Natural Gas Price Forecast | Oil, Dollar, Silver, GoldNatural Gas stock Bulls PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS Support & Resistance Guide AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast AMEX:USO Oil Stock Forecast TVC:DXY US dollar Stock Forecast Gold OANDA:XAUUSD Stock Forecast Silver OANDA:XAGUSDLong12:38by ArcadiaTrading4
NATGAS Set To Fall! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on NATGAS and concluded the following: The market is trading on 2.456 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 2.388 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Shortby AnabelSignals114
Key Levels For Natural Gas BreakoutsNatural Gas has seen a sharp up and steep down a couple of years ago and now it's range bound. by hebbarvikas1
NATGAS WILL FALL|SHORT| ✅NATGAS will soon retest a key resistance level of 2.524$ So I think that Gas will make a pullback And go down to retest the demand level below at 2.422$ SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅Shortby ProSignalsFx112
NATGAS: Forecast & Trading Plan Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell NATGAS. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Shortby UnitedSignals113
NATGAS Will Go Down! Sell! Hello,Traders! NATGAS is going up From the horizontal support Of 2.275$ just as I predicted And now the price is approaching A horizontal resistance of 2.529$ From where we will be expecting A local bearish correction Sell! Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!Shortby TopTradingSignals111
NATGAS RISKY LONG FROM SUPPORT| ✅NATGAS is going down now But a strong support level is ahead at 2.278$ Thus I am expecting a rebound And a move up towards the target at 2.334$ LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅Longby ProSignalsFx115
NG1! - Natural Gas forming Leading Diagonal Wave (Elliott Wave)NG1! forming a leading diagonal wave, as Wave 1 of an Impulsive wave up. Should see a retrace soon, followed by Wave 3. #NG1! #elliottwaves #naturalgasLongby Savwire15
NATGAS Bullish Bias! Buy! Hello,Traders! NATGAS made a bullish Breakout of the key Horizontal level of 2.278$ Which is now a support And is making a retest Now so as we are bullish Biased we will be expecting A further move up Buy! Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!Longby TopTradingSignals113
Natural Gas Price Forecast | Oil, Dollar, Silver, GoldNatural Gas stock Bulls PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS Support & Resistance Guide AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast AMEX:USO Oil Stock Forecast TVC:DXY US dollar Stock Forecast Gold OANDA:XAUUSD Stock Forecast Silver OANDA:XAGUSDLong11:36by ArcadiaTrading6
NATGAS: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why: The analysis of the NATGAS chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Longby UnitedSignals113
NATGAS Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the NATGAS next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2.294 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 2.350 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 2.203 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Shortby AnabelSignals114
AshtrayFrom the bottom of a bull blood caked dish, a long draw ahead. Top producers: ARC Resources Cenovus Range Resources Baytex Longby trade-God0
NATGAS Bullish Breakout! Buy! Hello,Traders! NATGAS is going up now And we are seeing a strong Bullish breakout of the key Horizontal level of 2.30$ So we are bullish biased And we will be expecting A further move up Buy! Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!Longby TopTradingSignals117
MCX NATURAL GAS The behavior i observed regarding Natural Gas (NG) prices over the past two years, showing a pattern of positive returns in Q1 and Q2 and negative returns in Q3 and Q4, can be explained by several factors that influence the energy market, particularly the seasonal nature of natural gas demand. Key Factors: Seasonal Demand: Q1 and Q2 (Winter and Early Spring): Natural gas is in high demand during the colder months, especially in North America and Europe. The need for heating increases, which drives up demand for natural gas, leading to price increases. This is why the price generally rises during the first half of the year. Q3 and Q4 (Late Summer and Fall): Demand for natural gas decreases as warmer weather reduces the need for heating. In addition, Q3 often coincides with lower energy consumption due to milder weather, while Q4 may show some price declines before winter demand picks up again in late Q4. Supply Factors: The supply of natural gas may remain stable or even increase in warmer months, with less demand pushing prices down in Q3 and Q4. This dynamic causes prices to retreat. Hurricane Season (Q3): Natural gas production, particularly in the U.S., can be affected by hurricanes in Q3. Disruptions may cause temporary spikes, but if supply isn't significantly reduced, the general trend remains bearish in this quarter. Storage Injections (Q2-Q3): During Q2 and Q3, natural gas is often injected into storage for use during the winter months. While this may support prices slightly, it typically doesn't offset the general lower demand, keeping prices under pressure. Observed Patterns: Q1 & Q2 (Positive Returns): Cold weather and increased demand for heating fuel drive natural gas prices higher, resulting in positive returns. Q3 & Q4 (Negative Returns): Warm weather reduces demand, and prices fall as supply exceeds immediate demand for heating. This recurring pattern is a result of the highly seasonal nature of natural gas usage, and traders often anticipate and plan for these price movements when making decisions in the natural gas futures market.by HarishJangda6
NATGAS Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.289 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2.203 Safe Stop Loss - 2.340 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Shortby AnabelSignalsUpdated 118
QUick stop and gocheck out some of my ideas. also I don't take every trade idea that you see here. these are assumptions before price action completes and confirms. I am not a professional trader nor am I technical . all ideas are based on what I understand price to be. when I see certain confluences that align with my trading strategy, I then look for my opportunity to enter trades. Good luck and happy tradingLongby THE_APIS_TRADER3
Natural Gas Price Forecast | Oil, Dollar, Silver, GoldNatural Gas stock Bulls PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS Support & Resistance Guide AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast AMEX:USO Oil Stock Forecast TVC:DXY US dollar Stock Forecast Gold OANDA:XAUUSD Stock Forecast Silver OANDA:XAGUSDLong11:03by ArcadiaTrading3
NG Trading ChannelAs of late August, NG has been in a bullish trading channel. NG is the most volatile of all commodities and there are quality daily trade opportunities both short and long over the short term. Longer term, the current cycle has a bullish slant. Fundamentally we are moving closer to the winter season that is switches storing gas to removing gas from storage. In anticipation of this we should see a bullish slant toward headed into winter. Technically speaking , gas is trading in a nice channel that will help you anticipate buying and selling opportunities. Any drop below 2.20 is a buying opportunity. I'm anticipating a short term pullback as NG continues to climb toward the 2.40 level. www.tradingview.comby WP_KBInvest443
NATGAS: Short Trading Opportunity NATGAS - Classic bearish pattern - Our team expects retracement SUGGESTED TRADE: Swing Trade Sell NATGAS Entry - 2.289 Stop - 2.358 Take - 2.159 Our Risk - 1% Start protection of your profits from lower levels ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Shortby UnitedSignals112
NATGAS VERY RISKY SHORT| ✅After the retest of the of horizontal resistance of 2.30$ It makes sense to expect a bearish correction As NATGAS is overbought and the market players Will be taking profit from the level Fuelling a selling wave SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅Shortby ProSignalsFx112
Long Gas Short Oil on Nuanced Macro ConditionsWhen prices diverge, like shadows in the night, spread trading strategies unfold in plain sight. WTI Crude Oil (“US Crude”) and Henry Hub Natural Gas (“US Nat Gas”) Futures have diverged recently. US Crude prices continued sliding amid easing supply concerns and weak demand from the US and China. Meanwhile, US Nat Gas prices rose steadily on rising demand, shrinking storage surpluses, and rising exports. As OPEC+ weighs delaying output hikes and gas producers reduce supply, energy markets remain volatile, presenting interesting trading possibilities. WTI CRUDE OIL HITS NEW 2024 LOW AS SUPPLY DISRUPTION CONCERNS EASE The US Crude Oil has posted two consecutive monthly losses owing to a weak economic outlook. US Crude prices briefly rose on supply disruptions in Libya and heightened tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. With tensions easing and the expected resumption of Libyan supply, prices dropped sharply as the risk premium diminished. Reuters reported that the cartel is considering delaying the hikes to support the US Crude prices. Yet downside risks loom large due to weak manufacturing data from the US and China. Additionally, July JOLTS job openings in the US dropped by 237k to a three-and-a-half-year low of 7.7 million, missing expectations of 8.1 million, cementing further bearish sentiments. OPEC faces a dilemma of optimising between price support and market share. Delaying the Q4 OPEC output hike may not be enough to support prices as current production is already high amid feeble demand. Output cuts are essential to support prices, but doing so risks losing market share to non-OPEC producers and shrinking oil revenues. Convincing OPEC members to approve deeper cuts may prove challenging. GAS PRICES REBOUND ON STRONG DEMAND AND SHRINKING STORAGE SURPLUS The US Nat Gas prices have been bearish throughout 2024 due to excess storage resulting from the mild winter last year. Prices tanked 31% from the peak of USD 3.313/MMBtu on 12/Jan this year. Prices recovered between May and June and then slumped again, falling 39% between 11/Jun and 27/Aug, hitting a four-month low. Since 28/Aug, gas prices have rallied with strong demand from power generators who have switched from coal to gas. Source: EIA Modest inventory injections have supported the uptrend, with builds below the five-year average in sixteen of the last seventeen weeks. For the week ending 30/Aug, inventories rose by 13 Bcf, below analyst expectations of 26 Bcf and the five-year average of 51 Bcf, thereby reducing surplus. Storage for the week ending 30/Aug was 10.7% above the five-year average, down from 12.1% the previous week. Source: EIA Rising LNG export flows and the US Department of Energy’s approval of a five-year export license for New Fortress Energy further supports prices. Natgasweather.com forecasts moderate temperature-driven demand for natural gas. This outlook supports steady natural gas demand in the near term. Gas majors such as NASDAQ:APA and NYSE:EQT are forced to reduce volumes for the second half of the year due to above-average gas storage. This could lead to tighter supply during winter as seasonal demand picks up. Steady growth in LNG feed gas deliveries will support the US Nat Gas prices, driven by robust exports from the US to Europe. Europe’s demand for gas peaks during winter. The current macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop is exerting significant downside risk to US Crude Oil prices. Absent a sharp economic recovery in China and an exogenous geopolitical shock, oil prices will remain under pressure. The US Nat Gas prices remain under pressure from excess supply. Easing storage levels, rising demand from power generators, robust winter-led demand from Europe will serve as tailwinds pushing up prices in the near term. Source: Barchart The US Crude Oil prices are presently trading above it 5-year average price range. Meanwhile, the US Nat Gas prices trade significantly below the five-year average. Source: Barchart The options skew is -3.71 as of 05/Sep for crude oil signalling that puts are more expensive than calls. This reflects expectations of stronger downside price risk. Source: CME Group In sharp contrast, skew for the US Nat Gas options is positive at 6.01 as of 05/Sep suggesting that calls are more expensive than puts. This shows expectations for upside price risk. Source: CME Group HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Given this backdrop, this paper posits the following hypothetical spread trade comprising a long position in CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (MNGV4) and a short position in CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures (MCLV4). To establish a spread trade between MNGV4 and MCLV4 given the current prices, a portfolio manager needs 3 lots of MNGV4 to be matched against 1 lot of MCLV4 to ensure that the notional values are identical. The set up and the pay-off under different scenarios from this spread trade is summarised below. Portfolio managers can better manage downside risks with options. More on that in a future research note. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description. Longby mintdotfinance227
NATURAL GAS : ROUNDING BOTTOM CHARTIn 15 min chart shows perfect rounding bottom. May Take position @185.40 & @ 182 Rest mentioned in chart. Disclosure: FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY. To TRADE First Paper Trade, then take decision ownselfLongby DSKF160