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QM1! trade ideas

CRUDE - WEEKLY SUMMARY 3.3-7.3 / FORECAST🛢 CRUDE – 14th week of the base cycle (28 weeks), a very mature Phase 1. The March 3 extreme forecast reversed a 2-day correction into a new bearish wave, pushing below the broken and eroded support level. This scenario was anticipated two weeks ago. Price range from the March 3 extreme forecast to the current move: $2K per contract. Based on timing (14 weeks) and chart structure, Phase 2 may have begun. ⚠️ Bearish outlook remains, as outlined in my summer 2024 crude oil post. Next extreme forecast: March 19, aligning with retrograde Mercury on March 17.
NYMEX:CL1!
by irinawest
CRUDE - WEEKLY SUMMARY 24.2-28.2 / FORECAST🛢 CRUDE – 13th week of the base cycle (28 weeks), mature 1st phase. The February 24 pivot forecast reversed crude from the strong 69.80 support level. This level was broken and eroded during the week, as I predicted last time. Based on timing and the chart, there are signs of the second phase beginning. In this context, I closed my short position from February 3. The price movement from the February 3 extreme forecast on CL futures provided $2K per contract. ⚠️ I maintain my bearish stance, which I explained in my crude oil post from summer 2024. The next extreme forecast is March 3. Another extreme forecast is on March 19, combined with retrograde Mercury on March 17.
NYMEX:CL1!
by irinawest
CRUDE - WEEKLY SUMMARY 17.2-21.2 / FORECAST🛢 CRUDE – 12th week of the base cycle (28 weeks), mature 1st phase. Holding the short position from the February 3 extreme forecast. The first phase of the base cycle is not yet complete but is very mature. Crude is pressing against strong support at 69.80 on the April futures contract, which must either be broken or eroded. I believe the maturity of the 1st phase in this context is not coincidental. ⚠️ I maintain my bearish stance, which I explained in my crude oil post from summer 2024. Next pivot forecast for crude: February 24. Next extreme forecast: March 3.
NYMEX:CL1!
by irinawest
Levels to consider for Crude oil Futures CL1!On this video i discuss what I think is the next long/short to consider and illustrate how not to get caught up in the noise of low probability setups . Currently we are trading inside of a range between the POC and the VAH . I look back on previous highs in the chart and how we reacted at those levels and what I potentially see looking forward . My bias overall is expecting more downside but I dont marry that one bias and simply look at the PA from both sides with a focus on having a plan in the event of a move up or Down .
NYMEX:CL1!
by SJTRADESFUTURES
WTI - Bulls in action!Hi All! A day off is a good time for reflection. Oil Price Outlook: Potential Fifth Wave Impulse Up There is a high probability that oil prices, having broken through the upper boundary of the regression channel, may continue their upward movement with a target in the 81.20–84.00 range. This could be the fifth wave of an upward impulse. Wave Structure Analysis: ✅ Wave 1 – Leading diagonal ✅ Wave 2 – Double zigzag ✅ Wave 3 – Strong upward movement ✅ Wave 4 – Deep correction as a single zigzag, reaching the maximum possible level of 71.50 ‼️ Further decline invalidates this scenario. Technical Confirmation: 🔹 Bullish divergence is clearly visible on both the H1 and H4 charts. 🔹 AO and RSI indicators are turning upwards while the price continued to decline, indicating a trend reversal. 🔹 The price has not fallen below 71.50, where bulls have established strong support. Fundamental Catalyst: 📢 Recent news about tariff increases, including on goods from Canada (such as oil), could be a bullish driver for oil prices. Key Targets: ✅ First target: 77.36 ✅ Local high: 81.00 ✅ Major resistance level: 84.00 #CrudeOil #WTI #Brent #Trading #ElliottWaves #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #PriceAction #MarketUpdate #OilPrices
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by AUREA_RATIO
Elliott Wave View Crude Oil (CL) 5 Swing Structure Favors HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View in Light Crude Oil (CL) suggests the metal ended cycle from 1.16.2025 high. Decline from 1.16.2025 high unfolded as a 5 waves with wave ((i)) ended at 77.87 and wave ((ii)) ended at 79.44. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 72.38 and wave ((iv)) rally ended at 75.18. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 70.12 which completed wave A in higher degree. Oil is now looking to correct cycle from 1.16.2025 high in wave B. Internal subdivision of wave B is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave A, wave i ended at 72.07 and pullback in wave ii ended at 70.89. Wave iii higher ended at 73.04 and pullback in wave iv ended at 71.85. Final leg wave v ended at 73.25 which completed wave (i). Due to the 5 swing rally from 2.17.2025, the structure suggests further upside is more likely. Pullback in wave (ii) is in progress to correct cycle from 2.17.2025 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 70.11 low stays intact, expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
[Positional] Crude Buy BetSL at day's low. High chance of triggering. Note - One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all. ======= I use shorthands for my trades. "Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.) "Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day. "Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems. ======= I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share. ======= Like - Always follow a stop loss. In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High". In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings. I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by Amit_Ghosh
Crude Eyes Bullish Reversal - Descending Trendline🚨 Crude Oil (MCX) 4 HOUR Chart Analysis 🚨 🔹 Bullish Indicators Identified: Breakout from a descending trendline, signaling potential trend reversal. Price reclaiming the 55 EMA (6211) as a key resistance level. 🔹 Expanding Demand Zone: The breakout structure suggests a shift in market sentiment, increasing the probability of bullish continuation. 🔹 Target Levels: Watching for price movement towards the 6310 zone (Bearish OB). T1 - 6250 T2 - 6300 T3 - 6350 🔹 Breakout Confirmation: A strong move above 6180 - 6200 will validate the bullish breakout. 🔹 Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively. 📈 Stay alert for confirmation & volume surge! 🚀 🔹 Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based on available data and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk; past performance is not indicative of future results. ❤️ If this helps, please like the post!
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by Shalvisharma5
2
Does our LIS hold? Weekly CL Trade IdeaNYMEX:CL1! Macro Update: There are a lot of market moving events taking shape on the macro landscape. Peace negotiations between warring countries, reciprocal trade tariffs, and a US-Iran nuclear deal. We need not mention that any of these events may potentially turn market sentiment risk on or risk off. It all depends on how these all unfold. On the economic front, we have rate decisions from various central banks. Most central banks reiterate cautious cuts and turn hawkish amidst concerns about the rising inflation outlook. Central banks are also pointing towards rising uncertainty on the outlook itself as we mentioned above. It all depends on how events unfold. WTI Crude Oil Big Picture: Viewing a weekly full session WTI crude oil chart, we can see 3 weeks of one time framing up on the weekly chart starting Dec 30th, 2024. We then saw a rejection of uptrend and prices reverting to 2024 Value area. We can see four bearish weekly candlesticks from the week starting Jan 20th, 2025. Last week, the price action on the weekly timeframe formed an inverted hammer showing bearish pressure increasing on WTI crude oil. Our key LIS and key bull support show the confluence of multiple market generated levels has held up for the past 3 weeks. Traders take note that WTI crude oil futures contract has rolled over to April 2025 contract. Symbol: CLJ2025 In addition, DOE WTI inventory numbers will be released on Thursday 11am CT due to US President’s Day on Monday February 17th, 2025. Key Levels to Watch Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan. 2025 mcVPOC: 72.82 Feb 2025 mcVAH: 7 2.48 2025 mcVAL: 70.56 Yearly Open/ LIS: 70.52 Key Bull Support/ Confluence Zone: 70.52 - 70.12 Scenario 1: Range bound week ahead In this scenario we expect range bound price action contained within Feb 2025 micro composite Value Area. Scenario 2: Risk-off sentiment shift prices below key LIS In this scenario, we may see a breakdown of our key bull support and Line in Sand. Price moves and stays below yearly open price, providing a possible shift lower towards composite volume point of control (CVPOC). Micro CME contracts allow for more precise risk management during volatile market conditions. Additionally, you can participate in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, giving you the opportunity to test your skills in The Leap without risking real money.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
Crude Oil Bearish Setup Crude oil is showing signs of potential downside movement. After a recent rally, price is facing strong resistance near $71.60-$72.65, where sellers are stepping in. 🔻 Key Observations: 1️⃣ Price previously broke out of a descending channel but failed to gain strong bullish momentum. 2️⃣ A lower high is forming, indicating that buyers are losing control. 3️⃣ There’s a strong support zone around $70.14-$70.89, which could be the next target. 4️⃣ A potential short opportunity is forming, with an entry near the current price and a stop above resistance. Take Profit 1 - 70.89 Take Profit 2 - 70.14 Stop Loss - 72.65
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Charts_M7M
My View : CLJ2025 - Crude Oil Futures (April 2025)Summary analysis : Price Movement: The current price is at 71.43, showing a slight decrease of 0.01 (-0.02%) from the previous close. The price has been relatively stable within a narrow range, with the high at 71.46 and the low at 71.38. Trend Indicator s: The Heikin Ashi candles suggest a potential consolidation phase, as there is no strong directional movement indicated by the candles. The Bollinger Bands (BB20) show the price is near the middle band (SMA close at 71.10), indicating a balanced market without significant volatility. Support and Resistance : Key support levels are around 71.00 and 70.50, while resistance levels are near 72.50 and 73.00. The price is currently hovering near the lower end of the recent range. Volume and Momentum : The volume data is not explicitly provided, but the lack of significant price movement suggests low momentum. The ARIMA forecast (BQECASTHL) indicates a potential for minor fluctuations without a clear trend. Fractals and Signals : The presence of fractals suggests potential reversal points, but without a clear pattern, it’s challenging to predict a strong move. The SELL and BUY signals are not strongly pronounced, indicating a neutral market sentiment. Time Frame : The analysis is based on a 1-hour chart, which is suitable for short-term trading. Traders should monitor for breakout signals above 71.46 or below 71.38 for potential short-term opportunities. In summary, the Crude Oil Futures market for April 2025 is currently in a consolidation phase with limited volatility. Traders should watch for breakout signals and monitor key support and resistance levels for potential trading opportunities.
NYMEX:CLJ2025
by Hampeh