Commodities trends from Dec.2021 - There is a winner!Hey guys,
here we are with the first chart of my trading view analysis. Have a look at the commodities and % increase in this inflationary scenario. LTH is the winner with a strong trend where the speculation seems not to be too much present. Nickel has suffered for option squeeze and wide short open position to be covered following margin calls. In case the electric vehicles will be predominant, up to you the conclusion where to invest. Sometimes, the graph speaks without words.
Have fun
Regards,
Bruc
PA1! trade ideas
PA1!( Palladium)2.22.22 PA1!: spend a little time on this video so that you can think about some of this and reflect on it to see if it makes sense to you... the evolution markets failing to make new highs and then braking explosively as buyers give up until the market comes to support (other buyers). This is also about markets contracting and trading to smaller range boxes which double their range to find reversals.
MOEX:PD2!To be, or not to be, that is the question:
Whether 'tis nobler in the mind to suffer
The slings and arrows of outrageous fortune,
Or to take arms against a sea of troubles,
And by opposing end them? To die, to sleep;
No more; and by a sleep to say we end
The heart-ache and the thousand natural shocks
That flesh is heir to, 'tis a consummation
Devoutly to be wish'd. To die, to sleep;
To sleep: perchance to dream: ay, there's the rub;
For in that sleep of death what dreams may come
When we have shuffled off this mortal coil,
Must give us pause. There's the respect
That makes calamity of so long life;
PA1! follow-up probability PA1! follow-up: probability: The market went up about $5000 since the previous video tonight where it closed the gap. I say this because the $5000 figure can be an enticement. The reason for the video is to push the importance of learning how to think in terms of probabilities. It takes time and effort because you will be guessing in the beginning, and you will discover the market behavior that is more likely to trade more reliably and with more accuracy to your assessment. In other words, you will learn the high probability trades through experience. In addition, you may learn that you can still use your assessment of probability in less certain times, and will still find this type of thinking valuable. This will not be everybody's cup of tea, but there are traders who specifically think in terms of probability. Al Brooks is one of those traders.
PA1!: Probability 2.16.22 PA1! Judging probably in the market...a dynamic process. 1: Some set-ups have higher probability than others. 2: you may feel that probability can change with each bar...and this might help you at times, or it may not...and you have to decide this and follow your performance. 3: there is a probability regarding targets as well. Thinking in terms of probability is a personal process, and this is something you have to decide if you are willing and able to take on. You may find that you are only able to think about selectively. As with any other technique, you should follow your performance. Here are some ideas.
PA1!2.15.22; PA1! I wanted to give you a follow-up a few hours after Today's earlier video so that I could provide more detail for that trade, but then I decided to draw a fresh pattern and show you how you could've done a long trade at support in addition to the long trade on the earlier video. And there was even a short trade you could have taken when the market moved higher to a 382 resistance. All of these were multi-thousand-dollar trades, not particularly enjoyable training in my view; but for certain traders these may be perfectly acceptable trades. They say "trade what you see"...but your experience changes what this means to you.
PA1! part 2 : setup for a long trade if you are patient.2.14.22: PA1! part 2: I think this is a good example of complex wash and rinse cycles that ends up favoring buyers. If you are patient, and flexible you can find a high probability trade without a structural stop, but you will have to understand price action and reversal patterns.
PA1!2.13.22 PA1! Part 2: framing the market (thinking as a buyer and a seller) and patiently looking for reasonable opportunity with OK probability and acceptable risk. (There are times when you can take a trade with a low probability...but the risk is not large, and the profit is substantial...generally not suitable for some personalities...mine, for example. So don't take trades you don't like).