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NIFTY trade ideas

NIFTY 50 – Key Reversal Zones The NIFTY 50 Index is currently trading at 22,142.50, maintaining a marginal gain of +24.90 points (+0.11%) amid ongoing bearish pressure. Despite the small recovery, the overall market structure remains weak, with multiple Break of Structure (BoS) confirmations highlighting a sustained downtrend. The price action in recent sessions has been heavily influenced by institutional liquidity sweeps. The Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals indicate that sellers remain dominant, dragging the price lower into the discount zone, where potential buying interest may emerge. Key observations: Multiple Bearish Engulfing (BE) signals appearing at supply zones confirm that institutional sellers are actively offloading positions. A strong downtrend with Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH) suggests continued weakness unless a major reversal is triggered. The 90th percentile liquidity sweep on February 28 led to a significant breakdown, taking price deeper into the discount zone, where buyers are attempting to stabilize. Fibonacci & Equilibrium Levels: 0.236 Level (~22,142.50): Currently acting as short-term support; a breakdown here could accelerate further declines. 0.382 Level (~22,200 - 22,250): This level aligns with the area of interest and may act as a rejection point if price attempts a relief rally. 0.5 Level (~22,300): Considered an equilibrium zone; price needs to reclaim this for bullish momentum to strengthen. 0.618 - 0.786 Levels (~22,500 - 22,600): The premium zone where major supply sits. If price reaches this area, expect strong resistance. Key Zones & Possible Scenarios: Bearish Case: If price fails to hold 22,142, the next major support sits near 21,900 - 21,860, which aligns with strong liquidity levels. A move below this would indicate a deeper sell-off. Bullish Case: If price sustains above 22,142 and clears 22,200, buyers could push it toward the 22,300 - 22,500 range, where a fresh supply test will determine the next trend. The ongoing bearish trend suggests that any bounce should be viewed cautiously unless structural confirmation occurs. With price still trading within the discount zone, a liquidity grab could occur before a meaningful reversal. Monitoring key Fibonacci retracement levels and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) signals will be crucial for identifying the next major move.
NSE:NIFTY
by ginfoguy
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action : Nifty closed flat of much drama Technicals: Nifty opened gap up in line with global cues to find sellers at every high. Nifty made new low around 22000 and bounced back to close flat below all DEMAs The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index closed below 30 suggesting oversold markets. Support/Resistance Major Support 21900 Immediate Support 22000 Immediate Resistance 22250 Major Resistance 22400, 22500 Trend: Overall Trend is Bearish, Sell on Rise Options Data: Highest CE OI was at 22500 with highest addition at 22400 - Resistance Highest PE OI was at 21900, highest Put writing seen at 22000, 21900 - No major support PCR is 0.7 which indicates Bearishness Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 16%/84% FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +3K with no change in shorts Nifty Futures price was flat with small addition of OI Outlook for Next Session: Nifty is weak Sell on every rise Approch: Short at higher levels for target 21500 with SL 22600 My Trades & Positions: Holding Shorts in March monthly contract from 22850 levels (booked half at 22050 levels)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sandeep_CA
Key Levels & Trading Plan for the Current Market Trend1. Identified Key Levels Type Price Level (Approx.) Significance Major Resistance 22,700 - 22,800 Previous support turned resistance; strong rejection possible. Minor Resistance 22,400 - 22,500 Short-term bounce zone; potential sell-off area. Current Price Zone 22,100 - 22,200 Market hovering near key support; decision point. First Major Support 21,800 - 21,900 Next critical level; breakdown could accelerate selling. Second Major Support 21,500 - 21,600 Deeper demand zone; last line of defense before more downside. 2. Trading Strategies Based on Key Levels Bearish Continuation Trade (Higher Probability) • Entry: Look for a pullback to 22,400 - 22,500 for short positions. • Stop-Loss: Above 22,700 to avoid getting trapped in a fakeout. • Take-Profit 1: 21,900 - 22,000 (First major support). • Take-Profit 2: 21,500 (Next strong support). Bullish Relief Rally (Lower Probability) • Entry: If price forms a bullish engulfing candle + high volume around 21,800 - 22,000. • Stop-Loss: Below 21,600 to limit downside risk. • Take-Profit 1: 22,400 - 22,500 (Short-term bounce area). • Take-Profit 2: 22,700 (Stronger resistance). 3. Risk Management & Confirmation Signals • Bearish Confirmation: • Price rejection at resistance (22,400-22,500). • Low bullish volume on pullbacks. • Large red candles breaking support. • Bullish Confirmation: • Strong reversal candle at key support. • Increase in buying volume. • Break above 22,400 with momentum. Final Outlook • Primary Bias: Bearish → Look for short opportunities on pullbacks. • Secondary Bias: Bullish only if price shows strong reversal near 21,800 - 21,900.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by pvnm82
Nifty DiarrheaNothing positive to take the market higher....In a bear phase, good news doesn't have any impact. I have marked the possible areas where nifty could potentially reverse....But its in the red channel now. The green channel has broken, and market may go up to retest the bottom of the green channel...But currently its a sell on rise market till its not....For those who are/have become forced to be long term holders, you can start accumulating in bits and pieces as markets are designed to go up unless something cataclysmic takes place....Indian markets are still overvalued.....DIIs and retailers don't have the strength to propel the market higher, and are just being liquidity for FIIs.....FIIs may return at some point, but one or 2 things have to happen....Valuation should be cheaper for fresh buying and/or Nirmala Thaai should do something about STT and LTCG (which I highly doubt)....For those who are long only strategies, it will take a while for markets to form a bottom and reverse, markets could also remain flat for a long time to form a strong base.....
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Roopesh80
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and plan for 03-Mar-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on March 3, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,163 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,063), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher after a consolidation phase. If the price sustains above 22,163, it could target the resistance zone of 22,355–22,460. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 22,355–22,460, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,127–22,063 (opening support/consolidation zone and previous close). Should the price break above 22,460 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 22,600 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,163 , targeting 22,355–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,063 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,355–22,460, aiming for 22,127–22,063. Place a stop-loss above 22,460 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points indicates a potential breakout from the current consolidation range of 21,613–21,600. Waiting for a retest of 22,163 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,355–22,460 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,063–22,127) If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,063–22,127, it suggests a balanced market continuing its consolidation phase with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area. A breakout above 22,127 could drive prices toward 22,355–22,460, signaling bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. A breakdown below 22,063 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 21,889 (first buyer’s support) or even 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 22,127 , targeting 22,355–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,063 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 22,063 , targeting 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. Set a stop-loss above 22,127 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening within the 22,063–22,127 range indicates the market is still consolidating, a no-trade zone unless a breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to confirm a breakout above 22,127 for a bullish move or a breakdown below 22,063 for a bearish move, avoiding premature entries. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If NIFTY 50 opens below 21,963 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,063), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness, testing the lower support levels. Immediate support lies at 21,889 (first buyer’s support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,063–22,127 could occur. If 21,889 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level for a reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 21,889 , targeting a pullback to 22,063–22,127. Use a stop-loss below 21,600 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 21,889 , targeting 21,613–21,600. Place a stop-loss above 21,889 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points suggests continued downward pressure, but support at 21,889 could trigger a rebound if it holds. Waiting for confirmation near 21,889 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting. The 21,613–21,600 zone is a critical level for a potential reversal if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,355 or 21,889) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 22,127 → Target: 22,355–22,460. ✔️ Bearish Below: 22,063 → Target: 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,063–22,127 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on March 3, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
#nifty50 Bhalu bhaiya maan jaao :)Nifty ended the week at 22,124, down 670 points from the previous week's close, with a high of 22,668 and a low of 22,104. As I highlighted last week, the formation of a gravestone doji was a bearish signal, indicating the market was under the influence of selling pressure—and we’ve now witnessed the impact of that pattern. Currently, Nifty is testing the critical support at the WEMA100 level, which could trigger a bounce. However, any rally should be seen as an opportunity to enter fresh short positions. As mentioned last week, if Nifty closed below the 22,400 level on the monthly chart, we were likely to see further correction, and that’s exactly what transpired. While it may sound negative, I anticipate the index heading toward the 19,500 mark . For long-term investors, there’s no need for concern. This pullback could offer a prime opportunity to buy fundamentally strong stocks at attractive prices. Traders, on the other hand, should focus on a “sell on rise” strategy instead of attempting to pick a bottom and risking substantial losses. Turning to the S&P 500, as I pointed out last week, the bearish M-pattern was in play. From the recent high of 6043, we’ve seen a 3.5% correction. On the weekly chart, the index has formed a long-legged candle, signaling that demand is emerging from lower levels. For the past four months, the S&P 500 has struggled to break through the significant resistance at 6000, failing to close above it on a monthly basis. A decisive monthly close above 6000 could open the door for the index to reach higher levels, potentially targeting 6225, 6376, 6454, and 6568. In conclusion, the market remains under pressure, with Nifty at a key support level and the S&P 500 facing resistance. Investors should remain focused on long-term opportunities, while traders should be cautious and adopt a disciplined approach to navigating the current market volatility. Stay strategic, stay patient, and let the market unfold.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Did the Nifty 50 go bear? to 10k target?Bearish case - If Trumps tariffs hit India hardest, he wants America great again and the biggest competitor is India with young intelligent cheap labour force - 39% tariffs I heard maybe incorrect but its big - India has lead the way down - 2008/10 bear projected from this top fits to 61.8 fall to approx 10k big round number - fast scenario to reach target gives us summer 2025 to trend line off lows dotted - Some what slower target give Jan 2026 albeit only a fall to the long term main channel trend line The time is right for a 4th turning, which suggests the bear will be a 50-61.8 fall ilo smaller one. Using fib projections, the recent ATH gave an inflection point exactly at the top if it is the top This could be ideal time to go short see my Nikki225 write up on the same basis for more detail - There are no bears left - Retail knows its a bubble but they still stay in - There is record leverage and nobody is scared but we have Trillions of debt to be rolled this year - Boomers are retiring and getting out of the game
NSE:NIFTYShort
by William_Playfair