why its important to secure gains 🥶March 29th I said "downtrend break,consolidation faze, now rally to 30-47? lets see" shortly after we smashed my target and did a heavy pullback right away.. thats why its always good to secure some gains when targets are hit, and raise stop loss to breakeven on rest of position. now AI broke important support zone, a dip to 14.88 may be in play now.. But i will also consider longs again if we climb back above 21. no trigger no trade! boost and follow for more. thanks Shortby Vibranium_Capital13
AI Long ContinuationLong Idea. Since the beginning of 2023, AI has been in a daily uptrend, currently trading above its 200 DMA. It also seems to be a favorite short candidate given its downward trajectory in 2022, so there's squeeze potential. A distribution has been built < 15, and 20 has been acting as strong support since February, enabling price to make higher highs. Along with a higher distribution built > 20, this implies price wants to continue building or explore higher. Buy targets: 20-22 Profit targets: 24 / 25 / 26 / 28 Long trade is invalided < 20.Longby BreezeTrades808Updated 7710
C3.ai 30% Gain in the next 11 daysOK Traders. Look at the Timed Cycles on the top of my chart and the trading pattern that AI has undergone since early February. I for one am not going to let this pass me by again. Likely by Wednesday I will take a large Position as the potential for a 30% gain within 11 days is very real. I firmly believe it's worth the risk for less than 2 weeks time. The Stochastic RSI appears to be confirming this as well with the same repeating pattern. This stock is Highly Manipulated so make sure you have set Trailing Stops on your positions. As well you can see where the potential top will be so be prepared to Short near the top if you are so inclined with your trading strategy.by grahammkUpdated 4416
C3 aiMeme stock doing what memes do! Weekly bearish engulfing Weekly selling pressure increased.. Rsi bearish divergence If you're looking for upside here you're chasing a squeeze. Short entry below weekly 21ema or 20.70 Target 15.00 Shortby ContraryTraderUpdated 339
Waiting for a reaction before this rockets.Elliot wave double sideways combo or expanded flat in play The Y wave can develop as a zig zag (5 /3 /5) move. Alternatively it can develop as an impulse. Currently it looks like a zig zag since wave A was gigantic drop. Waiting for a reaction in the green demand zone. Will be watching for divergences on oscilators. This is a discount in my opinion. Long term HOLD of this asset.by PK_SEND_IT118
AlienI was just messing around and wanted to give a chart some character. I am not a financial advisor, just someone who likes to tweek charts. Longby METALWARP0
AI: Summary: SqueezeAs you can see on the chart yesterday, the buyers after the breakout of the vwap and the resistance line, they were immediately pushed back by the sellers or a true downtrend.Thanks!Shortby PAZINI19224
AIAI has found its self at the lower support of the trend. 20.42. Starting o look like a flat bottom support. This is a bearish setup. We were long a while back and we took profits in the 32s but Ai has now shown a breakout and bearish fakeout. Back at the same support. Bulls are buying this support up but in my veiw it’s on the verge of a large breakdown. For me I’m shortinf at 21 put. Loading up any pop to 20.66 area. This trade will be taken down towards 18.50 area where I’ll take some profits overall tarhet is 10$ but there will be bounces. I’m looking for a break to 18$ is next week or so. Mabey today. Looking for a bounce there back to retest 20.42 where if that happens and we reject again I’ll re add at that rejextion and bring it lower. It’s considlating at the low now looking to breakdown here in my opinion. Be ready it is a Friday so it may not happen today but I am very short Shortby Erictaylor777
$AI Holding Support?I’ve taken a small position in NYSE:AI here as it seems to have put in a support level. In addition, the selling volume has declined quite a bit suggesting to me that sellers are pretty much done. If we have a pocket pivot in the next few days / weeks, I will bring it up to a full position size. I am using the support area as my stop guideline. If it fails, then it proves that was not a supported area. For my trading style I like the risk reward ratio here. Thanks for looking. Ideas, not investment / trading advice. Longby jaxdogUpdated 336
AI short, looking for range break down AI short, looking for range break down Look to enter on a bounce here, place stop according to your own RM, or top of previous candle. optimal outcome would be take profit in the $15-16 rangeShortby jcoversmo2
AI: Sell ideaOn AI as you see on the chart we have a sell idea because we have the breakout of the support line and the vwap.Thanks!Shortby PAZINI19Updated 553
AI, Reversal to the UPSIDE in order..AI is consolidating at 20-22 price levels -- a strong order block support which has been tested quite a few times already. Net buying / accumulation has been spotted at the current levels forming 4H higher lows. Expect a reversal to the upside from this price point. Spotted at 22.0 TAYOR. ----------------- LAST QTR results Jan 2023 for reference: Jan 2023EPS beat by 72.57% EPS (USD) Expected -0.22 Reported -0.06 Surprise 72.57% Revenue (USD) Expected 64.25M Reported 66.67M Surprise 3.77%Longby JSAL5
AI, 10d+/-77.49%falling cycle -77.49% more than 10 days. ================================================================================================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only. Shortby Tonyder0
AI, ascend continuation on queue.AI will mostly likely continue ascend after the needed correction -- touching order block support levels 20. SEEDED at 22.0 TAYOR. Longby JSAL4
The AI bubble hasn't even started yetHello friends. We think that AI is the next big bubble, and we expect this bubble to expand into the euphoria phase through the rest of this year even as the rest of the stock market is flat to down and big names start to topple over. We think the best play for this bubble is the ticker AI since retail traders seem to love trading this ticker, which implies that it will be more volatile than the other AI names. The inspiration for my idea came (as it often does) while looking through some Wallstreetbets ideas for a monkey to fade. I saw not one, but several WSB traders who had purchased put options on AI and were posting their unrealized gains following the recent crash. This was very interesting because usually, you would expect that for a bubble like this to form, the apes would surely be long on this stock, and not buying puts or shorting. That really was not the case though. There is widespread criticism and skepticism of the AI stock bubble, and there are not many traders who are hopping on board with the trend. Fear is even being spread for this particular ticker AI in the form of reports that the company has fabricated 'misleading accounting reports'. The reaction to this "breaking news" was a sharp drop, which means that many of the panic-prone retail paper hand longs have already been killed and will no longer be around to hammer the bid, a good sign for the longs. Further evidence that traders are skeptical of this bubble comes in the form of the short interest, which is rather high at 27.5%. How can such skepticism and fear be commonplace during the peak stage of a bubble, which usually requires extreme euphoria? In terms of price and time structure, this bubble does not look like a typical complete bubble. It looks like the early phase to me. This is because, rather than seeing one massive and jarring jolt to the upside that cleans out most shorts and gets most retail traders to panic buy, we have seen a relatively slow and methodical grind upwards which has included several retracements. For us, this is a sign of a healthy meme stock bubble. Here is an example of the opposite kind of bubble, on Buzzfeed stock. As you can see, it goes STRAIGHT up, which signals that euphoria has set in and the bubble is about to burst. The trade here would be to wait for the crash to begin and then short with a stop above the high and hold onto the short for the long ride down, which would have been successful. Now, the AI ticker probably isn't a good investment. We think of it as a 'meme' stock. So of course you do not want to be holding the bag at the end of the game, which requires some risk management and means you can't average down forever. Make no mistake, this will end in tears. AI will probably trade for pennies or even be bankrupt in a few years if it follows the same path that other meme stocks have. The company is growing rapidly, but it's also burning through cash and diluting shareholders to fund that burn. We think this stock is a great play for the coming months, and we expect there to be a 'sudden massive spike' where call options print really well. Despite that, we do not want to buy calls, because the implied volatility is absurdly high which makes buying options less attractive to us. Instead, our plan is to be selling puts over the course of the next month. As we sell these puts, we will harvest a hefty premium as well as get the chance to buy some of these juicy shares at a discount. If we end up being assigned, we will sell calls to the apes and hope our shares get called away during a big spike. We highly suspect that the price will decide to sweep through these local lows and tap into the 19-handle. If this happens, we will sell a lot of puts there and build out our position. In terms of our risk management strategy, we would want to get the hell out of this name if the momentum really starts to fade on the higher time frames and not just in a short-term panic kind of way. This way, there is no potential for us to hold this stock to zero.Longby bowtrix1115
Market Manipulation? Kerrisdale's Actions Against C3.aiC3.ai's CEO Tom Siebel called out short seller Kerrisdale Capital for stock price manipulation in a recent Bloomberg interview. The C3.ai stock has been caught in a whirlwind of controversy, with Kerrisdale Capital's short position, a critical report, and a letter accusing the company of accounting fraud at the center of it all. Let's examine the inconsistencies, contradictions, and potential misleading information in Kerrisdale's report and letter, exploring whether these actions could constitute market manipulation under the existing legal framework. Disclaimer: Please remember that none of this constitutes legal or financial advice. Market manipulation is defined as "intentional conduct designed to deceive investors by controlling or artificially affecting the market for a security." The term encompasses a wide range of activities, including spreading false or misleading information, engaging in fraudulent or manipulative practices, and cornering the market. In the United States, market manipulation is prohibited under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Section 9(a)(2)) and the Commodity Exchange Act (Section 6(c)(1)). To learn more about the specific laws and regulations governing market manipulation, readers can refer to the following resources: Securities Exchange Act of 1934: www.law.cornell.edu Commodity Exchange Act: www.law.cornell.edu SEC Guidelines: www.sec.gov Market Manipulation in the US Explained: www.rahmanravelli.co.uk A BIT OF BACKGROUND C3.ai, a leading enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) software provider, has been at the center of a heated controversy involving Kerrisdale Capital, a prominent investment management firm. C3.ai aims to help businesses unlock the potential of AI and data analytics to drive growth and efficiency. Kerrisdale Capital entered the scene by taking a short position in C3.ai's stock, effectively betting against the company's success. In March 2023, Kerrisdale then released a scathing report that cast doubt on C3.ai's prospects, criticizing its growth rates, competitive positioning, and management. This report led to an initial decline in C3.ai's stock price of over 20%. However, the company's stock rebounded and even reached new heights in early April, posing a significant threat to Kerrisdale's short position. In an attempt to reinforce their bearish stance, Kerrisdale published a follow-up letter in April 2023, addressed to C3.ai's auditor, Deloitte, and CC'd to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In this letter, Kerrisdale leveled serious allegations of accounting fraud against C3.ai. The publication of the letter sent shockwaves through the market, causing C3.ai's stock price to plummet by nearly 40%. EXPOSING KERRISDALE'S DECEPTIVE TACTICS IN THEIR C3.AI ASSAULT Let's dive into the inconsistencies and misleading information found in Kerrisdale's report and letter about C3.ai. By comparing these documents with C3's financial statements and relevant laws and regulations, let's investigate if Kerrisdale's allegations are unfounded and possibly manipulative. Contradictory Revenue Growth Claims: Kerrisdale's report acknowledges C3.ai's revenue growth (page 2), but the letter contradicts this by questioning the veracity of the growth figures (paragraph 2 of the letter). It is important to note that C3.ai's financial statements are prepared in accordance with US GAAP, which is subject to strict guidelines and external audits. Unbilled Receivables Misrepresentation: The report mentions the long product life cycle on page 13, which could contribute to the rise in unbilled receivables. However, in the letter, Kerrisdale questions the rise in unbilled receivables (paragraph 3 of the letter), seemingly disregarding the fact that they themselves acknowledged the long life cycle. According to ASC 606 (Revenue from Contracts with Customers) in the US GAAP guidelines, the recognition of unbilled receivables is appropriate based on the specific circumstances of a contract. On page 2 of their letter, Sahm Adrangi writes, "With the company unable to invoice 30% of its reported revenue, which just so happens to come from a related party, how exactly are you as its auditor signing off on these financial statements?" This statement demonstrates either a lack of understanding or an attempt at manipulation by Kerrisdale. Unbilled receivables do not imply that the company is unable to invoice the revenue. Instead, they represent amounts recognized under the terms of a contract but not yet billed to the customer. As per the US GAAP guidelines, specifically ASC 606 (Revenue from Contracts with Customers), companies may recognize revenue over time, even if invoices have not been issued. This scenario is common when long-term contracts or projects are involved, and the unbilled amounts are expected to be invoiced in the future as the work progresses or upon meeting certain milestones. By making such a statement, Kerrisdale misrepresents the concept of unbilled receivables and creates confusion among readers, potentially leading them to believe that C3.ai has questionable accounting practices. This misrepresentation supports the argument that Kerrisdale may have intended to manipulate the market perception of C3.ai negatively, ultimately benefiting their short position. Flawed Competitor Comparison: In the report (page 7), Kerrisdale compares C3.ai AI to Palantir and Snowflake, asserting that C3.ai's growth rates and valuation multiples are inferior. However, these companies operate in different niches within the AI and data analytics market, with varying business models and target customers. This misleading comparison fails to provide a fair assessment of C3.ai's market position. C3.ai, Palantir, and Snowflake each operate within the broader artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics market but target different niches and offer distinct solutions. When doing a simple Google search for Palantir and its competitors, C3.ai is, in fact, nowhere to be found. Here are some short summaries of the three companies. C3.ai: Niche: Enterprise AI and IoT applications C3.ai focuses on providing AI-based software solutions for enterprise clients, with an emphasis on IoT (Internet of Things) applications. Their platform, C3 AI Suite, enables organizations to develop, deploy, and manage large-scale AI applications for a wide range of industries, including energy, healthcare, manufacturing, and financial services. C3.ai aims to help businesses accelerate their digital transformation and improve decision-making processes using AI and machine learning. Palantir: Niche: Data integration and analytics for government and commercial organizations Palantir specializes in data integration, analytics, and visualization software for government agencies and large commercial organizations. Their two primary products, Palantir Gotham and Palantir Foundry, are designed to help organizations integrate, manage, and analyze vast amounts of data from disparate sources. Palantir's solutions are particularly popular in sectors like defense, intelligence, law enforcement, and cybersecurity, where the company has a strong track record. Snowflake: Niche: Cloud-based data warehousing and analytics Snowflake offers a cloud-based data warehousing platform that enables organizations to store, manage, and analyze structured and semi-structured data. Snowflake's unique architecture allows for easy scalability, high performance, and seamless integration with various data sources and third-party services. The platform is particularly well-suited for businesses looking to transition their data infrastructure to the cloud and take advantage of modern data analytics tools. In summary, while all three companies operate within the AI and data analytics market, they target different niches and offer distinct solutions. C3.ai focuses on enterprise AI and IoT applications, Palantir specializes in data integration and analytics for government and commercial organizations, and Snowflake provides a cloud-based data warehousing and analytics platform. MISLEASING MARKET PENETRATION ASSERTION: On page 11 of their report, Kerrisdale directly mentions C3.ai company's age when referring to their alleged sub-par customer base: "...after being in business for over twelve years." This statement could be construed as manipulative or misleading. Kerrisdale's focus on C3.ai's age and customer count in comparison to Palantir and Snowflake, while intentionally not mentioning that Palantir has been in business for 20 years and Snowflake for a comparable 12 years, might give readers a false impression that C3.ai has underperformed relative to its competitors. The actual differences in customer counts are not as substantial as the comparison suggests, considering the age of the companies. By not providing a complete context, Kerrisdale may intentionally mislead readers into forming a negative perception of C3.ai's performance and growth potential, which can be seen as manipulative. The aforementioned inconsistencies and misleading information, when combined, paint a picture of either incompetence or deliberate manipulation on Kerrisdale's part. By misrepresenting facts, Kerrisdale may have intended to influence market perception of C3.ai negatively, thus benefiting their short position. Market manipulation is illegal under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Section 9) and related SEC rules. Specifically, Rule 10b-5 states that it is unlawful to make untrue statements or omissions of material facts in connection with the purchase or sale of any security. A CLOSER LOOK AT INTENT Let's analyze the intent behind Kerrisdale's actions when they published the report and letter about C3.ai. Unsupported Allegations and Cherry-Picking: The letter contains allegations of accounting fraud without providing concrete evidence or a thorough analysis. Instead, it selectively highlights specific data points and aspects, potentially ignoring or downplaying counterarguments or positive aspects of C3.ai's financials. The Use of Strong Language and Rhetoric: The language used in the letter, such as terms like "accounting fraud," might be interpreted as an attempt to evoke strong emotions and reactions from readers, potentially causing them to sell their shares and further drive down C3.ai's stock price. Timing and Market Impact: Kerrisdale published the letter to C3.ai's auditor, Deloitte, CC'ing the SEC, shortly after C3.ai's stock had regained its value following the initial report. The stock lost over 20% after the release of the report on March 6th but quickly regained value and was reaching new heights (and therefore endangering Kerrisdale's short position in the stock) when Kerrisdale published the letter. This publication led to an almost 40% drop in the stock's value, significantly benefiting Kerrisdale's short position. The timing of these publications hints at a calculated effort to manipulate the market and profit from the resulting panic. Misrepresentation of Competitors and Customer Growth: Kerrisdale's misleading comparison between C3.ai, Palantir, and Snowflake can be seen as an attempt to create a false impression of C3.ai's performance. By emphasizing the differences in customer counts without providing proper context or acknowledging the distinct niches of each company, Kerrisdale intentionally leads readers to form a negative perception of C3.ai's growth potential. These companies have different focuses within the AI and data analytics market, making the comparison potentially misleading. This manipulative tactic could be intended to drive down the stock price and benefit their short position. Inconsistencies in Understanding and Presenting Financial Data: Kerrisdale's misinterpretation of unbilled receivables, and their contradictory statements in the report and letter, can be perceived as either incompetence or a deliberate attempt to mislead readers. Raising concerns about unbilled receivables in the letter while providing a possible explanation in their own report, might be interpreted as an attempt to manipulate and mislead readers. This could be seen as incompetence or a deliberate effort to confuse readers who may not be familiar with US GAAP, leading them to believe that something unusual is happening with C3.ai's financials. CONCLUSION The inconsistencies, errors, and misinformation found in their publications, coupled with the timing and market impact, make it certainly not seem impossible that Kerrisdale's intent in publishing the report and letter about C3.ai may have been to manipulate the market, capitalizing on the resulting stock price fluctuations and protecting their short position. Sources: C3 Financial Data: ir.c3.ai ir.c3.ai ir.c3.ai ir.c3.ai Kerrisdale Capital's report and letter: www.kerrisdalecap.com www.kerrisdalecap.com Longby Donfelice2214
C3 AI longI am now long C3 AI because the dominance showed by the buyers and bouncing off support, it is currently up 11% today bt it fell 40% in two days so Would not be surprised to see a temporary bounce or recovery dpending on the crypto and tech markets 5/5 calls Longby turkeyturkey1
Tradingview Alerts: Conspiracy with Short Traders?C3 stock experiences rally after days of crashing, yet Tradingview publishes hit-piece amidst reputable media coverage?Longby Donfelice2
C3.AI - Ready for the next wave upHello everyone, The letter from the Kerrisdale Capital made C3.AI plummet by 40% on possible allegations that C3.AI used agressive accounting tactics to boost it's quarterly results and improve margins on paper. Even if that is true, revenue is still revenue and each and every company uses all the possible legal ways to improve it's finances. Still, this does not immediately mean that C3 should be 40% cheaper than 3 days before. The company was way overbought and needed some cool-down, but -40% is brutal for such allegations. The $20 has been a fantastic support a few times in the past and I think that this time is no different. I am expecting heavy buying and the first TP would be $25 and then $30. After hitting $30, it all depends on the allegations being cleared as well as the overall market sentiment, so nothing can be certain past that point. If there is a heavy break below $18, $15 is next and then $10. Still, I don't think that C3 is over just yet and this is all a show to drop the company. Good luck to all!Longby donaitelo5
C3 AI accusationsC3 AI was accused of falsifying finance information and lost more than 20% today. I dont think anyone is buying right now Shortby turkeyturkeyUpdated 774