Nifty 50 wolf wave pattern on hourly TFNifty is forming a bullish wolf wave pattern of hourly TF. 4 waves were identified as per the rules. Can expect a bounce back once 5th wave is formed. Longby venumonami0
Nifty & Sensex Analysis & Trade Plan for 21st NovemberNifty & Sensex Analysis & Trade Plan for 21st November07:27by rahulbora110
Sentiment Cycle Indicator is rockinganother good movement captured by my sentiment cycle indicator. it is on 15 min chart and still shows great momentum, green (BUY) , red (Sell) and no color no signal / no trading zone.. it looks aweosome on 5 mins where as in sideways time there was no signal and good buy/sell signal both side today.. Shortby TradeTechanalysis2
Nifty Support and Resistance Levels For 21st Nov 2024I’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for #Nifty, designed to help traders make informed decisions. These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points. Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence. Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.Longby Prabhu20200
NIFTY Outlook📉 Nifty 50 Outlook The Nifty 50 index shows a Head & Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. 🔍 Key Observations: Current Level: 23,518.50 Breakdown Point: 24,000 Support Zones: 23,000 and 21,500 📊 Scenarios Ahead: 1️⃣ Bullish Rebound: A break above 24,000 could resume an uptrend. 2️⃣ Bearish Continuation: If the neckline breaks, the next supports are 23,000 and 21,500. ⚠️ Actionable Advice: Stay cautious. Monitor the key levels before making moves. #Nifty50 #StockMarket #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Niftyby xManinderSinghx2
Escalation in Russia, Ukraine war spoils the Nifty recovery Nifty was doing quiet well and had a strong momentum going forward. On the daily chart it had gone substantially above 200 days EMA (23541) and reached 23780. Three of things happened after that. 1) There was a massive escalation in Russia Ukraine war where Putin approved use of Nuclear weapons if required. At the same time news of Ukraine hitting Russia with ATACMS US made Long Range missile. (Bloomberg reports). This is a massive event with long global consequences. Which might be parting 'gift' from Biden to Trump. (Probably to create a difficult situation for incoming Trump). 2) Nifty hit 50 hours EMA or Mother line at 23770. As all who read my posts regularly, those who have watched my videos, taken training from me and Those who have read my Mother, Father and Small Child theory know the consequences of the same. The mother line acted on and pushed the Nifty down towards the doldrums again where it closed the day below (200 days EMA or Father line at 23541) at 23518. This is a massive jolt and only time can tell if Nifty can stage a recovery again on 21st November 2024, Thursday. As we have a holiday due to Maharashtra elections tomorrow. To know more about one of the most accurate Mother, Father and small child theory which makes your equity investment easy read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback edition. The same is available on Kidnle and Google Play book in E-Version. 3) Third possible thing was Bulls would not want to carry long positions with impending Maharashtra election results. The election is tough to predict with political mess in Maharashtra. Elections in India are anyway difficult to predict now a days. These reasons led to massive fall of 262 points. This fall can disharten the bulls as well making the upward recovery difficult again. Positive closing in Green is the only good thing that we can take forward from today's action. Supports for Nifty remain at 23350, 23110, 22796, 22499, 21890 and finally 21313. Below 22796 is a pure bear territory. Resistances for Nifty remain at 23629, 23770 (Major Mother line Resistance which blocked the up move today), Post that there will be Father line resistance of 200 Hours EMA at 24311. After 24311 closing or weekly closing bear can take a back seat and Bulls will have capacity to pull Nifty above 25012 or even 25351 and above. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.by Happy_Candles_Investment10
WHY NIFTY WENT UPWARDS IN THE FIRST HALF TODAY...TECHNICAL INDICATORS - CUP & HANDLE PATTERN : Nifty had broken out of cup & handle pattern with a gap-up opening (strong confirmation) after market opening today on 15-min timeframe and reached the price target within 10 mins by peace_lover1
Understanding Nifty's Recovery The Role of Mean ReversionInitial Recovery: Volume Surge: A significant increase in buying volume accompanied the recovery. This indicates strong interest, likely driven by short covering or fresh buying momentum. EMA Alignment: The price moved above short-term moving averages (EMA 20/50), signaling bullish sentiment and attracting intraday buyers. Breakout Momentum: The sharp move above key resistance levels triggered additional buying, creating a rapid upward rally. Why Recovery Failed: Overextension from EMAs: During the rally, the price moved sharply away from short-term moving averages, creating an overbought condition. Weak Follow-through Buying: After the initial surge, buying interest waned at higher levels, indicating a lack of conviction among bulls. Volume Divergence: While the initial rally showed strong volume, subsequent price action displayed declining buying pressure. Selling Pressure: As the price stagnated, sellers took advantage of the overextended condition, initiating a reversal. Sell-off Trigger: Break Below EMAs: The fall below the EMA 20/50 acted as a key bearish signal, triggering stop-losses for long positions and accelerating the decline. Increased Selling Volume: The sell-off was accompanied by a noticeable spike in volume, reflecting strong bearish conviction. Psychological Levels: As the price approached key support zones, it failed to hold due to intensified selling momentum. Concept of Mean Reversion: Mean reversion is a statistical concept suggesting that prices and returns eventually gravitate toward their historical average (mean). Here’s how it applied in this scenario: Overextension from the Mean: During the recovery phase, the price moved significantly away from the EMA 20/50, indicating an overbought state. Such conditions often lead to exhaustion as buyers hesitate to sustain higher prices without strong underlying support. Reversion to the Mean: Once selling began, the price moved back toward the EMAs, which acted as dynamic mean levels. The gap between the price and the mean narrowed as the market sought equilibrium. Implications for Traders: Rapid rallies or declines often revert back to mean levels unless driven by strong fundamental or macroeconomic triggers. Identifying overbought or oversold conditions relative to the mean can provide opportunities for counter-trend trades. Key Takeaways: Nifty’s initial recovery was driven by short-term bullish momentum but lacked sustainability due to weak follow-through buying. The inability to sustain higher levels was due to resistance, declining volume, and natural mean reversion tendencies. Traders can use moving averages as dynamic mean levels to identify overextension and potential reversal zones. As a concept market mostle\y reverts to its mean levels. That are Pivot level P if it overextends. by Rishabh11003
NIFTY S/R for 21/11/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.by zenthosh1
BEAR TRAPHas mentioned in precious post nifty is respecting the bearish channel .A bearish trap was made and nifty 338 Pts today .I am expecting a upside move upto 24000 from here .Longby neeshalr19931
Nifty 50 - Short-Term Relief Rally in Progress?Analysis: Nifty 50 seems to be showing signs of recovery after a correction phase, with a potential inverse Head and Shoulders pattern indicating a bullish reversal. The neckline near the 23,700 level appears crucial, and a sustained breakout above this level could drive the index towards 24,042 and 24,461 in the coming weeks. Key support levels to watch are 23,327 and 22,755 , as they represent areas where buyers might step in. Meanwhile, the RSI indicates that the index might be exiting the oversold zone, adding weight to the recovery thesis. A zig-zag consolidation can be expected before a sharp move higher, as shown by the projected trajectory. A breach of 24,816 could signal a strong rally toward 25,600 and beyond .Longby AngshumanSaikia1
NIFTY BROKE DOWN FROM [HEAD AND SHOULDER] PATTERN - (SELL) TECHNICAL INDICATORS - HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN : Nifty had broken down from a head and shoulder pattern on 22nd october with a large red candlestick confirmation MACD : MACD had shown proper bearish crossover on 1st october and macd line had stayed below signal line since then continuously confirming bearish momentum TARGET : till 23350 if the momentum continues FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS - concerns among investors regarding upcoming maharashtra elections is causing market sell-off as its a major economic state in india and could see policy shifts after new government comes in power which may affect sectors closely tied to government decisions Shortby peace_loverUpdated 5
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/11/2024Gap up opening expected near 23550 level in nifty. After opening if it's starts trading and sustain above 23550 level then strong bullish rally expected. 23450-23550 levels are the consolidation range for nifty. Downside movement expected below 23450 level and this rally can goes upto 23200 level in case nifty starts trading below 23450 level.by TradZoo17
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 19-Nov-2024Trading Plan for 19-Nov-2024 Intro: Previous Day’s Chart Analysis On 18-Nov-2024, the market exhibited a mix of bullish recovery and consolidation. Yellow regions indicated sideways movement, suggesting indecision in the market. Green zones demonstrated bullish recovery attempts, while Red zones highlighted bearish breakdown scenarios. Intraday resistance at 23,725 played a key role in limiting gains, while support at 23,324 helped prevent a deeper sell-off. Gap-Up Opening Scenario (+100 Points or More): If Nifty opens around 23,600–23,700 , look for rejection near the resistance zone at 23,657 . Wait for a confirmation candle before entering short positions, targeting the 23,456 support. If momentum sustains above 23,657 , expect bullish continuation towards 23,725 . Initiate longs after a retest of 23,657 , with a stop loss at 23,600 . Avoid initiating trades if Nifty stays within 23,657–23,725 without a clear breakout or breakdown. Flat Opening Scenario (+/- 50 Points): A flat open near 23,462–23,475 would place the market in the No Trading Zone . Observe price action in this zone to gauge direction. If the index breaks below 23,456 , short with targets at 23,396 and 23,324 , maintaining a stop loss at 23,475 . For bullish setups, a breakout above 23,475 could lead to a move toward 23,657 , with stop losses placed at 23,450 . Gap-Down Opening Scenario (-100 Points or More): If Nifty opens near 23,324–23,350 , monitor for a pullback to 23,396 . Short positions can be initiated on rejection at 23,396 , targeting 23,291 and 23,123 . A strong recovery above 23,396 could indicate bullish reversal potential. Longs can be considered after confirmation, with targets at 23,475 . For aggressive selling, watch for a breach below 23,291 , which may trigger further downside to 23,123 . Use tight stop losses to manage risk. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid chasing trades immediately after the opening bell; let the first 15–30 minutes establish a clear trend. Use stop losses based on hourly candle closes to reduce the impact of market noise. Limit position sizes in volatile zones and avoid holding positions into key economic events. Keep track of implied volatility (IV) levels to assess premium pricing; avoid overpaying for options. Summary and Conclusion: The market's reaction near critical levels such as 23,657 (resistance) and 23,324 (support) will determine the trend for the day. Bullish momentum above 23,657 could target 23,725 , while failure to hold 23,324 may lead to a retest of 23,123 . Follow disciplined trading, and remember that patience and risk management are key to navigating uncertain conditions. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All information provided is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.by LiveTradingBox6
Nifty near Mid channel & 50 Weeks EMA (Mother Line) support. Nifty after closing below the 200 days EMA Father line on daily charts, may find support near 50 weeks EMA (Mother line of Weekly chart). The 50 weeks EMA is at 23233. Before reaching there today's low of 23350 will also be a support. If by chance both these levels are broken the mid channel support for Nifty seems to be at at 22800 zone. Below which the bears have potential to drag Nifty further down to 22500 or even below 22K levels. To know more about Parallel channels and how they work or my Mother Father small child theory you can read my book The Happy candles way to wealth creation. Available in Paperback or E-version on Amazon and Google Play book. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side are at 23658, 24122, 25012 and 25898. Above 25989 Nifty will aim to make a new all time high again as channel top currently seems to be near 27K. RSI is also suggesting that Nifty can make a substantial come back any time now. Bollinger band lower band width has been pierced today both in daily chart as well as weekly chart indicating that market is heavily oversold and short covering can lead to a moderate recovery or substantial recovery sooner than later. The signs of bottom formation are clear unless FIIs begin another round of aggressive selling. The selling by FII has been continuous but seems to have decreased in the last few sessions rising further hopes for recovery. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.by Happy_Candles_Investment3
NIFTY S/R for 19/11/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.by zenthosh2
Nifty & Sensex Analysis & Trade Plan for 19th NovemberNifty & Sensex Analysis & Trade Plan for 19th November08:13by rahulbora111
Nifty Start of Week Pre Market Report for November 18 - 22, 2024Nifty closed the previous week with a strong Bearish candle continuing the bearish sentiment that has been prevailing in the markets from 30th September, 2024. As we can see in the Daily Charts, there has been continuous selling each week. We have already witnessed 2 complete legs of selling from the top. I believe we could be now in the 3rd leg of selling. There could be up to 5 legs of selling. By that logic, 22,000 level could see a strong support in the coming weeks. Presently, Nifty is taking support at 200 DEMA. There could be a mild bounce from this zone. However, I feel that that too would get taken out in a couple of days with a strong Bearish Daily candle (O=H type candle) which would lead the market to 22,900 zones. All Nifty sectors continue to be weak barring the IT and Pharma. Globally, all the markets continue to be weak except for The Australian markets, The Chinese Markets and the Hang Seng. For this Week, Nifty could trade in the range between 24,330 to 23,200. Stay tuned for Intraday updates as and when good set ups happen. Shortby Sky_Tracer1
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/11/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if it's sustain above 23500 level and indicates bullish reversal from this level then possible upside rally upto 23750 in opening session. But in case nifty starts trading below 23450 level then possible strong downside fall in nifty upto 23200- level in today's session. by TradZoo13
A negative channel in NiftyThere is a bearish channel forming in Nifty in hourly timeframe . It has multiple touches it has respected .From the low made on Friday we could see a bullish move of 500 points upside . The trend of Nifty will be bearish until it respects this channel Longby neeshalr1993119
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 18/11/2024Overview This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets. Key Strategy Guidelines Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning. Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions. ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk. System Explanation This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach. How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals Blue Line : Signals potential long entry. Red Line : Indicates potential short entry. Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance. Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels Stop Loss: Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line. Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss. Take Profit: Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit. Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines. Timeframe Recommendation This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision. Risk Disclaimer Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance. Join the Community Discussion Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders. Original Content This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.by tony_fx_sm6
In Depth Analysis for Nifty 50 Index (1-Hour Chart)Symbol: Nifty 50 Timeframe: 1-Hour --- Technical Analysis: The Nifty 50 index is currently trading at 23,559.60, moving within a well-defined downward-sloping channel. The price is nearing a crucial support zone (23,480-23,570), which could act as a potential area for a short-term bounce. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless a breakout occurs above the resistance levels. --- Key Observations: 1. Trend: The index is clearly in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows within the channel. The bearish sentiment remains dominant. 2. Support & Resistance: Immediate Support: 23,480-23,570. A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside toward 23,200. Immediate Resistance: 24,070-24,540. These levels correspond to the midline and upper boundary of the channel. 3. Volume Analysis: Declining volumes on the recent down move indicate a potential loss of selling momentum, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback. 4. Potential Reversal Zone: A break above 24,070 could trigger a short-covering rally, pushing prices toward 24,540. --- Trade Setup: 1. For Bulls: Entry: Consider going long near 23,480-23,570, provided there are bullish reversal signals like a hammer or bullish engulfing candle. Target: 24,070, and an extended target of 24,540. Stop Loss: Below 23,450, to minimize downside risk. 2. For Bears: Entry: Look for shorting opportunities on rejection near 24,070 or at the channel’s upper boundary (24,540). Target: 23,480 and further downside to 23,200. Stop Loss: Above 24,600. --- Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Breakout: A decisive close above 24,070 will confirm a breakout from the channel, opening doors for a move toward higher levels. 2. Continuation of Downtrend: If the index fails to hold the 23,480 support, it could continue its bearish trajectory to 23,200.by TradeAXN0
If NIFTY does not hold 23000 level, next target is 21500Providing some more analysis. Current NIFTY target is 23000, if it breaks that level, the next major support target is 21500. by caljosh12