Citigroup (C) A Great Candidate For A Downside SpreadAlthough the banking sector has largely had a rally since the Presidential election, regulatory headwinds and near-term fundamental outlook and projections have seemed bleak for Citigroup’s growth potential. Long-term, the stock is a great purchase at a somewhat discounted price to its recent trading, but for our swing strategy, the latest break to the downside into a possible downtrend or consolidation is an opportunity for us.
If you’re looking for a 1:1 risk/reward trade with a skewed probability curve starting at roughly 62% chance of success to earn 100% ROI, then Citigroup is a gem in this turbulent market. Actually, we found this trade while scanning due to possibly having to close for a loss on our recent Alphabet (GOOG) trade due to management’s screw-up on an epic scale regarding extremist videos and advertisements on Youtube .
Anyways, here’s the trade we see:
Current stock price $58.46
Buy X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58.50 Strike
Sell X Puts; 13 Apr 17 Exp; 58 Strike
Max Return on Risk/ROI: ~100%
Fun times.
C trade ideas
C retest gapCitigroup just gaped above previous resistance. It retested that area for a good buying opportunity. placing stop at 45.00 trend is bullish. not to mention trump made claims about an increase in credit lines for small business growth. I am bullish on the financial sector. I see an increase in lending power under a trump presidency.
Citi---Ready to Drop (Mid-term, Weekly)Shouldn't be a hard trade for this one, I have 75% confidence on this short.
For mid-term traders, Citigroup looks like a great short opportunity. It follows the Fib Extension very well by now.
Various reasons for saying Short:
1. Weekly Chart shows the first Red candle after multiple weeks rally straight yolo swag up.
2. MACD topped, RSI oversold, Stoch RSI oversold, even my MFI breached the top(yeah baby)
3. I'm not good at Harmonics patterns, but this looks like a great Bearish pat or butterfly or whatever the animal is.
Targets shows on the chart
TP 1: 55.25...0.786 on fib
TP 2: 50.46...slightly lower than 0.618 fib, reason why is previous support line (red) is there and pervious small support and resistance(2 tiny yellow boxes) all mixed at that price.
I'll starts accumulating at tomorrow intraday high.
Trade at your own risk.
Here's your tater tots~~
Citigroup showing signs of multi-month improvementMulti-month recovery from USD34.52 February lows gaining traction as prices accelerate higher to pressure critical resistance at the USD60.95 range high of July 2015.
In much the same vein as AIG, Citigroup is slowly recovering ground lost during the 2007-2008 mortgage crisis. investor sentiment and momentum studies are slowly improving, suggesting further gains in the coming months.
Next significant resistance is at the USD75.85 year high of January 2009.
Citigroup is also showing signs of Outperformance relative to the strengthening US Financials Index.
Long Term Turnaround?We are leaving a sideward range behind. It has been left 2013 already is moving slowly upward since, however it still lokks like sideward. But this seems so ony due to the downward correction since July 2015. The correction has finished in March and now we are within an interim upward trend. Because of the correction was within a slight stepping up we may see new highs soon.
C: Systemic risk, extremely overboughtCitigroup shares might be poised for a retracement here, we can expect a selloff to take place, if we don't move back above 56.78. I'd reccomend either shorting it, or buying puts. You can buy out of the money puts and sell bear put spreads to reduce costs (vs buying at the money puts).
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.