Over supply of Steel and Rising Energy CostsQuantitative Analysis
Stock is forecasted to have sequentially negative earnings growth momentum for fiscal 2023 and 2024 (below sector average).
Stock P/E on a discount to sector.
KPI
Market volatility in Europe is a headwind. Higher scrap margins on steel products add to the concerns. Global steel-making capacity exceeds demand for steel products in some regions globally. Excessive imports of steel into the United States continue to exert downward pressure on U.S. steel prices.
Revenue forecasted to fall 1.57% in fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022. It is also forecasted to continue falling a further 4.90% in fiscal 2024 compared to the estimated revenue of fiscal 2023.
Net income before tax forecasted to fall in fiscal 2023 and 2024 due to scrap costs and uncertainties in Europe.
Increase in crude oil and energy prices.
Trade Structure
Oct 55/50 Bear Put