WTI(20250612)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
66.02
Support and resistance levels:
69.56
68.23
67.38
64.66
63.80
62.47
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 67.38, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.23
If the price breaks through 66.02, consider selling in, and the first target price is 64.66
QM1! trade ideas
Crude Oil Triangle Breakout Near – Watch 5600 Zone Closely!🛢 CRUDEOIL – Weekly Outlook (4H Timeframe)
Published by: Shalvi Sharma (Power Commodity Trading)
Crude is trading around 5568 and approaching a crucial triangle breakout zone.
⚠️ Key Levels:
Breakout Resistance: 5600 – 5675
Bearish OB Zone: 5675 – 5800
Immediate Support: 5374 (EMA55)
Demand Zone: 5180 – 5270
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Price is compressing within a symmetrical triangle formation.
A breakout above 5600 with volume confirmation could push price towards the 5800 zone.
However, Bearish Order Block (OB) awaits near 5800 — this zone has historically rejected upside moves.
🎯 Possible Scenarios:
Bullish: Break & hold above 5600 → Upside targets: 5675 → 5740 → 5800
Bearish: Rejection at 5600 – 5675 → Downside pullback possible towards 5400 – 5374
📌 Wait for confirmation — breakout with volume will be the key driver.
Stay nimble and trade with defined risk.
#CrudeOil #MCXCrude #PowerOfCommodity #TriangleBreakout #TradingViewIndia #EnergyMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis
Comment below if you think it's bearish?
Chart Pattern Analysis Of CL1!
There are 4 candles close upon the neckline of a potential bullish triangle pattern,
It seems that another bull run will start here.
I am expecting an accelerate motive wave to touch or break up the nearest higher high at about 72USD.
On the other hand,
If K5 couldn’t close upon K4 to verify the strong bullish momentum,
It is also possible that a short-term consolidation will carry on from K3.
If the following candles successfully retest the downtrend line after a successful break up,
It is also a good place to buy it then.
Long-65.4/Stop-64.4/Target-72
WTI Crude Oil Stalls At Technical JunctureCrude oil has enjoyed a decent rally in recent weeks thanks to improved sentiment and OPEC+ scaling back production. Yet momentum turned against bulls on Tuesday, despite positive trade talks between the US and China. Today I discuss whether this could be a turning point for oil, or simply a bump in the road.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Will there be a big rise in oil prices? WTI crude futures rose to around $66.1 per barrel on Tuesday, continuing gains for the second consecutive session, as ongoing geopolitical tensions fuel concerns about a possible reduction in global supply.
Russia and Ukraine held a second round of direct peace talks after the sharp escalation of hostilities the previous day, but the discussions failed to produce any significant progress in resolving the three-year conflict.
Further intensifying supply concerns, a wildfire in Alberta, Canada, forced a temporary halt to oil and gas production. Meanwhile, OPEC+ kept its July production increase at the same level as the previous two months, easing fears of a supply surge.
In addition, an Iranian diplomat said on Monday that Iran is ready to reject the US proposal to resolve the decade-long nuclear dispute, saying it does not meet Tehran's interests or change Washington's position on uranium enrichment.
A fire in Alberta, Canada, caused a temporary disruption in oil and gas production, raising further concerns about supply. Meanwhile, OPEC+ decided to keep its July production increase at the same level as in the previous two months, easing concerns about oversupply.
Last week, OPEC+ decided to increase its combined production by an additional 411,000 barrels per day. The decision was made following expectations of a more significant increase that had affected energy stocks ahead of the group's latest meeting.
The increase was less than expected, which had a positive impact on prices, which continue to rise.
For investors in the oil sector, the worst fear is a possible repeat of a price war like the one in 2020, which led to a drastic collapse in oil prices.
This scenario is unlikely, as the US cannot afford an oil price below $50. In fact, $50 represents the break-even point for the oil sector. This situation is leading the US and Saudi Arabia towards a more cautious approach, which is why the expected significant increase in oil production did not occur last week.
A further positive sign for oil prices emerges from the analysis of the futures curve, which is currently in backwardation. Backwardation is a condition in which forward prices are lower than the current spot price, resulting in a downward slope of the forward curve. As the contract expiry date approaches, the differential between the spot price and the forward price tends to narrow, causing the curve to converge back towards the spot price.
The conditions of the futures markets are:
Normal market (contango): balanced supply and demand.
Weak demand and excess supply: amplification of contango.
Excess demand: reduction in contango to backwardation, where the difference between the near and far prices can theoretically increase indefinitely.
The recent rises, supported by above-average volumes, indicate that only exceeding the 200-period moving average could trigger a strong long trend with a target of $70 per barrel.
Recent geopolitical tensions suggest the possibility of a bullish move on oil. Iran has increased its stockpiles of enriched uranium to near weapons-grade levels in recent months, raising further doubts about the possibility of reaching an agreement with the US on Tehran's nuclear program.
Sanctions and restrictions on global oil supply will favor an increase in prices. Tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue, with mutual attacks instead of negotiations. We expect oil prices to be around $70 in the next quarter.
Crude Oil Stuck in Consolidation Watch for Breakout! Hey Traders so today was looking at oil market seems to be stuck in a very powerful pattern called the Narrow Sideways Channel. Basically market has been going no where for the last 75 days stuck between the highs and the lows moving back and forth moving sideways.
Most traders have probably fallen alseep because this market is boring as watching paint dry
just stuck in a range of $55-$65. I guess some traders can trade the range buy at the bottom or the channel sell near the top but imo the best way to trade is wait for a breakout of the channel.
Now if you research historical sideways channels or range markets you will find that almost every market that has ever traded sideways for more than 90 days or more led to an explosive breakout at one point in time!
Finally exciting news! That means the longer it consolidates the better for us traders to catch the breakout.
So if we look closely at the chart we can see right out of the channel top there is resistance ahead at $68. However if market can break above $68 and close above that level at the daily close that would be a serious buy signal for more upside. But don't go by intraday go by the close of the day intraday means nothing imo.
The Daily Close it all that counts!
So watch for breakout above $68 then look to buy on pullback if I does not break above $68 tje we are back to watching paint dry. 😂
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
WTI(20250609)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Harker: Amid uncertainty, the Fed may still cut interest rates later this year. Musallem: There is a 50% chance that the trade war will lead to a sustained inflation outbreak. Tariffs may push up inflation within one or two quarters. The ECB cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
63.43
Support and resistance levels:
65.29
64.60
64.14
62.71
62.26
61.56
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 64.14, consider buying in, with the first target price of 64.60
If the price breaks through 63.43, consider selling in, with the first target price of 62.71
.382 - 65.24 almost there Well I'll try a 55 m tf chart - support still hasn't updated prev but we're almost there -my daily chart from March 11 th shows bigger picture . watching if this is a bear at the .382 or how it's played - green is mid mth barn -supply to April - 65 to stay alive . keep your stick on the ice - GL
Weekly Market Forecast: BUY Stock Indices & Oil! Sell Gold! In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 9 - 13th.
Stock Indices are looking more bullish. Valid buys only!
Gold is weak. Sells only until there is a market structure shift upwards.
Oil prices have room to go higher. Buy it.
Silver is a wait and see. Should start to pull back this week, as it closed last week stronger than Gold.
CPI Wednesday. After the news is announced, the market should be very tradeable for the rest of the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
#202523 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Time to be very cautious as a bear and hopeful as a bull. 3 clear legs down and the third could not make a new low. Now the market closed at the weekly high and it’s a fitting place for a reversal. 65 should be the highest bears should allow it. If bulls get follow-through beyond, this is a buy with stop 59.5. The target above 65 is obviously 70 and maybe even the bigger bear trend line around 73.
current market cycle: monthly time frame is a broad bear channel - weekly tf is a bear wedge - daily is a trading range
key levels: 59 - 65
bull case: Bulls got their first daily close above the weekly20 ema since February. Bears tried to get the market below 60 but failed to keep it below - 3 times now since April. Markets will try one thing only so much until they try something else. 65 is the next target which will likely get hit early next week but I expect a bit more sideways until one side clearly gives up. Technically this is a double bottom April/May lows and now a higher low and bulls want to get the major trend reversal.
Invalidation is below 65.5
bear case: Bears are hopeful that the bear wedge is still enough resistance that we test down to 60 but they need a strong reversal below 65 to make it happen and when a weekly bar closes at the very high, it’s probably not a good time to be a bear. Best bears can hope for here is to stay below 65 and continue inside the current range 60-65.
Invalidation is above 65.5
short term: Bullish. I think a bull breakout is much more likely than hitting 60 again. Buying 64.58 with a stop 59.5 is likely a decent trade already. Confirmation for the breakout is 65.5ish.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08: Market finds no acceptance below 60 since 2021 and now we have 3 clear legs down, a higher low and a breakout above prior high with a weekly close at the highs and the weekly 20ema. This is likely as good of a swing long as you can get.
Crude oil-----Sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis:
Crude oil is still bearish, and we will continue to sell on rebounds. If it does not break 65.00, it will fluctuate. The general trend is bearish. If it breaks, we will adjust our thinking. Today's crude oil is the key. Will it start to take off before the data? The previous crude oil inventory data did not allow crude oil to break the position. The crude oil fluctuation range is 60.00-65.00. If it breaks this range, we will adjust our thinking on fluctuations.
Operational suggestions
Crude oil-----Sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00
WTI(20250606)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
62.58
Support and resistance levels:
63.97
63.45
63.12
62.05
61.71
61.19
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 63.12, consider buying, and the first target price is 63.45
If the price breaks through 62.58, consider selling, and the first target price is 62.05
CL SELLSELL CL at 71.0000 or 68.000, riding it down to 55.5000 to 51.0000 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 73.0000!
Warning: This is only for entertainment and opinion purpose. Trading is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
Short Crude Oil for The LeapRisk free trade for $100 on MCL
Scaling out of the trade from 4 hour supply to 4 hour demand.
Using the TrendCloud Trading System and it's working great.
So far I'm in the top 7% for this competition.
Focusing on managing this crude oil trade and also the opening range on the MNQ and NQ
Huge win on day 1 for $4000 on NQ opening range using the TrendCloud Trading Strategy.
Backtesting data shows great results. Super proud of this. It took me a month to program everything properly and optimize specifically for the NQ.
Oil Price on Cusp of Testing May HighThe price of oil is on the cusp of testing the May high ($64.19) after closing above the 50-Day SMA ($62.04) for the first time since April, with a break/close above $64.20 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) bringing the April high ($71.16) on the radar.
Need a move/close above the $70.30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to $71.90 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) zone to open up the February high ($73.84), but lack of momentum to push/close above $64.20 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) may keep the price of oil within the April range.
Failure to defend the advance from the weekly low ($61.06) may push crude back toward the $58.70 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) to $60.50 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) region, with the next area of interest coming in around the May low ($54.84).
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
Coffee is going higher.6 5 25 coffee is going ... it just did a two-bar reversal. Tesla is moving lower and was a good short trade.... It traded down to a support area which was also a 382 retracement. it's possible for Tesla to find some buyers but it's more likely that it will continue our to the 618 retracement pattern that's on the chart. my videos have not been uploading and I'm not quite sure why so this is a test but there is a video.
Crude oil----sell near 64.00, target 63.00-60.00Crude oil market analysis:
Yesterday's crude oil still failed to rise. The buying price still failed to stand above 65.00 and was still fluctuating. Today, we continue to look at the range wave. We still consider selling it when it is close to 64. The crude oil inventory data does not give us much room for imagination. In addition, the recent fundamentals of crude oil are not strong, and they do not support the long position of crude oil, which has caused crude oil to fluctuate and hover. The current fluctuation range we see is 65.00-60.00.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil----sell near 64.00, target 63.00-60.00
Liquidity Hunt: Crude Oil's Next TargetFenzoFx—Crude Oil remains below the $64.19 resistance level. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory, and RSI 14 signals bearish divergence, suggesting a possible price dip.
Oil could briefly surpass $64.19 to grab liquidity before facing selling pressure. In this case, a drop toward the $61.72 support level may occur to fill the bullish fair value gap.
However, if Oil stabilizes above $64.19, the bearish outlook becomes invalid.
>>> Trade Crude Oil without swap and low spread at FenzoFx