COFFEE C Neutral Outlook 24-06-22
The market looks neutral limited opportunity to play within the range of 220 to 241.
Entry Point: 228
Stop loss: 220
Take Profit: 241
KT1! trade ideas
Coffee 2022Let's follow the playground.
* None of what i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
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COFFEE C FUTURES, H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 235.2
Pivot: 225.25
Support : 211. 40
Preferred Case: On the H1, with price moving below the ichimoku indicator and along the descending trendline, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 225.25 in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement and overlap resistance to the 1st support at 211. 40 in line with the 161.80% fibonacci extension and swing low support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break the pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance at 235.2 in line with the swing high resistance, 100% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for coffee .
COFFEE C FUTURES, H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 235.2
Pivot: 225.25
Support : 211.40
Preferred Case: On the H1, with price moving below the ichimoku indicator and along the descending trendline, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 225.25 in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement and overlap resistance to the 1st support at 211.40 in line with the 161.80% fibonacci extension and swing low support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break the pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance at 235.2 in line with the swing high resistance, 100% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for coffee.
Daily COFFEE analysisDaily COFFEE analysis
A long position with the target and stop loss as shown in the chart
We entered a buy position based on the uptrend data. We recommend buying the strong from the above areas
Buy July Coffee at Market - stop 223.15, 1st TP 247.65 Buy July Coffee at Market - stop 223.15, 1st TP 247.65
**Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and
does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only
risk capital should be used. Past performance is not indicative of future results**
hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.
one of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. in addition, hypothetical trading does no involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. there are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish dropType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 237.4
Pivot: 229.35
Support : 221.85
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving within the ascending channel and price expected to reverse off the stochastic resistance which supports bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 229.35 in line with the 100% fibonacci projection and swing high resistance to the support at 221.85 in line with the overlap support, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 23.6% fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break through pivot to the resistance level at 237.4 in line with the 100% fibonacci projection .
Fundamentals: No major news
Coffee trend... Make it or break it!Coffee is in a indecision situation now... the temporary trend is down but signals it might change at any time.. for moment as I`m covering this market now.. its short term down trend but better we wait to get a nice entry rather than try to catch the right direction from here!
Sell July coffee 213.95 on stop, if filled stop 223.75, 1st TP 2Sell July coffee 213.95 on stop, if filled stop 223.75, 1st TP 209.75
**Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and
does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only
risk capital should be used. Past performance is not indicative of future results**
hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.
one of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. in addition, hypothetical trading does no involve fina
ncial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. there are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 222.25
Pivot: 216.00
Support : 210.80
Preferred Case: With price bouncing off our ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 222.25 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance from our pivot of 216.00 in line with the horizontal overlap support and 78.60% Fibonacci retracement .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 210.80 in line with the horizontal swing low support.
Fundamentals: No Major News
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Volatility 19 May 22 Grains Commodities Futures CORN ZC Futures 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last 5612 candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.59%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 1.99%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 15.48
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 85% probability for today are going to be
TOP 797.5
BOT 766.5
WHEAT ZW Futures 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last 5600 candles our expected volatility for today is around 2.84%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 3.55%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 43.13
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 84% probability for today are going to be
TOP 1265.34
BOT 1178.65
SOYBEAN ZS Futures 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last 5600 candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.19%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 1.49%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 24.82
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 84% probability for today are going to be
TOP 1688.5
BOT 1639
OAT ZO Futures 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last 5600 candles our expected volatility for today is around 2.43%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 3.04%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 19.56
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 84% probability for today are going to be
TOP 664.35
BOT 625.15
COCOA CC Futures 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last 5615 candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.46%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 1.82%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 44.98
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 85% probability for today are going to be
TOP 2550.62
BOT 2459.4
COTTON CT Futures 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last 5615 candles our expected volatility for today is around 2.24%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 2.8%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 4
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 85% probability for today are going to be
TOP 148.5
BOT 140.5
COFFEE KC Futures 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last 5615 candles our expected volatility for today is around 2.94%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 3.67%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 7.92
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 83% probability for today are going to be
TOP 226
BOT 210
COFFEE KC Supply And Demand AnalysisSee picture for analysis
Evidence for Longs
Pros:
1) bullish with inflation
2) food shortages
3) potential storms going into summer which might kill coffee beans.
4) Trend = Uptrend so any longs will be trending.
Cons:
1) Price below + reacting off of the 200MA
2) hard to scalp on lower timeframes + commissions/ swaps can be high.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 237.45
Pivot: 222.15
Support : 210.30
Preferred Case: With price moving above our ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 237.45 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance from our pivot of 222.15 in line with the horizontal pullback support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 210.30 in line with the horizontal swing low support and 23.60% Fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: No Major News
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 237.45
Pivot: 222.25
Support : 210.00
Preferred Case: With price moving above our ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 237.45 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance from our pivot of 222.25 in line with the horizontal pullback support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 210.00 in line with the horizontal swing low support and 23.60% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: No Major News
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 225. 40
Pivot: 221.95
Support : 219.75
Preferred Case: With price moving above our ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 225. 40 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance from our pivot of 221.95 in line with the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 219.75 in line with the horizontal pullback support and 38.20% Fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: No Major News
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H1 Potential for Bullish bounceType : Bullish Bounce
Resistance : 225.40
Pivot: 221.95
Support : 219.75
Preferred Case: With price moving above our ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 225.40 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance from our pivot of 221.95 in line with the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 219.75 in line with the horizontal pullback support and 38.20% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: No Major News
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Short July coffee @ 209.70, if filled stop 218.00, 1st tgt 201.8Short July coffee @ 209.70, if filled stop 218.00, 1st tgt 201.80
**Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and
does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only
risk capital should be used. Past performance is not indicative of future results**
hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.
one of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. in addition, hypothetical trading does no involve fina
ncial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. there are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
COFFEE Wait For Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
COFFEE is again retesting a key level
And the price action looks somewhat bearish
So IF we see a breakout then I think that
The price will go further down
Towards the target below
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
COFFEE-SELL strategyThe pattern looks terrible for Coffee, and it starts feeling like a move towards $ 160.00.
We are starting to pick up on selling pressure and Kagi is breaking downwards.
I feel selling @ 220.00 area and stop-loss $ 245.00 and profit order @ 175 would be the set-up.
COFFEE-SELL strategyThe pattern is negative and we are trading below the cloud as well.
It feels we may see moving towards $ 180 again, and for that reason I would suggest a SELL strategy @ 215-220. The stop-loss to be placed above $ 237 for now. The profit order $ 180.
