RBOB breaking out into up channelWe are now well into the driving season with additional incentive moving the crack margins upwards: namely the loss of the Philadelphia PES Refinery -ve 335 kbbl capacity and no obvious solution to the shipping risk in the Straits of Hormuz. RBOB has been very responsive to a simple channel moves for many months. There is no need to over complicate RBOB. It's a straight buy.Longby TreeDocPublished 2
Waiting for the breakout on USOILWe expect the breakout on USOIL, remember the condition: Gasoline is the leading indicator from Crude OilLongby vhugeatPublished 2
Gasoline (RB1!): Bullish reversal.Gasoline made two important break outs this week: 1) above the 1D Lower High trend line and 2) the 1.7659 4H Resistance. Trading now on standard bullish set up (RSI = 62.821, MACD = 0.013, Highs/Lows = 0.0339), a Channel Up may emerge if the 1.7868 Resistance is rejected. If broken then the uptrend will most likely continue until it reaches the MA200. It will be extremely positive if the MA50 turns into a support now. The long term TP is 1.9000. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.Longby InvestingScopePublished 8
GASOLINE Long SignalPattern: Channel Up on 4H. Signal: Bullish after it bounced on the 1D Support and broke the previous Channel Down. Target: 2.0400 (next Resistance).Longby TradingShotPublished 5
Short on RBOBShorting RBOB ( Gasoline ) at 2.15. TECHNICAL This is largely based on a technical situation: Two (2) fib levels confluence 88.8% ( MAY ’18 -> DEC ‘18 ) 1.27% ( MAR ’19 -> APR ‘19 ) One ( 1 ) notable Fib “Time” Level ( 1.382% FEB ’16 -> MAY ’18 ( Bullish Retrenchment ) ) Previous Structure Mid ’18, Aug ’17 & Jun ‘15 RSI Divergence RSI ( Daily Chart ) topped out in MAR; a further push up would be x2 divergence 100 Day MA I haven’t fully quantified this part albeit it will likely end up ~20% above the 100 day moving average; it has certainly exceeded that ( NOV -> DEC ’18 ) albeit 20% was the top in MAY ‘18 Round # It’s a round # FUNDAMENTAL There are a lot of fundamental factors affecting why this might not be a good trade. The US is looking to end waivers on Iran, Venezuela ( it’s happening ), Saudi Aramco is looking to IPO soon, etc. On the other hand, Trump has been pretty quiet on oil prices ( BTW – I know this trade is RBOB ) & seasonality ( I haven’t done my own research yet ) suggests it’s coming to a consolidation stage ( link ). IN SHORT Stop Loss: ( 2.2587 ) TP: ( 0.618 from 24 DEC ‘18 however far it pushes into it ) Shortby izogawa_tradingPublished 0
GASOLINE Buy Signal on pull backPattern: Channel Up on 1D. Signal: Bullish if then price pulls back near 1.8900. Target: 1.9800 (projected Higher High of the pattern).Longby TradingShotPublished 2
SOMETHING VERY BAD MAYBE ABOUT TO HAPPEN I HOPE I AM WRONG HIGHER GAS PRICES WOULD CHOKE THE POCKETS OF ALL IF THIS TURNS OUT THIS IS THE ONLY POST I HOPE FOR US ALL IS WRONG Longby wavetimerPublished 1
let the good times rollnot much to say on this one except awe yeaLongby The_dumpster_diverPublished 0
Gasoline: How high can it get?This is a long term analysis on Gasoline on the 1W chart. We are trying to determine where this aggressive buying sequence that started at the end of December will stop. The previous similar sequence stopped just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Then it bottomed just under the 0.500 level and consolidated before it resumed the uptrend. We expect a similar pattern this time as well. The current 0.618 Fibonacci level is at 1.8883, so expect a top around 1.8600. Similarly the 0.500 level is at 1.5543, so this is a projected pull back mark. This analysis is best suited for long term traders and investors who are looking for a safe and high R/R position for the next bull run. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.by InvestingScopePublished 115
GASSED up!We got a very pretty looking IHS breakout in gasoline futures this week. It's also a leading indicator for light sweet crude, brent crude, etc.. Sorry but gas prices are going up. Targeting $1.65.Longby fallingumbrellamanPublished 1
What RBOB repeats 2016 cycle.We will see but looks similar What RBOB repeats 2016 cycle.We will see but looks similar so far.RBOB could 1.10 by the end of the month.Shortby wafflehouseinthe212Published 1
RBOB GASOLINE FUTURES (MAR 2019), 1D, NYMEXTrading Signal Long Position (EP) : 1.4264 Stop Loss (SL) : 1.4061 Take Profit (TP) : 1.5075 Description RBH2019 Roll over from RBG2019 Double Repo Failure Buy at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Buy Limit at 0.382 Level (1.4264) and place stop after 0.618 level (1.4061). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (1.5075) Money Management Money in portfolio : $280,000 Risk Management (1%) : $2,800 Position Sizing $0.0001 = +-$4.2 Commission fee = -$2.37/std-contract EP to SL = $0 = -$852.6 Contract size to open = 3 standard contracts EP to TP = $0.1 = +$3,406.2 Expected Result Commission Fee = -$14.22 Loss = -$2,557.8 Gain = +$10,218.6 Risk/Reward Ratio = 3.97Longby SuppasitWechprasitUpdated 0
RBOB GASOLINE FUTURES (FEB 2019), 1D, NYMEXTrading Signal Short Position (EP) : 1.4468 Stop Loss (SL) : 1.4677 Take Profit (TP) : 1.405 Description RBG2019 formed Double Repo Failure Sell at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Sell Stop at 0.382 Level (1.4468) and place stop after 0.618 level (1.4677). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (1.405) Money Management Money in portfolio : $280,000 Risk Management (1%) : $2,800 Position Sizing $0.0001 = +-$4.2 Commission fee = -$2.37/std-contract EP to SL = $0 = -$877.8 Contract size to open = 3 standard contracts EP to TP = $0 = +$1,755.6 Expected Result Commission Fee = -$14.22 Loss = -$2,633.4 Gain = +$5,266.8 Risk/Reward Ratio = 1.98Shortby SuppasitWechprasitUpdated 0
RBOB GASOLINE FUTURES (FEB 2019), 1D, NYMEXTrading Signal Long Position (EP) : 1.4138 Stop Loss (SL) : 1.3935 Take Profit (TP) : 1.4949 Description RBG2019 formed Double Repo Failure Buy at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Buy Limit at 0.382 Level (1.4138) and place stop after 0.618 level (1.3935). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (1.4949) Money Management Money in portfolio : $280,000 Risk Management (1%) : $2,800 Position Sizing $0.0001 = +-$4.2 Commission fee = -$2.37/std-contract EP to SL = $0 = -$852.6 Contract size to open = 3 standard contracts EP to TP = $0.1 = +$3,406.2 Expected Result Commission Fee = -$14.22 Loss = -$2,557.8 Gain = +$10,218.6 Risk/Reward Ratio = 3.97Longby SuppasitWechprasitUpdated 2
RISING CHANNEL IN GASOLINE (TRAILS CRUDE OIL)No long explanation here, a rising channel in gasoline which will break to the downside so we are not yet cleared for bull trend just yet, same goes for crude oil as gasoline market trails crude, though sometimes ahead of crude in movement. HELPFUL VIDEOS TO TEACH YOU: www.youtube.com www.youtube.com DISCLAIMER; Do set stop losses when trading but be generous with how much room you allow for this due to candle wicks and there is also the possibility to hedge yourself, for more confident traders. All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire. IF YOU SUPPORT MY IDEAS, LIKE, FOLLOW & SHARE. ~ THANKS! ~by Dani0Published 1