CF trade ideas
Position is open CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products; and compound fertilizer products with nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium.
It primarily serves cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.
MEGA BULLISH CF along with Oil is rising. This is a real good long chance. CF will continue to rise exactly like Crocs.
CF - CF Industries Holdings, Inc.Began buying CF as it came out of its tight, coiling pattern from last week. The stock has exhibited extreme relative strength over the last couple of weeks of market turbulence. Volume patterns indicate massive institutional accumulation. Bought ~35% of max size in the morning and added ~15% of max size near the close, giving me roughly a half-sized position.
The earnings and sales growth for this company are impeccable. For its year ending 12/2021, with one quarter yet to be reported, estimates are for 185% YoY earnings growth AND estimates for next year ending 12/2022 are predicting growth of over 200%. In addition to its bottom line growth, the company is growing its top line at a fantastic clip, as well.
Stocks To Watch This WeekMany names are holding up well in this market. Get a pen and paper because I go quickly and make the trade your own.. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 25 total stocks on this list Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
US Stock In Play: $CF$CF finished the last two days with +250% volume over its 50d avg over the past two session (exceeding over $450mil on each day!)
remains within a 4 months trend channel. closing price is just beneath AVWAP from ATH. one of the few names trading above 10 and 200MA specifically.
1/23/22 CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF )
Sector: Process Industries (Chemicals: Agricultural)
Market Capitalization: 14.155B
Current Price: $66.00
Breakout price: $70.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $66.00-$61.50
Price Target: $78.90-$80.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 80-88d
Contract of Interest: $CF 5/20/22 70c
Trade price as of publish date: $4.95/contract
CF entry IdeasA breaak below 67.31 forms a bearish reversal. Reclaiming 70.05 may confirm bullish continuation
OutbreakAfter the outbreak in September we had seen a market correction, i.e. the weak hands were shaken out and now we are exceeding the next high. Another rise can be assumed as the September outbreak has been confirmed.
CF - Nice Bullish ChartI would expect this move in CF to resume hopefully pushing the price to around $70.
I bought the Nov26 $60c and sold the Nov12 $66c for a total cost of $3.80
Two Paths for Long ContinuationEither this continues to flag out with 58 holding, or we get a nice little stop run to 56.30 which is prior resisance along with the anchored vwap from the start of this rally.
The first one is more likely and a better quality setup, as if the stock roundtrips that entire green candle then you're going to have some stuck longs that will make it more difficult to have upside momentum as they suck up all the demand.
CF Industries Holds the Breakout High and tight: That’s the pattern in fertilizer stock CF Industries.
Notice the sharp rally from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since the middle of September. It planted CF above the $56 level where the stock previously peaked in October 2018 and May-June 2021.
Interestingly, CF tried to test back toward that level on Monday but immediately found buyers under $59. That resulted in a higher low than the initial pullback on October 6:
The stock has also remained above its 8-day exponential moving average (EMA).
This quick dash higher was supported by analysts who like the company’s pricing power. That kind of price action, encouraged by Wall Street, may reflect a new set of investors involved in the name. That would also be consistent with the current tight price action, with few looking to sell yet.
CF may need more time to consolidate. However pullbacks may be shallow, followed by potentially more upside into yearend.
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CF- weekly cup + handle reviewHere is a study review of CF (weekly chart) to highlight key elements in charting. There are 5 points to look for when trying to identity big movers
#CF: Interesting setup hereDownside risk in $CF is pretty low here, can break out and rally toward the targets on chart within the next few days.
Can be a good position to have for roughly 9 days.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
CF 🌦
Pattern recognized: Running flat
Hypothesis: Bullish
Conclusion: waiting for LDC on 5 min. Too early to buy calls as an earnings play in my opinion.
***This does not constitute financial advice.***
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Short term Short CFTook a half risk short position on CF this morning at a retracement level. As of writing it's hanging out above entry,
CF: heading lower?Confluence of technical indicators (TSP) supports a bearish trend direction.
Keep an eye on an earnings update.
CF - w chartCF on the weekly chart, targeting 37.37 as a first target, then 44.65 as a second target
