Natural Gas...If the price reach to the box, I will start to buy Gas or some shares which has correlation with Gas...Longby investor-ebrahim2
Where is Natural Gas going? Zero?Hello, 2023 has been one boring year. I have not posted in a while. Trading is boring but 2023 to me was up there in the pantheon of useless years. And 2022 was the year of disappointment, of trends that start and then go "nevermind". It has gotten better, the S&P500 is in a bull trend at all time high, Bitcoin is going up in a straight line, it's not at ATH but it's not far and I think it will go test it then stop there, Gold looks like it's ready to go. Things are looking much better now. It does not mean it is time to become a gambler but it is time to actually trade, to take some risks. And this is what I have done with natural gaz, for several reasons I thought it could keep going down. I yolo'd, I went short with a guaranteed stop over the weekend because there was huge contango and I thought it might gap (small limited risk, huge reward). Well it did gap and then it kept going and now I do not know what to do. So price action is very violent and we have never seen with with Natural Gaz, but it sure reminds me of Oil in 2020. Something "big" may be happening. I consider anything is possible, we might even be at the bottom. This cannot possibly be part of an existing strategy. So let's try to make a decent analysis. A few questions should be answered : - What is the expected volatility and can the price go to zero? - Why is the price falling? What do analysts say? - What are everyone's positions? What are retail traders (the gamblers) doing? - Do we have any kind of TA we can do? And then I'll try to come up with possible targets and a stop trailing strategy. 1/ Expected volatility and null or negative price. I have not seen an official statement from the CME like there was about Oil 4 years ago. But we know there is no min price. And according to my own strategy that is based on decades of data and has consistently worked for me. So I start with preconceptions already but I'll try to make a "new" and objective analysis. According to my strat the target is below 0. When price is extended like this it tends to go further. It sometimes just keeps getting worse, when you think it has hit bottom and cannot possibly organically go lower, the irrational retail traders see $1 barrels, 10c stocks, all time low 10c Gas with blew up pipelines and Russia announcing it will limit production or making some threat and so the gamblers start going nuts fantacizing about becoming millionaires. This is when it goes below zero. 2/ Why is the price falling and what do analysts say? First I cannot find an official source showing how many positions are getting liquidated, sadly, but it is safe to assume that this unprecedented move is wiping out more people than usual. There are articles and videos - including from the CME - on the subject. Hey the CME video on Natural Gas got 259 views this is 5 times more than their other videos at the same time (Oil, S&P500, Gold) so some people are paying attention. There are several things (other than traders getting wiped out) that explain the low price for gas. First you have an early spring, I'm already seeing some flowers in Europe, and US temperatures were and remain higher than average, so demande is low. This weekend US temperatures have dropped back a little so price could retrace, but that was very temporary and temperature will go back up soon. Second, and this is both a consequence of the first and a cause of the price, production remained high and stores are full if my sources are correct. Third electricity and energy prices to the western public recently have gotten ridiculously high. So, and this is my conclusion, if people are forced to use less electricity (it's to save the planet they say) the prices will become far lower than where they historically were. Fourth economic growth in Europe and even the US is a thing of the past. Something I have not heard about but we should watch out for is nuclear energy. A big announcement will move the price of other energy sources. 3/ What are everyone's positions? What are retail traders (the gamblers) doing? So first of all hedgers are rarely short, gas producers (Russia) just seem to not care. And because of this speculators need to be short. Small speculators are perma-bulls. This is pretty straight-forward. In the past when the price gets cheap hedgers buy in large numbers, you can see it on the commitment of traders chart. Here the positions are not extreme. I do not think we can draw any conclusions from this information. The general public / the bulk of retail traders does not appear to be aware of gas price action. Yet? 4/ Do we have any kind of TA we can do? We can certainly go lower. I am convinced there is a seriously likelyhood of the price getting really low. I might add on a retrace. The worse it gets, the even worse it will become? Like a chain reaction. How far up can we go before going lower? I'll just go trailing my stop to zero using Elliott Wave Theory and Fib, because that is all I have. Would have worked with Oil too. I cannot use lower highs there are none it is falling in a straight line. I cannot use my rules the calculations do not work for a target more than 100% away from entry. So fib is the best I have (on top of support/resistance). I do not have some precise magical technic sorry. A single trade is so random, good thing we get to take more than just one in our lifetime. So to sum up : Natural Gas is getting cheaper, there are real reasons for it to. This position makes sense, and the momentum is super strong. I like it, I'm going to keep it. If it reverses more than I'd expect I'll stop liking it and close, if it gets to zero I'll close it too. Good enough for me. No one has a crystal ball, and if there was certainty they would not need us to take speculative positions.Shortby MrRenevUpdated 7735
NGAS - NATURAL GAS GOING UP Target: 2.440 - Time: 1-3 monthsHello Traders, Welcome to Edward Cash Trader, #NGAS - NATURAL GAS Found weekly support, and started: GOING UP Target: 2.440 Stop: 1.500 Time: 1-3 MonthsLongby UnknownUnicorn53685104
NATGAS: Market of Buyers It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current NATGAS chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Longby UnitedSignals111
Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold Analysis#naturalgas #natgas #xagusd #dxy #xauusd #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold Analysis 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 04:05 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 06:50 USO Oil Stock Forecast 08:22 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast 09:49 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 11:17 Silver XAGUSDLong13:18by ArcadiaTrading112
Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold AnalysisNatural Gas Price Fo#naturalgas #natgas #xagusd #dxy #xauusd #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 03:15 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 05:00 USO Oil Stock Forecast 06:29 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast 07:13 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 08:16 Silver XAGUSDrecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold AnalysisLong09:41by ArcadiaTrading226
Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold AnalysisNatural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold Analysis #naturalgas #natgas #xagusd #dxy #xauusd #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 05:27 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 08:54 USO Oil Stock Forecast 11:16 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast 12:40 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 14:00 Silver XAGUSDLong15:44by ArcadiaTrading117
Naturals gas aiming 1.85on 4 hour chart it seems like trying to escape for the target of 1.85 or even 2.08 .Buying is preferred at this moment Longby praveen5434403
NATGAS Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.665 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.762 Safe Stop Loss - 1.613 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Longby AnabelSignalsUpdated 442
NATGAS: Free Trading Signal NATGAS - Classic bullish formation - Our team expects pullback SUGGESTED TRADE: Swing Trade Long NATGAS Entry - 1.665 Sl - 1.590 Tp - 1.818 Our Risk - 1% Start protection of your profits from lower levels ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Longby UnitedSignals338
Natural Gas | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold Price Forecast Natural Gas | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold Analysis Price Forecast #naturalgas #natgas #xagusd #dxy #xauusd #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 06:28 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 08:55 USO Oil Stock Forecast 11:19 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast 12:28 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 13:28 Silver XAGUSDLong15:20by ArcadiaTrading111
Double bottom and ready to go upOn Daily chart look like double bottom and we can see upward movement by hprabhudesai7
Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold Analysis#naturalgas #natgas #xagusd #dxy #xauusd #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold Analysis 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 03:33 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 07:04 USO Oil Stock Forecast 08:24 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast 09:17 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 10:45 Silver XAGUSDLong12:18by ArcadiaTrading111
Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold AnalysisNatural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold Analysis 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 04:51 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 07:24 USO Oil Stock Forecast 08:39 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast 10:02 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 11:34 Silver XAGUSDLong12:39by ArcadiaTrading112
NATURAL GAS Last pump to the 1D MA50 before selling.Natural Gas (NG1!) gave us an excellent sell signal on our last 1D analysis (January 11 2024, see chart below) and easily hit our 2.135 Target: That Channel Down broke and the new that has emerged is more aggressive, headed into a 1D MACD Bearish Cross. If that happens, we will sell on the spot, if not we will wait until a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test, ideally even marginally higher (+46% from the bottom). Our Target is 1.400 (-38.50% from the top, similar to the December 13 2023 Lower Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇Shortby TradingShot13
✅NATGAS LOCAL LONG🚀 ✅NATGAS is already making A bullish rebound from The horizontal support Of 1.772$ so I think that We will see a further Local move up LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅Longby ProSignalsFx2214
NATGAS On The Rise! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the NATGAS next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.809 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.900 My Stop Loss - 1.774 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Longby AnabelSignals2213
Natural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver GoldNatural Gas Price Forecast | DXY Crude Oil Silver Gold 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 05:50 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 07:14 USO Oil Stock Forecast 09:36 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast 10:44 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 12:36 Silver XAGUSD14:21by ArcadiaTrading333
NATGAS: Bears Will Push Balance of buyers and sellers on the NATGAS pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Shortby UnitedSignals2210
Gas off the bottomOne might have wondered how much more the price of natural gas futures would fall when they matched 2020 lows of 1.58/MMBtu a few weeks ago. That seems to have been the worst of it. Gas made a higher high last week, inspiring us to buy 2,500 MMBtu for April delivery at 1.87. We're happy to let it run to the upside, but would close with a small loss on a reversal to 1.81.Longby SwingWaiterUpdated 111
NATURALGAS Future - Intraday Levels - 8th March 2024Mostly Flat closing can be expected. or +/- 6 to 9 Points movement ? If Sustain above 154 or 156 then 160 to 161 strong level then 165 or 167 or 168 Strong level above this more bullish If Sustain below 151 then 149 strong level then around 145 or 143 or 142 below this more bearish Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer - I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.by PrashantTaralkarUpdated 110
NATGAS Risky Long From Support! Buy! Hello,Traders! NATGAS went down from The resistance of 2.00$ Just as I predicted but Has now reached a Local support level of 1.772 From where we are already Seeing a bullish rebound And I think that the Price will go up Buy! Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!Longby TopTradingSignals337