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BABA trade ideas

6/26/22 BABAAlibaba Group Holdings Ltd. ( NYSE:BABA ) Sector: Retail Trade (Internet Retail) Market Capitalization: $309.183B Current Price: $117.62 Breakout Price: $120.00 Breakdown Price: $85.00 Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $102.65-$87.00 Sell Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $113.80-$124.95 Price Target: $128.40-$131.70 (1st), $167.50-$171.10 (2nd), $15.70-$14.00 (3rd) Estimated Duration to Target: 29-31d (1st), 117-124d (2nd), 340-356d (3rd) Contract of Interest: $BABA 7/15/22 120c, $BABA 10/21/22 130c, $BABA 6/16/23 100p Trade price as of publish date: $6.47/contract, $11.98/contract, $14.93/contract
NYSE:BABA
by lord_catnip
BABA downtrendBABA is still trading inside it's 22-month downtrend channel. BABA is a great overnight gap trade as long as you get the 50/50 coin toss direction correct. lol. I think BABA will continue to trade inside this bear trend channel perhaps for 2 more months, making it 2 full years, until earnings August 2nd. Here's the current levels on BABA 22-month downtrend channel: R3 = 111 R2 = 99 R1 = 88 pivot = 77 S1 = 66 S2 = 55 S3 = 44 Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends... *3x lucky 7s of trading* 7pt Trading compass: Price action, entry/exit Volume average/direction Trend, patterns, momentum Newsworthy current events Revenue Earnings Balance sheet 7 Common mistakes: +5% portfolio trades, capital risk management Beware of analyst's motives Emotions & Opinions FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd Lack of planning & discipline Forgetting restraint Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation 7 Important tools: Trading View app!, Brokerage UI Accurate indicators & settings Wide screen monitor/s Trading log (pencil & graph paper) Big, organized desk Reading books, playing chess Sorted watch-list Checkout my indicators: Fibonacci VIP - volume Fibonacci MA7 - price pi RSI - trend momentum TTC - trend channel AlertiT - notification tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator www.tradingview.com
NYSE:BABAShort
by Options360
18
Baba Not only are we above the weekly 21 ema for the first time in the downtrend we also broke the downtrendinf resiatnce rallying us up towards 121$ and came back where the buyers stepped in and showed their strength. If baba can break 113 and hold as support this could be the perfect scenerio for an uptrend start. If we lost 101.70 and started holding below I would start to expect a fakeout. This is looking interesting for a long swing. I’d like to see a last retest of the 21 week EMA hold and then buy that last dip. Howver if 113 breaks this may launch to 120s again
NYSE:BABALong
by Erictaylor
BABA Potential for bullish rise | 23th June 2022On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our buy entry at 103.48 in line with the pullback support to our take profit at 120.88 where the swing high resistance, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci projection are . Alternatively, price may break buy entry and head for stop loss at 94.61 in line with the pullback support,78.6% fibonacci projection and 61.8% fibonacci retracement . Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NYSE:BABALong
by Rockqet
Alibaba set to break long down trendFor various reasons, the Chinese tech giant Alibaba has been in a downtrend since October 2020. The company has had many headwinds, most of them related to the regulatory environment in China. Most of those issues now seem to be resolving, and I think BABA will be one of the better performers in the coming year. The China Credit Impulse A major leading indicator for China stocks is Bloomberg's "China Credit Impulse" index. As the following chart from MacroMicro shows, the credit impulse's last peak more or less coincided with the last peak in Alibaba in October 2020: As you can also see from the chart, the credit impulse now seems to have bottomed and is improving, a bullish sign for China stocks and for Alibaba in particular. Whereas the US and most other developed nations have been raising interest rates, China is actually in a rate-cutting cycle. Key policy rates in China have only been cut by about 15 basis points, so I don't want to make it sound like they're cutting rates drastically, but they're certainly not raising them, and there's no sign yet that they intend to do so. That makes China potentially a safe haven from rising rates in the US and other developed markets. countryeconomy.com US Delisting Risk For the last couple years, the US has been making noise about delisting China ADRs (the depository shares that China companies use to trade on US exchanges. The SEC has been demanding that Chinese companies comply with US accounting regulations, and the Chinese government has been making it impossible for these companies to do so. At the same time, China enacted a crackdown on big tech companies. The crackdown included steep penalties imposed on Alibaba, including a $2.8 billion fine for monopolistic behavior. The Chinese government also disappeared Alibaba's founder, Jack Ma, for three months. This is "the big one" for Alibaba, but the problem recently seems to be headed toward a resolution. Jack Ma eventually reappeared in Hong Kong and has dutifully been doing as he's told, including restructuring Ant Group and selling off media companies to address the Chinese government's monopoly concerns. Last week, the Chinese government signaled through state media that the tech crackdown should be over soon, and that the Chinese regulatory commission will support companies in complying with US accounting requirements so that ADRs can remain listed in the US: www.cnbc.com While this isn't yet a done deal, it looks really promising and could lead to a large rally in China stocks if and when it gets across the finish line. Zero Tolerance Covid Policy China has had a policy of zero tolerance for Covid, which means the whole country goes into lockdown every time a Covid outbreak happens. This one is not as big a deal for Alibaba, because it's an ecommerce company and thus potentially a beneficiary from people staying home. But I suspect that if China ended this zero tolerance policy, the entire China stock market would rally, including Alibaba. There have, indeed, been rumors that China may end the policy, as reported by the LA Times: www.latimes.com China has a pretty high vaccination rate overall, but they've used the somewhat less effective Sinovac vaccine, and the elderly population surprisingly has been less willing to get vaccinated than younger people, so death rates in the current outbreak have been pretty high. This may make it difficult to end the zero tolerance policy, but they have to end it sometime, so we'll see. Alibaba Valuation and Buybacks Alibaba's got something like an 8% free cash flow yield, which makes it a pretty incredible value for a big tech stock. EV/EBITDA is about 10x, which is mid-range for China's consumer discretionary sector and way below US tech firms of comparable size. The valuation makes BABA hard to resist. They could flush half their capital down the toilet and still be a better value than a lot of US tech. And the signs are that they plan to deploy their capital well rather than poorly. Yesterday Alibaba announced that it will increase its buyback program from $15 billion to $25 billion, which means it will opportunistically take advantage of low share prices to efficiently return capital to shareholders. That's called good capital allocation, and it's one of the things I look for in an investment. It's a really good sign for Alibaba here. Technicals As you can see from the chart, Alibaba has been in a long downtrend. It looks ready to attempt a breakout from that downtrend, however. I'm adding on any pullback to the 112-116 range and looking for a test of that downtrend line probably within a couple weeks.
NYSE:BABALong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
31
BABA: The worst is over?!Alibaba Short Term - We look to Buy at 101.70 (stop at 87.10) Broken out of the triangle formation to the upside. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. A mild correction has been posted from yesterdays high, this is seen as a retest of the breakout level. Reverse trend line support comes in at 100.00. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Our profit targets will be 139.64 and 150.00 Resistance: 140.00 / 160.00 / 200.00 Support: 100.00 / 90.00 / 60.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NYSE:BABALong
by VantageMarkets
2
ALIBABA, a raging bull rearing its horns! BUY now!BABA just broke out of its long respected descending trendline, with considerable volume. Key resistance level to break is 120, breaking above will mean a surge all the way to key resistance at 180 Actions: 1. Buy the retest of trendline @ current price 2. Wait for a break above key resistance @ 120 Targets: 1. 180 (prev key support flipped resistance) 2. 230 (Big key resistance) Right now BABA is cheaply valued for its massive potential and earnings, definitely a value buy at these current price levels !! Definitely a stock to hold for the long term, even if you are not intending to trade it
NYSE:BABALong
by Gold_D_Roger
$BABA buy zone 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management My team wants to start a good-sized position at the buy zone depicted on the chart. We either buy here or not at all. !! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !! If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NYSE:BABALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
BABA LONGKeltner Channel is looking upward which is typically a good set up for long position. RSI just bounced back from level 50 and is going to cross the signal line again. Hopefully aiming for the overbought zone. MACD seems to be losing strength but always above the signal line. Moreover having a look at EMA we can see that 6EMA crossed up 18EMA which crossed up the 50EMA. It could be a hint bullish momentum. Stochastic and Bollinger bands seem to confirm previous situation. We put the entry price above yesterdays closing price just to have some margin because of the premarket price which is at 106.6 at the moment while writing. ENTRY: 107 YELLOW SL: 100.73 RED TP: 119.5 GREEN
NYSE:BABALong
by vf_investment
$BABA my team is underrated 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* We've been here before. My team isn't expecting to lose this trade, but if we do it would only put a small dent into the 35% gain that we've already acquired. Our Entry: $111 Take Profit: $128 Stop Loss: $102 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NYSE:BABALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
6
BABA is going for a solitary run.I am not a fanatic of BABA and to be honest, I was waiting for it for around 60$, but this last next week BABA has shown strength in one of the worst times ever for the markets when usually this stock down performs always NDX. This last week BABA broke the channel that it has been into since historical maximums. Not only that, but the price was minting and has broken decisively above, backtesting the level and losing just 0.3 percent as the NDX plummeted 3% when it would have ordinarily fallen 9 or 10%. It has not only broken the channel but is also above an important level with a volume below it, indicating that we might consider purchasing (for a stretch, not in the long term). It's too early to predict what will happen to BABA, but since China is pouring money into its market as if it were free, it's likely that BABA draws something like shown in the chart. A stock that has gone poorly in the last year is showing now a lot of divergences. If the scenery is correct (let's see that the price does this next week in order to validate it) It may be a 50% change from the present price, which is significant.
NYSE:BABALong
by Joia_
1
$BABA - [High Risk] Long Entry Setup [Weekly]$BABA's technical strength is improving in the weekly chart. Some of the key things to look at: Improving relative strength to SPX. It started falling in-line with SPX several weeks back (horizonal RS line) and has been outperforming SPX in the 70 trading sessions (upward slope RS line). Breaking out of a descending parallel channel. Breaking its weekly 30 EMA down-trending EMA. Strong accumulation volume seen on weekly charts around the $80-90 price area. Relative strength of the Chinese Tech Index. (Not shown in the charts). All of these factors coupled with macro indicators like China reporting the lowest inflation figures, and loosening of crackdown on Chinese tech by the Government make for a LONG entry case for $BABA.
NYSE:BABALong
by ItzzVaas
1
BABA Potential for bullish momentum | 10th June 2022On the H4, with prices moving above the ichimoku indicator and price breakout from descending trendline, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our buy entry at 108.94 where the horizontal pullback support is to our take profit at 128.03 in line with the swing high resistance, 100% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break entry structure and head for stop loss at 101.38 where the horizontal pullback support and 50% fibonacci retracement are. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NYSE:BABALong
by Rockqet