Market Structure Breakdown: From Downtrend to Potential Reversal Trend Analysis
Primary Trend: 📉 Downtrend (recently broken)
The chart shows a clear downward trend with lower highs and lower lows, confirmed by the yellow descending trendline.
Recently, the price broke above the trendline, which could signal a potential trend reversal or consolidation phase.
Current Trend: 📊 Sideways/Range-bound
After the breakout, the price is now consolidating near a resistance level.
If the price sustains above the resistance, it could shift into an uptrend; otherwise, it might retest lower levels.
Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance (Supply Zones):
22,959 (Yellow Line) → Price is facing resistance here, as indicated by multiple rejections.
23,200 Zone (Upper Yellow Area) → Next potential resistance if the price breaks above the current level.
Support (Demand Zones):
22,725-22,785 (Brown Zone) → A demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
22,600 Zone (Purple Trendline) → Long-term support based on the lower trendline.
Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout above 22,959 → Potential upside towards 23,200.
Rejection at 22,959 → Possible retest of the demand zone at 22,725.
NIFTY trade ideas
Nifty stopped by Trendline and Mid-Channel Resistance. Nifty again today was stopped by the trendline and mid channel resistance inside the falling channel. A closing above mid-channel around 22967 will enable some strength to Nifty. However closing above the Mid-Channel will not be enough as there are 50 hours resistance line or the Mother line of hourly chart nearby as well. This Mother line is at 23043. The next resistance if we get a closing above 23043 will be near 23200. After this hurdle is crossed the next hurdle is near 23307. 23307 is the Father line of hourly chart. Post crossing this area the channel top will be near 23494. Supports for Nifty right now are at 22802, 22745. If 22745 is broken channel bottom support is near 22451 and post that trend bottom support near 22114. The closing was negative today but shadow of the candle is neutral to positive. Which can be considered a possible sign of reversal. However it is to early to call it a clear reversal until we get a closing above 23494.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 19-Feb-2025We will analyze potential trade setups for NIFTY based on three different opening scenarios: Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down. The plan is designed to help traders navigate the market effectively while managing risk.
📍 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 22930, we need to carefully assess the price action at key resistance zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If the index sustains above 22950, it may move towards the 23039-23065 resistance zone.
A strong breakout above 23065 can push NIFTY towards 23178. However, watch for rejection signs near resistance.
If price struggles at 23039-23065, it may provide a short opportunity with a downside target of 22895-22949.
🛑 Invalidation: If NIFTY breaks and sustains above 23065, bearish trades should be avoided.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23178
🔻 Bearish Target: 22895
📍 Scenario 2: Flat Opening
A flat opening near 22,923 requires patience as price discovery takes place.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price remains between 22,895 - 22,949, it's a No-Trade Zone 📌 – avoid choppy action.
A breakout above 22,950 can push the index towards the 23039-23065 resistance area.
A breakdown below 22,895 may lead to a test of the 22,755-22,779 support zone.
If NIFTY takes support at 22,755, it may provide a buying opportunity.
🚨 No Trading in Choppy Zone: Avoid entering positions unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23039
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,755
📍 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,850, it suggests weakness and a test of key support zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price holds 22,755-22,779, a bounce-back move can be expected.
A strong breakdown below 22,755 can drag NIFTY towards the 22,648-22,672 weak buyer’s support.
If the market finds demand at 22,648, it could lead to an intraday reversal opportunity.
📢 Watch out for panic selling near support zones – look for reversal signs before going long.
🎯 Bullish Target: 22,923
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,648
🎯 Risk Management & Pro Tips for Options Traders
📌 Avoid buying options immediately after market opens – wait for direction confirmation.
📌 Use stop-loss wisely – protect capital in volatile conditions.
📌 Time decay matters! If trading options, avoid holding losing positions for too long.
📌 Watch for wicks & rejection candles near key levels to time your entries better.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Levels: 23039-23065, 23178
✅ Key Support Levels: 22,755-22,779, 22,648-22,672
✅ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949
🚀 Bullish above: 22,950
📉 Bearish below: 22,755
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 💡
NIfty 50 , Daily chart analyses , price approaching major supporNifty 50 Index – Daily Chart Analysis (Feb 18, 2025)
1. Trend & Market Structure
The Nifty 50 index remains in a long-term uptrend, with a well-respected upward trendline providing dynamic support.
The market recently pulled back from its all-time highs (~27,000) and is now testing a critical support zone (~22,750 - 23,000).
The price is currently sitting at the trendline support, making this a key decision point for buyers and sellers.
2. Key Levels to Watch
Support:
22,750 - 23,000 → Strong horizontal support and trendline intersection.
21,500 - 22,000 → Next major support if breakdown occurs.
Resistance:
24,500 - 25,000 → First hurdle if the market rebounds.
27,000+ → Major upside target if the trend continues.
3. Potential Trading Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario (Trendline Holds & Rebound)
If buyers step in at the current trendline, we could see a bounce back toward 24,500 - 25,000.
A breakout above 25,000 would confirm continuation of the long-term bullish trend.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Below Support)
A break below 22,750 would indicate a loss of bullish momentum, potentially leading to a drop toward 21,500 - 22,000.
If further selling pressure increases, a trend reversal could be confirmed.
4. Volume & Market Sentiment
Volume is currently stable but not showing strong buying interest yet.
A surge in volume near the trendline could confirm whether bulls will defend this level.
Conclusion
Key Decision Point: 22,750 - 23,000 (Buyers need to defend this area).
Bullish Bias: Holding the trendline could lead to another rally toward new highs.
Bearish Risk: A breakdown could lead to a deeper pullback below 22,000.
Nifty 50 Reversal Trading in the Zone!
The Nifty 50 is a benchmark index of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, representing the performance of the top 50 companies listed on the exchange. A reversal in the Nifty 50 refers to a change in the prevailing trend, either from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. Identifying a reversal is crucial for traders and investors to capitalize on potential opportunities or protect their portfolios.
NIFTY 18 FEB 2025 - Key Levels 📊 Intraday Key Levels & Market Outlook 🔥
🚀 Current Market Price (CMP): 22,963.50
📈 Bullish Above (Resistance Levels):
🔴 23,037.40 – Key resistance zone, potential rejection area.
🔴 23,127.90 - 23,180.60 – Major resistance, break above could trigger strong bullish momentum.
🔴 23,311.70 - 23,322.65 – Critical supply zone, major breakout level.(IT' PNEED TO TOUCH BUT MAY BE NOT TODAY)
📉 Bearish Below (Support Levels):
🟠 22,835.90 - 22,816.60 (Key Yellow Zone) – This acts as a bullish/bearish pivot:
Above this, buyers may dominate.
Below this, sellers could take control.
🟢 22,665.90 - 22,624.80 – Demand zone, possible bullish bounce.
🟢 22,550.00 (New Support) – Additional key level, could act as strong support if price drops further.
📌 Trading Plan:
🔹 Above 22,835.90 – Bullish bias; look for buying setups.
🔹 Below 22,816.60 – Bearish bias; look for shorting opportunities.
🔹 Breakout traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades.
#Trading #StockMarket #Intraday #PriceAction #TradingView
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/02/2025Today will be flat opening expected in nifty. After opening important level is 23000. If nifty starts trading above 23050 then possible upside rally in opening session. If nifty not sustain above level and starts trading below 22950 then sharp downside expected upto 22800 and this can be extend further for 200+ points if nifty gives breakdown of 22750 level.
FALLING WEDGE PATTERN is yet to be completed As we can see NIFTY is forming more like a falling wedge pattern in bigger time frame which could result major change in trend when the break of structure is seen but we can see NIFTY has not fully formed falling wedge pattern and hence giving more room for fall so unless the structure is completely formed, every rise can be sold till confirmation is found so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
18 feb nifty important level & trading zone For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
Gap up open 23043 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 23163,23360
Gap up open 23043 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22870,22750
Gap down open 22870 above 15m hold after positive trade target 23043, 23160
Gap down open 22870 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade 22750,22670
More education following me
NIFTY S/R for 18/2/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NIFTY 50 KEY LEVELS FOR 18/02/2025//description
// All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: www.tradingview.com
// Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work.
I want to make it clear that I am not a seller, and this method was not taught to me by anyone. The original creator only gave me one clue:
👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
Everything else—the way I nail it the method and applied it—is my own work. I respect the original idea, but my approach is independent.
Explanation:
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
Entry/Exit Points:
- Entry/Exit Lines: Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- Stop Loss: For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- Take Profit: For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
Timeframe:
Use a 5 mins timeframe for trading.
Risk Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
Great 234 point comeback by Nifty from lows of the day. Nifty made a great comeback of 234 points from lows of the day that is 22725 to close at 22959. The momentum has to carry forward tomorrow in order for any rally to sustain. Only when we get a closing above Mother and Father line Bulls can take a sigh of relief. Mother line and Father line are at 23530 and 23587 respectively. Before we reach there there are cyclical resistances 3 months or older at 22984, 23229 and 23435. Supports for Nifty will be at 22725, 22438 and 22159. If we get a weekly closing below 22159 the next supports will be at 21810 and 21302 only. So despite a good closing we are not out of danger zone as of now. Shadow of the candle is neutral as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Feb-2025
The market structure and price action suggest a key decision-making zone around 22,990-23,030. Based on the opening price, we will approach the trade accordingly.
🔹 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 23,030, it will directly enter the resistance zone. Here’s how to plan:
A rejection from 23,126 can trigger a short trade targeting 22,990. Confirmation is needed via bearish candles.
If NIFTY sustains above 23,126, a further rally towards 23,299 is possible. Look for a breakout retest before entering long positions.
Avoid fresh longs near resistance unless volume confirms breakout strength.
📌 Pro Tip: If opening above resistance, avoid chasing longs immediately; wait for a pullback.
🔹 2. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close: 22,954-22,990)
If price holds 22,990 and bounces, expect a push towards 23,030 and possibly 23,126.
A breakdown below 22,963 can lead to a drop towards 22,847.
Consider sideways movement between 22,990-23,030 as a no-trade zone unless a clear trend emerges.
📌 Pro Tip: Flat opens demand patience—wait for clear directional movement before entering.
🔹 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens below 22,847, it enters the support zone. Here’s how to approach:
A bullish rejection from 22,779 can offer a good long trade towards 22,847-22,963.
If the support fails, expect a deeper correction towards 22,720.
Sideways action in the 22,779-22,847 zone suggests waiting for trend confirmation.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t rush into long trades unless price action confirms demand at support.
🔸 Risk Management & Options Trading Tips 🛡️
Keep SL tight, especially if trading near resistance/support zones.
Use option spreads to reduce risk in high-volatility conditions.
Avoid overtrading—stick to planned levels and execution strategies.
Watch open interest data to confirm market direction.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Resistance Levels: 23,030 → 23,126 → 23,299✅ Support Levels: 22,963 → 22,847 → 22,779✅ Trade Carefully in No Trade Zone: 22,990-23,030
🎯 The market is at a crucial level; patience and confirmation-based entries are key! Let the price action guide your trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 🚀
Nifty longNifty forming a bull flag
If a wave 5 forms deep testing the lower trend line, followed be
a bullish candlestick pattern will be a buy opportunity.
Or on bullish breakout of the bullflag pattern it will be a buy trade opportunity.
On violation of the Bullflag we can still see further down side.
Trade only on confirmation.
NIFTY View For Next FEW DaysThe NIFTY 50 is a benchmark Indian stock market index that represents the weighted average of 50 of the largest Indian companies listed on the National Stock Exchange. Nifty 50 is owned and managed by NSE Indices, which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.
Nifty50 in negative zone : Be cautiousHello Friends,
After analyzing the long-term chart of the Nifty50 Index, I believe it has entered a negative zone. Therefore, I advise caution before taking long positions. It is wise to avoid speculation and naked derivative positions. If you decide to trade, please do so with strict stop-loss orders; otherwise, it may be best to refrain from initiating fresh positions.
I believe the Nifty50 has strong support at 22000 levels. However, any entry at those levels should depend on market movement and sentiment at that time.
It is important to note that this is not the time to book losses or exit in a panic, nor to re-enter at 22000 levels. I recommend holding existing positions and staying patient.
These are merely my observations regarding the market, and readers may have differing opinions.
Indian Market still in diarrhea modeFIIs still aggressively selling, they are selling with a vengeance....Indian investors can only look and weep because we are idiots caught up in the euphoria....Meanwhile those who are trading options can look to buy puts on every major rise, but I don't do options as it is a sure shot way to deplete your capital.....Put all your losing stocks in SIP mode, as in buy small quantities every day to bring your average cost down....Thats the only advise I can give you....Meanwhile major supports are shown by white lines....Lets hope anyone of those holds....Or as Nirmala Taai says, retail investors shock absorbing capability....if you want us to absorb more, get rid of your ridiculous STT, LTCG tax and other nonsense tax meant to eat into the returns of the investor....
Nifty 50 MovesThe Nifty 50 is a benchmark stock market index in India, representing the weighted average of 50 of the largest Indian companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). A "demand zone" in technical analysis refers to a price area where buying interest is significantly strong, often leading to a potential reversal or support level. If you're referring to a "demand zone move" in the context of the Nifty 50, it typically means the index is approaching or reacting to a key support level where buyers are expected to step in.