Mapping Out a Probable Basing Structure for ContinuationI’m tracking price as it retraces into the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone, where I expect a potential base to form. With declining volume confirming the pullback is losing momentum, I’ll look for a clear basing pattern or double-bottom on lower timeframes before entering long. If confirmed, the plan is to position for a continuation move back toward previous highs.
BBAI trade ideas
Piercing Candle?Do we have a Piercing candle around the golden zone 0.5 Fibonacci level 6.19$, also this candlestick pattern is resting at the moment on top of the 21 EMA? Will the bulls continue the march? is the pull back over? We need to close a bullish candle above the halfway candle of today's candle this week for the bulls to keep the 21 EMA and march on to victory.
Downward Parallel StructureWe need a break of the downward parallel structure and the 50EMA 6.89, for the Bulls take charge. Buyers did a good job raising the price from the 6.45 closing price from Friday, but the bulls need to finish the job and make a HLs and HHs through the 50 EMA. If not Bears going to cycle the price back down.
Is BigBear.ai the Next Titan of Defense AI?BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI) is emerging as a significant player in the artificial intelligence landscape, particularly within the critical national security and defense sectors. While often compared to industry giant Palantir, BigBear.ai carves its niche by intensely focusing on modern warfare applications, including guiding unmanned vehicles and optimizing missions. The company has recently garnered considerable investor attention, evidenced by its impressive 287% rally over the past year and a notable surge in public interest. This enthusiasm stems from several key factors, including a substantial 2.5x increase in backlog orders to $385 million by March 2025 and a significant ramp-up in research and development spending, signaling robust foundational growth.
BigBear.ai's technological prowess underpins its rising profile. The company develops sophisticated AI and machine learning models for diverse applications, from facial recognition systems deployed at major international airports like JFK and LAX to AI-augmented shipbuilding software for the U.S. Navy. Its Pangiam® Threat Detection and Decision Support Platform enhances airport security by integrating with advanced CT scanner technology, while its ConductorOS platform facilitates secure communication and coordination for drone swarm operations under the U.S. Army's Project Linchpin. These cutting-edge solutions position BigBear.ai at the forefront of AI-driven advancements crucial for evolving geopolitical landscapes and increasing defense AI investments.
Strategic collaborations and a favorable market environment further fuel BigBear.ai's ascent. The company recently formed a significant partnership in the UAE with Easy Lease and Vigilix Technology Investment to accelerate AI adoption across key industries like mobility and logistics, marking a major step in its international expansion. Additionally, multiple contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense, including those for J-35 fleet management and geopolitical risk assessment, underscore its vital role in government initiatives. While BigBear.ai faces challenges, including revenue stagnation, escalating losses, and stock volatility, its strategic market position, growing backlog, and continuous innovation in mission-critical AI solutions present a compelling high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity in the burgeoning defense AI sector.
6/30/25 - $bbai - FAFO w/ PE overlords6/30/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:BBAI
FAFO w/ PE overlords
- let me share a lil advice
- whenever private equity is your overlord and main shareholder: run
- you can always make up stories as to why you own this. trust me, there are better options out there
- good luck
- and hope you don't have to FAFO
sidelines for me as i have my hands full with the donut NASDAQ:QUBT , again
V
BBAI Round 2Big Bear AI is a military based AI company aimed at increasing productivity and efficiency for military endeavours in the USA.
Although this company is currently un-profitiable, it does seem to be providing a nice technical setup for a potential squeeze here after a previous breakout of the lower range volume profile.
I would like to take a long trade here as we break $4.20 and pump it up to approx $7.
Stoploss set to 3.70 in case this is a failed rally.
$BBAI Long Setup – Sideways Base Breakout with Bullish Momentum BigBear.ai ( NYSE:BBAI ) is showing early signs of a breakout from a long, tight consolidation range. After months of sideways movement under the Ichimoku Cloud, price has finally closed above the cloud, suggesting a potential trend reversal. This breakout is supported by a bullish MACD cross, with momentum starting to shift in favor of the bulls.
The chart shows an entry at $4.18 with a stop at $3.28, just below the recent base support. The upside target is $6.43, aligning with prior resistance from early February and a pivot cluster near R1. This creates a clean 2.5 risk/reward setup, with a potential 53.83% gain on the trade.
Volume has remained steady, and if BBAI can hold above $4.00 for several sessions, we could see follow-through toward the $6–$7 zone quickly, especially with AI names gaining strength across the sector. This setup works well for a swing trade spanning 1–4 weeks depending on market momentum.
BBAI Breakout Continuation Pattern ConfirmedWe enter BBAI at $5.11 look for confirmation above the $5.20 which we expect to confirm support after consolidation of this morning's breakout (if it even recedes from this point), with a price target of $8.35 which would provide the potential for a ~65% Gain on the potential trade and continuation. We have a stop set for $4.06 on the trade.
This comes after the company announced deploying their Biometric Software at Major US Airports & Ports of Entry, which helped prop up the company's stock to push back to those potential highs to retest the $10.49 even. No company-specific information has been released in the past week.
BBAI at breakout levelsBigBear.ai, Inc. (BBAI) is showing strong potential for a breakout based on the technical analysis presented in the stock chart. With the stock currently trading above the neckline—a key indicator of upward momentum. Additionally, the Rising Wedge pattern further supports the breakout scenario, as the stock has moved past resistance levels and is approaching the target price areas.
The recent increase in trading volume is another positive sign, as higher volume often accompanies strong price movements. The stock's price has also crossed above key moving averages, reinforcing the bullish trend. Investors should keep an eye on BBAI as it continues to gain traction in the market.
Recent Press Release
BigBear.ai recently announced a collaboration with Hardy Dynamics to advance AI orchestration for U.S. Army drone swarm operations under Project Linchpin. This partnership highlights the company's growing influence in defense applications and AI-driven solutions. Additionally, BigBear.ai reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, affirming its outlook for the year. The company is also set to participate in the BASC Panama 2025 Forum, where it will discuss the future of secure trade and logistics.
These developments, combined with the bullish technical indicators, suggest that BigBear.ai is well-positioned for a breakout. Investors should monitor upcoming news and price movements closely.
Short term target is 4.8$
$BBAI BBAI is a high-growth, high-risk stock in the AI & defense-tech sector. The company is still unprofitable, with recent earnings showing wider-than-expected losses and cautious guidance. That said, significant volatility and key technical breakouts could present trading opportunities. It may appeal to investors looking for speculative plays tied to defense contracts and AI expansion, but it carries considerable risk.
Title: BBI | Long | Post-Earnings Recovery | (June 2025)BBI | Long | Post-Earnings Recovery & Channel Support | (June 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
BBI is setting up for a potential bounce after recent earnings and a retracement into key support. Despite weak fundamentals, technicals show a possible move up if the support holds.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: LongEntry: Around $2.50 (current support level)Stop Loss: $2.36 (just below value area low)TP1: $4.37TP2: $5.44TP3: $6.47Final TP: $7.32
3️⃣ Key Notes:
BBI has had a tough fundamental track record, with overall financials declining since 2012 despite being founded in 2020. However, it experienced a recent price pump and is now pulling back into a strong technical support zone within an ascending channel.
Revenue is forecasted to grow slightly over the coming years, and the estimated Q2 earnings show a $401M revenue figure with $300M net income. Market cap sits at $1B with a 280M float. Volatility remains high, but that also offers opportunity.
✅ Watch for price action confirmation around the $2.50 level to validate a bounce setup.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
I’ll continue tracking this trade and post updates as the setup develops, especially near the first and second take profit levels.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Long $BBAI, AVWAP pinchThe AVWAP pinch from the February high and the April low is getting very tight, suggesting a breakout of the range coming soon. Above the $4.5-$5 range, the volume profile shows price has spent very little time in the last 6ish months, suggesting price could move swiftly to $9 if we can hurdle over $5. The MACD, RSI and Stoch RSI are all lining up to suggest that this coiling action is more likely to break to the upside. With AI stocks hot and reigniting, I am long here
$BBAI upside targets $8-10?NYSE:BBAI looks set to run higher here. As you can see, we've broken out of the bottoming formation and have now retested support.
As long as we're able to stay above support, we should see a large move higher up to the two resistance levels.
Let's see how high we end up going. Think it's very likely that we end up going to the top of the range.
OptionsMastery: A potential swing on BBAI!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
BBAI BigBear ai Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BBAI before the massive rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BBAI BigBear ai Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 3usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-12-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Edges of the GapPrice is testing the edges of a gap area and the 50 EMA and a key level the 3.54 price area. If we get an upward breakout price can possibly go to the 4.12 area, a bearish breakout can take price to the 10 EMA 2.85 price area; oscillators are strong CCI very overbought and Earnings this week. Please be very careful have a great day.
Bullish Breakout Setup BBAI!📊 B – Trendline Support + Wedge Squeeze 🚀
BBAI is forming a bullish wedge pattern with price respecting ascending support at $3.04. Momentum is compressing near the apex, hinting at a potential breakout. A clean breakout above $3.15 may trigger a strong upside move.
✅ Trade Plan (Long Position)
• Entry: Breakout confirmation above $3.15
• Stop-Loss: Below $3.04 (structure + rising trendline support)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: $3.37 (local resistance / breakout zone)
• TP2: $3.62 (major upside level)
• TP3: $3.80+ (extended potential zone)
📈 Risk-Reward Breakdown
• Risk: $3.15 - $3.04 = $0.11
• Reward to TP1: $0.22 → ~1:2
• Reward to TP2: $0.47 → ~1:4.3
• Reward to TP3: $0.65 → ~1:5.9
💡 High reward potential for a small, well-defined risk.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
✅ Falling Wedge Pattern: Classic bullish reversal setup
✅ Support Holding: Price bouncing from rising trendline
✅ Momentum Shift: Compression near apex = breakout potential
✅ Volume Watch: Awaiting surge on breakout for confirmation
🧠 Strategy & Risk Management
• Wait for a 30-min candle close above $3.15
• Move SL to breakeven after hitting TP1 at $3.37
• Book partial profits and trail stop toward TP2 & TP3
• Manage position with discipline, not emotions
📚 Trader Insight:
This pattern reflects accumulation at support following a short-term pullback. When price coils with higher lows and squeezes into a breakout zone, it creates a prime opportunity for momentum traders who understand structure and timing.
⚠️ Risk Checklist
❌ Weak volume = false breakout risk
❌ Loss of $3.04 = setup invalid
✅ Be patient. Let confirmation lead the entry.
🎯 Final Thoughts
Clean structure, solid trendline support, and a textbook bullish wedge. If it confirms, this trade could offer multiple reward levels with minimal risk. 💥
🔗 #BBAI #ProfittoPath #TradingView #BreakoutSetup #BullishChart #MomentumStocks #SmartTrading #StockEducation #TechnicalAnalysis 💰📊
BBAI BigBear ai Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BBAI before the massive rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BBAI BigBear ai Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
A ton of good news in Earning Call - Bull Rally is comingPrice has been down before Earning.
Earning will definitely bring good news, price will rise to $7.50.
However, there will be people who will still short it to $5.50.
Hold on tight, because next week there will be many analysts
upgrading BBAI from Hold to Buy,
Price will go crazy, because big contracts from the government
with Big Bear for border protection are on the desk.
Don't blame me for not telling you to Buy & Hold it!
Disclaimer