ACHR trade ideas
High Risk Play: ACHR Pullback to 9.50-9.75 Before EarningsCurrently holding 20 puts at 9.50 strike expiring 21-FEB-25.
I'm looking at capturing a decent pullback from 10.35 close on Friday to around 9.50-9.75 before 21-FEB due to retracement levels, strong support and resistant levels, and the two most recent catalysts:
1. Blackrock's entry announced on 11-FEB-25 at the 8.50 level. This was announced before earnings so as to not hamper the massive gains expected to come from the 27-FEB-25 report.
2. There is no announced reason as to why the underlying is rising to 10.35 before earnings. I think this is a pump before a general market pullback.
Overall I'm bullish on ACHR and will aim to enter $10 calls before 21-FEB-25 provided the underlying does what I am praying for :)
$ACHR ARCHER AVIATION SCORES 300M BOOST BLACKROCK JOINS THE RIDEARCHER AVIATION SCORES $300M BOOST—BLACKROCK JOINS THE RIDE
1/7
🚀 $300M just landed in Archer Aviation’s pocket! Major institutional investors like BlackRock are backing Archer’s quest to dominate the eVTOL game. Ready to see why this funding is a big deal? Let’s go! ⚡️✈️
2/7 – WHAT’S ARCHER BUILDING?
Midnight Aircraft: Designed for short urban flights (~20 miles) with rapid turnarounds.
Targets commercial operations by 2025, battling congestion & pollution. 🌆
Hybrid Approach: Electric + other propulsion to boost range and expedite FAA certification.
3/7 – BLACKROCK’S INVOLVEMENT
Big Vote of Confidence: World’s largest asset manager sees serious potential. 💪
Aligns with green investing—eVTOLs can slash emissions compared to helicopters. ♻️
Could draw more partnerships and capital to Archer’s runway.
4/7 – WHY COMPOSITES & BATTERIES MATTER
Composites: Lighter & stronger materials = extended range & higher efficiency. 🏋️♀️
Batteries: High-energy density is critical for flight duration & payload. 🔋⚡️
Archer’s push here signals they’re tackling the industry’s biggest hurdles head-on.
5/7 – FINANCIAL & STRATEGIC IMPACT
Stronger Balance Sheet: $300M for R&D, testing, manufacturing. 💼
Timing is key: Archer eyes FAA approval soon—this cash could speed up that process. ⏱️
Competing with Joby, Vertical Aerospace, Lilium—the race is on! 🏁
6/7 Are eVTOLs the future of urban travel?
1️⃣ Absolutely—Game-changer for city traffic! 🏙️
2️⃣ Maybe—Need more proof and better tech. 🤔
3️⃣ Nope—I’m still skeptical about costs & safety. ❌
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – INDUSTRY CONTEXT
Market could hit $1.5T by 2040 (Morgan Stanley). 💰
Key markets: US, UAE, Japan, India—Archer is eyeing them all. 🌏
eVTOLs promise faster, greener commutes, but hurdles remain: regulations, infrastructure, battery tech.
Strengths: Archer’s recent $300 million funding, strategic partnerships, and regulatory progress position it well to compete in the eVTOL market. Its focus on composites and batteries aligns with industry needs.
Weaknesses: High R&D costs, limited manufacturing capacity, and lack of commercial revenue highlight financial and operational challenges.
Opportunities: The growing eVTOL market, international expansion, and defense applications offer significant growth potential.
New Vertical LiftoffClean breakout of this wedge (yellow) provides a technical bullish direction back to the teens, most optimistic targets puts this on track to $17.
Monthly CCI swinging back up as well which also provides confirmation of the breakout.
Look to see volume pickup to add more, earnings in a little over a month.
$ACHR is showing bullish signalsTechnical Analysis of Archer Aviation Inc. ( NYSE:ACHR )
This week, Archer Aviation Inc. ( NYSE:ACHR ) has shown strong momentum, currently trading at $9.45, with an intraday high of $10.17 and a low of $9.21. Let’s take a closer look at the key technical indicators:
🔹 Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is trending above the 200-day moving average, a classic bullish signal that indicates upward momentum.
🔹 Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 67.24, the RSI suggests that the stock is nearing overbought territory. While this reflects strong buying pressure, it also indicates that a short-term pullback could be possible.
🔹 Stochastic Oscillator: The 14-day Stochastic %K is at 56.39%, signaling neutral momentum. The stock isn’t in overbought or oversold territory, meaning there’s still room for movement in either direction.
🔹 Trading Volume: Recent trading volumes have been lower than average, which could indicate a consolidation phase before the next big move. A spike in volume would confirm stronger buying interest.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: Strong support is found between $8.76 - $8.81. If the stock holds above this level, the uptrend remains intact.
Resistance: The next key resistance level is at $11.51. A breakout above this level could trigger a further rally.
🔹 Candlestick Pattern: A bullish harami pattern was observed on January 30, 2025, which is typically a sign of potential upward movement in the short term.
💡 Conclusion:
NYSE:ACHR is showing bullish signals, with upward-trending moving averages and a positive candlestick formation. However, the RSI nearing overbought levels and decreasing trading volume suggest caution. If the stock breaks above $11.51, we could see further gains. Conversely, a drop below support could signal a short-term pullback.
📊 Keep an eye on price action and volume for confirmation of the next move!
ACHR Trade Setup – Key Levels!SL (Stop-Loss): $9.26 🔴
Entry: $9.81 🟡
T1 (Target 1): $10.40 🟢
T2 (Target 2): $11.21 🟢
👉 Watch for breakout confirmation and manage risk accordingly! 💹
#ACHR #StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #KeyLevels #BreakoutStrategy #StockMarket #ChartPatterns #SupportAndResistance #TradingOpportunities #SwingTrading #TradingSignals #TradeSmart #MarketAnalysis #StockCharts #TradingStrategy #DayTrading #RiskManagement
ACHR VOLATILITY CAPTUREShould everything fall to plan I was able to spot an EMA convergence with injunction of timing via the day of the week in market anticipation of the return of the previous Admin.
Entry Point
• Entry Price: $9.14
I initiated deployment at $9.14, identifying this level as an entry point right before the inauguration of the next admin. This is Driven my 3hr Volatility contraction, at a support level on the green 100 EMA.
Take Profit Level
• Take Profit: $9.41
On this long I am anticipating the swipe of $9.41. Take profit level is in aim to secure calculated gain of $0.27 per share, approximately a 2.95% profit on your position.
Stop Loss
• Stop Loss: $8.53
In an effort to cover capital, stop loss is at $8.53. This level ensures that your maximum loss is capped at $0.61 per share, equating to about a 6.67% aggressive downside risk.
Risk-Reward Ratio
Risk-reward ratio of this trade is approximately 1:0.45. This implies I am risking $0.61 to potentially gain $0.27 per share. While the reward is lower than the risk, the trade aligns with broader portfolio strategies and short-term technical signals supporting a high-probability outcome.
ACHR LongWeekly, trendline break
Long 5
Stop 4
Target 7, 10
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
For non-Pro option traders, better buy ITM options and keep 90+ days.
I will try some samples to test my chart reading and OP strategy:
"Buy in the money (ITM) calls in daily uptrend, and keep 400 days. "
CAN price 1.6 11/19/2024
BuyToOpen Jan2026 Call C1 Limit 1.0 ( Delta 0.87 , 422 days )
ITM C1 has 0.6 value.
OPK price 1.6 11/20/2024
BuyToOpen Jan2026 Call C1 Limit 0.65 x2 ( Delta 0.85 , 421 days )
ITM C1 has 0.6 value.
POET price 3.9 11/20/2024
BuyToOpen Jan2026 Call C3 Limit 1.05 ( Delta 0.85 , 421 days )
ITM C3 has 0.9 value.
Archer Aviation (ACHR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Archer Aviation NYSE:ACHR is a trailblazer in electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, aiming to transform urban air mobility (UAM) with environmentally friendly, high-tech transportation solutions. Positioned at the intersection of aviation innovation and sustainability, Archer is set to unlock massive market potential.
Key Catalysts for Growth
Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Market Boom:
With the UAM market projected to grow exponentially, Archer’s eVTOL technology positions it as a frontrunner in urban transportation solutions.
Increasing urbanization and the push for decarbonized transport drive demand for advanced air mobility solutions.
Strategic Partnerships:
Stellantis Partnership: Accelerates Archer’s manufacturing scale, leveraging Stellantis’ automotive production expertise to ensure efficient mass production.
Anduril Industries Collaboration: Expansion into hybrid VTOL military aircraft opens a pathway to tap into lucrative defense budgets, creating a diversified revenue stream.
Financial Backing:
Archer’s $430 million equity infusion from blue-chip investors bolsters its balance sheet, enabling sustained investment in R&D and manufacturing expansion.
Regulatory Advancements:
Progress toward FAA certification supports Archer’s goal of launching commercial eVTOL services by 2025, further enhancing market confidence.
Defense Opportunities:
Developing military-grade hybrid aircraft provides entry into a stable and high-margin sector, aligning with national defense priorities for innovation and sustainability.
Market and Financial Outlook
Revenue Potential: As Archer scales production and initiates commercial operations, revenue growth could accelerate rapidly, supported by early-mover advantages and a growing addressable market.
Diversified Portfolio: Balancing urban air mobility and defense projects mitigates risks while enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Investment Thesis
Bullish Case:
Archer is uniquely positioned to benefit from the convergence of urban mobility innovation, sustainability goals, and defense modernization.
Entry Point: We are bullish on ACHR above $8.00-$8.20, reflecting a solid technical setup and strong fundamentals.
Upside Target: Our price target is $17.00-$18.00, underscoring confidence in Archer’s ability to execute on growth opportunities in the UAM and defense sectors.
🌟 ACHR—Pioneering the Future of Sustainable Aerial Transportation. #UrbanAirMobility #Sustainability #DefenseInnovation
Archer Aviation: key level to watch witnessed a strong rebound after forming a higher low at 6.85, to violate the resistance level at 8.63 in yesterday's session. Holding above this level, will push the stock to test the last peak at 9.84, which is the level that needs to be violated to confirm the current uptrend, triggering further rises near 10.35 - 10.80 - 11.30 - 12.00.
The stop-loss lies below 7.33$.
the indicators are heading toward the positive side, which confirms the mentioned positive scenario.
The information and publications are not intended to be or constitute any financial, investment, commercial, or other types of advice or recommendations provided.
ACHR Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown with Key Level!The **30-minute chart** for **ACHR** highlights a **symmetrical triangle breakdown**, indicating bearish momentum.
- **Entry**: $8.32 (yellow line - breakdown level)
- **Stop Loss (SL)**: $7.75 (white line - key support)
- **Target 1 (T1)**: $9.30 (red line - immediate resistance)
- **Target 2 (T2)**: $10.55 (green line - major resistance level)
The price is breaking below key support levels with strong volume, suggesting potential for further downside. Watch for price action near $8.32 to confirm the trend.
#ACHR #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #NYSE #StockMarket #BearishTrend
ACHR Breakdown Prediction from $9.95 - Perfect Execution**
### **Description**:
This **30-minute ACHR chart** shows my successful prediction of the **breakdown from $9.95**, a key resistance level.
1. **Prediction Point**:
I identified **$9.95** as a crucial level where the price would reverse after the uptrend, supported by the formation of a **rising wedge**.
2. **Breakdown Confirmation**:
- Price rejected **$9.95** and broke below the wedge support.
- The breakdown accelerated at **$9.30** (white line), confirming bearish momentum.
3. **Targets and Execution**:
- **Target 1**: **$8.34** (red line) - successfully achieved.
- **Target 2**: Heading towards **$7.56** (green line), the next support.
4. **Stop Loss**:
Placed above **$10.39** to manage risk effectively.
The breakdown from **$9.95** was predicted accurately, with price respecting the rising wedge pattern and reaching the defined targets. This analysis demonstrates the importance of combining technical patterns with key price levels.
Rising Wedge Pattern Analysis on ACHR -Potential Reversal Ahead.**Bearish Trade Plan for ACHR**
- **Entry**: **$8.83** (Confirmation of breakdown below wedge support)
- **Stop Loss (SL)**: **$9.30** (Above the key resistance level)
**Targets**:
- **Target 1 (T1)**: **$8.32** (First support level, red line)
- **Target 2 (T2)**: **$7.56** (Major support level, green line
**Trade Rationale**:
The rising wedge breakdown signals bearish momentum. The stop loss at **$9.30** protects against invalidation of the setup, while the downside targets align with key support levels. Monitor volume for confirmation of selling pressure.
ARCHR can bounce of 50SMA Archer aviation is clearly getting support at 50 SMA. Yes it has had a parabolic jump in the last weeks, but the drop after the news on the 500 million USD is contrary. I think people just sold the news. But the same happened to #sofi and I think will happen to this stock as well. The PT for this is over 12 by most analysts so I believe this is a good swing trade.
Archer: Bullseye ReleaseArcher Aviation is at the forefront of the urban air mobility revolution, developing state-of-the-art electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft aimed at transforming passenger and cargo transport. The company is accelerating toward commercialization with its flagship aircraft, Midnight, which targets FAA certification by 2024 and operational readiness by 2025.
Strong Financial Performance and Outlook
In its latest earnings report, Archer exceeded expectations with an EPS of -$0.29, outperforming the consensus estimate of -$0.316. This marks a solid step toward profitability, supported by disciplined cost management and steady progress in development milestones. Archer's robust order book, valued at over $6 billion, is anchored by partnerships with major players like United Airlines, which has placed orders for up to 200 eVTOL aircraft.
Solid Capital Position and Strategic Growth
The company recently secured $430 million in funding, including equity investments from Stellantis and other institutional investors, strengthening its financial foundation for scaling production. Archer’s partnership with Anduril Industries introduces a dual-use opportunity by leveraging its technology for military applications, diversifying its revenue streams and solidifying its competitive edge.
Bullish Analyst Sentiment and Market Dynamics
Reflecting growing confidence in the eVTOL market, Deutsche Bank has raised its price target on ACHR to $15 from $11, citing the company’s solid execution and burgeoning demand in urban air mobility. Archer’s low beta of 2.72, while indicating some volatility, underscores its resilience and attractiveness to growth-focused investors seeking exposure to disruptive industries.
Industry Leadership in eVTOL Innovation
Archer’s Midnight is designed for urban routes with a range of 60 miles and quick 10-minute recharge capabilities, catering to high-frequency city commutes. The global eVTOL market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 15.3%, reaching $30.8 billion by 2030, positioning Archer at the forefront of this burgeoning industry.
With a clear path to commercialization, strong financial backing, and growing industry recognition, Archer Aviation offers investors a compelling opportunity to capitalize on the future of sustainable urban transportation.
$8.42 NYSE:ACHR
$ACHR on watchNYSE:ACHR on watch!
I’ve already locked in a 1,000% gain on this one and I'm eyeing another run. Here's my plan:
🔑 Look for a break and close above $8.40 on two consecutive 1-hour candles. If that happens, I'm entering:
📍 Contract: NYSE:ACHR $8 Calls (Exp. Jan 24, 2025)
🎯 Target: $9.40 (psychological resistance)
ACHR looking for continuation of bullish momentum.What a great ride this has been the past week! Obviously, this was going to see a significant drop sooner or later. But looking for a bullish continuation after that big red candle. To confirm a bullish reversal after the inverted green hammer, I'm looking for the next day's candle to close above the high of the inverted hammer. Here's the breakdown:
-The high of the inverted hammer is $6.75 (since the candle closed at this price).
For confirmation, you'd want the next candle to:
1. Close above $6.75 to show bullish momentum.
2. Ideally close higher than any intraday resistance observed on the inverted hammer's upper wick (if applicable). ($7-$7.07)
Specific Levels to Watch:
-$6.75 or higher: A close above this level confirms the hammer's high was breached, indicating buyers are in control.
-Significantly above $6.75: The higher the close, the stronger the confirmation of bullish sentiment.
Bullish Target Zones (After Confirmation):
1. $7.16–$7.50: Likely first resistance zones based on psychological levels or intraday price action.
2. $8.00 and beyond: If momentum strengthens, reclaiming levels closer to prior highs becomes possible.
Without a close above $6.75, the inverted hammer's signal is invalidated, and the downtrend could resume. Confirmation is essential for determining whether this pattern marks a genuine reversal or just a pause in bearish momentum. We shall find out tomorrow.
$ACHR Long like Donkey KongNYSE:ACHR is a unique up and coming Flying Robo Taxi, Long Haul Aviation Renewable Electric Vehicle corporation aiming to transform the transportation industry as we know it.
Given the many unique and viable products this company has developed and it's massive growing interest, weather you see a cup with handle or big double bottom on the high time frame, you are sure to find bullishness here.
NYSE:ACHR will transform the way we move as a society and is very likely to be bought out at some point by a large scale competitor such as Amazon, Tesla or Boeing.
The volume of threat this growing aviation company brings to the table for the industry at hand will bring equally massive returns.
Our short term targets are listed above. Buy the dip anywhere you like between the current candle high and the current candle low.
You're Welcome.
@Dikfat for More
ACHR: Long Position @ Wave 5 (Elliot)Step 1: Ride the Wave 5 Momentum
ACHR is about to start its Wave 5 rally, offering an excellent short-term long opportunity.
Currently we're in the middle of Wave 4 and we will likely experience 3 to 5 days of accumulation/indecision before Wave 5 starts.
Let’s break it down:
Slow Stochastic Bullish Momentum
The Slow Stoch oscillator is signaling strong bullish momentum, albeit in overbought territory. This is typical during Wave 5 and suggests further upside potential before the trend exhausts. Staying with the momentum while it lasts can be very rewarding.
Massive Volume Spike
In the last three weeks, ACHR has seen a significant increase in volume, indicating strong buying interest. Volume often leads price, and this kind of activity strengthens the case for continued upward movement. The surge in interest can drive the stock toward its next key resistance around $9.84.
Fundamental Catalysts Driving Momentum
Recently, ACHR has achieved major milestones, such as progress on FDA approvals and securing new contracts and orders. These developments add to the bullish sentiment, attracting more traders and creating a supportive backdrop for the rally.
Trade Execution: Enter a long position now to take advantage of the current momentum and aim for a target near $9.84 (the resistance zone). Consider tightening your stop-loss to protect profits as the stock approaches this level.
Step 2: Exit, Wait for the ABC Correction, and Re-Enter for a Bigger Move
After completing Wave 5, the market is likely to enter a corrective ABC phase. This is where it’s smart to exit your position and wait on the sidelines. Why? The correction will likely bring the price down to a more attractive level, allowing for a better risk-reward setup for the next big move.
Once the ABC correction concludes, re-entering around the key support zone sets up a new long opportunity with an eye toward the Q1 2025 target of $12. The long-term fundamentals of ACHR and its growing momentum in the market make this a high-probability setup.
Trade Execution: Watch for the corrective phase after Wave 5 completes. Use Fibonacci retracement levels or support zones to identify a potential re-entry point.
ACHR: Long Position (Two phases): Wave 5 and post-correctionToday, I want to share a trade idea on Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR), leveraging the current market structure and technical indicators to maximize gains. This plan follows a two-step long strategy: first, capturing the ongoing Wave 5 rally, and then exiting to wait for the corrective ABC pattern before re-entering for a bigger move towards the Q1 2025 target.
Step 1: Ride the Wave 5 Momentum
ACHR is about to start its Wave 5 rally, offering an excellent short-term long opportunity. Let’s break it down:
Slow Stochastic Bullish Momentum
The Slow Stoch oscillator is signaling strong bullish momentum, albeit in overbought territory. This is typical during Wave 5 and suggests further upside potential before the trend exhausts. Staying with the momentum while it lasts can be very rewarding.
Massive Volume Spike
In the last three weeks, ACHR has seen a significant increase in volume, indicating strong buying interest. Volume often leads price, and this kind of activity strengthens the case for continued upward movement. The surge in interest can drive the stock toward its next key resistance around $9.84.
Fundamental Catalysts Driving Momentum
Recently, ACHR has achieved major milestones, such as progress on FDA approvals and securing new contracts and orders. These developments add to the bullish sentiment, attracting more traders and creating a supportive backdrop for the rally.
Trade Execution : Enter a long position now to take advantage of the current momentum and aim for a target near $9.84 (the resistance zone). Consider tightening your stop-loss to protect profits as the stock approaches this level.
Step 2: Exit, Wait for the ABC Correction, and Re-Enter for a Bigger Move
After completing Wave 5, the market is likely to enter a corrective ABC phase. This is where it’s smart to exit your position and wait on the sidelines. Why? The correction will likely bring the price down to a more attractive level, allowing for a better risk-reward setup for the next big move.
Once the ABC correction concludes, re-entering around the key support zone sets up a new long opportunity with an eye toward the Q1 2025 target of $12. The long-term fundamentals of ACHR and its growing momentum in the market make this a high-probability setup.
Trade Execution: Watch for the corrective phase after Wave 5 completes. Use Fibonacci retracement levels or support zones to identify a potential re-entry point.
Final Thoughts
This two-step strategy focuses on trading the immediate momentum of Wave 5 while preparing for the post-correction opportunity. The increased volume and bullish technicals, supported by ACHR’s strong fundamentals, create a high-confidence trade setup. Timing your entries and exits carefully will allow you to capitalize on both the short-term rally and the long-term upside.
What do you think?
Let me know your thoughts or how you’re planning to trade ACHR in the comments!