Trend Break + Earnings Strength = ROHLTD Watch!Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd (ROHLTD) has caught the market’s attention recently with a powerful breakout move on the charts, supported by strong fundamentals. The company operates a growing chain of hotels across India under the Royal Orchid and Regenta brands. With domestic tourism booming and business travel recovering steadily, the company is well-positioned to benefit from rising demand in the hospitality sector.
From a technical perspective, the stock had been under a downward-sloping trendline for several months, consistently facing resistance. However, in the latest session, ROHLTD managed to break this trendline with a strong bullish candle and a noticeable increase in volume.
📈 The breakout occurred with volume confirmation, indicating genuine buying interest.
📍 The key breakout level is ₹403 — a daily close above this confirms strength.
🟩 A strong support (reversal) zone lies between ₹365–₹377, where buyers are expected to step in on dips.
🎯 Upside price targets in the near-to-mid term are ₹428, ₹450, ₹485, and possibly ₹545.
On the fundamental side, the company shows healthy financial performance. Revenues have been consistently growing and currently stand above ₹300 crore annually. Profit margins are stable, and the company is maintaining solid profitability.
💰 The Return on Equity (ROE) is around 25%, reflecting efficient capital use.
💸 The company is free cash flow positive, which adds to financial strength.
⚖️ Debt levels are moderate, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio.
🧮 The stock may appear slightly overvalued near ₹398–₹400, but the strong business outlook and asset-light expansion model justify the premium to some extent.
ROHLTD is also strategically expanding into new cities using a franchise and management contract model, which reduces capital expenditure and increases scalability. This positions the company well for long-term growth without over-leveraging its balance sheet.
For swing traders, the breakout provides an opportunity to enter above ₹403 with a stop loss below ₹360. The targets to watch would be ₹428, ₹450, and ₹485 in the coming weeks. For long-term investors, gradual accumulation near ₹365–₹380 on dips could be a smart strategy, with the potential to reach ₹500+ over the next 6–12 months, provided the company maintains its growth momentum.
In conclusion, ROHLTD is a rare case of a technical breakout aligning with strong fundamentals. While near-term volatility may persist, the overall trend appears bullish, making it a solid candidate for both traders and investors keeping a mid- to long-term view.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
ROHLTD trade ideas
Royal Orchid Hotels Good Investment BetHere comes another gem in this sideways market.Shooting up with good volumes and, very strong on larger weekly time frame.Stock has given a breakout after good consolidation from Sep '2022 and currently trading in uncharted territory.Set up is too good to ignore and is having a good Risk to reward ratio.Stop weekly close below 300 and immediate Fib targets seems to be 395 & 445.
royal orchid hotelIndia’s hotel industry has witnessed a robust turnaround in demand after the pandemic, led by the rising discretionary spending on tours and travels, revenge tourism, improving economic environment fuelling corporate travels and revival of mega wedding season and other cultural events. Again G20 & IPL is expected to increase demand for travel.
Industry has Strong pipeline to complement the robust demand. India’s tourism sector’s contribution to the GDP is expected to grow to USD250bn
by FY30 vs USD178bn in FY21, according to the ministry of tourism. This is backed by the fact that rising urbanisation in several tier-2 and tier-3 cities will drive the demand for hotels in different segments. Factoring this in, the industry is expected to witness a robust room addition (42,000 rooms) by FY27, which will increase total supply by 28% to almost two lakh rooms (source: Hotelivate).
Cost reduction and debt repayment bode well for margin enhancement
Hoteliers undertook various sustainable cost-reducing initiatives during the pandemic like multitasking workforce, reducing staff/room ratio, lowering overhead expenses, etc., which are yielding a high margin now, aided by improved demand and ARR. Further, shifting focus to assetlight management contracts and repayment of debt through fundraising has
helped make the companies balance sheets lean in FY22.
ROHLTD "Monthly Breakout Analysis"Hello Traders !
The above analysis was done on a "Monthly" basis, the holding period may take a few weeks or months to reach the targets.
Trade Setup and Analysis :
In monthly time, we can see an ascending triangle pattern on the above chart, as well as a Cup and Handle structure, which I have highlighted in the image below; both patterns were bullish in most cases.
Since July 22, the price has risen nearly 175%. I was expecting some consolidation in this region, which could last one or two weeks before the price shoots up further or it may corrects to the 210-220 level.
FII/FPI have increases holding from 3.79% to 4.24% in September'22 Quarter.
Trade Level :
Buy Level : 255 -260
Target : 510
Stop Loss : 175
Happy Trading
Royal orchid hotels ltdRoyal orchid hotels ltd good for swing trading
breakout on weekly chart
volume high on daily chart
Buy 272
1st target 329
2nd target 385
sp 211
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes
ROYAL ORCHID HOTELS 8-10-21This stock has broken the 92 level resistance , re tested it few days ago and has now formed bullish pattern confirmation on a daily chart. Right time to buy for minimum 15% returns in upcoming months. If the stock tests the 93 levels again , it would be an opportunity to buy more.
CMP : 100.40
TARGET 1 : 120
TARGET 2 : 133
PS : For educational purposes only