DELL sitting at a historic level. Next downside target indicatedDELL sitting just above historic 200 SMA. Further downside possible to fill pre April earnings gap. Next downside target indicated. This analysis is for informational purposes only.
DELL trade ideas
Dell Potential Downtrend Line Breakout At $109.22 29.08.2024Apply risk management
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8/28/24 - $dell - Spec buy at $110 into print8/28/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DELL
Spec buy at $110 into print
- about 100 bn dollar company doing 6-7 bn in FCF (that's real FCF) so great yield here for a biz that's a full-suite enterprise tooler
- in light of the NASDAQ:SMCI accusations, while NYSE:DELL is quite a bit broader of a biz model, they would stand to benefit from a tainted player (I'd *like* to buy NASDAQ:SMCI , but am out of the stock, thankfully and don't think in this environment I'd neck out given I agree the CF dynamics are a little hard to understand and this is the core of the accusation).
- back to $DELL. so great FCF yield. add the debt to the stock price (so gross it up by 25%) and you go from $110 to about $140. on $9 of EPS power that's ~15x. And the CAGR of these EPS results is about 15%.
- so while it might not be a table pounding buy here, it offers a nice tangential way of playing NASDAQ:NVDA EPS (beta) while protecting a bit on the downside. This is the main reason I own NYSE:TSM (diff beta but similar logic).
LMK what you think. given results tmr, I might play a small 25 bps and keep it on the short list in case we get a dumpity doo dah in the next weeks back toward the 80s (which i'd not "expect" but where you've got great support). I think the stock in the low $100's is already pretty good value. $110 is probably a 7/10 entry. closer to $100 is a 8-9/10 entry and anything toward 90s and 80s again would be a 10/10 entry and probably worth a 2%+ set and forget position.
thoughts?
V
DELL Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DELL Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Dell (DELL): About the wild ride - what's next after a 31% pump?No way Dell follows the analysis like this for months 😳 We told you about the wave B at the top, the wave ((ii)) a little lower, and our must-hold zone was just barely tagged—and now it’s pumped 31%...
Incredibly accurate, but we didn't enter as this stock is too volatile for us personally. Still, we’re going to monitor it from time to time for you because it remains highly interesting.
After the latest surge, we’re expecting a pullback for wave ((ii)). The best case for this pullback would be the golden pocket between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
That said, this stock is very volatile, and it could pump even more before coming down to make this essential pullback.
Every Time DELL Has Crossed The 200 Day...Dell just crossed the 200 day MA on the daily chart! When that has occurred in the past its signaled a significant move to the upside NYSE:DELL
DELL to fall downaccording to the chart, there is no buying happening at the top. thus, the possible scenario is falling. in addition, there is a divergance in the RSI.
Is DELL Ready To Make Its Move???NYSE:DELL – Weekly and daily now show bullish structure forming after selling off for the last 5 week. Also, positioning is heavily swayed towards the call side with 30k+ Open Interest on the 160 and 180 strikes. On the downside the 85 strike has 12k Open Interest which is where NYSE:DELL gapped up from 81.9 - 85.4. Ideally would like a gap down on open under 90 to look for longs.
Dude, you're getting some DellOkay, Okay, that was cheesy. I hated those commercials just as much as you.
Down 50% in two months? Sign me up to start a position. I understand that the downtrend might not be over, but I'm certainly comfortable with starting a position and averaging down, should it be necessary. Actually, I'm not going all in so happy if it falls more but a sideways trend when you are spacing out your purchases is preferable.
From a technical standpoint on the yearly chart, Dell is currently 30% below the 20-day MA. Back in May 2024 when Dell peaked, it was 30% above the 20-day. It pulled back quickly after earnings to hover around the 20-day. For the most part, it does not like to drive too far away from the 20-day.
Also, currently below the 200-day MA which is cause for concern, but again, starting a position with the understanding that tougher roads might be ahead. However, this thing may trade sideways or go back up after earnings (8/30).
Fundamentally, I'm not going to steal snap shots from analyst reports, but this is a solid company with a recent 50% drop. These are the types of opportunities I look for as I believe this is an overreaction to the overall market.
Dude, I'm buying some Dell.
I am not an attorney, accountant or financial advisor, nor am I holding myself out to be, and the information contained in this post is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
DELL to $106.50Price at bottom channel
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
TTM Squeeze momentum is down
Price at Fibonacci level
DELL to $98Price at bottom channel
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
TTM Squeeze momentum is down
Price at Fibonacci number (3.618 ex down)
DELL - Can see a bounce back to gap fillDell is seeing some uptick here. If Semis momentum continues and NASDAQ continues the trend , we can see DELL continue to upside for the gap fill.
We gonna revisit the direction after the gap fill.
Target #1 150
Target #2 165
Stop Loss - 128
Mind the Gap pleaseJensen told us to get bullish on Dell, whilst Michael Dell has sold over GETTEX:2BN in shares. This is how whales dump their stock to retail, who become bag holders at the top. Sorry to disappoint you if you are a bull, but why would the man behind the company sell off such a significant portion of his holdings? He clearly knew it ran up to hard and too fast. Cramer claimed it was a screaming buy despite all this, that explains why he has become a meme in the trading community.
Why did Mr Dell sell? He clearly knew the business was overvalued. From a chart perspective I’d count the top as the 5th wave. Now we are in a corrective phase according to Elliot Wave theory. Where does the pain end?
So there’s a large gap fill around $100, where we might get a small bounce. But let me assure you that it won’t be the biggest bounce as it will be around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and that indicates weakness. I’d expect it to hang around there for a little while before making its next move. If it can hold the 0.618 then we can make a case for a bullish reversal, let’s wait to see how it pans out.
Not financial advice, just my interpretation of the charts.
DELL and the MAG 71. Comparison of DELL's Market Position to MAG 7 Companies: DELL Technologies and the MAG 7 stocks represent different segments of the tech industry. While MAG 7 companies like Apple and Google lead in software and internet services with high market caps and rapid growth, DELL focuses on enterprise hardware, including servers, storage, and PCs. DELL's strength lies in its robust hardware solutions and enterprise relationships, which contrast with the MAG 7's emphasis on software and digital ecosystems. This distinction highlights DELL's role as a critical infrastructure provider rather than a consumer-facing tech giant, emphasizing stability over the explosive growth seen in MAG 7 stocks.
2. DELL's Innovation Strategies and Their Impact on Future Growth: DELL's future growth is heavily influenced by its innovation in cloud computing, data storage, and hybrid IT solutions. By investing in emerging technologies and strategic acquisitions, such as the acquisition of EMC, DELL aims to enhance its capabilities in data management and cloud infrastructure. These innovations are crucial as enterprises increasingly migrate to hybrid and multi-cloud environments. DELL's ability to deliver integrated solutions that address evolving data and computing needs will be pivotal in sustaining its competitive edge and driving future growth.
3. Market Trends Affecting Hardware and Enterprise Services: The technology market is undergoing a shift towards cloud computing, AI, and edge computing, which impacts demand for traditional hardware and enterprise services. While hardware remains essential, the growing emphasis on cloud services and digital transformation means that companies like DELL must adapt their strategies to stay relevant. This includes embracing flexible cloud solutions, providing advanced data analytics, and integrating with AI technologies. The ability to innovate and align with these market trends will determine DELL's success in capturing new opportunities and maintaining a strong market position.
4. Competitive Landscape in Cloud Computing and Data Storage: DELL faces significant competition in the cloud computing and data storage markets from major players like Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. These competitors offer highly scalable and integrated cloud solutions that challenge DELL's traditional hardware-centric approach. To stay competitive, DELL must leverage its strengths in enterprise IT by offering differentiated cloud and storage solutions that provide value through performance, security, and integration. Strategic partnerships and innovations in cloud technologies will be crucial in navigating this competitive landscape.
5. Financial Performance of DELL Relative to MAG 7 Stocks: DELL's financial performance is more stable compared to the volatile yet high-growth nature of MAG 7 stocks. While MAG 7 companies typically exhibit rapid revenue growth and higher market valuations due to their dominance in software and services, DELL's performance reflects steady, incremental growth driven by enterprise demand and hardware sales. Investors must weigh DELL's reliable financial returns and consistent performance against the MAG 7's potential for higher, albeit riskier, returns. Understanding these financial dynamics is essential for evaluating investment opportunities and assessing the relative value of DELL in the tech sector.
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Buying Dell.Traders if you look at the chart, I have annotated everything and you can see that I am bullish when price gets to my demand zone. Let's hope it will play out
Long DELLPrice has memory:
Price at explosive volume tends to act as support/ resistance level. The close today revisited the significant close of March 01 (a big gap up with explosive volume). If the level fails to act as support, we know right away to step aside and close the trade. This is a high risk-reward ratio.
Dell Breakdown possible140 below breakdown possible
21 ema rejection
trendline below sustain possible
expected level to test
139/137.50/135/131
$DELL - wants to hit $160 againAfter a crazy gap up, it has corrected but that chart is looking bullish as of today with the form of the correction. It's not too hot on the RSI, and in the fib, it looks like it can go from 140 to 160 safely without too much resistance. All we need is volume now.
not trade advice
Triangle will resolve soonNot long to go. See which way it resolves and make a decision.
Not financial advice
DELL in the rising channel Hi traders,
The price has been in the rising channel since March 2024.
The price retested upsloping support multiple times.
We are expecting another retest therefore long position can be taken.
Our target is at the top of the channel.
Invalidation of this thesis would be close outside the channel.
Good luck
$DELLNYSE:DELL currently displaying a consolidation pattern on both the hourly and daily charts, suggesting a potential buildup for a significant price movement. The stock is forming a solid base, and a breakout is anticipated once the price exceeds the $141 level.
LONG TERM HOLD DELL - TARGET 270 $ TILL 2030Welcome on my channel.
I expect Dell shares to rise to $270-300 per share in the next five years thanks to the use of artificial intelligence.
At these price levels, I recommend entering a long-term trade:
These are polarized lvl on a higher TMFR and I do expect then the continuation of the long term accummulation.
108.85$
86.63$
Good luck!
200+ coming?This will move along with NVDA as AI mania keeps growing. This should easily hit 200+ by year end. If it hits my target and close to that above green trend line, then I think its time to get out of the market. Stop loss 130. All the best !!
