CHGG trade ideas
Future of learning and education with $CHGGTA
-120EMA Support. High volume at $62 level.
- Early May 2020 shows double the volume from the previous highest volume day= Institutional accumulation. Average volume 2.8M. May 5th volume : 38.5M
- Distribution volume slowing down
- RSI reversal
- MACD golden cross
- Strong relative strength
FA,
- Integrated platform = Chegg study+ Chegg Writing+ Chegg Math solver + Chegg tutors + High quality future proof skills based courses
- Structural tailwind with e-learning/self-learning.
- Yahoo finance Growth rate : 25%+. Simply wall street growth rate : 68%
- FY15 to FY20 CAGR revenue 39%
- Accelerating Earnings, revenues and margins in consecutive quarters(Almost Code 33)
- Growing subscriber base= Network effect with more tutors and students
- High growth and high margin. FCF positive
- Good management
Current subscribers of 3.9M with 29% YoY growth. Total opportunity at 102M subscribers
- Baillie Gifford ownership : 11%. High quality fund ownership + Growing institutional ownership. #smartmoney
Concerns,
-Increased competition : Amazon, Khan Academy, Open study, Linkedin
- Physical textbooks are a thing of the past.
- Debt of 900M and interest coverage of 1.09. However, Cash is at 700M with a healthy current ratio of 8+
Added at $72.
CHGG still has room to go, target in ballpark of 74Just to follow up on my chart yesterday, CHGG has pushed and is slightly overextended. Based on the previous history of CHGG with overextended MACD, there is potential room for 10% of upside, however, I have my target set around 74 for take profit. These are just my opinions, please trade at your own discretion. Copyright Rohan Karunaratne 2020
BUY CHGG NOWthe line below is the length of a previous downtrend, which if any correlation would suggest that the current downtrend should end very soon. Other reason to believe this is that the fib level has been held very well and the falling wedge along it has limited time before making a move
"all the answers lay in the chart" - me
BUY CHGG DIPchgg will soon be a buy around 68$ for multiple reasons 1. The chart obviously. should see a completion of the retrace to the 38.2 after starting it and then rejecting to get back over it. Puts are an option until then but after 68 target will be around 100$. 2. the markets hopes for a covid vaccine in no way line up with the timeline that actual smart people are suggesting therefore online learning can persist well into the end of 2020 and into 2021. There is doubts that we can have a vaccine even by the start of next year, and on every college campus covid cases are spiking so chgg the best (maybe idk) virtual learning tool will continue to rack up growth. 3 the media has been very negative toward chgg so we are getting this on a discount where all the institutional WS crooks have driven the price down so they can load up again
CHGGChegg (CHGG) closed at an all time high today along a strong support. It is showing some resistance at around the $79.50 level, however with earnings on Monday 8/3, it may look to consolidate/run up pushing new levels. If it breaks 79.50, I am looking for a first price target at 82, and a second price target at 85. Previous two quarter ER's were misses, however last quarter's ER market reaction showed a gain of $22, and with a new ATH today CHGG may look to continue pushing upwards.