ALK trade ideas
$ALK - Still consolidatingAirlines should benefit next year as business continues to get better. There's only 3 airlines I would buy right now though. DAL, LUV and ALK. ALK reduced its debt by over $800M DURING COVID. Amazing management is the only way to make that happen. Price targets that I have seen are in the 70s - 80s.
RectangleALK appears to be in a rectangle. Price is under mid rectangle (MR). Rectangles are horizontal consolidation zones and can be long term patterns. They are neutral until a trendline is broken with a confirmed trend in one direction.
Mid rectangle is often used as a stop in either direction. Some swing trade inside the rectangle but this can be risky since it is virtually impossible to know when the upper trendline (resistance) or the bottom trendline (support) will be broken.
ALK was also inside a small bearish rising wedge but has broken bottom trendline. The bottom trendline may catch the fall but no way to know.
No recommendation.
The market can remain irrational longer than we can remain solvent.
ALK. Adding to my watchlist. Not looking to trade in the near future. I think the 1-5 elliot waves here are highly textbook. For me, the correction is where a lot more uncertainty becomes involved.
This can be seen with just how many different types of correction formations there are, as opposed to the 1-5 wave which is fairly universal. I feel like I am still guessing a lot with the correction.
This is totally for entertainment of course, I don't have the patience to trade these long holds. But, if I keep doing this with my free time I'm thinking I can eventually get to the point where I'm taking a lot fewer trades.
-----
Something that won't shut up in my mind is that it's right near the 50 MA. I can't seem to prove that one right or wrong. I feel like it's always good for hindsight trading, but I haven't had success using it as support going forward. This is a painfully long process...
Cup and HandleALK has pierced bottom trendline of a rising wedge but seems to have found support.
ALK has fallen from a few rising wedges and never falls very far before continuing up.
Not quite to long entry level but trying awfully hard.
I saw this a week or so ago but the rising wedge made me wait.
Red Long legged doji candle tail points to possible support. There is a recent bullish engulfing candle
Not a recommendation
If we don't crash, this ticker has potential last leg up . ***Based on analysts offering 12 month price targets for ALK in the last 3 months.
The average price target is $62.57 with a high estimate of $74 and a low estimate of $54
Analyst Firms Making Recommendations
B OF A GLBL RES
COWEN & COMPANY
DEUTSCHE BK SEC
JP MORGAN SECUR
MORGAN STANLEY
RAYMOND JAMES
SEAPORT GLOBAL
STIFEL NICOLAUS
Selling over 1000% than buying !!!!
***Insider Ownership Percentage: 0.47%
Insider Buying (Last 12 Months): $70,357.93
Insider Selling (Last 12 Months): $948,422.63
Short volume is going down !!!
***Current Short Volume: 3,230,000 shares
Previous Short Volume: 5,510,000 shares
Change Vs. Previous Month: -41.38%
Dollar Volume Sold Short: $163.66 million
Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover: 2.0
Last Record Date: January, 15 2021
Outstanding Shares: 123,340,000 shares
Float Size: 123,070,000 shares
Short Percent of Float: 2.62%
Today's Trading Volume: 1,547,225 shares
Average Trading Volume: 2,034,642 shares
Today's Volume Vs. Average: -23.96%
Strong institutional ownership is an indication that hedge funds, large money managers
and endowments believe a company will outperform the market over the long term
****73.1% of Alaska Air Group shares are owned by institutional investors
-60.9% of United Airlines shares are owned by institutional investors
-59.5% of Delta Air Lines shares are owned by institutional investors
--44.4% of American Airlines Group shares are owned by institutional investors
Cup and HandleInta-year cup and handle pattern..
The yearly C&H would have a break out over prior yearly high which is 70.41...a ways to go!
There are no rising wedges in the yearly chart...pull back is always on the horizon
C&H pattern targets are calculated using the depth of the cup.
Just an observation...placing your stop in a safe place is always a good idea..like maybe a notch lower sometimes than you think especially if the security is volatile....the stop hunters will find it if you are not careful and it can become a loss verses a win )o:
ABC BullishStop under C
Virtually all of the travel stocks are trading in this pattern.
Targets 2 are long term targets and it is most likely the stock will become overbought or pull back before reaching those targets. Sometimes targets 2 are never reached. Sometimes you are lucky to get targets 1. Technical analysis is not an exact science and it is up to us to learn when it is time to sell. Having a target in mind helps tremendously though.
Not a recommendation