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NIFTY trade ideas

Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action : Nifty made another new low for the year down -1% Technicals: Nifty opened gap down and continued weakness below 22700 to close at 22550 forming a bearish candle below 5,10,20,50,100 & 200 DEMA The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index closed below 30 showing weakness Support/Resistance Major Support 22300 Immediate Support 22500 Immediate Resistance 22650 Major Resistance 22700, 22800, 23000 Trend: Overall Trend is Bearish sideays Options Data: Highest CE OI was at 23000 with highest addition at 22600, 22700 & 22800 - Resistance Highest PE OI was at 22500, highest Put writing seen at 22500, 22300 - No major support PCR is 0.6 which indicates Bearishness Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 15.5%/84.5% FII Future positions saw little addition in longs and exiting shorts Nifty Futures price was down by -1% with huge increase in Open Interest (OI) which typically indicates Bearishness Outlook for Next Session: Nifty is weak Sell on every rise Approch: Short at higher levels for target 22400-22300 Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction My Trades & Positions: Holding Shorts in March monthly contract from 22850 levels
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sandeep_CA
$nifty50 thoughtsHi , Plan B activated with us loosing the low and no reaction towards the end of day the dotted line 22417 is our next zone of interest Dollar index is bouncing from its 200 ema on the daily so should put some pressure here as well .107.296 reaction is key either way pain for a few weeks more then we rally back like china did 20th sep 2020 was the last time we tagged the 200 ema on D3 and pretty close to it now so keep the faith ;) rsi looks to be bottoming so give it a few days and lets see what we get.. hopium is we did make some levels here from feb to may in 2024 unlike the rally we had from the breakout there
NSE:NIFTY
by CompoundingGain
2
NIFTY Daily Timeframe Analysis & Weekly OutlookTechnical Analysis: Current Trend: NIFTY is experiencing a sharp pullback after a breakdown from its recent falling wedge pattern. Support Levels: The index is approaching 22,500-22,400, a crucial demand zone where it may attempt a bounce. Resistance Levels: Any recovery will face resistance around 23,000-23,200, followed by a major resistance at 23,500. Pattern Analysis: A double-bottom formation is visible around the recent lows, which could indicate potential recovery in the coming sessions. Volume Analysis: Selling pressure is moderate, suggesting market participants are cautious rather than panic selling. Fundamental Analysis: Macroeconomic Outlook: Global uncertainties and inflation concerns continue to impact sentiment. FII & DII Activity: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net sellers, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) are accumulating selectively. Sector Strength: Defensive sectors like FMCG & IT are showing resilience, while banking & auto stocks face some pressure. Earnings Season Impact: Many large-cap companies are still to report results, which may trigger short-term volatility.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TheWealthyInvestorbyDSAB
"Nifty's Slippery Slope: Where's the Next Stop?""Nifty’s Slippery Slope: Where’s the Next Stop?" 🚨📉 We've been tracking Nifty’s downtrend for a while, and as predicted, it has landed near 22,500 after breaking a crucial trendline. But what’s next? 🔍 Current Market Outlook: 📉 Nifty is moving within a downward channel after breaking a critical secondary trendline. 🛑 Next Support Levels: Channel Bottom 📊 If the channel breaks, the primary trendline at 61.8% (21,679) could be the next support. 📈 Bullish View? Wait for a channel breakout—let the market prove itself before taking aggressive long positions. 📌 Strategy to Follow: ✅ Be Light on Positions – Ride the trend but with strict risk management. ✅ Look for Value Stocks – A falling market is a great time to find quality investments at a discount. ✅ Stay Patient – As Warren Buffett wisely said: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." 📢 SEBI Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. Always do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions. 🔗 Hashtags for More Reach: #NiftyAnalysis #StockMarketIndia #TechnicalAnalysis #Nifty50 #TrendlineBreakout #TradingStrategy #SwingTrading #ValueInvesting #RiskManagement #WarrenBuffett #MarketInsights #StockMarketEducation #InvestWisely 🚀 Are you buying the dip or waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
NSE:NIFTYShort
by the_fib_trader
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Feb-2025NIFTY 50 Intraday Trading Plan – 24-Feb-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 24, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline structured action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with clarity and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,987 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it indicates strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests buyers are aggressively entering the market, potentially driving prices higher. If the price sustains above 22,987, it could target the resistance zone of 23,138–23,300. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure might emerge due to historical resistance. If the price faces rejection at 23,138–23,300, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887 (the previous close and support zone). Should the price break above 23,300 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,400 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,987 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,887 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 23,138–23,300, aiming for 22,764–22,887. Place a stop-loss above 23,300 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening reflects optimism, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky. Waiting for a retest of 22,987 ensures confirmation of bullish intent, while the resistance at 23,138–23,300 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A breakdown from this resistance could signal a false breakout, offering a shorting opportunity. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,764–22,887) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,764–22,887, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out. A breakout above 22,887 could drive prices toward 23,138–23,300, signaling bullish momentum. A breakdown below 22,764 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510 (last intraday support) or even 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,887 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,764 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,764 , targeting 22,510 or 22,235–22,156. Set a stop-loss above 22,887 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening often leads to consolidation, making it tricky to trade without confirmation. The 22,764–22,887 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) before entering positions to avoid fake moves. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,664 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market. Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,400 (last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,764–22,887 could occur. If 22,510 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 22,510 , targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887. Use a stop-loss below 22,400 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 22,510 , targeting 22,235–22,156. Place a stop-loss above 22,510 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can recover if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,510 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 23,138 or 22,510) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,887 → Target: 23,138–23,300. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,764 → Target: 22,510 or 22,235–22,156. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,764–22,887 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 24, 2025. 🚀
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
Accumulation Zone Activated in Nifty 50As we discussed before 1 month Nifty react as well as my Analysis 🔍 Nifty 50 Analysis – Here’s a detailed breakdown of the chart and its implications: ⚔️Key Observations 📌 1. Accumulation Zone (22,625 - 22,821) ✅ 🔹 This zone is a "best price range for long-term investment." 🔹 Historically, accumulation zones indicate a potential demand area where institutional buyers may step in. 🔹 If the index holds this level, we could see an upward movement 📈. 📌 2. Strong Resistance Zone (23,050 - 23,178) ❌ 🔹 The chart suggests this area is a potential reversal point. 🔹 If Nifty reaches this level, profit booking or selling pressure may emerge. 🔹 A breakout above this zone could signal further bullish momentum 🚀. 📌 3. Projected Price Action (Wave Structure) 🔄 🔹 The pattern (A → D → F) suggests a possible bounce from accumulation to resistance. 🔹 If resistance is broken, Nifty could rally further. 📊 Trading Strategy ✅ Bullish View: 🔹 If Nifty holds above 22,625, it could move toward 23,050 - 23,178. 🔹 A breakout above 23,178 may signal a continued uptrend 🚀. ❌ Bearish View: 🔹 A breakdown below 22,625 could lead to further declines 📉. 🔹 If this happens, new support levels need to be identified. ⚠ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Stock markets are subject to market risks. Please do your own research before investing. 📢📊
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Alpha_strike_trader
THE FEAR IS REAL. MAKE USE OF IT FOR THE LONG TERM!Disclaimer: The following article is not investment advice. It is solely prepared for educational purposes, specifically regarding the Indian markets and aimed at people interested in long-term investments. The numbers mentioned reflect the data available at the time of writing. Hello people, We are witnessing significant movements in the Indian markets, with news of small-cap stocks entering a ‘bear market’, mid-caps falling nearly 16%, and the major index, NIFTY 50, down about 11% since September. This has led to a decline in SIPs (by 109%) and raised questions about the resilience of common Indian equity investors. SMID stocks have performed the worst since the Covid crash, and various narratives are circulating, such as ‘BUY THE DIPS’ and others equally discouraging equity investment altogether. Regardless of these narratives, it is evident that during substantial declines or bear markets, even fundamentally strong stocks—those suitable for long-term investments—can be purchased at discounted prices. These are the stocks widely considered the right choice and can be made use of for this phase of the market according to proficient professionals. The question remains: which are they? This article highlights a few of these stocks based on my analysis. I share them to raise awareness, especially for those looking for such opportunities, but I am NOT advising you to buy them. What makes this content relevant is that it comes from someone who has been monitoring the market out of initiative, from a genuine interest over the past 3-4 years. So let's begin. My top pick stock ticking all the boxes is Mahanagar Gas . It has impressive financials and is a fundamentally strong mid-cap company. It's both a value stock and a good growth stock (two common investing styles are value investing and growth-based investing). The stock's P/E ratio is 12.6, indicating it might be undervalued. The current price is ₹1,343, and the intrinsic value (according to Screener) is ₹1,479. As a mid-cap stock, it holds significant growth potential with a medium risk level—lower than that of small caps. It’s currently priced at a 31% discount. Next I see Indus towers . Again good fundamentally, making it a good pick for long-term investors. As a large-cap stock, its growth potential is less than mid or small caps, but it’s still solid and carries lower risk of all. Its P/E ratio is 9.18, indicating potential undervaluation. However, one downside is that although its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.75 (which is good), its enterprise value exceeds the market cap, possibly suggesting high debt or overvaluation (which I doubt). Additionally, promoter holdings have decreased by 3% in the last quarter. Among the other options are Godawari Power and Andhra Petrochemicals . Godawari Power is a solid mid-cap stock, with one exception: its 10-year sales growth or compounded revenue growth does not exceed 10% over the last 10 years, a key criterion for long-term investments. However, its 7-year sales growth surpasses 10%, which is positive. With a P/E ratio of 14.5 and a 31% discount from its previous high, it seems undervalued and carries medium risk, with the potential for high growth. Last option is Andhra petrochemicals which unlike the others on this list, is a small-cap stock, making it suitable for those with a high-risk appetite. It has strong fundamentals and meets all the criteria required for long-term investment. The current price of ₹58.7 is below its book value of ₹64.8, and the intrinsic value is ₹154, indicating an attractive investment. It’s also interesting to note that when the price-to-book ratio is below 1 (P/BV < 1), it’s often considered an amazing deal .But again, this is a small-cap stock, so proceed with caution. Criteria Used All the stocks listed here have passed my evaluation based on four key areas required for a growing business: profitability, liquidity, leverage, and operational efficiency. Other factors considered include undervaluation, debt-to-equity ratio, and so on. Going forward, I am aware that there is a possibility of the markets falling further, which cannot be ignored. The narrative around March 20th and its significance in the market cycle is still present, and I would encourage caution. For those hesitant to invest now, I suggest keeping an eye on the charts. Wait for a solid bullish signal to appear, and confirm it with USOIL and USDINR charts. These are crucial for concluding about the trend of our markets. Additionally, perform a reality check on your investments: assess where your money is allocated, determine reasonable conservative targets, and evaluate the time frame for returns, apart from the projections made by portfolio managers and fund managers and their years of experiences too. Stats such as NIFTY MIDCAP 100 index giving negative returns from 2008 to 2014, is evident by directly observing the charts itself. I hope this information was valuable to you. Don't lose faith in the markets. Happy investing! “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy only when others are fearful.” – Warren Buffet
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by ThePassionate_investor