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NATGAS What Next? BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The market is trading on 2.029 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 2.097 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.984 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Camarilla Pivots: A Guide to Mastering Reversals and BreakoutsIntroduction to Camarilla Pivot Points Before delving into the personal challenges I've encountered with Camarilla Pivots, and the often stark contrast between theoretical strategies and real-world trading outcomes, it's crucial to lay a foundational understanding of the Camarilla Pivot Points. This will set the stage for discussing the adjustments and solutions I implemented to navigate these challenges effectively. Understanding the Core Layers of Camarilla Pivots: S3 and R3 Camarilla Pivots are structured around multiple layers of support (S) and resistance (R), with the third layer (S3 and R3) playing a pivotal role. Unlike the first two layers, which often see less action, S3 and R3 are key zones where momentum frequently stalls. These levels are battlegrounds for "Responsive Traders" who aim to reverse the price direction based on perceived fair values. Trading at R3: Recognized as a prime selling opportunity, traders should aim for S3 as a profit target with a stop loss set just above at R4. Trading at S3: This level is seen as a buying zone, with objectives set towards R3 and a stop loss placed below at S4. Advanced Layers: S4 and R4 (Reversal/Breakout Points) Reversal Scenario: S4 and R4 act as the last line of defense for pivot support or resistance. If the price fails to reverse at S3 or R3, it may continue to these outer layers, which then serve as optimal entry points for reversals due to their potentially lower risk and high strategic value. Breakout Scenario: In instances where the price fails to reverse at R4 and instead pushes above, R4 transforms from a resistance to a support level. This shift marks a critical entry point for traders anticipating further upward momentum, positioning R4 as a new buying zone. The Role of S5 and R5 (Profit-Taking Layers) Although not traditionally part of the Camarilla framework, S5 and R5 are frequently used by traders to exit positions, particularly after successful breakouts from S4 or R4. These levels act as final targets for taking profits, capturing gains from momentum-driven market moves. Practical Trading Tips: It's often wise to avoid trading within the narrow bands between S3 and S4 or R3 and R4, as these zones typically represent accumulation or distribution phases. Decisions in these areas are fraught with uncertainty, as the market has yet to indicate a clear dominance by either buyers or sellers. Conclusion and Upcoming Insights As we progress, I will explore deeper into the nuances of applying Camarilla Pivots in trading, focusing on how to adapt and thrive amidst the unpredictability of the markets. Stay tuned for more insights that will help refine your trading strategies and enhance market performance using Camarilla Pivots.
NYMEX:NGV2024Education
by msrozba
1
Mastering Market Dynamics with Camarilla Pivot PointsIntroduction to Camarilla Pivot Points: A Game-Changing Indicator Camarilla Pivot Points stand out as one of the most effective leading indicators in the realm of technical analysis. Franklin O. Ochoa's "Secrets of a Pivot Boss" offers a profound exploration of this method, widely used for identifying pivotal support and resistance levels in the financial markets. The book is acclaimed for its clear exposition of complex concepts and actionable strategies that cater to both novice and experienced traders, aiming to refine their market strategies across various conditions. Deep Dive into Camarilla Pivot Points Ochoa positions Camarilla Pivot Points as indispensable tools for intraday trading, delineating crucial levels that include S3, S4, R3, R4, and the extended targets of S5 and R5. These points are not merely theoretical constructs but are practical tools for navigating the ebb and flow of market dynamics. Support Levels (S3, S4): These levels are crucial when prices are falling, suggesting potential zones for buying. A rebound from S4, especially, is highlighted as a prime entry point, suggesting a robust setup with tightly managed risk controls. Resistance Levels (R3, R4): At these junctures, R3 serves as a preliminary profit target for rising positions, while a breach of R4 could indicate potential for further bullish momentum, making it an ideal spot for breakout strategies. Extended Levels (S5 and R5): Serving as further profit targets, these levels are significant during periods of extraordinary volatility, indicating strong market movements and potential zones for capturing gains before probable market retractions. Strategic Implementation and Challenges The integration of Camarilla Pivot Points with other market indicators and contextual analysis is emphasized to enhance the validity of trading signals. This holistic approach ensures that traders are not solely reliant on one method but are equipped to make informed decisions based on a comprehensive market view. However, the practical application of these strategies, as vividly recounted from personal experiences during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, reveals challenges. Despite meticulous adherence to Ochoa's outlined strategies, the expected outcomes were not always realized, with an 80% incidence of being stopped out of trades. This discrepancy highlights a crucial aspect of trading: the unpredictable nature of markets and the necessity for continuous adaptation and learning. Conclusion: Looking Forward The journey with Camarilla Pivot Points underscores a critical lesson in trading: the importance of flexibility and ongoing education in strategy application. As we prepare to delve deeper into what might have been missing in the initial application and how to adjust strategies accordingly, traders are reminded of the impermanence of market conditions and the need for perpetual skill enhancement. Stay tuned for the next installment, where we explore these adaptations and continue our journey towards mastering the art of trading with Camarilla pivot points.
NYMEX:NGV2024Education
by msrozba
Identifying Profit Points and Key Short Opportunities for NGNatural Gas has exhibited a bearish trend beginning on June 12, 2024, with prices opening at $3.200 per contract. Throughout July, the market saw significant profit-taking activities, with trading prices oscillating between $2.120 and $2.000 per contract. This price range was perceived as a strategic buying opportunity, particularly at the L3 pivot point level during August 2024. Subsequently, prices encountered resistance at the R3 level, stabilizing at $2.320 for an extended period of ten days. This stagnation is likely attributed to institutional traders initiating short positions at this critical juncture, influencing the price dynamics. Further analysis of the quarterly chart reveals a notable rejection at the L4 level; however, it is crucial to note that prices remain above this threshold. Should prices decline below the pivotal level of $2.250 per contract, a bearish stance is advisable, with potential targets set at the monthly L4 of $1.840 and the quarterly L5 of $1.820. This analysis underscores the importance of vigilant monitoring of key resistance and support levels in the Natural Gas market to capitalize on potential trading opportunities.
NYMEX:NGV2024Short
by msrozba
4
NATGAS Will Explode! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on NATGAS and concluded the following: The market is trading on 2.129 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 2.192 Safe Stop Loss - 2.089 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
2
NATGAS Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level -2.161 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2.080 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
2