ALK in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone below bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $58.20
Target is upper channel around $72
ALK trade ideas
ALA Alaska Airlines weekly potterboxes.ALK Alaska airlines is looking good for another run and making some new highs.. it's the third time trying to get to new highs. Not hard to find just I just look with scanners and proprietary software. we could probably go out about 6 to 7 months . possibly look at the July 85 to 95 calls. they are pricey but I think they are worth it. maybe stop out around$70.00 dollars. Just my opinion from searching the stocks for the best winners. This is what I have come up with.Happy Trading.
Alaska Airlines' Weight and Balance System GlitchAlaska Airlines ( NYSE:ALK ) faced a hiccup in its operations as flights were temporarily grounded due to an issue with the system responsible for calculating weight and balance. The incident, which affected both Alaska Airlines ( NYSE:ALK ) and its regional carrier Horizon Air, prompted swift action from the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and sparked concerns among passengers and investors alike.
The Glitch:
On a routine morning, Alaska Airlines ( NYSE:ALK ) encountered an unexpected obstacle during an upgrade to its weight and balance system. This essential component, crucial for ensuring flight safety, malfunctioned, prompting the airline to halt all departures. The ripple effect was felt across the aviation industry, causing disruptions in travel plans and triggering a flurry of activity both on social media and in financial markets.
FAA Intervention:
Recognizing the severity of the situation, the FAA swiftly responded by implementing a ground stop on Alaska Airlines' mainline departures. This precautionary measure, while necessary for ensuring passenger safety, underscored the gravity of the issue at hand. However, it's noteworthy that flights operated by SkyWest, a regional service provider, were exempted from the grounding, highlighting the localized nature of the problem.
Impact on Operations and Investors:
The temporary grounding sent shockwaves through Alaska Airlines' ( NYSE:ALK ) operations, leading to delays and inconvenience for passengers. While the airline assured travelers of efforts to minimize disruptions, the incident undoubtedly left a dent in its reputation for reliability. Investors, too, closely monitored the developments, with shares of Alaska Air Group ( NYSE:ALK ) initially dipping in response to the news before recovering some ground. The rollercoaster ride in stock prices reflected the uncertainty surrounding the incident and its potential ramifications for the company's bottom line.
Road to Recovery:
As Alaska Airlines ( NYSE:ALK ) navigates through the aftermath of the glitch, the focus now shifts to restoring normalcy in operations. The airline's commitment to addressing passenger concerns and swiftly resolving the technical issue is paramount in rebuilding trust and confidence among travelers. Additionally, enhancing system resilience and redundancy measures could mitigate the risk of similar incidents in the future, safeguarding both passenger safety and the company's reputation.
ALK: correction in the rangeA price action below 38.00 supports a bearish trend direction.
Further bearish support for a break below 38.00 as well.
The target price is set at 35.00 (its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement).
The stop-loss is set at 40.00 (close to its 200-day simple moving average).
A double top pattern or M-Top pattern might unfold.
Remains a risky trade.
Alaska Air Group: Double BottomOverview
Alaska Airlines is a subsidiary for Alaska Air Group. If you aren't familiar with the verbiage, this means that Alaska Air Group ( NYSE:ALK ) is the umbrella company that owns Alaska Airlines. In light of the Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) mishap that occurred yesterday in Oregon and in addition to the current trend on ALK's 1D chart, I believe ALK will correct to $30-31.
Technical Analysis
According to the 1D chart, ALK has been on the trajectory of a double bottom since July 2023. The last dip in the double bottom formation rests around $30-31 which I believe will approach sooner than expected due to ALK's grounding of an entire fleet of Boeing 737 MAX-9s. As long as nothing else negative comes to light, I believe ALK will begin its rise to $57 sometime after arriving around the second dip of the double bottom.
Market Psychology Speculations
I believe Boeing will catch most of the negative press but that doesn't mean Alaska Air Group is off the hook. Because ALK's subsidiary has also been in the headlines, I think the double bottom is going to accelerate. Alaska Airlines has received bad press twice in the last 12 months for narrowly avoiding aircraft-related catastrophes; the first concerning an off-duty pilot that attempted to cut off the engines mid-flight.
All that said, after the initial dust has settled, I believe the markets will forgive ALK and a potential recovery will begin. Kudos should be given for having the proper procedures in place that helped return both aircrafts back to the ground safely without incident. The next major factor that needs to be considered is how the grounding of an entire fleet will affect their balance sheets for the upcoming Q4 Earnings Call.
Fundamental Analysis
I will perform a fundamental analysis within the next few days. Due to market reactivity I don't believe a healthy balance sheet will cushion the share price until after the Q4 Earnings Release.
ALK (Alaska Air Group) Buy TF H4 TP = 40.80On the H4 chart the trend started on Nov. 9 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 40.80
But we should not forget about SL = 30.67
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelieveInTrading
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) - Bearish Price Action with FibonacAlaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) - Bearish Price Action with Fibonacci Retracement Analysis
Date:
Overview: Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) is currently showing signs of a bearish trend with an expected retracement up to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This analysis aims to provide insight into the potential downward movement and key levels to watch.
Current Market Observations:
Price Trend: ALK has recently exhibited bearish price action, breakdown below support levels, bearish candlestick formations.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is often considered a critical level in technical analysis, is expected to be a significant point in the stock's retracement.
Technical Analysis:
Expected Retracement: The stock is anticipated to retrace up to 38.67 levels.
📈 #ALK catch it if you can!Hey guys,
This may take off once the market opens in the next hour but you may have a chance to catch this up move.
We have the following items in the technical analysis which indicates a bullish up move to target levels:
1. Nice clean identifiable impulse
2. Healthy correction to 38.2 fib level
3. Correction longer in duration than Impulse
4. Healthy identifiable impulse breaking out of correction
5. Bullish continuation structure on lower degree
Take profits at target levels and move to break even once some is locked in.
Alaska Airlines agrees to buy Hawaiian Airlines in $1.9 billion Key Takeaway
1. Alaska Airlines has agreed to acquire its rival Hawaiian Airlines in a deal valued at about $1.9 billion.
2. The combined company would be based in Seattle, where Alaska Airlines is headquartered, and led by its CEO, Ben Minicucci.
3. The airlines said they will aim to combine their resources while “maintaining” each of their respective brand identities.
Alaska Air Group has agreed to buy rival Hawaiian Airlines in a $1.9 billion deal, setting up another potential regulatory battle in the second proposed airline merger in less than two years.
Alaska would pay $18 a share for Hawaiian and would take on $900 million of its debt, the companies said Sunday. Shares of Hawaiian Airlines closed on Friday at $4.86, giving the company a market cap of about $250 million. They’re down nearly 53% this year.
The airline has struggled with challenges including the Maui wildfires, increased competition from Southwest, which has ramped up service in Hawaii in recent years, and a lagging recovery of travel to and from Asia after the pandemic. Hawaiian has posted net losses in all but one quarter since the start of 2020, while Alaska and other carriers have returned to more solid financial footing as the pandemic waned.
“What we saw here was a unique opportunity in time at the valuation that we saw Hawaiian at,” said Shane Tackett, Alaska Airlines’ CFO, in an interview. He said the deal would also enable the combined companies to become a “market leader” in the premium-travel Hawaii market.
Carriers have faced strong opposition from President Joe Biden’s Justice Department in their efforts to combine to better compete with larger rivals. Earlier this year, the DOJ won a lawsuit to break up a regional partnership in the Northeast between JetBlue Airways and American Airlines
The Justice Departments also sued to block JetBlue Airways proposed acquisition of discount carrier Spirit Airlines. A trial is expected to wrap up in the coming days.
Four airlines — American, United Delta, and Southwest — control about 80% of the U.S. market. Hawaiian and Alaska said they expect the transaction to close in 12 to 18 months, subject to approval by regulators and Hawaiian’s shareholders.
The Hawaiian deal is a major shift for Alaska. It operates Boeing
737s and it spent years whittling down Virgin’s fleet of Airbus planes to streamline its fleet. Purchasing Hawaiian would bring a complex mix of Boeing and Airbus jets, both narrow-body and wide-body planes, under Alaska’s roof.
“The Hawaiian brand will remain an important part of our home state with Honolulu becoming a strategic hub for the combined company and expanded service for Hawaii residents,” Hawaiian CEO Peter Ingram said on the call Sunday.
The combination will allow Alaska Airlines to triple nonstop or one-stop flights from the Hawaiian islands to destinations throughout North America. It will also bring Hawaiian’s long-haul flying to and from Asia under Alaska’s umbrella. Hawaiian last year struck a deal to fly converted-cargo planes for Amazon.
Alaska Airlines said the deal should bolster earnings within the next two years with at least $235 million of “run-rate synergies.”
Stocks pairs trading: LUV vs ALKI'm examining a pairs trading strategy featuring Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) and Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK). These are two significant players in the domestic airline sector. Both airlines have their own set of merits and challenges, which opens up a trading opportunity. I'm contemplating going long on LUV and short on ALK, capitalizing on their unique differences and aiming for a reversion to their historical performance relationship.
Why Go Long on Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV):
Valuation: LUV has a P/E ratio of 29.67, which is slightly higher than ALK's P/E of 27.84. However, LUV's forward P/E of 11.56 is more attractive compared to ALK's forward P/E of 5.84, offering better growth prospects.
Profitability: LUV's ROA and ROE stand at 1.55% and 5.30% respectively. Though these are similar to ALK's, LUV's anticipated growth in EPS for the next year is 35.28%, suggesting better future profitability.
Performance Metrics: LUV has been underperforming with a YTD drop of -23.83%, but its higher EPS growth rate for the next year makes it a candidate for a rebound.
Why Short Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK):
Valuation: ALK's P/E ratio of 27.84 and forward P/E of 5.84 may look attractive, but when adjusted for growth (PEG), ALK’s 1.63 is less appealing, indicating a potential overvaluation.
Short Interest: ALK has a short float of 3.41%, hinting at some degree of negative sentiment, which makes it a candidate for a short position.
Profitability: ALK’s ROA and ROE are 1.08% and 4.13% respectively, and it has a lower projected growth rate for next year, making it less appealing for a long position.
Performance Metrics: ALK's recent performance has been troubling, with a decline of -35.85% in the last quarter and -18.21% over the last year, reinforcing the short decision.
Decision:
Long on 1 LUV
Short on 1 ALK
Alaska Air Group (NYSE: $ALK) To Continue Upwards Action! ❄️Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. The company operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. It flies to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.