat opening indicates indecision in the market. - Wait for the first 15 minutes to see how the price reacts. - If the price sustains above **25,820**, consider buying towards the **25,900 - 26,000** zone. - If there’s rejection from these levels, look for a short position with a stop-loss above **25,900** and a target back to **25,686** (opening support). --- Gap Down Opening (100+ points below 25,820): In the case of a gap down, near **25,654 - 25,686**, expect the price to test the opening support. - If the market holds the **25,654** level, consider a buying opportunity with a target towards **25,800 - 25,900**. - If the price breaks below **25,654**, we may see further downside, targeting **25,500 - 25,479**. In this scenario, wait for price stability before entering any trades. - Maintain a tight stop-loss below **25,620** to manage risk. --- Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: - When trading options, ensure you're aware of the **theta decay** that can occur with time. If the market is moving sideways, consider exiting to avoid losing time value. - Always keep a **hedging strategy** in place, like buying put options to protect long positions or vice versa. - Use a **1:2 risk-reward ratio**, especially when trading intraday with options, and avoid over-leveraging. - Exit your position if your strategy fails to work within the first hour of trading to limit potential losses. --- Summary and Conclusion: The Nifty is likely to witness volatile movements based on the opening scenario, with critical levels at **25,686** for support and **26,107 – 26,147** for resistance. The opening direction will dictate the next move. If Nifty breaches the upper resistance zone, expect profit booking to kick in. Otherwise, a consolidation or correction towards the support is possible. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. All the information provided is based on my own analysis, and you are advised to conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trades.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 23-27th Sept 2024The #Nifty50 soared to a new all-time weekly high of 25,791, gaining a remarkable 430 points from the previous week's close. It reached a peak of 25,849 and a low of 25,285. As predicted, the Nifty has been trading within the 25,810-24,750 range. For the upcoming week, I anticipate a trading range of 26,400-25,200 . A breach of these levels could ignite significant market volatility. As highlighted last week, the strong Fibonacci level of 25,810 is crucial. If the Nifty closes above this level next week, be prepared for a potential rally towards the next magical level of 26,990 or 27,000. Although reaching these levels may take some time, it's essential to be positioned for such a move. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 finally broke through the strong resistance of 5,637, thanks to the Federal Reserve's rate cut. If it can maintain above this week's high of 5,733, we could see further gains towards resistance levels of 5,800, 6,000, or even 6,140. Since the S&P 500 has surpassed a significant Fibonacci level, it's poised to potentially reach another strong Fibonacci level of 6,959, which is 20% higher than current levels. Such a move would likely propel the Nifty towards 27,000. A breakdown below this week's low of 5,604 would indicate a failed breakout and could lead to a test of support levels at 5,445 or 5,432. Exciting times are ahead!"
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ssudhirsharma11
Fibonacci resistance acts up but can it stop Nifty?With lot of large caps picking up pace and delivering this week, Nifty has broke a lot of shackles and had a free run specially on Friday. Can it gallop further is the question. Nifty certainly can as large caps are acting up to the task. Companies like M&M, Kotak Mahindra, HDFC Bank, Bajaj Twins and even Maruti Suzuki and lot of other large caps are supporting it. On Friday PSUs, Mid-cap, Small-caps and other sectors such as defence which had become laggards are also trying to turn positive but word of caution here is that important fibonacci resistance level of 25852 has come into play now. The same is also the trend top. This means 25852 will be difficult to cross. If at all that is crossed next Fibonacci resistance will be at 25951. Support levels for Nifty will be at 25684, 25615, 25551 and 25494 levels. Trade cautiously with proper stop losses and trailing stop losses in place specially in case of Mid and Small cap stocks.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY S/R for 23/9/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA: If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
EMA, SMA and which one to choose? Educational PostArticle Written by Author of the book: The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. There is always a lot of debate while using chart whether to use EMA or SMA. EMA = Exponential Moving Average. SMA = Simple Moving Average. In the below chart Black and Orange lines represent 50 and 200 EMA. Blue and the Lavender line represent the 50 and 200 SMA. Simple Moving average is the actual average of the kind of SMA you are using that is 50 SMA is average of last fifty closings. Exponential moving average gives more importance to the recent price and less to the past prices in that order. For example, if you are calculating 50 EMA the weightage given to yesterday’s price is more than the weightage given to the price before 49 days. I personally use EMA for my charts when I want to take entry to some stocks. As I feel recent price influence the move of the candles more than past prices for future upward movement. At the same time for Profit booking I give more importance to SMA and 21 SMA in particular as I base my trailing stop losses based on monthly average. To know more about EMAs and SMAs and importance of EMAs in particular you can read my book. The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available in Paperback and Kindle version on Amazon where I have explained my Mother, Father and Small Child theory where I consider 50 EMA as mother line 200 EMA as father line and movement of a candle is compared to movement of a child playing in garden. In a very simple way I have tried to explain Techincal analysis related to stock price movement and their relation to EMAs. Now whichever EMA or SMA you use. What I feel is you should remain consistent with it. Do not keep switching between the two. As you can see from the chart there is no major difference in position of both lines in the chart specially when the EMA or SMA is smaller in number. Moving averages are very helpful in determining the trend of the stock. Chances of its correction and support the stock price will get while falling down or resistance it might face if the price is below those lines. EMAs and SMAs are excellent support when the stock price is above them and become fierce resistnace when the stock price is below these lines. Thus knowing where they are with respect to price is very important. My advice will be EMA or SMA should be part of your chart. Which one you use is a matter of choice. Staying consistent to the moving average you choose is important as Harivansh Rai Bachhan the famous Poet has said in his most famous poem Madhushala and I quote him, “Rah Pakad tu ek chala chal pa jayega Madhushala”. Meaning be consistent to your path and you will find your target. Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Market Insights: Anticipating significant shiftsDear Traders, I trust this message finds you well in both your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am pleased to present a compelling opportunity through a new NIFTY analysis that indicates an imminent significant market shift. The recent upward surge in the market has prompted concerns, as my analysis over the past two months has consistently pointed to an anticipated correction owing to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns. Technical details: I. Resistance I: 25,388 ~ 25,430 (Extended trend line from 17th JUN'22) II. Resistance II: 25,490 ~ 25,510 ~ 25,526 (Conj. Extended trend line from 24 JAN'24 & 24 JUN'24) III. Resistance III: 25,590 (Extended trend line from 29 FEB'16 – Long & strong Resistance) Please note that these values serve as indicative levels of support and resistance. The wave patterns depicted in the diagram, signal completion of the trend. Additional observations: Time series Forecasting: Top - Top - Today (04/09/2024) = 1690 D from 20jan'20 (1710 = 360*4 + 270) = 1053 D from 19oct'21 (1080 = 360*3) = 644 D from 01dec'22 (630 = 360+270) = 356 D from 15sept'23 (~360) Bottom – Top - Today (04/09/24) = 1626 D from 24mar'20 (1620 = 4*360+180) = 811 D from 17jun'22 (810 = 720 + 90) = 315 D from 26oct'23 (exactly an important angle) = 535 D from 20mar'23 (540 = 360 + 180) Given these short and long-term observations, the time resistance(s) are notably robust. Historical Repetition: The ongoing 14-day winning streak, continuously setting new records, typically precedes short-term corrections ranging from 3% to 24%, as historically observed. For instance, in May 2006, Nifty’s non-stop 9-day rally culminated in a 24% index decline in the subsequent month, while a similar trend in February 2000 resulted in an 11% decline in the subsequent month. Consequently, a market breather is anticipated, with profit booking potentially driving the market to deeper levels before embarking on a new uptrend (anticipated correction in the monthly scale, evident in the 3M time frame). Further details will be provided as the market unfolds. A correction of this magnitude is expected to materialize, with the following scenarios: The initial focus is to prioritize the trend line-based correction scenario. The primary support levels are identified at 23,100. Any subsequent breakout will result in distinct scenarios. Scenario 1: From 15,183.40, retracement towards 21,500 = 4,000 pts (38.2%R) (-12 to 15%), highly probable given the aforementioned reasons. Scenario 2: From 16,828, retracement towards 21,100 levels = 4,400 pts (50%R) (-13% to 17%), also plausible within the realm of reality. One of these scenarios is poised to unfold as the market progresses into correction. Fed and Markets: Considering the correlation between interest rates and market fluctuations, it is wise to take them into account. Typically, their relationship is inversely proportional. However, the Fed has been delaying the easing process due to economic conditions such as employment and inflation data. This month may bring many surprises. If everything goes according to plan, interest rates will be reduced, theoretically boosting investment in gold and stock markets. On the other hand, if the dovishness in the rate decision continues, it will likely unsettle the markets, at least in the short term. Further data releases this month will help in forming a consensus. IMPORTANT DATES TO REMEMBER!!! Sept - 5, 6, 11, 12, 18 (FOMC) Strategy: 1. Being bullish beyond this point is not recommended. 2. Bearish bets are prudent from 25, 300 – 350, 400 for FOMO traders. Risky traders may consider waiting for the 25,500 levels to be tested. Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Your feedback is genuinely appreciated, and I would encourage you to share your thoughts in the comments section. I am committed to engaging with each response. Fellow Traders, Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by liking and following me. Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article, Your readership is greatly appreciated. Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan