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CL1! trade ideas

Oil Counter-Trend Longs into Next ShortOil has broken the 15 minute shorts and now are on their way to the All The Way HWB shorts in on the larger 4 hour time frames. You can see how on Friday, the small time frame shorts survived multiple 4 hour candle dives below the 61.8% longs, only to close at or above the 61.8% long. Our 15 minute bias is long and expect it to trade back up to the 82.18-83.42 level, where we sold it in April. Where we can, we will try to be a buyer . . . should have bought those 15 min longs on Friday but it's a hard contract to hold over the weekend. . . .though if there is a direction to hold oil over the weekend, it would be long in the event of a geo-political issue that causes a gap up in oil prices.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CeresTrader
Crude - Testing the waters...We saw our weekly target hit yesterday, I have a hunch as on the Daily we are constantly going back to the middle of the range that bsl of some form is in the eye of the market before we would want to move down. I ask myself.... Why would we want to go all the way back (weekly ssl level) if we have been here and raided Sell Stops... If I was the market I would want some breakfast first before I head down for lunch and dinner right? So for PRE 0930EST im watching to see if price respects the 4hr FVG's. This will indicate some bsl to be taken.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by IamThattrader
Crude Futures Break Below The 200-DMATechnical Momentum Weakens Crude Oil futures are declining in 2024 after correcting down to the 200-day moving average at $77.94. The technical perspective shows momentum studies declining into oversold territories, with the 9-day moving average trading below the 18-day. DMI- is above DMI +, indicating that the market is in a correction phase, while the Average True Range firms to $1.57 daily. API Inventories Decline API Inventory has tightened recently, indicating a tighter supply picture. Recent API inventory data shows a drawdown of 3.1 million barrels. The current EIA inventories are 459 million barrels, compared to the five-year average of 474 million barrels for this period. Cushing stocks in the Mid-West show 35 million barrels in inventory versus a five-year average of 44 million barrels. An Expanding Economic Tailwind The U.S. economy continues to expand in 2024, driven by the high probability of a soft landing, which fuels investor sentiment. Geopolitical tensions have eased recently; however, there is the possibility of a widening Middle Eastern conflict in the future. www.tradingview.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Phil_Blue_Line
Crude Oil WednesdaySo as per previous forecast for Crude we are bearish bias. We have come to the weekly wick ce again and come CME or NY open I am anticipating a retracement that respects the FVG marked in the chart... Sure sometimes price might 'mowhawk' above like sense says. Be patient and wait for price to make a MSB on at least the 5min before using your entry model to target the INTERNAL SSL as your main objective. If price wants to get outlandish then the WEEKLY SSL'S are the next POI.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by IamThattrader
Crude Futures Break Below The 200-DMATechnical Momentum Weakens Crude Oil futures are declining in 2024 after correcting down to the 200-day moving average at $77.94. The technical perspective shows momentum studies declining into oversold territories, with the 9-day moving average trading below the 18-day. DMI- is above DMI +, indicating that the market is in a correction phase, while the Average True Range firms to $1.57 daily. API Inventories Decline API Inventory has tightened recently, indicating a tighter supply picture. Recent API inventory data shows a drawdown of 3.1 million barrels. The current EIA inventories are 459 million barrels, compared to the five-year average of 474 million barrels for this period. Cushing stocks in the Mid-West show 35 million barrels in inventory versus a five-year average of 44 million barrels. An Expanding Economic Tailwind The U.S. economy continues to expand in 2024, driven by the high probability of a soft landing, which fuels investor sentiment. Geopolitical tensions have eased recently; however, there is the possibility of a widening Middle Eastern conflict in the future. www.tradingview.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Phil_Blue_Line
Monday Crude Oil ForecastWith no news injections today I would stay on the side lines. We have Daily Wick level in conjunction with a 1hr FVG which if Crude Oil is substantially bearish should respect leading upto NY open and CME open. The overall bias for me is still bearish with weekly ssl in the lower half of the charts marked with a magnet. This is the draw and what I will be waiting for / a setup to form. You do have to stay dynamic however as the Daily candle on Friday took BSL inside of a Daily FVG. This is respecting the bias. EQH's where left in its wake so if the 1hr fvg and Daily wick is closed above on the 1hr TF we should start to consider that the market has other short term plans. Stay Dynamic and if your bias doesn't match you can always stay out of the market! Money preservation is very important. GLGT- ;)
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by IamThattrader
Overnight trade on crudeQuick after market analysis for possible overnight trade First trade Is a possible short at the newly formed resistance and I would have my Sl back up again the trend line downward So entry would be 78.8 Sl would be 79.1 Tp would be 78.3 Here we could counting that when price reach the previous resistance it would have little to no volume to support more upward movements along side the fact that there 2 massive resistances against it. Here we are counting on price coming back down to previous support where it would take out hopefully both of the 78.05 control of price by volume and if it takes out the 77.65 control of price too with a large wick we can have another long entry there and if price hits our Sl on the first over night trade short we can expect that it would have up and have a breakout past up the resistance to try and hit the 79.8 control of price where we can enter again by waiting for a confirmation of price heading back down to hit the trend line again before bouncing off to 79.80 for a long trade to make back our losses. All of these trades have a very much probable chances of working out so that is my plan here for tomorrow depending on how things work out. lets hope no unexpected dump or Pump happens to throw me off here
NYMEX:MCL1!
by zack_ma
1
Three Factors Keeping Oil Prices in CheckAT A GLANCE: Despite ongoing geopolitical conflict, oil prices and volatility are relatively low A rise in U.S. crude production and weak demand in China are helping oil inventories maintain average levels Considering many factors like the Russia-Ukraine war, OPEC+ cutting production by 3.6 million barrels per day and conflict in the Middle East, many traders might be surprised to find out that oil prices are only around $82 per barrel and that implied volatility on crude options are trading at relatively low levels below 40%. Inventories Remain at Average Levels So why are crude oil prices not higher and more volatile? Part of the answer lies in inventories. Crude and product inventories are right around their seasonally adjusted averages for the past five years. This suggests that at least some cushion exists in the event of a supply disruption. Given that oil production is about 3.5% lower globally than it would have been without OPEC+ production cuts, how is it possible that oil inventories are still at average levels? There are two reasons. First, a boom in U.S. production has replaced about one third of what OPEC cut. The second reason is weak demand. China buys about 10 million barrels per day in the international markets, and its economy has been growing much more slowly than it was a few years ago. Slow growth in China often hits oil prices with a lag of about 12 months and may be among the factors preventing a further rise in global crude prices. Higher Prices Expected? That said, traders are displaying some signs of nervousness. The skew on CME Group’s WTI CVOL index is quite positive at the moment, suggesting that some traders are buying out of the money call options to protect themselves from the possibility of much higher prices. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by CME_Group
2
We goin LONG THIS WEEK ON Crude OIL from HTF Discounted DemandNYMEX:CL1! "Excellence is not a singular act but a habit. You are what you do repeatedly." -Shaquille O'Neal Last week Sellers were successful in pushing the price per barrel of OIL underneath Major Key Level ($80.00)... Now the reason I believe we are preparing for OIL to go LONG is due to price nearing a Major Unmitigated Daily Demand Zone and approaching a HTF eR/LQ Trendline.... I want to see price mitigate this Daily Demand zone then i'll drop down to the LTF for a confirmation entry model to scale LONG.... Discounted Demand Pricing I want to see mitigated before we enter LONG on a LTF entry model ($77.75 to $77.00)... I will keep update as price develops!! Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Step!! Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!! #BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by TreyHighPwr
9th May 2024 CL1 Trading PlanNYMEX:CL1! continues to look bullish today. There might be a small pull back before the price resumes it journey towards 80. The plan is to wait for price action to confirm the direction clearly and look for buying opportunities around 78.70 area. Alternatively if there is no pullback in the morning session, wait for the price to break R1 or the 200 MA before buying. Disclaimer: This analysis is part of my personal trading journal. It should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to trade any specific strategy.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by MChaotic