BTU trade ideas
When enough is enoughPeabody Energy is poised for a significant re-rating driven by transformative acquisitions, robust financial performance, and favorable market dynamics. With the stock trading at a substantial discount to peers and its historical multiples, investors have a rare opportunity to capture value in a sector undergoing strategic evolution.
1. Transformative Acquisition of AngloAmerican’s Assets
Peabody’s recent acquisition of AngloAmerican’s assets in Australia’s Bowen Basin is a game-changer for its metallurgical coal segment. This acquisition includes four world-class mines—Moranbah North, Grosvenor, Aquila, and Capcoal—renowned for producing some of the world’s highest-quality steelmaking coal, with approximately 80% of output being hard coking coal.
• Long-term Growth Potential: The mines boast a combined mine life exceeding 20 years, with 306 Mt of marketable reserves and 1,700 Mt of additional coal resources.
• Enhanced Production Capacity: Metallurgical coal production is set to rise from 7.4 Mt in 2024 to 21–22 Mt by 2026, generating substantial revenue and solidifying Peabody’s leadership in high-grade steelmaking coal.
• Complementary Fit: These assets align seamlessly with Peabody’s existing Australian operations, enhancing efficiency and expanding market reach.
2. Favorable Valuation and Oversold Signals
BTU trades at an attractive 2.4x NTM EV/EBITDA, well below peer and historical averages, and a price-to-book ratio of 0.6x, offering a classic value investment opportunity aligned with Warren Buffett’s philosophy.
• Oversold Indicators: The stock is down 40% from recent highs and nearing oversold territory, supported by RSI trends. A ‘golden cross’ pattern has recently been observed which could be a catalyst for a turnaround.
• Strong Technical Support: A robust support level at $18/share has been repeatedly tested, reinforcing downside protection for investors.
3. Resilient Financial Profile
Peabody remains a cash-generating powerhouse, consistently delivering strong free cash flow. Key financial highlights include:
• $0.8 billion in cash (nearly 30% of market capitalization).
• Negative net debt for over 2.5 years, providing exceptional financial flexibility and stability.
4. Earnings Momentum and Market Sentiment
Despite recent stock price declines, the fundamental outlook for Peabody remains strong:
• Earnings Growth: EPS is projected to grow nearly 10% by 2026, with broker forecasts consistently revised upward.
• Upcoming Catalysts: The earnings report scheduled for 6 February could act as a significant price trigger, particularly if results surpass expectations.
BTU - the next upstart?Just noticed this one...
Geometrical patterns showing two break outs of trendlines, and a projection to 30 by end of 2024.
Other technicals are just about to turn upwards, but more convincingly, the weekly candlesticks are string bullish after bouncing up to breakout of trendlines. The monthly candlestick is a bullish engulfing for the month of May by the way... giving at least two more months of potential upside.
$BTUSome form of M shape harmonic.
3 Rising Valleys.
On the 3rd valley, there was a backtest of previous valley which is good.
Above support zone and 200SMA
Stop = A close below previous low & under support area.
Targets = A & C of structure.
BTU ready for a pumpHi traders
BTU looks good here. It's breaking the horizontal resistance and the probability of reaching 32 -33 $ in the next weeks is high.
The price successfuly retested 200 SMA and confirmed it once again as a support.
Entry, target and stop loss are shown on the chart.
Risk-Reward ratio: 2,8
Commodities: Coal Recovery Cycle Soon: Peabody Energy BTU ARCHColumn: How a bankruptcy filing shielded a big coal company from California’s climate-change lawsuits
Peabody Energy, the nation’s largest private-sector coal company, joined several of its fellow coal producers in bankruptcy in 2016. Its main goal was to wriggle out from under more than $10 billion in debt it had incurred to expand, even as demand was sharply falling.
But its bankruptcy filing has provided a collateral benefit: Peabody has been ruled immune from a lawsuit brought by three California jurisdictions blaming it and dozens of other fossil fuel companies for a sea level rise related to climate change.
The ruling came last month from U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Barry S. Schermer of St. Louis, who presided over Peabody’s bankruptcy. On Monday, the California plaintiffs — the counties of Marin and San Mateo and the city of Imperial Beach — filed a notice that they’ll appeal Schermer’s ruling to federal court.
Peabody energy share price prediction There’s a upcoming short Buy of +\- 60% and from there price is going to crash which won’t be good news for investors
this is not a financial advice or any sort
BtuLOng scenario it touched pitchfork bottom line so we can small stop loss big win if this trend still continue
BTU Long • The optimum strategy for BTU: Momentum 160
• Start price: 28,90
• Current stop-loss: 26,785
• Trailing stop-loss: ATR(14) x 1,4
• Projected annual return: +132%
• Take profit: not installed
• Average trades per month: 1
• Average profit per 1 trade: +6,74%
• Strategy win-rate: 47%
• Technical analysis applicability for 3325 technical strategies: 73,1%
• Days for backtesting: 1125
• Timeframe for testing: 1 day
• Long 55%
• Short 41%
• Neutral 4%
Stable long-term profit for FOREX, CRYPTO, STOCKS based on math backtesting algorithm. Instant optimization and analysis of 3325 technical strategies
$BTU target hit looking Long to $34This is kinda fun following one stock to pick timing and levels for highs/lows. So far, we've gotten the swing high price & time to go short. Now it's hit the low I was expecting, BUT, the timing is not until Thurs. 12/9. Still, I have that today is the low for the week and it's 5 cents from the number I had earlier, so not worth being short. Especially with today's strength and indexes down 2%.
The upside target is 16% up from the low, = $34ish. I'll give the next date after Thursday. One date at a time....
$BTU Hit tgt now short till $29.27ishKicking myself a bit today for not reviewing BTU when it was at the top of my calendar for today. (See my prior idea on BTU going to $32.xx with today's date as targets.)
I do dowsing, and when I get a target hit at a particular date that was given in my reading, it almost always implies a reversal or resistance of some sort. Sometimes very lasting highs/lows.
I'm asking how many percent BTU will reverse down from today's HOD and getting 11%. Target is $29.27
The next date is 12/8. So watch for that price around that date.
$BTU target $32.25ishThis was a great entry yesterday, but I didn't do a reading on it until now. Dowsing though has the target at $32.25 area and the date is 8 days from now, 11/30. If both price and time hit together, take the money and consider a short.
rejection from extreme resistance? 🔴rejection here and break below 27.22 leads to big selloff, break of 30.40 and I expect new all time highs to follow. no trigga no trade 🎯
Drop boost and follow for more <3
Coal Sector On The Move ($BTU)$BTU - The Russia-Poland saga got coal sector moving. BTU has been carving out big multi month base, and had been surfing the 10 day moving average higher in past few days. Formed inside day bar on Tuesday.
Fellow coal sector peers $AMR and $HNRG also look strong.
BTU - weekly bull flag, still very bullishThink in the next 3-5 years we're going to see energy/commodity type names outperform a lot of tech - BTU has been a beast in the coal sector and for now my favorite stock in the industry.
As long as that 50 week MA holds, it's likely to continue consolidating and eventually break new 52 week highs maybe all time highs next year.
Domestic US Coal Laggard BTU PeaBody Energy Commodity SuperCycleThe Climate Change activism is over, Hard Energy Assets will return to power.
Domestic Coal has a lot of upward expansion ahead of itself, Peabody is currently pushing numbers: 5 P/E and EPS close to $5
Mkt Cap Valuation is less than 4 billion, can easily run to 6
Peabody (NYSE: BTU) is a leading coal producer, providing essential products for the production of affordable, reliable energy and steel
Long scalp BTUBTU Based on its uptrend, rebound from support and a familiar chart pattern confirmed by my technical indicators, I expect at least half a percent in profits IF
BTU exceeds Friday's high of $23.86 during Monday's session.
BTU Long term viewA possible path for BTU as we march towards improving fundamentals in the Coal industry.
$BTU long idea$BTU is a coal mining company which is a commodity that is high in demand right now. Coal runs power plants and with Europe restarting their power plants, the demand might send this sector into a supply shock. Also ironically, in order to power/charge electric vehicles, electricity must be produced which is done by power plants that use coal! This Inflation Act that was just passed will definitely be boosting EV sales given the tax credit provided by this bill.
Technicals point at targets of 25, 26 and 30.
OptionsSwing Analyst
Daniel Betancourt
BTU Waiting for retracement to previous resistance at 24.60-34.70 range and watching for reaction to that level. Good structure on this.
Forward P/E 4.38Company has a lot of room to move, huge upside still to be realized here.
Keep it simple stupid.
The deal closed BTU in US stock market with profitAlhamdulillah , The deal was closed on BTU in US stock market with a profit of 13.14 % in a 4 days . I wish good luck to everybody.
Buy BTU in US stock market 9/8/2022You can buy it Target 22 and 24.74 stop loss 17.5 money management is your responsibility . good luck
