Short squeeze mini series # 12What Is a Short Squeeze?
A short squeeze occurs when a stock or other
asset jumps sharply higher, forcing traders who
had bet that its price would fall, to buy it in
order to forestall even greater losses. Their
scramble to buy only adds to the upward
pressure on the stock's price
KEY TAKEAWAYS
*A short squeeze accelerates a stock's price rise
as short-sellers bail out to cut their losses.
*Contrarian investors try to anticipate a short
squeeze and buy stocks that demonstrate a
strong short interest.
*Both short-sellers and contrarians are making
risky moves. A wise investor has additional
reasons for shorting or buying that stock.
BKE trade ideas
$BKE with a neutral outlook projected $BKE after its earning and a positive over reaction following its release, The PEAD projected a neutral outlook for the stock placing the stock in Drift B
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BKE CLEARED RESISTANCE UP ON STRONG VOLUMENYSE:BKE
BKE cleared resistance and heading towards next level representing roughly a 15-19% gain. Strong momentum at the moment considering they have had 5th straight month of sales increase. Interesting given COVID 13 week fiscal quarter sales ending Oct 31 2020 jumped 12%to 251M from 224.1M. Sales in certain units were hit due to COVID but has successfully reopened since they announced reopening on Apr26th 2020. Q3 results announcing Nov 20, 2020.
BKE: Ascending triangle. Waiting for confirmationAscending Triangle
Waiting for confirmation after break out
Pros
R/R ratio above 8
ER = good
Descending volume during formation
High volume at breakout
Crossed 200MA (but came back)
PPS above 50MA
250RSI almost 50
ATR climbing, more volatility
Cons
200MA descending
PPS below 200MA
Gigher price rejection on ER day (bearish)
If confirmed (watching monday)
PT1 = 20,09
PT2 = 24,43
PT3 = 24,79
Bonus PT4 = 26,32
Bonus PT5 = 28,32
Buckle Up for a Wide Ride!
What I see...
+ Side way move within channel since prices hit bottom back in early April
+ Reversal candle with confirmation painted last week
+ Triple NR7 bars with descending vol., followed by a wide range bar with higher vol.
+ 10ma is crossing 50ma
+ MACD is about to turn bullish!
+ RSI is at 56
+ Prices are supported by 50MA and 10MA
+ Somewhat narrow Bollinger
- Long upper shadow from today's bar
- Resistance ahead
What I trade...
+ Long above today's high
- Stop at bottom of this week's low
+Target at low-$18
$BKE Set To Squeeze The Shorts$BKE delivered a strong Q3 earnings report and the stock gapped and made new 52-week highs. With 35% of the float short, we believe $BKE is set to keep climbing as the shorts get squeezed. Here are the highlights from Q3:
Buckle (NYSE:BKE): Q3 GAAP EPS of $0.53 beats by $0.10.
Revenue of $224.12M (+4.2% Y/Y) beats by $6.34M.
Buckle reported a comparable sales increase of 4.7% in Q3.
The company's gross margin also improved to 41.7% of sales vs. 40.1% a year ago and was well ahead of the consensus mark of 38.4%.
Operating margin rose to 14.9% of sales vs. 12.2% a year ago.
The Buckle, Inc. operates as a retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men and women in the United States. It markets a selection of brand name casual apparel, including denims, other casual bottoms, tops, sportswear, outerwear, accessories, and footwear, as well as private label merchandise primarily comprising BKE, Buckle Black, BKE Boutique, Red by BKE, Daytrip denim, Gimmicks, Gilded Intent, FITZ + EDDI, Outpost Makers, Departwest, and Veece. The company also provides services, such as hemming, gift-wrapping, layaways, guest loyalty program, the Buckle private label credit card, and personalized stylist services, as well as special order system that allows stores to obtain requested merchandise from other company stores or its online order fulfillment center. As of February 02-2019, it operated 450 retail stores in 42 states under the Buckle and The Buckle names. The Buckle, Inc. also sells its products through its Website, buckle.com. The company was formerly known as Mills Clothing, Inc. and changed its name to The Buckle, Inc. in April 1991. The Buckle, Inc. was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Kearney, Nebraska.
As always, use protective stops and trade with caution.
Good luck to all!
Changing IndustryLet's leave the Oil Futures Behind.
Because this is a Clothing, Shoe and Accessory Store company listed in the Consumer Services Industry
And here the idea is based in Technical Analysis only, and the simplicity of my analysis.
First look the major support in the 14.00 level (Red Arrows) then go to the now and look how the price, did an aggressive rally and breakout the resistance in the 20.00 area, now this resistance is becoming a new support and there are a pullback in progress that shows that the bear trend is thing of the past,
I forgot to mention a bearish trend-line breakout, and even I do not draw a line to clarify because is obvious. that the bear trend has finished
Better look the chart, for a good listener with few words is enough
As retail sector struggles BKE prices likely to trend lowerWith retails sector getting crushed in the past few months, Buckle, Inc is a very strong candidate to trade in mid $10 in the next few weeks. Decreasing sales and revenue will continue to propel Buckle downwards until something changes fundamentally.
More details here - blog.buysellshortcover.com