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UPL LTD

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UPL trade ideas

uplUPL numbers beat our estimates across the board. Revenue beat (+2.8%) due to strong volume and price growth, EBITDA beat due to lower-than-expected employee expenses, and Adj. PAT beat was due to reduced interest cost and one-time tax benefit. We increase our FY26E and FY27E estimates by 1.5% and 7.2% to INR 49.9 and INR 61.3, respectively showing our confidence that strong volume growth coupled with stable pricing trends, and reduction in interest cost from rights issue and Advanta stake sale. With normalized inventory levels across major markets the company is well-positioned to sustain the growth momentum.
NSE:UPLLong
by Tradernawab
UPL : What price action telling us?UPL Ltd – Analysis: Wave Structure & Retracement Zone: The price action shows a breakdown of the previous trendline support, followed by a failed Change of Character (ChoCH), indicating potential reversal dynamics. The stock bounced back strongly from the deep retracement zone (127% Fibonacci extension) near 471.55 INR, which also aligns with a key demand zone. Buying Range: The stock is trading within the highlighted buying range of 550-540 INR, which represents a potential accumulation zone. Target Zone: The first target zone is marked at 640-657 INR, which aligns with historical resistance levels. Stop Loss: A strict stop loss is set at 517.80 INR, below the demand zone and deep retracement level, as indicated on the chart. Trading Plan: Action: Place buy orders within the 550-540 INR range. Accumulate positions cautiously within this buying zone. Stop Loss: Place a daily closing-based stop loss at 517.80 INR. Targets: First Target: 640 INR. Final Target: 657 INR. Reasoning: The bounce from the deep retracement zone signals strong demand and potential institutional buying. Failure of the earlier bearish ChoCH suggests that the stock is likely transitioning into an upward trend. The target range aligns with previous key resistance levels, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio.
NSE:UPLLong
by LiveTradingBox
UPL Ltd. (NSE: UPL) AnalysisOverview: UPL Ltd. is currently trading at ₹545.50, showing signs of consolidation near its short-term moving averages. The price is poised at a critical level with a potential for either a breakout or a breakdown, depending on market dynamics and volume activity. Technical Insights: 1.Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Support: ₹528 (marked by recent lows and a strong demand zone). Key Resistance: ₹549.50 (current level) and ₹584.05 (previous swing high and significant supply zone). 2.Volume Profile: The visible range volume profile indicates a concentration of volume between ₹540-₹550, suggesting this zone as a pivot for future price action. A breakout above ₹549.50 could attract higher volumes, pushing the stock towards ₹584. 3.Moving Averages: The stock is near its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, indicating a neutral short-term trend. A clear break above the 200-day EMA would signal a shift in momentum towards the bulls. 4.RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is hovering around 50, indicating a lack of strong momentum. A breakout above resistance could drive RSI towards overbought territory, confirming bullishness. Scenarios: Bullish Case: A breakout above ₹549.50 with high volumes could see the stock targeting ₹584.05 in the short term. Sustained momentum may lead to further upside towards ₹600. Bearish Case: Failure to sustain above ₹549.50 might result in a pullback to ₹528. A breakdown below ₹528 could open doors for lower levels, around ₹510. Trading Plan: Entry: Bullish: Above ₹550 for targets of ₹584 and ₹600. Bearish: Below ₹528 for targets of ₹510. Stop-Loss: Bullish: ₹535. Bearish: ₹540. Final Thoughts: UPL Ltd. is at a crucial level with a well-defined risk-reward setup. Traders should wait for confirmation of direction with strong volume support before taking positions. Monitor global agrochemical sector trends and news for potential catalysts.
NSE:UPLShort
by AngshumanSaikia
UPL LTD S/R Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset.
NSE:UPL
by zenthosh
UPL - Finally out of the woods?The stock had been in a downtrend for more than 15 months, losing almost 45% in value. In the last three months it was seeing some recovery and finally now it seems to be out of the woods. We can see the stock is making a higher high and higher low on the weekly and we can see a change of character in the weekly as well. Now finally the stock is decisively going above the 200 DMA and also the short-term moving averages. The relative strength and the money flow is also positive. Even the buying pressure and the absolute strength are also positive. It is showing a positive momentum as well. We can now confirm that the stock is finally ready to move up further and eventually the stock should be testing 800 levels.
NSE:UPLLong
by karthikmarar
1
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only. Stock has given break out but last 2 sessions are red so buy after break out . Keep this stock in watch list. Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading. Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. As stop loss is Big we keep Initial Target Ratio 1:1 & Target 2 - 1:2. Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market. Trade what you See Not what you Think.
NSE:UPL
by AnsariTV
UPL :: Turning around to (Agrow)Chemical Stock? - It's been decades we have seen that AgriCulture is contributing almost about 18-20% in India's GDP growth yet this sector remains to be more politically inclined to their specific actions during major elections. - GDP contribution by Top 3 sectors: Agriculture: 18.4% Industry: 28.3% Services: 53.3% - NSE:UPL is one of the top 5 global providers of total agricultural solutions with a footprint in 138+ countries. Going by the current situation we see the following observations - 1) Script is trading at a Money-based range dating back to the pandemic lows after hitting 52W Lows due to global headwinds. 2) After a stellar doubler move from Dec'20 to May'21 the script delivered almost more than 100% return to its investors and eventually we see a exhaustion after an eventual double top like pattern with a neckline candle marked in a red zone. 3) Interestingly, you see a SWAP LEVEL marked to denote the beautiful Yearly Low of 2021 being protected for next 2yrs and finally breaks down nearing ending of 2022 while being in a range of 200p within the red zone and swap level for that existing period. 4) While, we talked about price action in the previous point we missed out the lethal info being nudged in by our FUNDFLUX tool which showed consistent outflow of money in first 2Q's of 2022 before it out the swap level in Q3 of 2022. 5) What happens next will make you understand why we call the marked blue dotted line as the "Swap level" as after the breakdown we see a retest of the same level now turning out to be a resistance for script and eventually the Yearly Pivot Level of 2024 . 6) Now, currently the script trades in a good money-based range eventually dodging out YL4 breakdown and here the risk seems to be minimum as per the return is concerned as after 510-520 the script will be ripped for 640-650 initial target making a return of 30-35% in cash from entry being in the marked money-based green range and it can be in news in this quarter as elections are nearing and as said in the beginning - "AgriCulture" will be on one of the top agendas of the political parties and alongside if we see a relief from destocking and price revisions in the West after the much anticipated rate cuts then it will be an icing on the cake for the script as margins will improve in the coming quarterly results and lastly monsoon season is about to begin in India in a month and till now SKYMET expects Monsoon to be 'normal' in India. A RELEVANT ARTICLE - www.livemint.com
NSE:UPL
by PivotMinati
1