ABG trade ideas
ABG shortAsbury Automotive Group Inc. operates as an automotive retailer operating franchises and dealership locations in US. The Company offers new and used vehicles, as well as financing and insurance, vehicle maintenance and repair services, replacement parts, and service contracts, also provides dealership for luxury and mid-line import brands.
My trade levels
Entry: $175.57
Take profit: $152.41
Stop loss: $188.98
ABG long trade - horizontal rangeTechnical:
✅ reached and respected horizontal support
✅ consistent pattern since Feb. 22
⛔️ CTL not broken yet - could wait for break before entering
✅ Earnings (higher volatility) in about a month - previous bounces reached upper resistance in under 30 days, so should be out of the trade before Earnings announcement on Oct. 27
Market factors:
⛔️✅ Car Retailer - could go lower with current market outlook
⛔️✅ Market could be volatile/bearish today after the FED's interest rate announcement - could wait another day or 2 before placing the trade
Setup
NYSE:ABG 1D chart
1% fluff
SL under low of range
TP on horizontal resistance
R/R >3:1
ABG Make or Break IdeaFirst time creating a chart here but just wanted to publish because why not!
We've seen an exponential rise over the last year with some amazing gains, and it's no surprise that a correction was looming.
ABG's balance sheets have looked absolutely incredible and they're continuing to impress with their numbers. Considering that they have no market competitors in their area due to the state laws, we can see this growing to even higher prices.
However, we're at a bit of inflection point. The volume is incredibly low yet the selling pressure pushes the price further and further down. I'm keeping my eye on the $150 support zone to see how it handles a bounce off the 200MA or if it continues downward towards the next support zone of $138-140 where we could see a nice bounce from our previous support zones back in December-February.
I'm looking to open a position in this zone, but staying wary due to the freefall nature of this stock in the past few weeks. RSI hasn't been this oversold in a long while and could be a nice swing reversal if it begins to show strength.
GOOD LONG OPPORTUNITYReasons for trade
1.Lower end of channel
2.Previous resistance may act as support.
3.50 EMA that the stock usually retraces
4.Stockasticks oversold.
R/R is almost 3-1 aim for 119 with SL at 98.5
will adjust accordingly with the open.Price may move lower to 100-101 but its still ok to open here for me.No holding through earnings.